The month in shortON RECORD
The month in short
as of · generated from the events of September 2019
Events by venue: Binance 1.
- Best day-30 outcome: Bitcoin Bitcoin quarterly options expiry (+18.2%); worst: Bitcoin Fed rate decision and projections (−22.0%).
- The previous month (August 2019) held 12 events, more than September 2019.
- Also recorded: 3 Bitcoin difficulty adjustments, 1 Fed rate decision, 1 recorded event, 1 extreme fear reading and 1 Bitcoin options expiry.
Every eventMEASURED
Every event in September 2019
as of · events with effects
8 events grouped by day; 7 carry a measured day-30 outcome and each row links to the event's row on the token page.
| Date | Event | Token | Venue | 7d before | Next day | 7 days | 30 days | vs BTC | 90 days | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin difficulty adjustment Bitcoin mining difficulty +5.78% | Bitcoin (BTC) | — | −5.4% | +7.8% | +8.3% | −13.5% | 0.0% | −21.3% | macro | |
Bitcoin's mining difficulty retargeted by +5.78% at block 592,704 (mempool.space). The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before that day. On Sep 1, 2019 BTC saw a Bitcoin difficulty adjustment; it rose 7.8% by day 1 and was 13.5% lower 30 days later, 0 points behind BTC; it had moved −5.4% in the 7 days before. | ||||||||||
| perpetual listing Binance lists BTC perpetual | Bitcoin (BTC) | Binance | +9.1% | −1.5% | −1.5% | −21.9% | 0.0% | −28.4% | instruments | |
BTCUSDT perpetual trading (quotes: USDT, USDC, USD1, U). On Sep 8, 2019 Binance opened perpetual futures for BTC; it fell 1.5% by day 1 and was 21.9% lower 30 days later, 0 points behind BTC; it had moved +9.1% in the 7 days before. | ||||||||||
| Bitcoin difficulty adjustment Bitcoin mining difficulty +10.38% | Bitcoin (BTC) | — | −1.4% | −0.8% | −2.4% | −20.5% | 0.0% | −30.9% | macro | |
Bitcoin's mining difficulty retargeted by +10.38% at block 594,720 (mempool.space). The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before that day. On Sep 13, 2019 BTC saw a Bitcoin difficulty adjustment; it fell 0.8% by day 1 and was 20.5% lower 30 days later, 0 points behind BTC; it had moved −1.4% in the 7 days before. | ||||||||||
| Fed rate decision Fed rate decision and projections | Bitcoin (BTC) | — | +0.9% | +0.6% | −17.3% | −22.0% | 0.0% | −35.0% | macro | |
The Federal Reserve's rate decision, 2:00 pm New York time, with its economic projections. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the decision day. On Sep 18, 2019 BTC saw a Fed rate decision; it rose 0.6% by day 1 and was 22.0% lower 30 days later, 0 points behind BTC; it had moved +0.9% in the 7 days before. | ||||||||||
| recorded event OKEx Talks: Nairobi, Kenya | OKB (OKB) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | coinpaprika | |
OKB made the news on Sep 21, 2019; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured. | ||||||||||
| extreme fear reading Extreme fear: Fear & Greed Index at 15 | Bitcoin (BTC) | — | −16.6% | −5.1% | −1.6% | +1.9% | 0.0% | −14.6% | macro | |
The Crypto Fear & Greed Index (alternative.me) read 15 of 100, the first reading at or below 15 in over 14 days. It is published at 00:00 UTC; the move is Bitcoin's, from that moment's close. On Sep 25, 2019 BTC saw an extreme fear reading; it fell 5.1% by day 1 and was 1.9% higher 30 days later, 0 points behind BTC; it had moved −16.6% in the 7 days before. | ||||||||||
| Bitcoin difficulty adjustment Bitcoin mining difficulty +7.31% | Bitcoin (BTC) | — | −17.0% | −3.0% | −2.4% | +9.5% | 0.0% | −14.5% | macro | |
Bitcoin's mining difficulty retargeted by +7.31% at block 596,736 (mempool.space). The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before that day. On Sep 26, 2019 BTC saw a Bitcoin difficulty adjustment; it fell 3.0% by day 1 and was 9.5% higher 30 days later, 0 points behind BTC; it had moved −17.0% in the 7 days before. | ||||||||||
| Bitcoin options expiry Bitcoin quarterly options expiry | Bitcoin (BTC) | — | −21.3% | +1.7% | +0.9% | +18.2% | 0.0% | −10.7% | macro | |
Deribit's quarterly Bitcoin options expire at 08:00 UTC. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the expiry day. On Sep 27, 2019 BTC saw a Bitcoin options expiry; it rose 1.7% by day 1 and was 18.2% higher 30 days later, 0 points behind BTC; it had moved −21.3% in the 7 days before. | ||||||||||
Source: CoinPaprika, DefiLlama, exchange announcements and instrument APIs; effects by PatternPlus · fetched
- On Sep 18, 2019 BTC saw a Fed rate decision (Fed rate decision and projections);
- it rose 0.6% by day 1 and was 22.0% lower 30 days later, level with BTC;
- by day 90 it was 35.0% lower (it had moved +0.9% in the 7 days before).
- On Sep 8, 2019 Binance opened perpetual futures for BTC;
- it fell 1.5% by day 1 and was 21.9% lower 30 days later, level with BTC;
- by day 90 it was 28.4% lower (it had moved +9.1% in the 7 days before).
- On Sep 13, 2019 BTC saw a Bitcoin difficulty adjustment (Bitcoin mining difficulty +10.38%);
- it fell 0.8% by day 1 and was 20.5% lower 30 days later, level with BTC;
- by day 90 it was 30.9% lower (it had moved −1.4% in the 7 days before).
- On Sep 27, 2019 BTC saw a Bitcoin options expiry (Bitcoin quarterly options expiry);
- it rose 1.7% by day 1 and was 18.2% higher 30 days later, level with BTC;
- by day 90 it was 10.7% lower (it had moved −21.3% in the 7 days before).
- On Sep 1, 2019 BTC saw a Bitcoin difficulty adjustment (Bitcoin mining difficulty +5.78%);
- it rose 7.8% by day 1 and was 13.5% lower 30 days later, level with BTC;
- by day 90 it was 21.3% lower (it had moved −5.4% in the 7 days before).
- On Sep 26, 2019 BTC saw a Bitcoin difficulty adjustment (Bitcoin mining difficulty +7.31%);
- it fell 3.0% by day 1 and was 9.5% higher 30 days later, level with BTC;
- by day 90 it was 14.5% lower (it had moved −17.0% in the 7 days before).
Month statisticsMEASURED
Month statistics against the all-time medians
as of · event_stats
5 exchange-and-kind pairs had a measured event in September 2019; the all-time median is printed beside the month's own.
| Venue | Kind | This month n | This month median 30 days | All-time n | All-time median 30 days | All-time up after 30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| all venues | Bitcoin difficulty adjustment | 3 | −13.5% | 203 | +2.4% | 55.7% |
| all venues | extreme fear reading | 1 | +1.9% | 20 | −2.6% | 40.0% |
| all venues | Fed rate decision | 1 | −22.0% | 62 | +2.6% | 54.8% |
| all venues | Bitcoin options expiry | 1 | +18.2% | 92 | +2.5% | 56.5% |
| Binance | perpetual listing | 1 | −21.9% | 497 | −14.7% | 39.2% |
- A month median over fewer than five events is printed but carries less weight than the all-time column.