PATTERN+ PREDICTIONS
Updated

Month archive · 2019-06

June 2019: 10 recorded events

June 2019 holds 10 recorded events: 0 listings, 0 futures listings, 0 unlocks, 1 hacks and 0 rounds.

Events

10

recorded in June 2019

Listings

0

spot pairs opened

Perpetual listings

0

futures instruments opened

Unlocks

0

token-days with a release

Hacks

1

on record

Rounds

0

funding rounds

Typical after 30 days

—

no spot listing this month

← May 2019 · July 2019 →

The month in shortON RECORD

The month in short

as of · generated from the events of June 2019

  • Best day-30 outcome: Bitcoin S&P 500 rose 2.1% in a day (+42.7%); worst: Bitcoin Bitcoin mining difficulty +7.09% (−27.6%).
  • The previous month (May 2019) held 12 events, more than June 2019.
  • Also recorded: 2 recorded events, 2 Bitcoin difficulty adjustments, 1 big S&P 500 up day, 1 Wikipedia attention spike, 1 Fed rate decision, 1 extreme greed reading and 1 Bitcoin options expiry.

Every eventMEASURED

Every event in June 2019

as of · events with effects

10 events grouped by day; 6 carry a measured day-30 outcome and each row links to the event's row on the token page.

10 events grouped by day, oldest first; scheduled rows show when their price move can be measured
DateEventToken7d beforeNext day7 days30 daysvs BTC90 daysSource
big S&P 500 up day S&P 500 rose 2.1% in a day Bitcoin (BTC) −11.8% +1.3% +5.7% +42.7% 0.0% +38.1% macro
The S&P 500 closed 2.1% higher on Tuesday, June 4, 2019 than the session before (FRED). The move is Bitcoin's from its close that night (00:00 UTC), after the US session had ended. On Jun 5, 2019 BTC saw a big S&P 500 up day; it rose 1.3% by day 1 and was 42.7% higher 30 days later, 0 points behind BTC; it had moved −11.8% in the 7 days before.
recorded event OKEx Talks 2019 - Tallinn: The Adoption of Crypto for Business & Daily Life OKB (OKB) — — — — — — coinpaprika
Meet us in the capital of Estonia on 6 June 2019 and enjoy a night of conversations, giveaways, drinks, and nibbles. OKB made the news on Jun 6, 2019; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
Bitcoin difficulty adjustment Bitcoin mining difficulty -0.67% Bitcoin (BTC) +5.5% +7.2% +23.6% +23.8% 0.0% +26.7% macro
Bitcoin's mining difficulty retargeted by -0.67% at block 580,608 (mempool.space). The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before that day. On Jun 14, 2019 BTC saw a Bitcoin difficulty adjustment; it rose 7.2% by day 1 and was 23.8% higher 30 days later, 0 points behind BTC; it had moved +5.5% in the 7 days before.
Wikipedia attention spike Attention spike: 1,272 read STABLE's Wikipedia article, 3.7x usual 3.7% of circ. Stable (STABLE) — — — — — — wikipedia
1,272 people read the Wikipedia article 'Stablecoin' on 2019-06-14, 3.7 times the median day of the 28 days before. Wikimedia publishes a day's count within a day of its end, so the event is dated 2019-06-16: the move is the coin's from the close a full day after the day it counts. STABLE saw a Wikipedia attention spike on Jun 16, 2019; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
Fed rate decision Fed rate decision and projections Bitcoin (BTC) +15.2% +4.8% +44.2% +15.7% 0.0% +12.2% macro
The Federal Reserve's rate decision, 2:00 pm New York time, with its economic projections. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the decision day. On Jun 19, 2019 BTC saw a Fed rate decision; it rose 4.8% by day 1 and was 15.7% higher 30 days later, 0 points behind BTC; it had moved +15.2% in the 7 days before.
hack Synthetix v1+v2 exploited Synthetix Network (SNX) — — — — — — defillama
Oracle Misconfiguration SNX was hacked on Jun 25, 2019; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
extreme greed reading Extreme greed: Fear & Greed Index at 87 Bitcoin (BTC) +18.7% +18.4% −1.9% −10.6% 0.0% −12.2% macro
The Crypto Fear & Greed Index (alternative.me) read 87 of 100, the first reading at or above 85 in over 14 days. It is published at 00:00 UTC; the move is Bitcoin's, from that moment's close. On Jun 25, 2019 BTC saw an extreme greed reading; it rose 18.4% by day 1 and was 10.6% lower 30 days later, 0 points behind BTC; it had moved +18.7% in the 7 days before.
Bitcoin difficulty adjustment Bitcoin mining difficulty +7.09% Bitcoin (BTC) +41.5% −5.3% −14.9% −27.6% 0.0% −35.6% macro
Bitcoin's mining difficulty retargeted by +7.09% at block 582,624 (mempool.space). The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before that day. On Jun 27, 2019 BTC saw a Bitcoin difficulty adjustment; it fell 5.3% by day 1 and was 27.6% lower 30 days later, 0 points behind BTC; it had moved +41.5% in the 7 days before.
recorded event OKEx Talks 2019 - Valencia: Cryptocurrency Trends in Spain OKB (OKB) — — — — — — coinpaprika
Meet us in the fascinating city of Valencia on 28 June 2019 and enjoy a night of conversations, giveaways, drinks, and nibbles. OKB made the news on Jun 28, 2019; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
Bitcoin options expiry Bitcoin quarterly options expiry Bitcoin (BTC) +19.0% +5.1% −3.2% −15.8% 0.0% −28.8% macro
Deribit's quarterly Bitcoin options expire at 08:00 UTC. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the expiry day. On Jun 28, 2019 BTC saw a Bitcoin options expiry; it rose 5.1% by day 1 and was 15.8% lower 30 days later, 0 points behind BTC; it had moved +19.0% in the 7 days before.

Source: CoinPaprika, DefiLlama, exchange announcements and instrument APIs; effects by PatternPlus · fetched

  • On Jun 5, 2019 BTC saw a big S&P 500 up day (S&P 500 rose 2.1% in a day);
  • it rose 1.3% by day 1 and was 42.7% higher 30 days later, level with BTC;
  • by day 90 it was 38.1% higher (it had moved −11.8% in the 7 days before).
  • On Jun 27, 2019 BTC saw a Bitcoin difficulty adjustment (Bitcoin mining difficulty +7.09%);
  • it fell 5.3% by day 1 and was 27.6% lower 30 days later, level with BTC;
  • by day 90 it was 35.6% lower (it had moved +41.5% in the 7 days before).
  • On Jun 14, 2019 BTC saw a Bitcoin difficulty adjustment (Bitcoin mining difficulty -0.67%);
  • it rose 7.2% by day 1 and was 23.8% higher 30 days later, level with BTC;
  • by day 90 it was 26.7% higher (it had moved +5.5% in the 7 days before).
  • On Jun 28, 2019 BTC saw a Bitcoin options expiry (Bitcoin quarterly options expiry);
  • it rose 5.1% by day 1 and was 15.8% lower 30 days later, level with BTC;
  • by day 90 it was 28.8% lower (it had moved +19.0% in the 7 days before).
  • On Jun 19, 2019 BTC saw a Fed rate decision (Fed rate decision and projections);
  • it rose 4.8% by day 1 and was 15.7% higher 30 days later, level with BTC;
  • by day 90 it was 12.2% higher (it had moved +15.2% in the 7 days before).
  • On Jun 25, 2019 BTC saw an extreme greed reading (Extreme greed: Fear & Greed Index at 87);
  • it rose 18.4% by day 1 and was 10.6% lower 30 days later, level with BTC;
  • by day 90 it was 12.2% lower (it had moved +18.7% in the 7 days before).

Month statisticsMEASURED

Month statistics against the all-time medians

as of · event_stats

5 exchange-and-kind pairs had a measured event in June 2019; the all-time median is printed beside the month's own.

VenueKindThis month nThis month median 30 daysAll-time nAll-time median 30 daysAll-time up after 30 days
all venuesBitcoin difficulty adjustment2−1.9%203+2.4%55.7%
all venuesFed rate decision1+15.7%62+2.6%54.8%
all venuesextreme greed reading1−10.6%6+6.3%66.7%
all venuesBitcoin options expiry1−15.8%92+2.5%56.5%
all venuesbig S&P 500 up day1+42.7%46−0.5%50.0%
  • A month median over fewer than five events is printed but carries less weight than the all-time column.