Pattern playground
Play the patterns
Pick a pattern, slice it, set side, hold and leverage: every past case replays as a trade, instantly: chance of profit, typical result, the worst 10% and how often it got liquidated.
Turn on JavaScript to play with the setup: the numbers below are the setup in bold, replayed on the server.
1 Pick a pattern 15 patterns · 15,504 past cases
Events
Market patterns
Shown after a drop of 25% or more in 7 days. Does a flush like that bounce? What coins did after every past drop that size. Entry: the close of the day the pattern fired.
Long capitulation drops · BTC below 50d avg · hold 3d · 3×
→ profitable in 66% of 1,262 past cases
Only 1262 cases: a handful of trades can swing these numbers a lot.
2 Slice it tap to combine · counts update as you go
3 Trade
Take profit and stop loss are price moves from the entry. Every number is before fees: yours depend on your exchange; the adverse level counts first on a day that touches both.
price went your way against you sideways (within ±1.7% over 3 days) take profit stop loss liquidated
The cases newest first · tap a coin for its page
| Coin | Date | Result | Exit |
|---|---|---|---|
| TST | 2026-08-16 | +19.8% | held |
| MUBARAK | 2026-08-16 | +54.9% | held |
| COOKIE | 2026-08-16 | −0.0% | held |
| BB | 2026-08-16 | −28.5% | held |
| BABY | 2026-08-16 | +46.5% | held |
| TUT | 2026-08-15 | +68.7% | held |
| GLMR | 2026-08-15 | −17.4% | held |
| ENSO | 2026-08-14 | +23.7% | held |
| VANA | 2026-07-31 | −19.5% | held |
| HOME | 2026-07-16 | −75.0% | held |
| SCRT | 2026-07-13 | −0.6% | held |
| PARTI | 2026-07-11 | −26.1% | held |
| HMSTR | 2026-07-11 | −11.4% | held |
| DYDX | 2026-07-07 | +8.7% | held |
| CATI | 2026-07-07 | +3.3% | held |
| SYN | 2026-07-06 | +0.6% | held |
| ACT | 2026-07-06 | −6.6% | held |
| MMT | 2026-07-04 | −3.6% | held |
| AGLD | 2026-07-03 | −25.2% | held |
| PHA | 2026-06-30 | −4.5% | held |
| ALLO | 2026-06-29 | +61.5% | held |
| TNSR | 2026-06-28 | +3.6% | held |
| KITE | 2026-06-28 | −44.1% | held |
| BEL | 2026-06-28 | −39.9% | held |
Past cases, not a promise. Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice. Leverage multiplies losses too: a liquidated trade loses its whole margin.
Every pattern you can play
A plain 1× long held 7 days, on every past case of each pattern, as of Oct 3, 2026. Pick one above to slice it and change the trade.
| Pattern | Cases | 1× long 7d: profitable | Typical | Dates |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Listings pattern page → | 146 | 33% | −11.7% | 2020-08-11 → 2026-07-17 |
| Perp listings pattern page → | 91 | 30% | −15.0% | 2024-01-08 → 2026-06-05 |
| Delistings pattern page → | 11 | 9% | −6.9% | 2022-04-04 → 2026-03-13 |
| Hacks pattern page → | 42 | 33% | −7.1% | 2023-02-15 → 2026-08-31 |
| Breadth | 1,666 | 45% | −0.7% | 2026-03-21 → 2026-08-27 |
| Breakout | 1,671 | 40% | −1.8% | 2026-05-16 → 2026-09-03 |
| Capitulation | 1,630 | 54% | +1.0% | 2024-12-19 → 2026-09-02 |
| 50/200 cross | 1,271 | 41% | −2.5% | 2020-03-04 → 2026-09-03 |
| Drawdown | 962 | 48% | −0.4% | 2019-11-21 → 2026-08-30 |
| New high | 115 | 45% | −2.1% | 2021-03-19 → 2026-09-03 |
| Rubber band | 1,656 | 39% | −2.0% | 2026-05-06 → 2026-09-03 |
| Squeeze | 1,640 | 42% | −1.5% | 2025-07-11 → 2026-09-03 |
| Streak | 1,649 | 43% | −1.2% | 2026-02-03 → 2026-09-03 |
| 90-day trend | 1,645 | 39% | −2.5% | 2026-04-17 → 2026-09-03 |
| Volume spike | 1,309 | 44% | −1.8% | 2024-02-26 → 2026-09-03 |
The setups under "Try" are the clearest of 813 setups replayed on Oct 3, 2026 (30+ cases each). The clearest past setup is still only a count of past cases.