No pattern has a proven 1-day record on this coin yet — the call above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 46% chance higher tomorrow · this pattern's 1d calls hit 45.0% of 3,043 — no better than a coin flip so far · drawn from the 823 setups matched for the 30-day prediction
?next day
0%+2.5%+5%+7.5%+10%−3%−2%−1%0%+1%+2%−7.5% in 30 days↑ 98% below its all-time high
−30dnow+1d
▲ 3 rose · ▼ 5 fell · ◆ 22 sideways(±1.0% over 1 day)
Bold: PAXG's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 823 setups matched for the 30-day prediction, and what each did over the next day — real hourly closes, scaled to PAXG's volatility.
Bad case$4,098−1%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$4,142−0.1%half did better, half worse
Good case$4,189+1%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−0.1%
Likely range
−1% to +1%$4,098 – $4,189
839 similar setups · our 1-day calls hit 49.7% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
PAXG price prediction for this week
62%chance PAXG is lower
▼ STRONG DOWN
No pattern has a proven 7-day record on this coin yet — the call above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 38% chance higher in 7 days · this pattern's 7d calls hit 57.7% of 11,360 — no better than always guessing the usual direction (59%) so far · drawn from the 823 setups matched for the 30-day prediction
?next 7 days
0%+2.5%+5%+7.5%+10%−5%0%+5%−7.5% in 30 days↑ 98% below its all-time high
−30dnow+7d
▲ 3 rose · ▼ 11 fell · ◆ 16 sideways(±2.6% over 7 days)
Bold: PAXG's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 823 setups matched for the 30-day prediction, and what each did over the next 7 days — real 4-hour closes, scaled to PAXG's volatility.
Bad case$3,955−5%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$4,117−0.7%half did better, half worse
Good case$4,262+3%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−0.7%
Likely range
−5% to +3%$3,955 – $4,262
835 similar setups · our 7-day calls hit 58.1% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
PAXG price prediction for the next 30 days
67%chance PAXG is lower
▼ STRONG DOWN
No pattern has a proven record on this coin yet — the prediction above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 33% chance higher in 30 days · drawn from its 823 matched past setups
?next 30 days
0%+2.5%+5%+7.5%+10%−20%−10%0%+10%−7.5% in 30 days↑ 98% below its all-time high
−30dnow+30d
▲ 5 rose · ▼ 14 fell · ◆ 11 sideways(±5.5% over 30 days)
Bold: PAXG's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 823 past setups like this, and what each did over the next 30 days — real daily closes, scaled to PAXG's volatility.
Bad case$3,752−10%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$4,036−2.7%half did better, half worse
Good case$4,415+6%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−2.7%
Likely range
−10% to +6%$3,752 – $4,415
823 similar setups · our 30-day calls hit 62.1% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
Plan a leveraged trade on PAXG
replays the cases behind the 30-day prediction
replays the cases behind the 30-day prediction
Pick a side, when you close and your leverage: we replay that exact trade on the past cases behind this PAXG prediction and count how it ended.
Best historical window for PAXG in setups like this: short, hold 30 days, 8× — profitable 65.8% of the time, typical +20.0%, liquidated 9.1% of the time (n=823).
Chance this ends in profit—
Typical result—half did better, half worse
Chance you get liquidated first—
Every past case, replayedhover or tap a line to see the case
price went your way —against you —sideways —(within ±5.5% over 30 days)✕liquidated —take profit hit —stop loss hit —typical8 in 10 cases
Replays 450 past cases weighted exactly like the 30-day prediction: the 823 similar cases behind it plus a sample of all history.
Where the odds were best· swipe for longer holds →
cell = chance of profit color = average result, −50% or worse to +50% or better striped = liquidated in more than 1 in 10★ best: highest typical result with at most 1 in 10 liquidated, most cases in profit and an average above zerono take profit or stop loss · tap a cell to load it
The planner and its replay chart run in your browser: turn on JavaScript to replay your own PAXG trade on these past cases.
Odds from similar past cases, not financial advice. Leverage multiplies losses too: a liquidated position loses its whole margin.
Where to trade PAXG · by share of the last day's volume
PAXG$4.15K54% ▼ 1Dbest play▼ Short 1D 20× → +2.0%open calculator
PAXG$4.15K62% ▼ 7Dbest play▼ Short 7D 15× → +9.0%open calculator
PAXG$4.15K67% ▼ 30Dbest play▼ Short 30D 8× → +20%open calculator
2
Why we think this
the reasoning, in short
Drivers
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher a day later 47% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in PAXG's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (839 cases) into 46% higher.
Within 10% of a month ago
Within 10% of its price 30 days ago (−7%). After a month like that, coins were higher a day later 46% of the time (33,081 cases), vs 47% across all cases.
here 46% · normal 47% higher a day later
25% below its high
25% below its all-time high. Coins that far below their high were higher a day later 46% of the time (23,212 cases), vs 47% across all cases.
here 46% · normal 47% higher a day later
Mid-cap
Mid-cap coin ($1.8B market cap). Coins this size were higher a day later 47% of the time (17,959 cases), vs 47% across all cases.
here 47% · normal 47% higher a day later
Normal volume
Trading volume is in its normal range. On normal-volume days, coins were higher a day later 47% of the time (90,212 cases), vs 47% across all cases.
here 47% · normal 47% higher a day later
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher 7 days later 43% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in PAXG's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (835 cases) into 38% higher.
Bitcoin above its 50-day average
Bitcoin is above its 50-day average. In that situation, coins were higher a week later 42% of the time (46,968 cases), vs 43% across all cases.
here 42% · normal 43% higher 7 days later
25% below its high
25% below its all-time high. Coins that far below their high were higher a week later 42% of the time (23,119 cases), vs 43% across all cases.
here 42% · normal 43% higher 7 days later
Mid-cap
Mid-cap coin ($1.8B market cap). Coins this size were higher a week later 43% of the time (17,859 cases), vs 43% across all cases.
here 43% · normal 43% higher 7 days later
Within 10% of a month ago
Within 10% of its price 30 days ago (−7%). After a month like that, coins were higher a week later 44% of the time (32,931 cases), vs 43% across all cases.
here 44% · normal 43% higher 7 days later
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher 30 days later 38% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in PAXG's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (823 cases) into 33% higher.
25% below its high
25% below its all-time high. Coins that far below their high were higher 30 days later 34% of the time (22,845 cases), vs 38% across all cases.
here 34% · normal 38% higher 30 days later
Within 10% of a month ago
Within 10% of its price 30 days ago (−7%). After a month like that, coins were higher 30 days later 42% of the time (32,080 cases), vs 38% across all cases.
here 42% · normal 38% higher 30 days later
Mid-cap
Mid-cap coin ($1.8B market cap). Coins this size were higher 30 days later 36% of the time (17,485 cases), vs 38% across all cases.
here 36% · normal 38% higher 30 days later
Bitcoin above its 50-day average
Bitcoin is above its 50-day average. In that situation, coins were higher 30 days later 39% of the time (44,236 cases), vs 38% across all cases.
here 39% · normal 38% higher 30 days later
Our record on PAXG
Our last 6 calls on PAXG over 30 days: right on 3 of 6 · 4 of 6 ended inside our range · all-time on PAXG: 46.8% hit rate, 72.9% inside the range (47 backtested calls)
Jul 26 said 68% down · ended +13.7%✗ wrongAug 2 said 68% down · ended +6.5%✗ wrongAug 9 said 68% down · ended +0.6%✗ wrongAug 16 said 67% down · ended −1.9%✓ rightAug 23 said 67% down · ended −5.5%✓ rightAug 30 said 67% down · ended −5.9%✓ right
white: PAXG's real price after each call · bar: the range we gave (8 in 10 cases, the middle half thicker, a notch at the typical move) · end dot: green right · red wrong · orange the price went sideways (within ±5.5% over 30 days) or a coin flip · backtest: each call used only data available that day · live since Oct 3, 2026: 1 live 30-day prediction on record, first result due Nov 2, 2026 · the full scorecard →
last 6 months · daily close · candle = 2 sessions◆ recorded event · dotted blue line = last price · orange = the price went sideways (within ±1.4% over 2 days)
updated today Updated · 39 data points on this page
Changedno field on this page changed since the previous build
The record in shortON RECORD
The record in short
as of · generated from this record's own rowsread it →
events on record
3
higher 30 days after
0 of 1
typical 30-day move
−2.4%
next up
—
Every eventMEASURED3 events
The record: every event and what followed
as of · CoinPaprika · DefiLlama · exchange announcements · PatternPlus effectsread it →
PAXG: 3 events, newest first; six signed numbers per row are the price change from the close before the event, in UTC; vs BTC is the difference of the two 30-day moves
PAXG-USDT spot trading (quotes: TRY, USDT). Announced 2025-10-16: OKX will launch ENA/USD and PAXG/USD for spot trading On Oct 15, 2025OKX listed PAXG; it rose 6.2% by day 1 and was 2.4% lower 30 days later, 14 points ahead of BTC; it had moved +4.4% in the 7 days before.
Binance listed PAXG on Aug 25, 2020; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
2019
all-time high PAXG all-time high: $192.28k
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
derived
Highest daily close in our price history. PAXG set an all-time high on Oct 4, 2019; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
Source: events from CoinPaprika, DefiLlama and exchange announcements; effects computed by PatternPlus (see methodology) · fetched
Against the venue medianMEASURED
How PAXG's events compare with the venue median
as of · event_stats computed by PatternPlusread it →
Venue · kind
PAXG median day 30
PAXG n
Venue median day 30
Venue n
Up after 30 d (venue)
Position
OKX · spot listing
−2.4%
1
−22.3%
83
27.7%
above
Venue · kind
PAXG median day 7
PAXG n
Venue median day 7
Venue n
Up after 7 d (venue)
Position
OKX · spot listing
−2.0%
1
−11.4%
—
—
above
Day 7: the venue's event count and up-share are kept for day 30 only (—); its median uses every event measured to day 7.
Venue · kind
PAXG median day 1
PAXG n
Venue median day 1
Venue n
Up after 1 d (venue)
Position
OKX · spot listing
+6.2%
1
−3.0%
—
—
above
Day 1: the venue's event count and up-share are kept for day 30 only (—); its median uses every event measured to day 1.
Source: PatternPlus, computed from every token in the peer set · fetched
4
The full write-up
every sentence on PAXG · questions · sources
PAXG in short
Filed under crypto on its own chain, PAX Gold (PAXG) has been with no start date recorded; it holds rank #57 by market cap as of Oct 3, 2026 and trades 97.8% below its Oct 4, 2019 high.
As of Oct 3, 2026 the price is $4,148 (−0.1% over 24 hours), market cap $1.8B, fully diluted value $1.8B, holder count not reported, no TVL reported to DefiLlama.
Status on CoinPaprika: active; PAXG is the native coin of its own chain, so there is no token contract.
CoinPaprika tickers and DefiLlama, read Oct 3, 2026.
This site has 3 past events for PAX Gold: 2 exchange listings, 0 futures listings, 0 unlocks, 0 hacks and 0 funding rounds; the median 30-day move after the 1 measured events was −2.4%.
From the latest data refresh
PAX Gold (PAXG) is a crypto token on its own chain, rank #57 by market cap as of Oct 3, 2026, 97.8% below its Oct 4, 2019 high.
Its 1 measured listing shows a median day-30 move of −2.4%, 1 of it above the venue median.
PatternPlus holds 1 daily snapshot for PAXG as of Oct 3, 2026; the rank and holder series begin with the next rebuild.
PAXG is on 4 spot and 0 perpetual venues on record; the earliest dated listing was OKX (spot) on Oct 15, 2025.
1 of its listings have a measured day-30 outcome (median −2.4%); 1 finished above the venue's own listing median and 0 below.
No emission schedule is published on DefiLlama for PAXG as of Oct 3, 2026.
No on-chain power check is on record for PAXG as of Oct 3, 2026.
No funding round is recorded by DefiLlama for PAX Gold as of Oct 3, 2026.
PAX Gold lists 0 audit links on DefiLlama; no hack is recorded as of Oct 3, 2026.
No team member is recorded on CoinPaprika for PAX Gold as of Oct 3, 2026.
DefiLlama reports not reported TVL and $0 revenue over 30 days as of Oct 3, 2026;
revenue to market cap of 0.000 sits at the 9th percentile of 1500 all tokens on record tokens.
Generated from this record's own rows at build time; as of Oct 3, 2026.
Across 83 spot listings on OKX, the median move is −3.0% on day 1 and −22.3% by day 30; 27.7% were still up after 30 days; PAXG's one sits above that median at −2.4%.
PAXG sits above the venue median in 1 of 1 venue-and-kind comparisons as of Oct 3, 2026.
event_stats recomputed nightly; as of Oct 3, 2026.
No on-chain power check is available for PAXG on its own chain as of Oct 3, 2026; every row of the panel is shown as unknown until GoPlus or the Jupiter token API answers.
Until then this site cannot say whether the issuer can mint, freeze or upgrade PAXG; the check is retried at every rebuild.
3 events since Oct 4, 2019; 1 of the 1 measured were followed by a lower price 30 days later; best OKX lists PAXG on Oct 15, 2025 (−2.4%), worst OKX lists PAXG on Oct 15, 2025 (−2.4%).
1000 daily closes from Jan 8, 2024 to Oct 3, 2026 are plotted on a log scale, with the rank from 1 snapshots as a step line.
The all-time high marker sits at $192,279 on Oct 4, 2019, 2,556 days before Oct 3, 2026.
prices, metrics_daily, events and effects; as of Oct 3, 2026.
The all-time high on record for PAX Gold is $192,279 on Oct 4, 2019, 2,556 days ago as of Oct 3, 2026; the price is 97.8% below it; over 30 days it moved 0.0% against 0.0% for BTC (beta 0.20).
Price change as of Oct 3, 2026: 0.0% over 1 hour, −0.1% over 24 hours, −3.1% over 7 days, 0.0% over 30 days, 0.0% over 1 year.
With $1.8B market cap against $1.8B fully diluted, 0.0% of PAXG's valuation is in non-circulating supply as of Oct 3, 2026.
24-hour volume of $28.4M is 1.6% of market cap as of Oct 3, 2026.
Circulating supply is 435,066 of 435,066 total (100.0%); no maximum supply is stated.
The all tokens on record median 30-day change is 0.0% across 1500 tokens, so PAXG sits below its peer set.
CoinPaprika tickers read Oct 3, 2026; BTC comparison from the BTC record.
No contract or mint address is recorded for PAX Gold as of Oct 3, 2026.
No other token on record uses the symbol PAXG as of Oct 3, 2026.
PAX Gold shares its ticker with PAXG (PAX Aurum Gold) (ticker collision on CoinPaprika, read Oct 3, 2026).
Identity fields from CoinPaprika as of Oct 3, 2026: start date not recorded, first market data Sep 26, 2019, proof type not stated, organisation structure not stated, no whitepaper link.
Cross-references as of Oct 3, 2026: CoinPaprika id paxg-pax-gold, DefiLlama slug paxos, no GitHub repository recorded.
No follower or star counts were read for PAX Gold as of Oct 3, 2026.
CoinPaprika /coins, token_contracts, token_aliases; read Oct 3, 2026.
PAX Gold reported $0 in fees and $0 in revenue over 30 days to DefiLlama on not reported TVL as of Oct 3, 2026; its revenue-to-market-cap ratio of 0.000 is at the 9th percentile of 1500 all tokens on record tokens.
DefiLlama records no parent protocol for PAX Gold (not a fork).
No oracle is listed for PAX Gold on DefiLlama.
DefiLlama lists PAX Gold under 'RWA' since Jul 9, 2024 (slug paxos).
DefiLlama protocol, fees and TVL endpoints; as of Oct 3, 2026.
Set against 1500 all tokens on record tokens on Oct 3, 2026, PAX Gold ranks at the 96th percentile for market cap, the 32nd for distance from its high and the unranked for share of supply unlocked.
The peer median market cap is $14M, the median distance from ATH −94.8% and the median 30-day change 0.0%.
The nearest peers by rank are Pepe (#56), Official World Liberty Financial (#58), Internet Computer (#55), Falcon USD (#59) and Sky (#54).
Market cap: $1.8B (P96 of 1500; peer median $14M).
Volume / market cap (24h): 1.58% (P41 of 1500; peer median 2.46%).
30-day change: 0.0% (P50 of 1500; peer median 0.0%).
Distance from ATH: −97.8% (P32 of 1500; peer median −94.8%).
Revenue / market cap (30d): 0.000 (P9 of 258; peer median 0.006).
peer set: all tokens on record (1500 tokens); as of Oct 3, 2026.
predictions: chance of a higher price, typical move, likely range and our track record
2026-10-03 19:24 UTC
none
—
score
the 0–100 score and its backtest
2026-10-03 19:48 UTC
none
—
setups
setups re-measured on our own prices
2026-10-03 19:24 UTC
none
—
snapshot
daily snapshots and the change log
2026-10-03 19:48 UTC
none
—
upbit_instruments
359 symbols
2026-10-03 19:06 UTC
none
—
Effects are measured as described on the methodology page. Facts are compiled from public sources; nothing on this page is advice. Corrections: hello@pattern.plus.
binance_instruments last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-03T19:06:51+00:00 451 Client Error: for url: https://fapi.binance.com/f), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
bybit_announcements last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-03T19:07:22+00:00 403 Client Error: Forbidden for url: https://api.bybit), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
bybit_instruments last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-03T19:06:53+00:00 403 Client Error: Forbidden for url: https://api.bybit), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
collector_csv last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-03T19:07:26+00:00 trench_births.csv missing), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
This page is generated from 6,159 database rows and rebuilt daily; first published Oct 3, 2026.
PatternPlus compiles facts from public sources and gives no financial advice; corrections by email. As of Oct 3, 2026.
How to read this
Band 1 is the prediction: the chance of a higher price, the typical move and the likely range, with the real past setups behind it drawn as they moved.
Band 2 is why: the drivers, the next catalysts and how our past calls on this coin went.
Band 3 is the data: every table and chart, dated; green means the price was higher afterwards, red lower.
Band 4 is the write-up: the same record in words, with the questions and the sources.
