No pattern has a proven 1-day record on this coin yet — the call above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 51% chance higher tomorrow · this pattern's 1d calls hit 45.0% of 3,043 — no better than a coin flip so far · drawn from the 102 setups matched for the 30-day prediction
?next day
−15%−10%−5%0%+5%−4%−2%0%+2%+4%+7.0% in 30 days↑ 46% below its all-time high
−30dnow+1d
▲ 12 rose · ▼ 4 fell · ◆ 14 sideways(±1.0% over 1 day)
Bold: ETH's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 102 setups matched for the 30-day prediction, and what each did over the next day — real hourly closes, scaled to ETH's volatility.
Bad case$2,622−2%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$2,687+0.1%half did better, half worse
Good case$2,745+2%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
+0.1%
Likely range
−2% to +2%$2,622 – $2,745
108 similar setups · our 1-day calls hit 49.7% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
ETH price prediction for this week
54%chance ETH is lower
↔ COIN FLIP
No pattern has a proven 7-day record on this coin yet — the call above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 46% chance higher in 7 days · this pattern's 7d calls hit 57.7% of 11,360 — no better than always guessing the usual direction (59%) so far · drawn from the 102 setups matched for the 30-day prediction
?next 7 days
−15%−10%−5%0%+5%−20%−10%0%+10%+20%+30%+7.0% in 30 days↑ 46% below its all-time high
−30dnow+7d
▲ 11 rose · ▼ 9 fell · ◆ 10 sideways(±2.6% over 7 days)
Bold: ETH's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 102 setups matched for the 30-day prediction, and what each did over the next 7 days — real 4-hour closes, scaled to ETH's volatility.
Bad case$2,492−7%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$2,669−0.6%half did better, half worse
Good case$2,902+8%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−0.6%
Likely range
−7% to +8%$2,492 – $2,902
104 similar setups · our 7-day calls hit 58.1% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
ETH price prediction for the next 30 days
58%chance ETH is lower
▼ LEAN DOWN
No pattern has a proven record on this coin yet — the prediction above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 42% chance higher in 30 days · drawn from its 102 matched past setups
?next 30 days
−15%−10%−5%0%+5%−25%0%+25%+50%+75%+7.0% in 30 days↑ 46% below its all-time high
−30dnow+30d
▲ 12 rose · ▼ 8 fell · ◆ 10 sideways(±11% over 30 days)
Bold: ETH's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 102 past setups like this, and what each did over the next 30 days — real daily closes, scaled to ETH's volatility.
Bad case$2,180−19%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$2,620−2.4%half did better, half worse
Good case$3,235+21%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−2.4%
Likely range
−19% to +21%$2,180 – $3,235
102 similar setups · our 30-day calls hit 62.1% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
Plan a leveraged trade on ETH
replays the cases behind the 30-day prediction
replays the cases behind the 30-day prediction
Pick a side, when you close and your leverage: we replay that exact trade on the past cases behind this ETH prediction and count how it ended.
Best historical window for ETH in setups like this: short, hold 14 days, 5× — profitable 57.4% of the time, typical +6.8%, liquidated 8.8% of the time (n=102).
Chance this ends in profit—
Typical result—half did better, half worse
Chance you get liquidated first—
Every past case, replayedhover or tap a line to see the case
price went your way —against you —sideways —(within ±3.7% over 14 days)✕liquidated —take profit hit —stop loss hit —typical8 in 10 cases
Replays 302 past cases weighted exactly like the 30-day prediction: the 102 similar cases behind it plus a sample of all history.
Where the odds were best· swipe for longer holds →
cell = chance of profit color = average result, −50% or worse to +50% or better striped = liquidated in more than 1 in 10★ best: highest typical result with at most 1 in 10 liquidated, most cases in profit and an average above zerono take profit or stop loss · tap a cell to load it
The planner and its replay chart run in your browser: turn on JavaScript to replay your own ETH trade on these past cases.
Odds from similar past cases, not financial advice. Leverage multiplies losses too: a liquidated position loses its whole margin.
Where to trade ETH · by share of the last day's volume
ETH$2.68K51% ▲ 1Dbest play▼ Short 1D 20× → +2.0%open calculator
ETH$2.68K54% ▼ 7Dbest play▼ Short 7D 7× → +4.2%open calculator
ETH$2.68K58% ▼ 30Dbest playno play cleared the bar at 30Dopen calculator
2
Why we think this
the reasoning, in short
Drivers
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher a day later 47% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in ETH's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (108 cases) into 51% higher.
Layer-1 / layer-2
Layer-1 / layer-2 coin. Layer-1 and layer-2 coins were higher a day later 50% of the time (1,465 cases), vs 47% across all cases.
here 50% · normal 47% higher a day later
Large-cap
Large-cap coin ($327.7B market cap). Coins this size were higher a day later 49% of the time (5,977 cases), vs 47% across all cases.
here 49% · normal 47% higher a day later
Within 10% of a month ago
Within 10% of its price 30 days ago (+7%). After a month like that, coins were higher a day later 46% of the time (33,081 cases), vs 47% across all cases.
here 46% · normal 47% higher a day later
44% below its high
44% below its all-time high. Coins that far below their high were higher a day later 46% of the time (23,212 cases), vs 47% across all cases.
here 46% · normal 47% higher a day later
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher 7 days later 43% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in ETH's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (104 cases) into 46% higher.
Layer-1 / layer-2
Layer-1 / layer-2 coin. Layer-1 and layer-2 coins were higher a week later 50% of the time (1,455 cases), vs 43% across all cases.
here 50% · normal 43% higher 7 days later
Large-cap
Large-cap coin ($327.7B market cap). Coins this size were higher a week later 46% of the time (5,940 cases), vs 43% across all cases.
here 46% · normal 43% higher 7 days later
Bitcoin above its 50-day average
Bitcoin is above its 50-day average. In that situation, coins were higher a week later 42% of the time (46,968 cases), vs 43% across all cases.
here 42% · normal 43% higher 7 days later
44% below its high
44% below its all-time high. Coins that far below their high were higher a week later 42% of the time (23,119 cases), vs 43% across all cases.
here 42% · normal 43% higher 7 days later
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher 30 days later 38% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in ETH's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (102 cases) into 42% higher.
Layer-1 / layer-2
Layer-1 / layer-2 coin. Layer-1 and layer-2 coins were higher 30 days later 47% of the time (1,416 cases), vs 38% across all cases.
here 47% · normal 38% higher 30 days later
Large-cap
Large-cap coin ($327.7B market cap). Coins this size were higher 30 days later 43% of the time (5,811 cases), vs 38% across all cases.
here 43% · normal 38% higher 30 days later
44% below its high
44% below its all-time high. Coins that far below their high were higher 30 days later 34% of the time (22,845 cases), vs 38% across all cases.
here 34% · normal 38% higher 30 days later
Within 10% of a month ago
Within 10% of its price 30 days ago (+7%). After a month like that, coins were higher 30 days later 42% of the time (32,080 cases), vs 38% across all cases.
here 42% · normal 38% higher 30 days later
Our record on ETH
Our last 6 calls on ETH over 30 days: right on 0 of 6 · 2 of 6 ended inside our range · all-time on ETH: 44.7% hit rate, 66.7% inside the range (47 backtested calls)
Jul 26 said 65% down · ended +25.0%✗ wrongAug 2 said 63% down · ended +28.3%✗ wrongAug 9 said 63% down · ended +30.1%✗ wrongAug 16 said 61% down · ended +27.8%✗ wrongAug 23 said 61% down · ended +11.8%✗ wrongAug 30 said 64% down · ended +10.8%✗ wrong
white: ETH's real price after each call · bar: the range we gave (8 in 10 cases, the middle half thicker, a notch at the typical move) · end dot: green right · red wrong · orange the price went sideways (within ±5.5% over 30 days) or a coin flip · backtest: each call used only data available that day · live since Oct 3, 2026: 1 live 30-day prediction on record, first result due Nov 2, 2026 · the full scorecard →
last 6 months · daily close · candle = 2 sessions◆ recorded event · dotted blue line = last price · orange = the price went sideways (within ±1.4% over 2 days)
updated today Updated · 300 data points on this page
Changedno field on this page changed since the previous build
The record in shortON RECORD
The record in short
as of · generated from this record's own rowsread it →
events on record
5
higher 30 days after
0 of 1
typical 30-day move
−12.9%
next up
—
Every eventMEASURED5 events
The record: every event and what followed
as of · CoinPaprika · DefiLlama · exchange announcements · PatternPlus effectsread it →
ETH: 5 events, newest first; six signed numbers per row are the price change from the close before the event, in UTC; vs BTC is the difference of the two 30-day moves
Date
Event
Venue
7d before
Next day
7 days
30 days
vs BTC
90 days
Source
2025
all-time high ETH all-time high: $4.95k
—
+8.1%
−8.4%
−8.1%
−12.9%
−9.9%
−42.0%
derived
Highest daily close in our price history. On Aug 24, 2025ETH set an all-time high; it fell 8.4% by day 1 and was 12.9% lower 30 days later, 10 points behind BTC; it had moved +8.1% in the 7 days before.
Can we get a sticky regarding this topic? It'd clear up the daily convo on this sub a great deal. **What is ETH 2.0?:** A series of upgrades to the Ethereum network explained [here](https://ethereum.org/en/eth2/). **Do I have to do anything?:** No. This is an update to the network itself, Ether held in your wallet or on an exchange or anywhere else is still the same after the merge. **What will happen to the price?:** Who knows. **When will it be released?:** At some point in the future. ETH2 is series of features/fixes with separate development work and release dates. ETH made the news on Jul 20, 2021; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
ETH-USDT spot trading (quotes: PLN, AUD, AED, BRL, EUR, TRY, USDT, USDC, BTC). OKX listed ETH on Jan 29, 2021; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
Fluidity Summit brings the worlds of finance and technology together to shape the future of blockchain and capital markets. ETH made the news on May 9, 2019; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
ETH-USDT-SWAP perpetual trading (quotes: USD, USDT). OKX opened perpetual futures for ETH on Dec 21, 2018; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
Source: events from CoinPaprika, DefiLlama and exchange announcements; effects computed by PatternPlus (see methodology) · fetched
Against the venue medianMEASURED
How ETH's events compare with the venue median
as of · event_stats computed by PatternPlusread it →
Venue · kind
ETH median day 30
ETH n
Venue median day 30
Venue n
Up after 30 d (venue)
Position
all venues · all-time high
−12.9%
1
−39.9%
169
5.9%
above
Venue · kind
ETH median day 7
ETH n
Venue median day 7
Venue n
Up after 7 d (venue)
Position
all venues · all-time high
−8.1%
1
−17.6%
—
—
above
Day 7: the venue's event count and up-share are kept for day 30 only (—); its median uses every event measured to day 7.
Venue · kind
ETH median day 1
ETH n
Venue median day 1
Venue n
Up after 1 d (venue)
Position
all venues · all-time high
−8.4%
1
−5.7%
—
—
below
Day 1: the venue's event count and up-share are kept for day 30 only (—); its median uses every event measured to day 1.
Source: PatternPlus, computed from every token in the peer set · fetched
4
The full write-up
every sentence on ETH · questions · sources
ETH in short
Filed under L1 on Ethereum, Ethereum (ETH) has been on the record since Jul 30, 2015; it holds rank #2 by market cap as of Oct 3, 2026 and trades 45.7% below its Aug 24, 2025 high.
As of Oct 3, 2026 the price is $2,685 (+0.7% over 24 hours), market cap $327.79B, fully diluted value $322.77B, holder count not reported, no TVL reported to DefiLlama.
Tags on CoinPaprika as of Oct 3, 2026: Token Issuance, Decentralized Applications, Smart Contracts, Cryptocurrency, Premine, Ethash, Proof Of Stake, Layer 1 (L1), FTX Holdings.
Status on CoinPaprika: active; ETH is the native coin of Ethereum, so there is no token contract.
CoinPaprika tickers and DefiLlama, read Oct 3, 2026.
5 events sit on Ethereum's record as of Oct 3, 2026 (1 spot listings, 1 perpetual listings, 0 unlocks, 0 hacks, 0 rounds); across the 1 with a measured day-30 outcome the median move was −12.9%.
From the latest data refresh
Ethereum (ETH) is an L1 token on Ethereum, rank #2 by market cap as of Oct 3, 2026, 45.7% below its Aug 24, 2025 high.
Across 1 measured events the median day-30 move was −12.9%.
PatternPlus holds 1 daily snapshot for ETH as of Oct 3, 2026; the rank and holder series begin with the next rebuild.
ETH is on 142 spot and 11 perpetual venues on record; the earliest dated listing was OKX (perp) on Dec 21, 2018.
No listing of ETH has a measurable day-30 outcome yet as of Oct 3, 2026.
No emission schedule is published on DefiLlama for ETH as of Oct 3, 2026.
No on-chain power check is on record for ETH as of Oct 3, 2026.
No funding round is recorded by DefiLlama for Ethereum as of Oct 3, 2026.
Ethereum lists 0 audit links on DefiLlama; no hack is recorded as of Oct 3, 2026.
12 people appear on this record (Alex Leverington, Alexandre Van de Sande, Aya Miyaguchi and Iuri Matias);
their other projects sit a median 78.2% below their highs.
No TVL, fees or revenue are reported to DefiLlama for Ethereum as of Oct 3, 2026.
The largest audience count is 3,059,760 twitter followers, read on Oct 3, 2026.
Development: 220 commits in 90 days on ethereum/go-ethereum, last commit Sep 30, 2026.
Generated from this record's own rows at build time; as of Oct 3, 2026.
Across 169 all-time highs across every token on record, the median move is −5.7% on day 1 and −39.9% by day 30; 5.9% were still up after 30 days; ETH's one sits above that median at −12.9%.
ETH sits above the venue median in 1 of 1 venue-and-kind comparisons as of Oct 3, 2026.
event_stats recomputed nightly; as of Oct 3, 2026.
No on-chain power check is available for ETH on Ethereum as of Oct 3, 2026; every row of the panel is shown as unknown until GoPlus or the Jupiter token API answers.
Until then this site cannot say whether the issuer can mint, freeze or upgrade ETH; the check is retried at every rebuild.
5 events since Dec 21, 2018; 1 of the 1 measured were followed by a lower price 30 days later; best ETH all-time high: $4.95k on Aug 24, 2025 (−12.9%), worst ETH all-time high: $4.95k on Aug 24, 2025 (−12.9%).
1000 daily closes from Jan 8, 2024 to Oct 3, 2026 are plotted on a log scale, with the rank from 1 snapshots as a step line.
The all-time high marker sits at $4,946 on Aug 24, 2025, 405 days before Oct 3, 2026.
prices, metrics_daily, events and effects; as of Oct 3, 2026.
ETH is on 142 spot and 11 perpetual venues on record; the earliest was OKX (perp) on Dec 21, 2018 and the latest OKX (spot) on Jan 29, 2021; the first perpetual opened on OKX on Dec 21, 2018, 770 days before the first spot pair.
0 delistings are on record for ETH as of Oct 3, 2026.
936 of the 1087 tracked exchanges have no ETH listing on record as of Oct 3, 2026 (Maker DAO PSM, Pancakeswap V3 (BSC), Aerodrome SlipStream 3, Uniswap V3 (Ethereum), Manifest and Meteora, among others).
exchange_listings from instrument APIs and announcements; as of Oct 3, 2026.
Ethereum trades 45.7% below its all-time high of $4,946, set on Aug 24, 2025, 405 days before Oct 3, 2026; over 30 days it moved 0.0% against 0.0% for BTC (beta 1.39).
Price change as of Oct 3, 2026: −0.2% over 1 hour, +0.7% over 24 hours, 0.0% over 7 days, 0.0% over 30 days, 0.0% over 1 year.
Market cap is 101.6% of fully diluted value ($327.79B of $322.77B), so −1.6% of the valuation sits in supply that does not circulate yet.
24-hour volume of $4.64B is 1.4% of market cap as of Oct 3, 2026.
Circulating supply is 122.1M of 120.2M total (101.6%); no maximum supply is stated.
The L1 median 30-day change is 0.0% across 5 tokens, so ETH sits below its peer set.
CoinPaprika tickers read Oct 3, 2026; BTC comparison from the BTC record.
1 address identify Ethereum on ethereum; as the native coin of Ethereum it has no token contract.
Description as published on CoinPaprika: Ethereum (ETH) is a decentralized platform that enables developers to build and deploy smart contracts and decentralized applications (dApps) using blockchain technology. It facilitates peer-to-peer transactions and applications without a central authority. Source: CoinPaprika.com
No other token on record uses the symbol ETH as of Oct 3, 2026.
Ethereum shares its ticker with ETH (ETH (Carbon)), ETH (ETHEREUM T0KEN), ETH (Ellie The Hund), ETH (Ethereum (Energi)) and ETH (FELICETTE) (ticker collision on CoinPaprika, read Oct 3, 2026).
Identity fields from CoinPaprika as of Oct 3, 2026: started Jul 30, 2015, first market data Aug 7, 2015, proof type Proof of Stake, organisation Semi-centralized, whitepaper https://ethereum.org/en/whitepaper/.
Cross-references as of Oct 3, 2026: CoinPaprika id eth-ethereum, DefiLlama slug ethereum-foundation, GitHub ethereum/go-ethereum.
Audience counts when last read on Oct 3, 2026: 3,059,760 twitter followers and 2,616,197 reddit subscribers.
CoinPaprika /coins, token_contracts, token_aliases; read Oct 3, 2026.
ethereum/go-ethereum, the main repository, shows 220 commits over 90 days, 51,384 stars and 1,283 contributors; the last commit landed on Sep 30, 2026, 3 days before Oct 3, 2026.
The repository was created on Dec 26, 2013, is written mainly in Go and has 22,160 forks and 483 open issues.
Set against 5 L1 tokens on Oct 3, 2026, Ethereum ranks at the 60th percentile for market cap, the 40th for distance from its high and the unranked for share of supply unlocked.
The peer median market cap is $94.01B, the median distance from ATH −45.7% and the median 30-day change 0.0%.
The nearest peers by rank are Bitcoin (#1), XRP (#5), Zcash (#10) and Monero (#14).
Market cap: $327.79B (P60 of 5; peer median $94.01B).
Volume / market cap (24h): 1.42% (P60 of 5; peer median 1.23%).
30-day change: 0.0% (P40 of 5; peer median 0.0%).
Distance from ATH: −45.7% (P40 of 5; peer median −45.7%).
Commits in 90 days: 220 (P20 of 5; peer median 360).
As of Oct 3, 2026: 51% chance ETH is higher tomorrow — a coin flip, typical move +0.1%, likely range −2.3% to +2.3%, from 108 similar past setups.
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
What is the Ethereum price prediction for this week?
As of Oct 3, 2026: 54% chance ETH is lower over the next 7 days — a coin flip, typical move −0.6%, likely range −7.2% to +8.2%, from 104 similar past setups.
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
What is the ETH price prediction for the next 30 days?
As of Oct 3, 2026: 58% chance ETH is lower over the next 30 days, typical move −2.4%, likely range −18.8% to +20.5%, from 102 similar past setups.
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
How accurate are these ETH predictions?
Across 47 backtested 30-day calls on ETH, the call was right 44.7% of the time and the price ended inside the likely range 66.7% of the time.
Of the last 6 30-day calls, 0 of 6 were right.
Each backtest call used only the data available on its own date.
Who is behind Ethereum?
Alex Leverington (Core Developer), Alexandre Van de Sande (UX Design), Aya Miyaguchi (Executive Director) and Iuri Matias (Developer) appear on CoinPaprika's team list for Ethereum as of Oct 3, 2026;
each has a career record on this site.
When is the next ETH unlock?
No future unlock is scheduled on DefiLlama for ETH as of Oct 3, 2026.
Is ETH listed on Binance?
Yes; Binance listed ETH.
How far is ETH from its all-time high?
45.7% below the $4,946 high of Aug 24, 2025, 405 days ago, at $2,685 on Oct 3, 2026.
Has Ethereum been hacked?
No hack is recorded on DefiLlama for Ethereum as of Oct 3, 2026; 0 audit links are listed.
Related records
Related records
as of · chosen deterministically from the joins on this page
10 related token records are linked below, plus 151 exchanges (ATAIX, ApeSwap, Aster DEX, Azbit, BIT.TEAM and BTC Markets), 12 people (Alex Leverington, Alexandre Van de Sande, Aya Miyaguchi and Iuri Matias) as of Oct 3, 2026.
predictions: chance of a higher price, typical move, likely range and our track record
2026-10-03 19:24 UTC
none
—
score
the 0–100 score and its backtest
2026-10-03 19:48 UTC
none
—
setups
setups re-measured on our own prices
2026-10-03 19:24 UTC
none
—
snapshot
daily snapshots and the change log
2026-10-03 19:48 UTC
none
—
upbit_instruments
359 symbols
2026-10-03 19:06 UTC
none
—
Effects are measured as described on the methodology page. Facts are compiled from public sources; nothing on this page is advice. Corrections: hello@pattern.plus.
binance_instruments last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-03T19:06:51+00:00 451 Client Error: for url: https://fapi.binance.com/f), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
bybit_announcements last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-03T19:07:22+00:00 403 Client Error: Forbidden for url: https://api.bybit), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
bybit_instruments last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-03T19:06:53+00:00 403 Client Error: Forbidden for url: https://api.bybit), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
collector_csv last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-03T19:07:26+00:00 trench_births.csv missing), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
This page is generated from 3,567 database rows and rebuilt daily; first published Oct 3, 2026.
PatternPlus compiles facts from public sources and gives no financial advice; corrections by email. As of Oct 3, 2026.
How to read this
Band 1 is the prediction: the chance of a higher price, the typical move and the likely range, with the real past setups behind it drawn as they moved.
Band 2 is why: the drivers, the next catalysts and how our past calls on this coin went.
Band 3 is the data: every table and chart, dated; green means the price was higher afterwards, red lower.
Band 4 is the write-up: the same record in words, with the questions and the sources.
