No pattern has a proven 1-day record on this coin yet — the call above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 43% chance higher tomorrow · this pattern's 1d calls hit 45.0% of 3,043 — no better than a coin flip so far · drawn from the 209 setups matched for the 30-day prediction
next day
−20%−10%0%−5%0%+5%+10%+15% in 30 days↑ 59% below its all-time high
−30dnow+1d
▲ 11 rose · ▼ 13 fell · ◆ 6 sideways(±1.0% over 1 day)
Bold: SOL's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 209 setups matched for the 30-day prediction, and what each did over the next day — real hourly closes, scaled to SOL's volatility. 30 with no hourly path on file yet are drawn through their daily lows, highs and closes.
Bad case$116.15−3%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$119.26−0.4%half did better, half worse
Good case$123.60+3%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−0.4%
Likely range
−3% to +3%$116.15 – $123.60
228 similar setups · our 1-day calls hit 49.7% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
SOL price prediction for this week
50%chance SOL is lower
↔ COIN FLIP
No pattern has a proven 7-day record on this coin yet — the call above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 50% chance higher in 7 days · this pattern's 7d calls hit 57.7% of 11,360 — no better than always guessing the usual direction (59%) so far · drawn from the 209 setups matched for the 30-day prediction
next 7 days
−20%−10%0%−20%−10%0%+10%+20%+15% in 30 days↑ 59% below its all-time high
−30dnow+7d
▲ 11 rose · ▼ 11 fell · ◆ 8 sideways(±3.4% over 7 days)
Bold: SOL's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 209 setups matched for the 30-day prediction, and what each did over the next 7 days — real 4-hour closes, scaled to SOL's volatility. 30 with no 4-hour path on file yet are drawn through their daily lows, highs and closes.
Bad case$107.08−11%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$119.66−0.1%half did better, half worse
Good case$132.90+11%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−0.1%
Likely range
−11% to +11%$107.08 – $132.90
220 similar setups · our 7-day calls hit 58.1% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
SOL price prediction for the next 30 days
62%chance SOL is lower
▼ STRONG DOWN
No pattern has a proven record on this coin yet — the prediction above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 38% chance higher in 30 days · drawn from its 209 matched past setups
next 30 days
−20%−10%0%−40%−20%0%+20%+40%+15% in 30 days↑ 59% below its all-time high
−30dnow+30d
▲ 8 rose · ▼ 13 fell · ◆ 9 sideways(±6.1% over 30 days)
Bold: SOL's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 209 past setups like this, and what each did over the next 30 days — real daily closes, scaled to SOL's volatility.
Bad case$92.31−23%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$114.19−4.7%half did better, half worse
Good case$144.57+21%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−4.7%
Likely range
−23% to +21%$92.31 – $144.57
209 similar setups · our 30-day calls hit 62.1% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
Plan a leveraged trade on SOL
replays the cases behind the 30-day prediction
replays the cases behind the 30-day prediction
Pick a side, when you close and your leverage: we replay that exact trade on the past cases behind this SOL prediction and count how it ended.
Best historical window for SOL in setups like this: short, hold 30 days, 2× — profitable 60.4% of the time, typical +8.0%, liquidated 8.0% of the time (n=209).
Chance this ends in profit—
Typical result—half did better, half worse
Chance you get liquidated first—
Every past case, replayedhover or tap a line to see the case
price went your way —against you —sideways —(within ±5.5% over 30 days)✕liquidated —take profit hit —stop loss hit —typical8 in 10 cases
Replays 409 past cases weighted exactly like the 30-day prediction: the 209 similar cases behind it plus a sample of all history.
Where the odds were best· swipe for longer holds →
cell = chance of profit color = average result, −50% or worse to +50% or better striped = liquidated in more than 1 in 10★ best: highest typical result with at most 1 in 10 liquidated, most cases in profit and an average above zerono take profit or stop loss · tap a cell to load it
The planner and its replay chart run in your browser: turn on JavaScript to replay your own SOL trade on these past cases.
Odds from similar past cases, not financial advice. Leverage multiplies losses too: a liquidated position loses its whole margin.
Where to trade SOL · by share of the last day's volume
SOL$12057% ▼ 1Dbest play▼ Short 1D 15× → +6.0%open calculator
SOL$12050% ▼ 7Dbest play▼ Short 7D 3× → +2.1%open calculator
SOL$12062% ▼ 30Dbest play▼ Short 30D 2× → +8.0%open calculator
2
Why we think this
the reasoning, in short
Drivers
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher a day later 47% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in SOL's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (228 cases) into 43% higher.
Large-cap
Large-cap coin ($70.4B market cap). Coins this size were higher a day later 49% of the time (5,977 cases), vs 47% across all cases.
here 49% · normal 47% higher a day later
54% below its high
54% below its all-time high. Coins that far below their high were higher a day later 46% of the time (23,212 cases), vs 47% across all cases.
here 46% · normal 47% higher a day later
Up 15% over 30 days
Up 15% over the last 30 days. After a month like that, coins were higher a day later 47% of the time (22,250 cases), vs 47% across all cases.
here 47% · normal 47% higher a day later
Normal volume
Trading volume is in its normal range. On normal-volume days, coins were higher a day later 47% of the time (90,212 cases), vs 47% across all cases.
here 47% · normal 47% higher a day later
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher 7 days later 43% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in SOL's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (220 cases) into 50% higher.
Large-cap
Large-cap coin ($70.4B market cap). Coins this size were higher a week later 46% of the time (5,940 cases), vs 43% across all cases.
here 46% · normal 43% higher 7 days later
Bitcoin above its 50-day average
Bitcoin is above its 50-day average. In that situation, coins were higher a week later 42% of the time (46,968 cases), vs 43% across all cases.
here 42% · normal 43% higher 7 days later
54% below its high
54% below its all-time high. Coins that far below their high were higher a week later 42% of the time (23,119 cases), vs 43% across all cases.
here 42% · normal 43% higher 7 days later
Up 15% over 30 days
Up 15% over the last 30 days. After a month like that, coins were higher a week later 44% of the time (21,757 cases), vs 43% across all cases.
here 44% · normal 43% higher 7 days later
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher 30 days later 38% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in SOL's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (209 cases) into 38% higher.
Large-cap
Large-cap coin ($70.4B market cap). Coins this size were higher 30 days later 43% of the time (5,811 cases), vs 38% across all cases.
here 43% · normal 38% higher 30 days later
54% below its high
54% below its all-time high. Coins that far below their high were higher 30 days later 34% of the time (22,845 cases), vs 38% across all cases.
here 34% · normal 38% higher 30 days later
Up 15% over 30 days
Up 15% over the last 30 days. After a month like that, coins were higher 30 days later 34% of the time (20,031 cases), vs 38% across all cases.
here 34% · normal 38% higher 30 days later
Bitcoin above its 50-day average
Bitcoin is above its 50-day average. In that situation, coins were higher 30 days later 39% of the time (44,236 cases), vs 38% across all cases.
here 39% · normal 38% higher 30 days later
Our record on SOL
Our last 6 calls on SOL over 30 days: right on 0 of 5, 1 more was a coin flip · 1 of 6 ended inside our range · all-time on SOL: 57.4% hit rate, 70.8% inside the range (47 backtested calls)
Jul 26 said 64% down · ended +25.8%✗ wrongAug 2 said 53% down · ended +35.8%coin flipAug 9 said 64% down · ended +35.5%✗ wrongAug 16 said 62% down · ended +29.8%✗ wrongAug 23 said 69% down · ended +24.2%✗ wrongAug 30 said 64% down · ended +17.1%✗ wrong
white: SOL's real price after each call · bar: the range we gave (8 in 10 cases, the middle half thicker, a notch at the typical move) · end dot: green right · red wrong · orange the price went sideways (within ±5.5% over 30 days) or a coin flip · backtest: each call used only data available that day · live since Oct 3, 2026: 1 live 30-day prediction on record, first result due Nov 2, 2026 · the full scorecard →
last 6 months · daily close · candle = 2 sessions◆ recorded event · dotted blue line = last price · orange = the price went sideways (within ±1.4% over 2 days)
updated today Updated · 229 data points on this page
Changedno field on this page changed since the previous build
The record in shortON RECORD
The record in short
as of · generated from this record's own rowsread it →
events on record
8
higher 30 days after
0 of 3
typical 30-day move
−11.8%
next up
—
Every eventMEASURED8 events
The record: every event and what followed
as of · CoinPaprika · DefiLlama · exchange announcements · PatternPlus effectsread it →
SOL: 8 events, newest first; six signed numbers per row are the price change from the close before the event, in UTC; vs BTC is the difference of the two 30-day moves
On Dec 26, 2025OKX listed SOL; it rose 3.9% by day 1 and was 1.0% lower 30 days later, 0 points behind BTC; it had moved +0.4% in the 7 days before.
all-time high SOL all-time high: $294.16
—
+39.3%
−7.6%
−8.2%
−35.4%
−26.9%
−46.6%
derived
Highest daily close in our price history. On Jan 19, 2025 SOL set an all-time high; it fell 7.6% by day 1 and was 35.4% lower 30 days later, 27 points behind BTC; it had moved +39.3% in the 7 days before.
On Aug 8, 2024Binance opened perpetual futures for SOL; it rose 8.0% by day 1 and was 11.8% lower 30 days later, 10 points behind BTC; it had moved −15.7% in the 7 days before.
SOL-USDT spot trading (quotes: AUD, AED, BRL, EUR, TRY, USDT, USDC, BTC). OKX listed SOL on Jan 29, 2021; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
SOL-USDT-SWAP perpetual trading (quotes: USD, USDT). OKX opened perpetual futures for SOL on Jan 22, 2021; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
Source: events from CoinPaprika, DefiLlama and exchange announcements; effects computed by PatternPlus (see methodology) · fetched
Against the venue medianMEASURED
How SOL's events compare with the venue median
as of · event_stats computed by PatternPlusread it →
Venue · kind
SOL median day 30
SOL n
Venue median day 30
Venue n
Up after 30 d (venue)
Position
OKX · spot listing
−1.0%
1
−22.3%
83
27.7%
above
all venues · all-time high
−35.4%
1
−39.9%
169
5.9%
above
Binance · perpetual listing
−11.8%
1
−31.6%
9
22.2%
above
Venue · kind
SOL median day 7
SOL n
Venue median day 7
Venue n
Up after 7 d (venue)
Position
OKX · spot listing
+10.2%
1
−11.4%
—
—
above
all venues · all-time high
−8.2%
1
−17.6%
—
—
above
Binance · perpetual listing
−1.5%
1
−1.5%
—
—
below
Day 7: the venue's event count and up-share are kept for day 30 only (—); its median uses every event measured to day 7.
Venue · kind
SOL median day 1
SOL n
Venue median day 1
Venue n
Up after 1 d (venue)
Position
OKX · spot listing
+3.9%
1
−3.0%
—
—
above
all venues · all-time high
−7.6%
1
−5.7%
—
—
below
Binance · perpetual listing
+8.0%
1
−0.1%
—
—
above
Day 1: the venue's event count and up-share are kept for day 30 only (—); its median uses every event measured to day 1.
Source: PatternPlus, computed from every token in the peer set · fetched
4
The full write-up
every sentence on SOL · questions · sources
SOL in short
Solana (SOL) is a crypto token on Solana, on the record since Apr 10, 2020; rank #7 by market cap as of Oct 3, 2026, 59.2% below its Jan 19, 2025 high.
As of Oct 3, 2026 the price is $119.9 (+1.7% over 24 hours), market cap $70.52B, fully diluted value $75.62B, holder count not reported, $253.12 TVL.
This page is about Solana on Solana; 1 other token on record use the symbol SOL: Binance-Peg SOL (chain not recorded).
Status on CoinPaprika: active; SOL is the native coin of Solana, so there is no token contract.
CoinPaprika tickers and DefiLlama, read Oct 3, 2026.
As of Oct 3, 2026 the record for Solana runs to 8 events, of which 5 are spot listings, 2 perpetual listings, 0 unlocks, 0 hacks and 0 funding rounds; 3 carry a day-30 measurement with a median of −11.8%.
From the latest data refresh
Solana (SOL), crypto on Solana, holds rank #7 by market cap on Oct 3, 2026 and trades 59.2% under its Jan 19, 2025 high.
Its 2 measured listings show a median day-30 move of −6.4%, 2 of them above the venue median.
PatternPlus holds 1 daily snapshot for SOL as of Oct 3, 2026; the rank and holder series begin with the next rebuild.
SOL is on 82 spot and 8 perpetual venues on record; the earliest dated listing was OKX (perp) on Jan 22, 2021.
2 of its listings have a measured day-30 outcome (median −6.4%); 2 finished above the venue's own listing median and 0 below.
No emission schedule is published on DefiLlama for SOL as of Oct 3, 2026.
No on-chain power check is on record for SOL as of Oct 3, 2026.
No funding round is recorded by DefiLlama for Solana as of Oct 3, 2026.
Solana lists 1 audit link on DefiLlama; no hack is recorded as of Oct 3, 2026.
No team member is recorded on CoinPaprika for Solana as of Oct 3, 2026.
DefiLlama reports $253.12 TVL and not reported revenue over 30 days as of Oct 3, 2026.
The largest audience count is 2,219,988 twitter followers, read on Oct 3, 2026.
Generated from this record's own rows at build time; as of Oct 3, 2026.
Across 83 spot listings on OKX, the median move is −3.0% on day 1 and −22.3% by day 30; 27.7% were still up after 30 days; SOL's one sits above that median at −1.0%.
Across 169 all-time highs across every token on record, the median move is −5.7% on day 1 and −39.9% by day 30;
5.9% were still up after 30 days;
SOL's one sits above that median at −35.4%.
Across 9 perpetual listings on Binance, the median move is −0.1% on day 1 and −31.6% by day 30;
22.2% were still up after 30 days;
SOL's one sits above that median at −11.8%.
SOL sits above the venue median in 3 of 3 venue-and-kind comparisons as of Oct 3, 2026.
event_stats recomputed nightly; as of Oct 3, 2026.
No on-chain power check is available for SOL on Solana as of Oct 3, 2026; every row of the panel is shown as unknown until GoPlus or the Jupiter token API answers.
Until then this site cannot say whether the issuer can mint, freeze or upgrade SOL; the check is retried at every rebuild.
8 events since Jan 22, 2021; 3 of the 3 measured were followed by a lower price 30 days later; best OKX will launch SOL/BTC and ETH/BTC for spot trading on Dec 26, 2025 (−1.0%), worst SOL all-time high: $294.16 on Jan 19, 2025 (−35.4%).
1000 daily closes from Jan 8, 2024 to Oct 3, 2026 are plotted on a log scale, with the rank from 1 snapshots as a step line.
The all-time high marker sits at $294.16 on Jan 19, 2025, 622 days before Oct 3, 2026.
prices, metrics_daily, events and effects; as of Oct 3, 2026.
As of Oct 3, 2026 SOL trades on 82 spot venues and 8 perpetual venues with dated listings, from OKX on Jan 22, 2021 to OKX on Jan 29, 2021; the first perpetual opened on OKX on Jan 22, 2021, 7 days before the first spot pair.
0 delistings are on record for SOL as of Oct 3, 2026.
998 of the 1087 tracked exchanges have no SOL listing on record as of Oct 3, 2026 (Ourbit, Maker DAO PSM, Indoex, Pancakeswap V3 (BSC), Uniswap V4 (Ethereum) and Aerodrome SlipStream 3, among others).
exchange_listings from instrument APIs and announcements; as of Oct 3, 2026.
The all-time high on record for Solana is $294.16 on Jan 19, 2025, 622 days ago as of Oct 3, 2026; the price is 59.2% below it; over 30 days it moved 0.0% against 0.0% for BTC (beta 1.47).
Price change as of Oct 3, 2026: −0.1% over 1 hour, +1.7% over 24 hours, −1.0% over 7 days, 0.0% over 30 days, 0.0% over 1 year.
Market cap is 93.2% of fully diluted value ($70.52B of $75.62B), so 6.8% of the valuation sits in supply that does not circulate yet.
24-hour volume of $1.22B is 1.7% of market cap as of Oct 3, 2026.
Circulating supply is 588.1M of 630.7M total (93.2%); no maximum supply is stated.
The all tokens on record median 30-day change is 0.0% across 1500 tokens, so SOL sits below its peer set.
CoinPaprika tickers read Oct 3, 2026; BTC comparison from the BTC record.
1 address identify Solana on solana; as the native coin of Solana it has no token contract.
Description as published on CoinPaprika: Solana (SOL) is a high-performance blockchain platform designed for decentralized applications and crypto projects, featuring fast transaction speeds and low costs. It aims to provide scalable solutions for developers while maintaining high security and decentralization. Source: CoinPaprika.com
1 other record use the symbol SOL: Binance-Peg SOL (chain not recorded); this page is the Solana token.
Solana shares its ticker with SOL (Base Bridged SOL (Base)), SOL (Binance-Peg SOL), SOL (SOL (Wormhole)), SOL (Wrapped SOL (Wormhole)) and SOL (Wrapped Solana) (ticker collision on CoinPaprika, read Oct 3, 2026).
Identity fields from CoinPaprika as of Oct 3, 2026: started Apr 10, 2020, first market data Aug 26, 2020, proof type Delegated Proof of Stake, organisation Centralized > Hierarchical, whitepaper https://static.coinpaprika.com/storage/cdn/whitepapers/10608577.pdf.
Cross-references as of Oct 3, 2026: CoinPaprika id sol-solana, DefiLlama slug solana-farm, GitHub solana-labs.
When the links were last read on Oct 3, 2026 the counts were 2,219,988 twitter followers, 170,050 reddit subscribers and 3,178 telegram members.
CoinPaprika /coins, token_contracts, token_aliases; read Oct 3, 2026.
Set against 1500 all tokens on record tokens on Oct 3, 2026, Solana ranks at the highest (P100) percentile for market cap, the 83rd for distance from its high and the unranked for share of supply unlocked.
The peer median market cap is $14M, the median distance from ATH −94.8% and the median 30-day change 0.0%.
The nearest peers by rank are USDC (#6), TRON (#8), XRP (#5), Lido Staked Ether (#9) and BNB (#4).
Market cap: $70.52B (P100 of 1500; peer median $14M).
Volume / market cap (24h): 1.73% (P43 of 1500; peer median 2.46%).
30-day change: 0.0% (P50 of 1500; peer median 0.0%).
Distance from ATH: −59.2% (P83 of 1500; peer median −94.8%).
Exchanges: 89 (P43 of 14; peer median 95.5).
TVL: $253.12 (P6 of 417; peer median $4.4M).
peer set: all tokens on record (1500 tokens); as of Oct 3, 2026.
As of Oct 3, 2026: 57% chance SOL is lower tomorrow, typical move −0.4%, likely range −3.0% to +3.2%, from 228 similar past setups.
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
What is the Solana price prediction for this week?
As of Oct 3, 2026: 50% chance SOL is lower over the next 7 days — a coin flip, typical move −0.1%, likely range −10.6% to +11.0%, from 220 similar past setups.
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
What is the SOL price prediction for the next 30 days?
As of Oct 3, 2026: 62% chance SOL is lower over the next 30 days, typical move −4.7%, likely range −22.9% to +20.7%, from 209 similar past setups.
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
How accurate are these SOL predictions?
Across 47 backtested 30-day calls on SOL, the call was right 57.4% of the time and the price ended inside the likely range 70.8% of the time.
Of the last 6 30-day calls, 0 of 5 were right.
Each backtest call used only the data available on its own date.
Who is behind Solana?
No team member is recorded on CoinPaprika for Solana as of Oct 3, 2026; the organisation is described as Centralized > Hierarchical.
When is the next SOL unlock?
No future unlock is scheduled on DefiLlama for SOL as of Oct 3, 2026.
Is SOL listed on Binance?
Yes; Binance listed SOL.
How far is SOL from its all-time high?
59.2% below the $294.16 high of Jan 19, 2025, 622 days ago, at $119.9 on Oct 3, 2026.
Has Solana been hacked?
No hack is recorded on DefiLlama for Solana as of Oct 3, 2026; 1 audit link is listed.
What happened when OKX listed SOL?
On Dec 26, 2025 SOL rose 3.9% by day 1 and was 1.0% lower 30 days later, level with BTC.
Related records
Related records
as of · chosen deterministically from the joins on this page
10 related token records are linked below, plus 89 exchanges (Azbit, BTCTurk, BTSE, BYDFi (Spot), Batonex and Batonex Derivative Exchange) as of Oct 3, 2026.
predictions: chance of a higher price, typical move, likely range and our track record
2026-10-03 19:24 UTC
none
—
score
the 0–100 score and its backtest
2026-10-03 19:48 UTC
none
—
setups
setups re-measured on our own prices
2026-10-03 19:24 UTC
none
—
snapshot
daily snapshots and the change log
2026-10-03 19:48 UTC
none
—
upbit_instruments
359 symbols
2026-10-03 19:06 UTC
none
—
Effects are measured as described on the methodology page. Facts are compiled from public sources; nothing on this page is advice. Corrections: hello@pattern.plus.
binance_instruments last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-03T19:06:51+00:00 451 Client Error: for url: https://fapi.binance.com/f), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
bybit_announcements last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-03T19:07:22+00:00 403 Client Error: Forbidden for url: https://api.bybit), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
bybit_instruments last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-03T19:06:53+00:00 403 Client Error: Forbidden for url: https://api.bybit), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
collector_csv last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-03T19:07:26+00:00 trench_births.csv missing), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
This page is generated from 6,755 database rows and rebuilt daily; first published Oct 3, 2026.
PatternPlus compiles facts from public sources and gives no financial advice; corrections by email. As of Oct 3, 2026.
How to read this
Band 1 is the prediction: the chance of a higher price, the typical move and the likely range, with the real past setups behind it drawn as they moved.
Band 2 is why: the drivers, the next catalysts and how our past calls on this coin went.
Band 3 is the data: every table and chart, dated; green means the price was higher afterwards, red lower.
Band 4 is the write-up: the same record in words, with the questions and the sources.
