No pattern has a proven 1-day record on this coin yet — the call above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 48% chance higher tomorrow · this pattern's 1d calls hit 45.0% of 3,043 — no better than a coin flip so far · drawn from the 593 setups matched for the 30-day prediction
?next day
−40%−30%−20%−10%0%−10%−5%0%+5%+10%+15%+34% in 30 days↑ 73% below its all-time high
−30dnow+1d
▲ 17 rose · ▼ 9 fell · ◆ 4 sideways(±1.4% over 1 day)
Bold: AAVE's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 593 setups matched for the 30-day prediction, and what each did over the next day — real hourly closes, scaled to AAVE's volatility. 30 with no hourly path on file yet are drawn through their daily lows, highs and closes.
Bad case$168.93−5%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$178.24−0.1%half did better, half worse
Good case$188.24+5%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−0.1%
Likely range
−5% to +5%$168.93 – $188.24
616 similar setups · our 1-day calls hit 49.7% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
AAVE price prediction for this week
54%chance AAVE is lower
↔ COIN FLIP
No pattern has a proven 7-day record on this coin yet — the call above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 46% chance higher in 7 days · this pattern's 7d calls hit 57.7% of 11,360 — no better than always guessing the usual direction (59%) so far · drawn from the 593 setups matched for the 30-day prediction
?next 7 days
−40%−30%−20%−10%0%−20%0%+20%+40%+34% in 30 days↑ 73% below its all-time high
−30dnow+7d
▲ 13 rose · ▼ 12 fell · ◆ 5 sideways(±5.6% over 7 days)
Bold: AAVE's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 593 setups matched for the 30-day prediction, and what each did over the next 7 days — real 4-hour closes, scaled to AAVE's volatility. 30 with no 4-hour path on file yet are drawn through their daily lows, highs and closes.
Bad case$152.28−15%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$175.36−1.8%half did better, half worse
Good case$216.96+22%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−1.8%
Likely range
−15% to +22%$152.28 – $216.96
613 similar setups · our 7-day calls hit 58.1% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
AAVE price prediction for the next 30 days
66%chance AAVE is lower
▼ STRONG DOWN
No pattern has a proven record on this coin yet — the prediction above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 34% chance higher in 30 days · drawn from its 593 matched past setups
?next 30 days
−40%−30%−20%−10%0%−50%−25%0%+25%+50%+75%+34% in 30 days↑ 73% below its all-time high
−30dnow+30d
▲ 5 rose · ▼ 21 fell · ◆ 4 sideways(±6.9% over 30 days)
Bold: AAVE's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 593 past setups like this, and what each did over the next 30 days — real daily closes, scaled to AAVE's volatility.
Bad case$129.34−28%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$163.91−8.2%half did better, half worse
Good case$227.96+28%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−8.2%
Likely range
−28% to +28%$129.34 – $227.96
593 similar setups · our 30-day calls hit 62.1% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
Plan a leveraged trade on AAVE
replays the cases behind the 30-day prediction
replays the cases behind the 30-day prediction
Pick a side, when you close and your leverage: we replay that exact trade on the past cases behind this AAVE prediction and count how it ended.
Best historical window for AAVE in setups like this: short, hold 30 days, 1× — profitable 66.5% of the time, typical +8.1% (n=593).
Chance this ends in profit—
Typical result—half did better, half worse
Chance you get liquidated first—
Every past case, replayedhover or tap a line to see the case
price went your way —against you —sideways —(within ±5.5% over 30 days)✕liquidated —take profit hit —stop loss hit —typical8 in 10 cases
Replays 398 past cases weighted exactly like the 30-day prediction: the 593 similar cases behind it plus a sample of all history.
Where the odds were best· swipe for longer holds →
cell = chance of profit color = average result, −50% or worse to +50% or better striped = liquidated in more than 1 in 10★ best: highest typical result with at most 1 in 10 liquidated, most cases in profit and an average above zerono take profit or stop loss · tap a cell to load it
The planner and its replay chart run in your browser: turn on JavaScript to replay your own AAVE trade on these past cases.
Odds from similar past cases, not financial advice. Leverage multiplies losses too: a liquidated position loses its whole margin.
Where to trade AAVE · by share of the last day's volume
AAVE$17952% ▼ 1Dbest playno play cleared the bar at 1Dopen calculator
AAVE$17954% ▼ 7Dbest playno play cleared the bar at 7Dopen calculator
AAVE$17966% ▼ 30Dbest play▼ Short 30D 1× → +8.1%open calculator
2
Why we think this
the reasoning, in short
Drivers
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher a day later 47% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in AAVE's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (616 cases) into 48% higher.
Up 15% over 7 days
Up 15% this week. After a week like that, coins were higher a day later 45% of the time (21,552 cases), vs 47% across all cases.
here 45% · normal 47% higher a day later
53% below its high
53% below its all-time high. Coins that far below their high were higher a day later 46% of the time (23,212 cases), vs 47% across all cases.
here 46% · normal 47% higher a day later
Mid-cap
Mid-cap coin ($2.8B market cap). Coins this size were higher a day later 47% of the time (17,959 cases), vs 47% across all cases.
here 47% · normal 47% higher a day later
Up 34% over 30 days
Up 34% over the last 30 days. After a month like that, coins were higher a day later 47% of the time (22,250 cases), vs 47% across all cases.
here 47% · normal 47% higher a day later
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher 7 days later 43% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in AAVE's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (613 cases) into 46% higher.
Up 15% over 7 days
Up 15% this week. After a week like that, coins were higher a week later 41% of the time (21,381 cases), vs 43% across all cases.
here 41% · normal 43% higher 7 days later
Bitcoin above its 50-day average
Bitcoin is above its 50-day average. In that situation, coins were higher a week later 42% of the time (46,968 cases), vs 43% across all cases.
here 42% · normal 43% higher 7 days later
53% below its high
53% below its all-time high. Coins that far below their high were higher a week later 42% of the time (23,119 cases), vs 43% across all cases.
here 42% · normal 43% higher 7 days later
Mid-cap
Mid-cap coin ($2.8B market cap). Coins this size were higher a week later 43% of the time (17,859 cases), vs 43% across all cases.
here 43% · normal 43% higher 7 days later
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher 30 days later 38% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in AAVE's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (593 cases) into 34% higher.
53% below its high
53% below its all-time high. Coins that far below their high were higher 30 days later 34% of the time (22,845 cases), vs 38% across all cases.
here 34% · normal 38% higher 30 days later
Up 34% over 30 days
Up 34% over the last 30 days. After a month like that, coins were higher 30 days later 34% of the time (20,031 cases), vs 38% across all cases.
here 34% · normal 38% higher 30 days later
Mid-cap
Mid-cap coin ($2.8B market cap). Coins this size were higher 30 days later 36% of the time (17,485 cases), vs 38% across all cases.
here 36% · normal 38% higher 30 days later
Bitcoin above its 50-day average
Bitcoin is above its 50-day average. In that situation, coins were higher 30 days later 39% of the time (44,236 cases), vs 38% across all cases.
here 39% · normal 38% higher 30 days later
Our record on AAVE
Our last 6 calls on AAVE over 30 days: right on 0 of 6 · 1 of 6 ended inside our range · all-time on AAVE: 66.7% hit rate, 77.1% inside the range (48 backtested calls)
Jul 26 said 59% down · ended +24.8%✗ wrongAug 2 said 66% down · ended +38.8%✗ wrongAug 9 said 58% down · ended +42.1%✗ wrongAug 16 said 60% down · ended +42.1%✗ wrongAug 23 said 65% down · ended +4.6%✗ wrongAug 30 said 67% down · ended +35.0%✗ wrong
white: AAVE's real price after each call · bar: the range we gave (8 in 10 cases, the middle half thicker, a notch at the typical move) · end dot: green right · red wrong · orange the price went sideways (within ±5.5% over 30 days) or a coin flip · backtest: each call used only data available that day · live since Oct 3, 2026: 1 live 30-day prediction on record, first result due Nov 2, 2026 · the full scorecard →
active —
NoneRank #47on record since 2020-10-13$918K lost to hacks
$179
24H−0.8%
30D0.0%
1Y0.0%
FROM ATH−73.1%
last 6 months · daily close · candle = 2 sessions◆ recorded event · dotted blue line = last price · orange = the price went sideways (within ±1.4% over 2 days)
updated today Updated · 52 data points on this page
Changedno field on this page changed since the previous build
The record in shortON RECORD
The record in short
as of · generated from this record's own rowsread it →
events on record
8
higher 30 days after
1 of 3
typical 30-day move
−14.3%
next up
—
Every eventMEASURED8 events
The record: every event and what followed
as of · CoinPaprika · DefiLlama · exchange announcements · PatternPlus effectsread it →
AAVE: 8 events, newest first; six signed numbers per row are the price change from the close before the event, in UTC; vs BTC is the difference of the two 30-day moves
Date
Event
Venue
7d before
Next day
7 days
30 days
vs BTC
90 days
Source
2026
hallmark KelpDAO hack
—
+22.7%
−21.4%
−18.0%
−22.1%
−22.0%
−21.7%
defillama
On Apr 18, 2026AAVE saw a hallmark; it fell 21.4% by day 1 and was 22.1% lower 30 days later, 22 points behind BTC; it had moved +22.7% in the 7 days before.
hack Aave V3 exploited for $862k
—
−4.8%
+1.8%
+1.2%
−14.3%
−18.4%
−44.4%
defillama
Oracle Misconfiguration On Mar 12, 2026AAVE was hacked; it rose 1.8% by day 1 and was 14.3% lower 30 days later, 18 points behind BTC; it had moved −4.8% in the 7 days before.
2024
hack Aave exploited for $56k
—
−6.9%
+2.8%
+12.7%
+42.0%
+31.3%
+51.4%
defillama
Arbitrary External Call On Aug 28, 2024AAVE was hacked; it rose 2.8% by day 1 and was 42.0% higher 30 days later, 31 points ahead of BTC; it had moved −6.9% in the 7 days before.
2022
hallmark Start OP Rewards
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
defillama
AAVE saw a hallmark on Aug 4, 2022; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
hallmark Start AVAX Rewards
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
defillama
AAVE saw a hallmark on Apr 20, 2022; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
2021
all-time high AAVE all-time high: $666.03
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
derived
Highest daily close in our price history. AAVE set an all-time high on May 18, 2021; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
AAVE-USDT spot trading (quotes: EUR, TRY, USDT, USDC). OKX listed AAVE on Jan 29, 2021; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
AAVE-USDT-SWAP perpetual trading. OKX opened perpetual futures for AAVE on Dec 10, 2020; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
Source: events from CoinPaprika, DefiLlama and exchange announcements; effects computed by PatternPlus (see methodology) · fetched
Against the venue medianMEASURED
How AAVE's events compare with the venue median
as of · event_stats computed by PatternPlusread it →
Venue · kind
AAVE median day 30
AAVE n
Venue median day 30
Venue n
Up after 30 d (venue)
Position
all venues · hallmark
−22.1%
1
−20.0%
12
25.0%
below
all venues · hack
+13.9%
2
−5.4%
42
40.5%
above
Venue · kind
AAVE median day 7
AAVE n
Venue median day 7
Venue n
Up after 7 d (venue)
Position
all venues · hallmark
−18.0%
1
−10.2%
—
—
below
all venues · hack
+7.0%
2
−7.1%
—
—
above
Day 7: the venue's event count and up-share are kept for day 30 only (—); its median uses every event measured to day 7.
Venue · kind
AAVE median day 1
AAVE n
Venue median day 1
Venue n
Up after 1 d (venue)
Position
all venues · hallmark
−21.4%
1
−6.9%
—
—
below
all venues · hack
+2.3%
2
−5.1%
—
—
above
Day 1: the venue's event count and up-share are kept for day 30 only (—); its median uses every event measured to day 1.
Source: PatternPlus, computed from every token in the peer set · fetched
4
The full write-up
every sentence on AAVE · questions · sources
AAVE in short
Filed under crypto on its own chain, Aave (AAVE) has been with no start date recorded; it holds rank #47 by market cap as of Oct 3, 2026 and trades 73.1% below its May 18, 2021 high.
As of Oct 3, 2026 the price is $178.93 (−0.8% over 24 hours), market cap $2.76B, fully diluted value $2.86B, holder count not reported, $18.18B TVL.
Status on CoinPaprika: active; AAVE is the native coin of its own chain, so there is no token contract.
CoinPaprika tickers and DefiLlama, read Oct 3, 2026.
This site has 8 past events for Aave: 1 exchange listings, 1 futures listings, 0 unlocks, 2 hacks and 0 funding rounds; the median 30-day move after the 3 measured events was −14.3%.
From the latest data refresh
Aave (AAVE) is a crypto token on its own chain, rank #47 by market cap as of Oct 3, 2026, 73.1% below its May 18, 2021 high.
The record's largest loss is a $862,000 hack on Mar 12, 2026 (oracle manipulation).
PatternPlus holds 1 daily snapshot for AAVE as of Oct 3, 2026; the rank and holder series begin with the next rebuild.
4 spot pairs and 1 perpetual instruments are live for AAVE as of Oct 3, 2026, starting with OKX on Dec 10, 2020.
No listing of AAVE has a measurable day-30 outcome yet as of Oct 3, 2026.
No emission schedule is published on DefiLlama for AAVE as of Oct 3, 2026.
No on-chain power check is on record for AAVE as of Oct 3, 2026.
No funding round is recorded by DefiLlama for Aave as of Oct 3, 2026.
Aave lists 1 audit link on DefiLlama; 2 hacks totalling $918,000 are recorded.
No team member is recorded on CoinPaprika for Aave as of Oct 3, 2026.
DefiLlama reports $18.18B TVL and $4.6M revenue over 30 days as of Oct 3, 2026;
revenue to market cap of 0.020 sits at the 64th percentile of 1500 all tokens on record tokens.
Generated from this record's own rows at build time; as of Oct 3, 2026.
Across 12 hallmarks across every token on record, the median move is −6.9% on day 1 and −20.0% by day 30; 25.0% were still up after 30 days; AAVE's one sits below that median at −22.1%.
Across 42 hacks across every token on record, the median move is −5.1% on day 1 and −5.4% by day 30;
40.5% were still up after 30 days;
AAVE's 2 sit above that median at +13.9%.
AAVE sits above the venue median in 1 of 2 venue-and-kind comparisons as of Oct 3, 2026.
event_stats recomputed nightly; as of Oct 3, 2026.
No on-chain power check is available for AAVE on its own chain as of Oct 3, 2026; every row of the panel is shown as unknown until GoPlus or the Jupiter token API answers.
Until then this site cannot say whether the issuer can mint, freeze or upgrade AAVE; the check is retried at every rebuild.
8 events since Dec 10, 2020; 2 of the 3 measured were followed by a lower price 30 days later; best Aave exploited for $56k on Aug 28, 2024 (+42.0%), worst KelpDAO hack on Apr 18, 2026 (−22.1%).
1000 daily closes from Jan 8, 2024 to Oct 3, 2026 are plotted on a log scale, with the rank from 1 snapshots as a step line.
The all-time high marker sits at $666.03 on May 18, 2021, 1,964 days before Oct 3, 2026.
prices, metrics_daily, events and effects; as of Oct 3, 2026.
AAVE is on 4 spot and 1 perpetual venues on record; the earliest was OKX (perp) on Dec 10, 2020 and the latest OKX (spot) on Jan 29, 2021; the first perpetual opened on OKX on Dec 10, 2020, 50 days before the first spot pair.
0 delistings are on record for AAVE as of Oct 3, 2026.
1083 of the 1087 tracked exchanges have no AAVE listing on record as of Oct 3, 2026 (Bitget, Azbit, Pionex, WEEX, Lbank and Gate, among others).
exchange_listings from instrument APIs and announcements; as of Oct 3, 2026.
Aave trades 73.1% below its all-time high of $666.03, set on May 18, 2021, 1,964 days before Oct 3, 2026; over 30 days it moved 0.0% against 0.0% for BTC (beta 1.54).
Price change as of Oct 3, 2026: 0.0% over 1 hour, −0.8% over 24 hours, +15.7% over 7 days, 0.0% over 30 days, 0.0% over 1 year.
With $2.76B market cap against $2.86B fully diluted, 3.6% of AAVE's valuation is in non-circulating supply as of Oct 3, 2026.
24-hour volume of $286.9M is 10.4% of market cap as of Oct 3, 2026.
Circulating supply is 15.4M of 16M total (96.4%) and a maximum of 16M.
The all tokens on record median 30-day change is 0.0% across 1500 tokens, so AAVE sits below its peer set.
CoinPaprika tickers read Oct 3, 2026; BTC comparison from the BTC record.
No contract or mint address is recorded for Aave as of Oct 3, 2026.
No other token on record uses the symbol AAVE as of Oct 3, 2026.
Aave shares its ticker with AAVE (Heco-Peg AAVE Token ) (ticker collision on CoinPaprika, read Oct 3, 2026).
Identity fields from CoinPaprika as of Oct 3, 2026: start date not recorded, first market data Oct 13, 2020, proof type not stated, organisation structure not stated, no whitepaper link.
Cross-references as of Oct 3, 2026: CoinPaprika id aave-new, DefiLlama slug aave, no GitHub repository recorded.
No follower or star counts were read for Aave as of Oct 3, 2026.
CoinPaprika /coins, token_contracts, token_aliases; read Oct 3, 2026.
Aave reported $36.2M in fees and $4.6M in revenue over 30 days to DefiLlama on $18.18B TVL as of Oct 3, 2026; its revenue-to-market-cap ratio of 0.020 is at the 64th percentile of 1500 all tokens on record tokens.
Annualised revenue of $55.7M gives a price-to-sales multiple of 49.5x at the $2.76B market cap of Oct 3, 2026.
TVL moved +604473779233.3% between Mar 14, 2022 and Oct 3, 2026 (316 daily points).
Ethereum carries 84.2% of TVL across 21 chains (Ethereum $15.34B, Base $560.7M, Arbitrum $524.7M, Plasma $430.3M and Avalanche $352.1M).
DefiLlama records no parent protocol for Aave (not a fork).
No oracle is listed for Aave on DefiLlama.
DefiLlama lists Aave under 'Lending' since Apr 1, 2022 (slug aave).
DefiLlama protocol, fees and TVL endpoints; as of Oct 3, 2026.
Among 1500 all tokens on record tokens, Aave is at the 97th percentile by market cap, 79th by distance from ATH and unranked by share unlocked as of Oct 3, 2026.
The peer median market cap is $14M, the median distance from ATH −94.8% and the median 30-day change 0.0%.
The nearest peers by rank are BitTensor (#46), OKB (#48), PayPal USD (#45), Ethena (#49) and Pump.fun (#44).
Market cap: $2.76B (P97 of 1500; peer median $14M).
Volume / market cap (24h): 10.40% (P79 of 1500; peer median 2.46%).
30-day change: 0.0% (P50 of 1500; peer median 0.0%).
Distance from ATH: −73.1% (P79 of 1500; peer median −94.8%).
Revenue / market cap (30d): 0.020 (P64 of 258; peer median 0.006).
TVL: $18.18B (P99 of 417; peer median $4.4M).
peer set: all tokens on record (1500 tokens); as of Oct 3, 2026.
As of Oct 3, 2026: 52% chance AAVE is lower tomorrow — a coin flip, typical move −0.1%, likely range −5.4% to +5.5%, from 616 similar past setups.
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
What is the Aave price prediction for this week?
As of Oct 3, 2026: 54% chance AAVE is lower over the next 7 days — a coin flip, typical move −1.8%, likely range −14.7% to +21.6%, from 613 similar past setups.
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
What is the AAVE price prediction for the next 30 days?
As of Oct 3, 2026: 66% chance AAVE is lower over the next 30 days, typical move −8.2%, likely range −27.5% to +27.7%, from 593 similar past setups.
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
How accurate are these AAVE predictions?
Across 48 backtested 30-day calls on AAVE, the call was right 66.7% of the time and the price ended inside the likely range 77.1% of the time.
Of the last 6 30-day calls, 0 of 6 were right.
Each backtest call used only the data available on its own date.
Who is behind Aave?
No team member is recorded on CoinPaprika for Aave as of Oct 3, 2026; the organisation is described as not stated.
When is the next AAVE unlock?
No future unlock is scheduled on DefiLlama for AAVE as of Oct 3, 2026.
Is AAVE listed on Binance?
Yes; Binance listed AAVE.
How far is AAVE from its all-time high?
73.1% below the $666.03 high of May 18, 2021, 1,964 days ago, at $178.93 on Oct 3, 2026.
Has Aave been hacked?
Yes; 2 hacks are recorded, the latest on Mar 12, 2026 for $862,000 (oracle manipulation).
Related records
Related records
as of · chosen deterministically from the joins on this page
10 related token records are linked below, plus 4 exchanges (Binance, Coinbase, OKX and Upbit) as of Oct 3, 2026.
predictions: chance of a higher price, typical move, likely range and our track record
2026-10-03 19:24 UTC
none
—
score
the 0–100 score and its backtest
2026-10-03 19:48 UTC
none
—
setups
setups re-measured on our own prices
2026-10-03 19:24 UTC
none
—
snapshot
daily snapshots and the change log
2026-10-03 19:48 UTC
none
—
upbit_instruments
359 symbols
2026-10-03 19:06 UTC
none
—
Effects are measured as described on the methodology page. Facts are compiled from public sources; nothing on this page is advice. Corrections: hello@pattern.plus.
binance_instruments last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-03T19:06:51+00:00 451 Client Error: for url: https://fapi.binance.com/f), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
bybit_announcements last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-03T19:07:22+00:00 403 Client Error: Forbidden for url: https://api.bybit), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
bybit_instruments last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-03T19:06:53+00:00 403 Client Error: Forbidden for url: https://api.bybit), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
collector_csv last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-03T19:07:26+00:00 trench_births.csv missing), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
This page is generated from 6,489 database rows and rebuilt daily; first published Oct 3, 2026.
PatternPlus compiles facts from public sources and gives no financial advice; corrections by email. As of Oct 3, 2026.
How to read this
Band 1 is the prediction: the chance of a higher price, the typical move and the likely range, with the real past setups behind it drawn as they moved.
Band 2 is why: the drivers, the next catalysts and how our past calls on this coin went.
Band 3 is the data: every table and chart, dated; green means the price was higher afterwards, red lower.
Band 4 is the write-up: the same record in words, with the questions and the sources.
