Market cap $261.84M · small-cap: thinner trading, bigger swings
No pattern has a proven 1-day record on this coin yet — the call above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 50% chance higher tomorrow · this pattern's 1d calls hit 52.0% of 7,699 — its chances have not beaten the simple all-coin up-rate so far · drawn from the 6289 setups matched for the 30-day prediction
next day
−40%−30%−20%−10%0%−15%−10%−5%0%+5%+10%+56% in 30 days↑ 96% below its all-time high
−30dnow+1d
▲ 12 rose · ▼ 12 fell · ◆ 6 sideways(±1.3% over 1 day)
Bold: RUNE's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 6289 setups matched for the 30-day prediction, and what each did over the next day — real hourly closes, scaled to RUNE's volatility. 27 with no hourly path on file yet are drawn through their daily lows, highs and closes.
Bad case$0.726−5%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$0.7660%half did better, half worse
Good case$0.812+6%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
+0.0%
Likely range
−5% to +6%$0.726 – $0.812
6,760 similar setups · our 1-day calls hit 52.2% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
RUNE price prediction for this week
51%chance RUNE is lower
↔ COIN FLIP
Market cap $261.84M · small-cap: thinner trading, bigger swings
No pattern has a proven 7-day record on this coin yet — the call above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 49% chance higher in 7 days · this pattern's 7d calls hit 59.2% of 26,678 — no better than always guessing the usual direction (60%) so far · drawn from the 6289 setups matched for the 30-day prediction
next 7 days
−40%−30%−20%−10%0%−25%0%+25%+50%+75%+56% in 30 days↑ 96% below its all-time high
−30dnow+7d
▲ 7 rose · ▼ 15 fell · ◆ 8 sideways(±4.2% over 7 days)
Bold: RUNE's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 6289 setups matched for the 30-day prediction, and what each did over the next 7 days — real 4-hour closes, scaled to RUNE's volatility. 27 with no 4-hour path on file yet are drawn through their daily lows, highs and closes.
Bad case$0.647−16%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$0.762−0.5%half did better, half worse
Good case$0.916+20%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−0.5%
Likely range
−16% to +20%$0.647 – $0.916
6,610 similar setups · our 7-day calls hit 59.6% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
RUNE price prediction for the next 30 days
63%chance RUNE is lower
▼ STRONG DOWN
Market cap $261.84M · small-cap: thinner trading, bigger swings
No pattern has a proven record on this coin yet — the prediction above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 37% chance higher in 30 days · drawn from its 6289 matched past setups
next 30 days
−40%−30%−20%−10%0%−50%0%+50%+100%+150%+56% in 30 days↑ 96% below its all-time high
−30dnow+30d
▲ 7 rose · ▼ 17 fell · ◆ 6 sideways(±9.2% over 30 days)
Bold: RUNE's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 6289 past setups like this, and what each did over the next 30 days — real daily closes, scaled to RUNE's volatility.
Bad case$0.533−30%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$0.702−8.3%half did better, half worse
Good case$1.08+41%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−8.3%
Likely range
−30% to +41%$0.533 – $1.08
6,289 similar setups · our 30-day calls hit 61.5% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
Pick a side, when you close and your leverage: we replay that exact trade on the past cases behind this RUNE prediction and count how it ended.
No trade window for RUNE was profitable in most similar past cases with a positive average result and liquidations at or under 10% (n=6289).
Chance this ends in profit—
Typical result—half did better, half worse
Chance you get liquidated first—
Every past case, replayedhover or tap a line to see the case
price went your way —against you —sideways —(within ±2.6% over 7 days)✕liquidated —take profit hit —stop loss hit —typical8 in 10 cases
Replays 389 past cases weighted exactly like the 30-day prediction: the 6,289 similar cases behind it plus a sample of all history.
Where the odds were best· swipe for longer holds →
cell = chance of profit color = average result, −50% or worse to +50% or better striped = liquidated in more than 1 in 10★ best: highest typical result with at most 1 in 10 liquidated, most cases in profit and an average above zerono take profit or stop loss · tap a cell to load it
The planner and its replay chart run in your browser: turn on JavaScript to replay your own RUNE trade on these past cases.
Odds from similar past cases, not financial advice. Leverage multiplies losses too: a liquidated position loses its whole margin.
Where to trade RUNE · by share of the last day's volume
RUNE$0.772950% ▲ 1Dbest playno play cleared the bar at 1Dopen calculator
RUNE$0.772951% ▼ 7Dbest playno play cleared the bar at 7Dopen calculator
RUNE$0.772963% ▼ 30Dbest playno play cleared the bar at 30Dopen calculator
2
Why we think this
the reasoning, in short
Drivers
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher a day later 47% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in RUNE's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (6,760 cases) into 50% higher.
Bitcoin above its 50-day average
Bitcoin is above its 50-day average. In that situation, coins were higher a day later 48% of the time (150,860 cases), vs 47% across all cases.
here 48% · normal 47% higher a day later
Small-cap
Small-cap coin ($264.2M market cap). Coins this size were higher a day later 48% of the time (109,209 cases), vs 47% across all cases.
here 48% · normal 47% higher a day later
Within 7% of a week ago
Within 7% of its price a week ago (+2%). After a week like that, coins were higher a day later 47% of the time (138,540 cases), vs 47% across all cases.
here 47% · normal 47% higher a day later
Normal volume
Trading volume is in its normal range. On normal-volume days, coins were higher a day later 48% of the time (265,341 cases), vs 47% across all cases.
here 48% · normal 47% higher a day later
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher 7 days later 44% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in RUNE's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (6,610 cases) into 49% higher.
Up 56% over 30 days
Up 56% over the last 30 days. After a month like that, coins were higher a week later 46% of the time (72,685 cases), vs 44% across all cases.
here 46% · normal 44% higher 7 days later
Bitcoin above its 50-day average
Bitcoin is above its 50-day average. In that situation, coins were higher a week later 46% of the time (148,942 cases), vs 44% across all cases.
here 46% · normal 44% higher 7 days later
Within 7% of a week ago
Within 7% of its price a week ago (+2%). After a week like that, coins were higher a week later 43% of the time (137,344 cases), vs 44% across all cases.
here 43% · normal 44% higher 7 days later
Small-cap
Small-cap coin ($264.2M market cap). Coins this size were higher a week later 44% of the time (108,786 cases), vs 44% across all cases.
here 44% · normal 44% higher 7 days later
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher 30 days later 39% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in RUNE's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (6,289 cases) into 37% higher.
Bitcoin above its 50-day average
Bitcoin is above its 50-day average. In that situation, coins were higher 30 days later 43% of the time (141,385 cases), vs 39% across all cases.
here 43% · normal 39% higher 30 days later
Other coin type
Outside the meme, DeFi and L1/L2 groups. Coins outside those groups were higher 30 days later 39% of the time (255,282 cases), vs 39% across all cases.
here 39% · normal 39% higher 30 days later
Small-cap
Small-cap coin ($264.2M market cap). Coins this size were higher 30 days later 39% of the time (107,175 cases), vs 39% across all cases.
here 39% · normal 40% higher 30 days later
96% below its high
96% below its all-time high. Coins that far below their high were higher 30 days later 40% of the time (222,017 cases), vs 39% across all cases.
here 40% · normal 40% higher 30 days later
What moves RUNE
LIKELYWhen it closed below its whole 90-day range, RUNE ended higher a week later 33% of the time, against 49% on any day30 cases · on average -5.8% against +1.4% · last Jun 4, 2026
LIKELYWhen it rose three times its usual daily move, RUNE ended higher a week later 64% of the time, against 49% on any day22 cases · on average +9.5% against +1.4% · last Sep 18, 2026
LIKELYWhen Bitcoin's options priced a big move, RUNE ended higher the next day 67% of the time, against 49% on any day9 cases · on average +4.8% against +0.2% · last Mar 23, 2026
LIKELYWhen a TVL surge came, RUNE ended higher the next day 67% of the time, against 49% on any day9 cases · on average +4.6% against +0.2% · last Jul 21, 2022
LIKELYWhen it closed lower seven days running, RUNE ended higher the next day 73% of the time, against 49% on any day11 cases · on average +4.2% against +0.2% · last Jun 22, 2025
tested coin by coin every night, each cause against RUNE's own moves on any day (its biggest days capped) · proven: past the cut for testing thousands at once, both halves of its history agree, 12 cases or more · likely: weaker evidence, watch it · what moves every coin
Our record on RUNE
Our last 6 calls on RUNE over 30 days: right on 0 of 5, 1 more was a coin flip · 2 of 6 ended inside our range · all-time on RUNE: 47.5% hit rate, 72.9% inside the range (40 backtested calls)
Aug 2 said 60% down · ended +5.6%✗ wrongAug 9 said 60% down · ended +13.3%✗ wrongAug 16 said 58% down · ended +17.5%✗ wrongAug 23 said 60% down · ended +34.9%✗ wrongAug 30 said 59% down · ended +64.6%✗ wrongSep 6 said 51% down · ended +56.0%coin flip
white: RUNE's real price after each call · bar: the range we gave (8 in 10 cases, the middle half thicker, a notch at the typical move) · end dot: green right · red wrong · orange the price went sideways (within ±5.5% over 30 days) or a coin flip · backtest: each call used only data available that day · live since Oct 3, 2026: 4 live 30-day predictions on record, first result due Nov 2, 2026 · the full scorecard →
active —
NoneRank #167on record since 2019-09-25$24.05M lost to hacks
$0.7729
24H−1.2%
30D0.0%
1Y0.0%
FROM ATH−96.4%
last 6 months · daily close · candle = 2 sessions◆ recorded event · dotted blue line = last price · orange = the price went sideways (within ±1.4% over 2 days)
as of · generated from this record's own rowsread it →
events on record
71
higher 30 days after
30 of 70
typical 30-day move
−7.2%
next up
—
Every eventMEASURED71 events
The record: every event and what followed
as of · CoinPaprika · DefiLlama · exchange announcements · PatternPlus effectsread it →
RUNE: 71 events, newest first; six signed numbers per row are the price change from the close before the event, in UTC; vs BTC is the difference of the two 30-day moves
Users paid RUNE's protocol $358k in fees in the week to 2026-09-02 (DefiLlama), 2.0 times its weekly average over the 4 weeks before. DefiLlama fills a day in after it ends, so the event is dated 2026-09-04: the move is the coin's from the close a full day after that week. On Sep 4, 2026 RUNE saw a fee surge; it fell 0.6% by day 1 and was 62.4% higher 30 days later, 56 points ahead of BTC; it had moved −3.4% in the 7 days before.
Binance's RUNEUSDT perpetual: funding on 2026-07-21 added up to -0.0431% over the day (-16% a year), below 95% of its past year. The move is the coin's from that day's close, when the day's funding was known. On Jul 22, 2026 RUNE saw a funding extreme low; it fell 5.7% by day 1 and was 4.4% higher 30 days later, 13 points behind BTC; it had moved +7.3% in the 7 days before.
Users paid RUNE's protocol $125k in fees in the week to 2026-06-29 (DefiLlama), 9.5 times its weekly average over the 4 weeks before. DefiLlama fills a day in after it ends, so the event is dated 2026-07-01: the move is the coin's from the close a full day after that week. On Jul 1, 2026 RUNE saw a fee surge; it rose 5.5% by day 1 and was 13.7% higher 30 days later, 6 points ahead of BTC; it had moved −9.8% in the 7 days before.
Binance's RUNEUSDT perpetual: funding on 2026-05-17 added up to -0.0598% over the day (-22% a year), below 95% of its past year. The move is the coin's from that day's close, when the day's funding was known. On May 18, 2026 RUNE saw a funding extreme low; it rose 1.6% by day 1 and was 5.6% lower 30 days later, 11 points ahead of BTC; it had moved −27.5% in the 7 days before.
hack THORChain DEX exploited for $10.70M
—
+4.4%
−25.8%
−28.2%
−33.3%
−14.4%
−27.7%
defillama
Bridge Logic Flaw On May 15, 2026 RUNE was hacked; it fell 25.8% by day 1 and was 33.3% lower 30 days later, 14 points behind BTC; it had moved +4.4% in the 7 days before.
Users paid RUNE's protocol $272k in fees in the week to 2026-05-09 (DefiLlama), 0.4 times its weekly average over the 4 weeks before. DefiLlama fills a day in after it ends, so the event is dated 2026-05-11: the move is the coin's from the close a full day after that week. On May 11, 2026 RUNE saw a fee slump; it fell 2.1% by day 1 and was 38.0% lower 30 days later, 13 points behind BTC; it had moved +18.6% in the 7 days before.
Users paid RUNE's protocol $691k in fees in the week to 2026-04-21 (DefiLlama), 3.8 times its weekly average over the 4 weeks before. DefiLlama fills a day in after it ends, so the event is dated 2026-04-23: the move is the coin's from the close a full day after that week. On Apr 23, 2026 RUNE saw a fee surge; it fell 2.5% by day 1 and was 8.8% lower 30 days later, 7 points behind BTC; it had moved +18.5% in the 7 days before.
Binance's RUNEUSDT perpetual: funding on 2026-04-04 added up to -0.0541% over the day (-20% a year), below 95% of its past year. The move is the coin's from that day's close, when the day's funding was known. On Apr 5, 2026 RUNE saw a funding extreme low; it rose 1.8% by day 1 and was 44.3% higher 30 days later, 24 points ahead of BTC; it had moved −4.3% in the 7 days before.
Users paid RUNE's protocol $186k in fees in the week to 2026-03-26 (DefiLlama), 0.5 times its weekly average over the 4 weeks before. DefiLlama fills a day in after it ends, so the event is dated 2026-03-28: the move is the coin's from the close a full day after that week. On Mar 28, 2026 RUNE saw a fee slump; it fell 0.5% by day 1 and was 28.1% higher 30 days later, 12 points ahead of BTC; it had moved −6.6% in the 7 days before.
Binance's RUNEUSDT perpetual: funding on 2026-02-28 added up to -0.0554% over the day (-20% a year), below 95% of its past year. The move is the coin's from that day's close, when the day's funding was known. On Mar 1, 2026 RUNE saw a funding extreme low; it rose 1.7% by day 1 and was 3.5% higher 30 days later, 2 points ahead of BTC; it had moved −2.2% in the 7 days before.
Users paid RUNE's protocol $317k in fees in the week to 2026-02-14 (DefiLlama), 0.5 times its weekly average over the 4 weeks before. DefiLlama fills a day in after it ends, so the event is dated 2026-02-16: the move is the coin's from the close a full day after that week. On Feb 16, 2026 RUNE saw a fee slump; it fell 0.7% by day 1 and was 4.4% higher 30 days later, 1 points ahead of BTC; it had moved −2.4% in the 7 days before.
Binance's RUNEUSDT perpetual: funding on 2026-02-10 added up to -0.0933% over the day (-34% a year), below 95% of its past year. The move is the coin's from that day's close, when the day's funding was known. On Feb 11, 2026 RUNE saw a funding extreme low; it fell 2.0% by day 1 and was 13.5% higher 30 days later, 10 points ahead of BTC; it had moved −11.9% in the 7 days before.
Binance's RUNEUSDT perpetual: funding on 2026-01-31 added up to -0.0544% over the day (-20% a year), below 95% of its past year. The move is the coin's from that day's close, when the day's funding was known. On Feb 1, 2026 RUNE saw a funding extreme low; it fell 1.7% by day 1 and was 14.3% lower 30 days later, 1 points behind BTC; it had moved −17.9% in the 7 days before.
Users paid RUNE's protocol $1.0M in fees in the week to 2026-01-15 (DefiLlama), 3.1 times its weekly average over the 4 weeks before. DefiLlama fills a day in after it ends, so the event is dated 2026-01-17: the move is the coin's from the close a full day after that week. On Jan 17, 2026 RUNE saw a fee surge; it fell 5.2% by day 1 and was 39.8% lower 30 days later, 12 points behind BTC; it had moved +16.3% in the 7 days before.
Binance's RUNEUSDT perpetual: funding on 2026-01-03 added up to -0.0511% over the day (-19% a year), below 95% of its past year. The move is the coin's from that day's close, when the day's funding was known. On Jan 4, 2026 RUNE saw a funding extreme low; it rose 4.8% by day 1 and was 21.8% lower 30 days later, 5 points behind BTC; it had moved +3.4% in the 7 days before.
Users paid RUNE's protocol $296k in fees in the week to 2025-12-21 (DefiLlama), 0.5 times its weekly average over the 4 weeks before. DefiLlama fills a day in after it ends, so the event is dated 2025-12-23: the move is the coin's from the close a full day after that week. On Dec 23, 2025 RUNE saw a fee slump; it fell 4.5% by day 1 and was 2.1% higher 30 days later, 1 points ahead of BTC; it had moved −3.5% in the 7 days before.
Users paid RUNE's protocol $331k in fees in the week to 2025-11-12 (DefiLlama), 0.5 times its weekly average over the 4 weeks before. DefiLlama fills a day in after it ends, so the event is dated 2025-11-14: the move is the coin's from the close a full day after that week. On Nov 14, 2025 RUNE saw a fee slump; it fell 2.5% by day 1 and was 16.1% lower 30 days later, 5 points behind BTC; it had moved +2.3% in the 7 days before.
On Nov 14, 2025Binance removed the perpetual for RUNE; it fell 2.5% by day 1 and was 16.1% lower 30 days later, 5 points behind BTC; it had moved +2.3% in the 7 days before.
Users paid RUNE's protocol $1.1M in fees in the week to 2025-08-28 (DefiLlama), 2.2 times its weekly average over the 4 weeks before. DefiLlama fills a day in after it ends, so the event is dated 2025-08-30: the move is the coin's from the close a full day after that week. On Aug 30, 2025 RUNE saw a fee surge; it rose 0.5% by day 1 and was 2.1% lower 30 days later, 8 points behind BTC; it had moved −14.8% in the 7 days before.
Users paid RUNE's protocol $443k in fees in the week to 2025-07-05 (DefiLlama), 0.5 times its weekly average over the 4 weeks before. DefiLlama fills a day in after it ends, so the event is dated 2025-07-07: the move is the coin's from the close a full day after that week. On Jul 7, 2025 RUNE saw a fee slump; it rose 1.0% by day 1 and was 2.7% lower 30 days later, 8 points behind BTC; it had moved −5.3% in the 7 days before.
Users paid RUNE's protocol $1.2M in fees in the week to 2025-03-10 (DefiLlama), 0.5 times its weekly average over the 4 weeks before. DefiLlama fills a day in after it ends, so the event is dated 2025-03-12: the move is the coin's from the close a full day after that week. On Mar 12, 2025 RUNE saw a fee slump; it fell 2.6% by day 1 and was 1.2% lower 30 days later, 2 points behind BTC; it had moved −5.8% in the 7 days before.
Users paid RUNE's protocol $2.8M in fees in the week to 2025-02-25 (DefiLlama), 2.1 times its weekly average over the 4 weeks before. DefiLlama fills a day in after it ends, so the event is dated 2025-02-27: the move is the coin's from the close a full day after that week. On Feb 27, 2025 RUNE saw a fee surge; it fell 19.1% by day 1 and was 29.4% lower 30 days later, 28 points behind BTC; it had moved +36.8% in the 7 days before.
Users paid RUNE's protocol $760k in fees in the week to 2025-02-09 (DefiLlama), 0.4 times its weekly average over the 4 weeks before. DefiLlama fills a day in after it ends, so the event is dated 2025-02-11: the move is the coin's from the close a full day after that week. On Feb 11, 2025 RUNE saw a fee slump; it rose 4.4% by day 1 and was 20.8% lower 30 days later, 4 points behind BTC; it had moved −7.0% in the 7 days before.
RUNE's protocol TVL (DefiLlama) fell 31% during 2025-02-01, from $176M, and held at the next reading. Dated 2025-02-03, when that was clear; the move is the coin's from the close before. On Feb 3, 2025 RUNE saw a TVL crash; it rose 2.0% by day 1 and was 3.7% lower 30 days later, 4 points ahead of BTC; it had moved −47.0% in the 7 days before.
Users paid RUNE's protocol $2.4M in fees in the week to 2025-01-23 (DefiLlama), 2.1 times its weekly average over the 4 weeks before. DefiLlama fills a day in after it ends, so the event is dated 2025-01-25: the move is the coin's from the close a full day after that week. On Jan 25, 2025 RUNE saw a fee surge; it rose 20.0% by day 1 and was 35.1% lower 30 days later, 22 points behind BTC; it had moved −48.1% in the 7 days before.
Users paid RUNE's protocol $928k in fees in the week to 2024-12-27 (DefiLlama), 0.5 times its weekly average over the 4 weeks before. DefiLlama fills a day in after it ends, so the event is dated 2024-12-29: the move is the coin's from the close a full day after that week. On Dec 29, 2024 RUNE saw a fee slump; it fell 4.6% by day 1 and was 56.8% lower 30 days later, 63 points behind BTC; it had moved −4.3% in the 7 days before.
Users paid RUNE's protocol $2.2M in fees in the week to 2024-11-11 (DefiLlama), 2.3 times its weekly average over the 4 weeks before. DefiLlama fills a day in after it ends, so the event is dated 2024-11-13: the move is the coin's from the close a full day after that week. On Nov 13, 2024 RUNE saw a fee surge; it fell 7.3% by day 1 and was 12.4% higher 30 days later, 3 points behind BTC; it had moved +25.3% in the 7 days before.
Users paid RUNE's protocol $461k in fees in the week to 2024-09-08 (DefiLlama), 0.5 times its weekly average over the 4 weeks before. DefiLlama fills a day in after it ends, so the event is dated 2024-09-10: the move is the coin's from the close a full day after that week. On Sep 10, 2024 RUNE saw a fee slump; it rose 3.1% by day 1 and was 22.2% higher 30 days later, 16 points ahead of BTC; it had moved −1.9% in the 7 days before.
Users paid RUNE's protocol $1.3M in fees in the week to 2024-02-20 (DefiLlama), 2.1 times its weekly average over the 4 weeks before. DefiLlama fills a day in after it ends, so the event is dated 2024-02-22: the move is the coin's from the close a full day after that week. On Feb 22, 2024 RUNE saw a fee surge; it rose 0.3% by day 1 and was 56.4% higher 30 days later, 33 points ahead of BTC; it had moved −6.5% in the 7 days before.
Users paid RUNE's protocol $457k in fees in the week to 2024-01-30 (DefiLlama), 0.5 times its weekly average over the 4 weeks before. DefiLlama fills a day in after it ends, so the event is dated 2024-02-01: the move is the coin's from the close a full day after that week. On Feb 1, 2024 RUNE saw a fee slump; it fell 5.2% by day 1 and was 23.9% higher 30 days later, 22 points behind BTC; it had moved +13.9% in the 7 days before.
Users paid RUNE's protocol $1.4M in fees in the week to 2023-11-11 (DefiLlama), 3.3 times its weekly average over the 4 weeks before. DefiLlama fills a day in after it ends, so the event is dated 2023-11-13: the move is the coin's from the close a full day after that week. On Nov 13, 2023 RUNE saw a fee surge; it fell 4.5% by day 1 and was 13.9% higher 30 days later, 2 points behind BTC; it had moved +53.3% in the 7 days before.
Users paid RUNE's protocol $270k in fees in the week to 2023-10-14 (DefiLlama), 0.4 times its weekly average over the 4 weeks before. DefiLlama fills a day in after it ends, so the event is dated 2023-10-16: the move is the coin's from the close a full day after that week. On Oct 16, 2023 RUNE saw a fee slump; it fell 7.1% by day 1 and was 266.9% higher 30 days later, 228 points ahead of BTC; it had moved −4.4% in the 7 days before.
Users paid RUNE's protocol $700k in fees in the week to 2023-10-01 (DefiLlama), 2.6 times its weekly average over the 4 weeks before. DefiLlama fills a day in after it ends, so the event is dated 2023-10-03: the move is the coin's from the close a full day after that week. On Oct 3, 2023 RUNE saw a fee surge; it rose 1.3% by day 1 and was 38.7% higher 30 days later, 12 points ahead of BTC; it had moved +18.3% in the 7 days before.
Users paid RUNE's protocol $184k in fees in the week to 2023-09-09 (DefiLlama), 0.5 times its weekly average over the 4 weeks before. DefiLlama fills a day in after it ends, so the event is dated 2023-09-11: the move is the coin's from the close a full day after that week. On Sep 11, 2023 RUNE saw a fee slump; it fell 3.7% by day 1 and was 6.0% higher 30 days later, 2 points ahead of BTC; it had moved +5.5% in the 7 days before.
Users paid RUNE's protocol $603k in fees in the week to 2023-07-21 (DefiLlama), 2.0 times its weekly average over the 4 weeks before. DefiLlama fills a day in after it ends, so the event is dated 2023-07-23: the move is the coin's from the close a full day after that week. On Jul 23, 2023 RUNE saw a fee surge; it fell 1.6% by day 1 and was 60.5% higher 30 days later, 73 points ahead of BTC; it had moved −5.4% in the 7 days before.
Users paid RUNE's protocol $350k in fees in the week to 2023-03-10 (DefiLlama), 2.2 times its weekly average over the 4 weeks before. DefiLlama fills a day in after it ends, so the event is dated 2023-03-12: the move is the coin's from the close a full day after that week. On Mar 12, 2023 RUNE saw a fee surge; it rose 16.4% by day 1 and was 34.5% higher 30 days later, 13 points behind BTC; it had moved −17.3% in the 7 days before.
Users paid RUNE's protocol $235k in fees in the week to 2023-01-14 (DefiLlama), 2.1 times its weekly average over the 4 weeks before. DefiLlama fills a day in after it ends, so the event is dated 2023-01-16: the move is the coin's from the close a full day after that week. On Jan 16, 2023 RUNE saw a fee surge; it fell 2.8% by day 1 and was 3.5% higher 30 days later, 13 points behind BTC; it had moved +23.2% in the 7 days before.
Users paid RUNE's protocol $89k in fees in the week to 2022-11-28 (DefiLlama), 0.5 times its weekly average over the 4 weeks before. DefiLlama fills a day in after it ends, so the event is dated 2022-11-30: the move is the coin's from the close a full day after that week. On Nov 30, 2022 RUNE saw a fee slump; it rose 8.1% by day 1 and was 3.7% higher 30 days later, 3 points ahead of BTC; it had moved +8.5% in the 7 days before.
Users paid RUNE's protocol $160k in fees in the week to 2022-11-06 (DefiLlama), 2.1 times its weekly average over the 4 weeks before. DefiLlama fills a day in after it ends, so the event is dated 2022-11-08: the move is the coin's from the close a full day after that week. On Nov 8, 2022 RUNE saw a fee surge; it fell 36.4% by day 1 and was 12.0% lower 30 days later, 4 points ahead of BTC; it had moved +2.9% in the 7 days before.
Users paid RUNE's protocol $52k in fees in the week to 2022-09-30 (DefiLlama), 0.5 times its weekly average over the 4 weeks before. DefiLlama fills a day in after it ends, so the event is dated 2022-10-02: the move is the coin's from the close a full day after that week. On Oct 2, 2022 RUNE saw a fee slump; it rose 3.7% by day 1 and was 1.3% higher 30 days later, 5 points behind BTC; it had moved −5.0% in the 7 days before.
RUNE's protocol TVL (DefiLlama) rose 20% during 2022-07-19, from $134M, and held at the next reading. Dated 2022-07-21, when that was clear; the move is the coin's from the close before. On Jul 21, 2022 RUNE saw a TVL surge; it rose 0.8% by day 1 and was 20.8% lower 30 days later, 12 points behind BTC; it had moved +25.3% in the 7 days before.
Users paid RUNE's protocol $330k in fees in the week to 2022-05-29 (DefiLlama), 0.5 times its weekly average over the 4 weeks before. DefiLlama fills a day in after it ends, so the event is dated 2022-05-31: the move is the coin's from the close a full day after that week. On May 31, 2022 RUNE saw a fee slump; it fell 16.0% by day 1 and was 43.6% lower 30 days later, 6 points behind BTC; it had moved +12.0% in the 7 days before.
On Mar 31, 2022Binance listed RUNE; it rose 3.5% by day 1 and was 49.3% lower 30 days later, 29 points behind BTC; it had moved +41.9% in the 7 days before.
Users paid RUNE's protocol $327k in fees in the week to 2022-03-13 (DefiLlama), 2.0 times its weekly average over the 4 weeks before. DefiLlama fills a day in after it ends, so the event is dated 2022-03-15: the move is the coin's from the close a full day after that week. On Mar 15, 2022 RUNE saw a fee surge; it rose 5.8% by day 1 and was 14.9% higher 30 days later, 14 points ahead of BTC; it had moved +70.0% in the 7 days before.
Users paid RUNE's protocol $166k in fees in the week to 2022-02-01 (DefiLlama), 0.4 times its weekly average over the 4 weeks before. DefiLlama fills a day in after it ends, so the event is dated 2022-02-03: the move is the coin's from the close a full day after that week. On Feb 3, 2022 RUNE saw a fee slump; it rose 11.9% by day 1 and was 25.0% higher 30 days later, 18 points ahead of BTC; it had moved −6.1% in the 7 days before.
Users paid RUNE's protocol $223k in fees in the week to 2021-12-17 (DefiLlama), 0.5 times its weekly average over the 4 weeks before. DefiLlama fills a day in after it ends, so the event is dated 2021-12-19: the move is the coin's from the close a full day after that week. On Dec 19, 2021 RUNE saw a fee slump; it fell 1.6% by day 1 and was 10.1% lower 30 days later, 1 points behind BTC; it had moved −7.7% in the 7 days before.
RUNEUSDT perpetual trading. On Nov 29, 2021Bybit opened perpetual futures for RUNE; it rose 1.1% by day 1 and was 39.1% lower 30 days later, 20 points behind BTC; it had moved +3.0% in the 7 days before.
Users paid RUNE's protocol $373k in fees in the week to 2021-11-17 (DefiLlama), 0.4 times its weekly average over the 4 weeks before. DefiLlama fills a day in after it ends, so the event is dated 2021-11-19: the move is the coin's from the close a full day after that week. On Nov 19, 2021 RUNE saw a fee slump; it rose 17.6% by day 1 and was 37.0% lower 30 days later, 19 points behind BTC; it had moved −23.1% in the 7 days before.
RUNE's protocol TVL (DefiLlama) rose 32% during 2021-11-03, from $304M, and held at the next reading. Dated 2021-11-05, when that was clear; the move is the coin's from the close before. On Nov 5, 2021 RUNE saw a TVL surge; it fell 3.1% by day 1 and was 44.8% lower 30 days later, 25 points behind BTC; it had moved +7.3% in the 7 days before.
Users paid RUNE's protocol $59k in fees in the week to 2021-10-14 (DefiLlama), 2.1 times its weekly average over the 4 weeks before. DefiLlama fills a day in after it ends, so the event is dated 2021-10-16: the move is the coin's from the close a full day after that week. On Oct 16, 2021 RUNE saw a fee surge; it fell 2.9% by day 1 and was 51.6% higher 30 days later, 48 points ahead of BTC; it had moved −4.0% in the 7 days before.
RUNE's protocol TVL (DefiLlama) rose 100% during 2021-09-16, from $102M, and held at the next reading. Dated 2021-09-18, when that was clear; the move is the coin's from the close before. On Sep 18, 2021 RUNE saw a TVL surge; it fell 6.0% by day 1 and was 20.8% lower 30 days later, 52 points behind BTC; it had moved +14.1% in the 7 days before.
hallmark Protocol resumed
—
+12.6%
−4.5%
−10.1%
−20.4%
−46.9%
−34.6%
defillama
On Sep 16, 2021 RUNE saw a hallmark; it fell 4.5% by day 1 and was 20.4% lower 30 days later, 47 points behind BTC; it had moved +12.6% in the 7 days before.
hack THORChain DEX exploited for $8M
—
−25.0%
−10.8%
+27.1%
+163.0%
+111.2%
+85.4%
defillama
Withdrawal Logic Flaw On Jul 22, 2021 RUNE was hacked; it fell 10.8% by day 1 and was 163.0% higher 30 days later, 111 points ahead of BTC; it had moved −25.0% in the 7 days before.
Users paid RUNE's protocol $1.9M in fees in the week to 2021-07-15 (DefiLlama), 6.6 times its weekly average over the 4 weeks before. DefiLlama fills a day in after it ends, so the event is dated 2021-07-17: the move is the coin's from the close a full day after that week. On Jul 17, 2021 RUNE saw a fee surge; it fell 10.8% by day 1 and was 88.1% higher 30 days later, 42 points ahead of BTC; it had moved −26.1% in the 7 days before.
hack THORChain DEX exploited for $5M
—
−19.3%
−19.9%
−39.3%
+34.7%
−8.7%
+27.8%
defillama
Bridge Logic Flaw On Jul 15, 2021 RUNE was hacked; it fell 19.9% by day 1 and was 34.7% higher 30 days later, 9 points behind BTC; it had moved −19.3% in the 7 days before.
Users paid RUNE's protocol $123k in fees in the week to 2021-07-11 (DefiLlama), 0.4 times its weekly average over the 4 weeks before. DefiLlama fills a day in after it ends, so the event is dated 2021-07-13: the move is the coin's from the close a full day after that week. On Jul 13, 2021 RUNE saw a fee slump; it fell 6.2% by day 1 and was 11.0% higher 30 days later, 23 points behind BTC; it had moved 0.0% in the 7 days before.
RUNE's protocol TVL (DefiLlama) rose 30% during 2021-07-01, from $88M, and held at the next reading. Dated 2021-07-03, when that was clear; the move is the coin's from the close before. On Jul 3, 2021 RUNE saw a TVL surge; it rose 7.9% by day 1 and was 25.9% higher 30 days later, 10 points ahead of BTC; it had moved +7.1% in the 7 days before.
hack THORChain DEX exploited for $350k
—
+5.9%
+7.1%
+11.1%
−13.6%
−29.6%
+9.8%
defillama
Bridge Logic Flaw On Jun 29, 2021 RUNE was hacked; it rose 7.1% by day 1 and was 13.6% lower 30 days later, 30 points behind BTC; it had moved +5.9% in the 7 days before.
RUNE's protocol TVL (DefiLlama) fell 21% during 2021-06-20, from $94M, and held at the next reading. Dated 2021-06-22, when that was clear; the move is the coin's from the close before. On Jun 22, 2021 RUNE saw a TVL crash; it fell 6.3% by day 1 and was 41.7% lower 30 days later, 44 points behind BTC; it had moved −32.7% in the 7 days before.
RUNE's protocol TVL (DefiLlama) rose 27% during 2021-06-13, from $72M, and held at the next reading. Dated 2021-06-15, when that was clear; the move is the coin's from the close before. On Jun 15, 2021 RUNE saw a TVL surge; it rose 5.3% by day 1 and was 44.8% lower 30 days later, 23 points behind BTC; it had moved −2.6% in the 7 days before.
Users paid RUNE's protocol $154k in fees in the week to 2021-06-04 (DefiLlama), 0.4 times its weekly average over the 4 weeks before. DefiLlama fills a day in after it ends, so the event is dated 2021-06-06: the move is the coin's from the close a full day after that week. On Jun 6, 2021 RUNE saw a fee slump; it fell 14.1% by day 1 and was 33.8% lower 30 days later, 30 points behind BTC; it had moved +6.3% in the 7 days before.
RUNE's protocol TVL (DefiLlama) rose 28% during 2021-06-01, from $67M, and held at the next reading. Dated 2021-06-03, when that was clear; the move is the coin's from the close before. On Jun 3, 2021 RUNE saw a TVL surge; it fell 6.9% by day 1 and was 51.6% lower 30 days later, 44 points behind BTC; it had moved −2.8% in the 7 days before.
RUNE's protocol TVL (DefiLlama) rose 23% during 2021-05-23, from $37M, and held at the next reading. Dated 2021-05-25, when that was clear; the move is the coin's from the close before. On May 25, 2021 RUNE saw a TVL surge; it rose 24.8% by day 1 and was 37.5% lower 30 days later, 27 points behind BTC; it had moved −44.4% in the 7 days before.
Users paid RUNE's protocol $438k in fees in the week to 2021-05-21 (DefiLlama), 2.1 times its weekly average over the 4 weeks before. DefiLlama fills a day in after it ends, so the event is dated 2021-05-23: the move is the coin's from the close a full day after that week. On May 23, 2021 RUNE saw a fee surge; it rose 8.2% by day 1 and was 43.6% lower 30 days later, 30 points behind BTC; it had moved −46.4% in the 7 days before.
RUNE's protocol TVL (DefiLlama) fell 26% during 2021-05-18, from $73M, and held at the next reading. Dated 2021-05-20, when that was clear; the move is the coin's from the close before. On May 20, 2021 RUNE saw a TVL crash; it fell 10.2% by day 1 and was 37.0% lower 30 days later, 34 points behind BTC; it had moved −33.7% in the 7 days before.
all-time high RUNE all-time high: $21.29
—
+13.0%
−33.1%
−37.4%
−59.9%
−43.5%
−58.8%
derived
Highest daily close in our price history. On May 19, 2021 RUNE set an all-time high; it fell 33.1% by day 1 and was 59.9% lower 30 days later, 44 points behind BTC; it had moved +13.0% in the 7 days before.
RUNE's protocol TVL (DefiLlama) rose 107% during 2021-05-04, from $26M, and held at the next reading. Dated 2021-05-06, when that was clear; the move is the coin's from the close before. On May 6, 2021 RUNE saw a TVL surge; it fell 2.0% by day 1 and was 42.2% lower 30 days later, 4 points behind BTC; it had moved +29.6% in the 7 days before.
RUNE's protocol TVL (DefiLlama) rose 68% during 2021-04-26, from $14M, and held at the next reading. Dated 2021-04-28, when that was clear; the move is the coin's from the close before. On Apr 28, 2021 RUNE saw a TVL surge; it fell 3.8% by day 1 and was 26.8% lower 30 days later, 8 points ahead of BTC; it had moved −0.3% in the 7 days before.
RUNEUSDT perpetual trading. On Sep 4, 2020Binance opened perpetual futures for RUNE; it fell 22.1% by day 1 and was 44.5% lower 30 days later, 50 points behind BTC.
Source: PatternPlus, computed from every token in the peer set · fetched
4
The full write-up
every sentence on RUNE · questions · sources
RUNE in short
THORChain (RUNE) is a crypto token on its own chain, with no start date recorded; rank #167 by market cap as of Oct 6, 2026, 96.4% below its May 19, 2021 high.
As of Oct 6, 2026 the price is $0.7729 (−1.2% over 24 hours), market cap $261.8M, fully diluted value $320.7M, holder count not reported, $73.4M TVL.
Status on CoinPaprika: active; RUNE is the native coin of its own chain, so there is no token contract.
CoinPaprika tickers and DefiLlama, read Oct 6, 2026.
This site has 71 past events for THORChain: 3 exchange listings, 2 futures listings, 0 unlocks, 4 hacks and 0 funding rounds; the median 30-day move after the 70 measured events was −7.2%.
From the latest data refresh
THORChain (RUNE), crypto on its own chain, holds rank #167 by market cap on Oct 6, 2026 and trades 96.4% under its May 19, 2021 high.
The record's largest loss is a $10.7M hack on May 15, 2026 (bridge & cross-chain).
Since PatternPlus began recording on Oct 3, 2026 (4 daily snapshots), rank moved from #168 to #167.
RUNE is on 2 spot and 2 perpetual venues on record; the earliest dated listing was Binance (perp) on Sep 4, 2020.
4 of its listings have a measured day-30 outcome (median −44.5%); 0 finished above the venue's own listing median and 4 below.
No unlock schedule is on record for RUNE as of Oct 6, 2026.
No on-chain power check is on record for RUNE as of Oct 6, 2026.
No funding round is recorded by DefiLlama for THORChain as of Oct 6, 2026.
THORChain lists 1 audit link on DefiLlama (Certik); 4 hacks totalling $24.1M are recorded.
No team member is recorded on CoinPaprika for THORChain as of Oct 6, 2026.
DefiLlama reports $73.4M TVL and $970,386 revenue over 30 days as of Oct 6, 2026;
revenue to market cap of 0.044 sits at the 70th percentile of 1594 all tokens on record tokens.
Generated from this record's own rows at build time; as of Oct 6, 2026.
Across 563 fee surges across every token on record, the median move is +0.2% on day 1 and −1.0% by day 30; 49.0% were still up after 30 days; RUNE's 19 sit above that median at +13.7%.
Across 811 funding extreme lows across every token on record, the median move is −0.8% on day 1 and −4.6% by day 30;
42.2% were still up after 30 days;
RUNE's 7 sit above that median at +3.5%.
Across 117 hacks across every token on record, the median move is −4.9% on day 1 and −10.7% by day 30;
36.8% were still up after 30 days;
RUNE's 4 sit above that median at +10.6%.
Across 480 fee slumps across every token on record, the median move is −0.7% on day 1 and −8.5% by day 30;
36.5% were still up after 30 days;
RUNE's 21 sit above that median at +1.3%.
Across 16 perpetual delistings on Binance, the median move is −0.3% on day 1 and −12.2% by day 30;
25.0% were still up after 30 days;
RUNE's one sits below that median at −16.1%.
Across 411 TVL crashes across every token on record, the median move is 0.0% on day 1 and −9.1% by day 30;
32.6% were still up after 30 days;
RUNE's 3 sit below that median at −37.0%.
Across 414 TVL surges across every token on record, the median move is −0.9% on day 1 and −10.0% by day 30;
37.0% were still up after 30 days;
RUNE's 9 sit below that median at −37.5%.
Across 274 spot listings on Binance, the median move is −2.3% on day 1 and −19.8% by day 30;
32.5% were still up after 30 days;
RUNE's 2 sit below that median at −46.9%.
Across 446 perpetual listings on Bybit, the median move is −0.3% on day 1 and −16.9% by day 30;
33.4% were still up after 30 days;
RUNE's one sits below that median at −39.1%.
Across 79 hallmarks across every token on record, the median move is −2.3% on day 1 and −20.4% by day 30;
25.3% were still up after 30 days;
RUNE's one sits below that median at −20.4%.
Across 644 all-time highs across every token on record, the median move is −3.7% on day 1 and −38.6% by day 30;
6.2% were still up after 30 days;
RUNE's one sits below that median at −59.9%.
Across 497 perpetual listings on Binance, the median move is −0.3% on day 1 and −14.7% by day 30;
39.2% were still up after 30 days;
RUNE's one sits below that median at −44.5%.
RUNE sits above the venue median in 4 of 12 venue-and-kind comparisons as of Oct 6, 2026.
event_stats recomputed nightly; as of Oct 6, 2026.
No on-chain power check is available for RUNE on its own chain as of Oct 6, 2026; every row of the panel is shown as unknown until GoPlus or the Jupiter token API answers.
Until then this site cannot say whether the issuer can mint, freeze or upgrade RUNE; the check is retried at every rebuild.
71 events since Jul 24, 2020; 40 of the 70 measured were followed by a lower price 30 days later; best Fees down 0.4x: RUNE's protocol took $270k in a week on Oct 16, 2023 (+266.9%), worst RUNE all-time high: $21.29 on May 19, 2021 (−59.9%).
2224 daily closes from Sep 4, 2020 to Oct 6, 2026 are plotted on a log scale, with the rank from 4 snapshots as a step line.
The all-time high marker sits at $21.29 on May 19, 2021, 1,966 days before Oct 6, 2026.
prices, metrics_daily, events and effects; as of Oct 6, 2026.
38 changes are logged for this page since Oct 5, 2026; the latest, on Oct 6, 2026, is: New record entry (funding low, Feb 1, 2026): Funding -20% a year: shorts paying longs.
RUNE is on 2 spot and 2 perpetual venues on record; the earliest was Binance (perp) on Sep 4, 2020 and the latest Bybit (perp) on Nov 29, 2021; the first perpetual opened on Binance on Sep 4, 2020.
0 delistings are on record for RUNE as of Oct 6, 2026.
1085 of the 1087 tracked exchanges have no RUNE listing on record as of Oct 6, 2026 (Bitget, Pionex, Azbit, Coinbase, OKX and WEEX, among others).
exchange_listings from instrument APIs and announcements; as of Oct 6, 2026.
THORChain trades 96.4% below its all-time high of $21.29, set on May 19, 2021, 1,966 days before Oct 6, 2026; over 30 days it moved 0.0% against 0.0% for BTC (beta 1.38).
Price change as of Oct 6, 2026: +0.5% over 1 hour, −1.2% over 24 hours, +4.0% over 7 days, 0.0% over 30 days, 0.0% over 1 year.
Market cap is 81.6% of fully diluted value ($261.8M of $320.7M), so 18.4% of the valuation sits in supply that does not circulate yet.
24-hour volume of $6.4M is 2.4% of market cap as of Oct 6, 2026.
Circulating supply is 338.8M of 415M total (81.6%); no maximum supply is stated.
The all tokens on record median 30-day change is 0.0% across 1594 tokens, so RUNE sits below its peer set.
CoinPaprika tickers read Oct 6, 2026; BTC comparison from the BTC record.
1 address identify THORChain on thorchain; as the native coin of its own chain it has no token contract.
No other token on record uses the symbol RUNE as of Oct 6, 2026.
THORChain shares its ticker with RUNE (RUNE Rune), RUNE (Rune), RUNE (Runebound), RUNE (Runestone) and RUNE (Runeword) (ticker collision on CoinPaprika, read Oct 6, 2026).
Identity fields from CoinPaprika as of Oct 6, 2026: start date not recorded, first market data Sep 25, 2019, proof type not stated, organisation structure not stated, no whitepaper link.
Cross-references as of Oct 6, 2026: CoinPaprika id rune-thorchain, DefiLlama slug thorchain-dex, no GitHub repository recorded.
No follower or star counts were read for THORChain as of Oct 6, 2026.
CoinPaprika /coins and DefiLlama /protocols (contract addresses), token_contracts, token_aliases; read Oct 6, 2026.
Over the 30 days to Oct 6, 2026 DefiLlama records $3.4M of fees and $970,386 of revenue for THORChain, against $73.4M of TVL; revenue to market cap is 0.044, the 70th percentile among 1594 all tokens on record tokens.
Annualised revenue of $11.6M gives a price-to-sales multiple of 22.5x at the $261.8M market cap of Oct 6, 2026.
TVL moved +6248.3% between Apr 11, 2021 and Oct 6, 2026 (361 daily points).
Thorchain carries 51.0% of TVL across 13 chains (Thorchain $37.4M, Bitcoin $16.8M, Ethereum $11M, Binance$2M and Bitcoincash $1.6M).
DefiLlama records no parent protocol for THORChain (not a fork).
No oracle is listed for THORChain on DefiLlama.
DefiLlama lists THORChain under 'Dexs' (slug thorchain-dex).
DefiLlama protocol, fees and TVL endpoints; as of Oct 6, 2026.
Set against 1594 all tokens on record tokens on Oct 6, 2026, THORChain ranks at the 90th percentile for market cap, the 44th for distance from its high and the unranked for share of supply unlocked.
The peer median market cap is $12.8M, the median distance from ATH −95.0% and the median 30-day change 0.0%.
The nearest peers by rank are Ribbita by Virtuals (#166), JasmyCoin (#168), EURC (#165), Falcon Finance (#169) and Staked Frax Ether (#164).
Market cap: $261.8M (P90 of 1594; peer median $12.8M).
Volume / market cap (24h): 2.43% (P50 of 1594; peer median 2.42%).
30-day change: 0.0% (P50 of 1594; peer median 0.0%).
Distance from ATH: −96.4% (P44 of 1594; peer median −95.0%).
Revenue / market cap (30d): 0.044 (P70 of 288; peer median 0.006).
TVL: $73.4M (P72 of 429; peer median $5M).
peer set: all tokens on record (1594 tokens); as of Oct 6, 2026.
As of Oct 6, 2026: 50% chance RUNE is higher tomorrow — a coin flip, typical move +0.0%, likely range −5.3% to +6.0%, from 6,760 similar past setups.
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
What is the THORChain price prediction for this week?
As of Oct 6, 2026: 51% chance RUNE is lower over the next 7 days — a coin flip, typical move −0.5%, likely range −15.5% to +19.6%, from 6,610 similar past setups.
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
What is the RUNE price prediction for the next 30 days?
As of Oct 6, 2026: 63% chance RUNE is lower over the next 30 days, typical move −8.3%, likely range −30.4% to +41.1%, from 6,289 similar past setups.
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
How accurate are these RUNE predictions?
Across 40 backtested 30-day calls on RUNE, the call was right 47.5% of the time and the price ended inside the likely range 72.9% of the time.
Of the last 6 30-day calls, 0 of 5 were right.
Each backtest call used only the data available on its own date.
Who is behind THORChain?
No team member is recorded on CoinPaprika for THORChain as of Oct 6, 2026; the organisation is described as not stated.
When is the next RUNE unlock?
No future unlock is on record for RUNE as of Oct 6, 2026.
Is RUNE listed on Binance?
Yes; Binance listed RUNE and perpetual futures on Sep 4, 2020; the price moved +3.5% on day 1 and −49.3% by day 30.
How far is RUNE from its all-time high?
96.4% below the $21.29 high of May 19, 2021, 1,966 days ago, at $0.7729 on Oct 6, 2026.
Has THORChain been hacked?
Yes; 4 hacks are recorded, the latest on May 15, 2026 for $10.7M (bridge & cross-chain).
What happened when Binance listed RUNE?
On Mar 31, 2022 RUNE rose 3.5% by day 1 and was 49.3% lower 30 days later, 29 points behind BTC.
Related records
Related records
as of · chosen deterministically from the joins on this page
10 related token records are linked below, plus 2 exchanges (Binance and Bybit) as of Oct 6, 2026.
293,063 older closes on 652 coins, back to 2017-08-17; 404 reached their first Binance day, 8 stopped at a 10x day or a gap, 1 older tickers of another coin left out, 239 with nothing older; 0 for later nights
313,593 coin-days stored tonight (314,256 held, the oldest 2020-08-05); 300 of 300 coins finished (each back to its contract's first day), 0 left for later nights; 3 days left out by the price check (the contract was another coin then); 0 errors; 104,391 days stored with no close of ours to check against
144 coins whose protocols took $100k+ in fees over 30 days; 134 read tonight, 144,935 coin-days stored; 1446 fee jumps and slumps; the rest comes over the next nights
55,006 coin-driver tests; 220 proven on 137 coins, 2874 likely; 47,817 more by the trimmed mean in the same cut, which found 68 proven and 167 likely more that earn with the tails in, and 565 more that did not on their newer half (dropped)
2026-10-06 16:27 UTC
none
—
edge
35 kinds of event against their coins' ordinary days, by day; a clear edge (95% range, both halves agree) up for fees_jump, funding_low, futures_listing, spx_drop, down for delisting, fear, futures_listing, hack, kr_discount, listing, tvl_jump
2026-10-06 16:26 UTC
none
—
effects
12005 effects, 51 stats rows
2026-10-06 16:26 UTC
none
—
etherscan
skipped: no ETHERSCAN_KEY in data/config_local.py or the environment
522 of our coins trade as Gate USDT perpetuals; 522 read tonight, 89878 coin-days stored; 4 liquidation spikes as events; the rest is read on the next nights
176 of our coins trade as Hyperliquid perps; 29 read up to now tonight (121 pages), 11234 coin-days stored; 179 funding extremes; the rest of the history comes over the next nights
827 of 1594 coins have a logo (coingecko 713, trustwallet 108, jupiter 5, website 1). Tonight 40 asked: 4 from coingecko, 3 from trustwallet, 1 from jupiter; 32 with none yet; coinpaprika refused us (HTTP 403) and was not asked again after 30. Without one, by rank: RAIN, CC, WETH, JITOSOL, RETH, KHYPE, RSETH, WBNB, SUSDE, SYRUPUSDC, METH, JLP (drop a file in data/curated/logos/<slug>.png)
703 collected series, 343 with enough history; 5,857 tests; 1 proven, 273 likely; 1 series tested from a later day (their values hold that day's move)
2026-10-06 16:28 UTC
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setups
setups re-measured on our own prices
2026-10-06 16:28 UTC
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signals
7 proven signals: ath after (30d), ath after (7d), cb_discount after (7d), pump after (30d), pump after (7d), vol_spike after (30d), vol_spike after (7d); 32 of tonight's predictions moved
2026-10-06 16:27 UTC
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snapshot
daily snapshots and the change log
2026-10-06 16:47 UTC
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snapshot_org
1423 governance votes on 40 coins from 40 Snapshot spaces; tonight 0 proposals read (to 2026-09-10), 0 big closed ones kept, 3 open or pending; 1 events new, 1 removed
3144 rules tested; 6 survived discovery and the holdout (5 new tonight): funding_7:high:3d:q10:all:clean, ret_1:low:1d:q20:bear, volume_trend:low:1d:q10:bear; 1788 distinct rules, each pool by each detector in one false-discovery cut; the trimmed-mean test found 32 more past discovery, 4 of them earning with the tails back in; 11 in the book
10 of 224 coins with 120+ days of supply history release on a monthly or quarterly pattern; 39 releases projected: APT (monthly, day 14), ARB (quarterly, day 18), ENA (monthly, day 6), ETHFI (quarterly, day 17), GRASS (monthly, day 29), IO (monthly, day 1), KCS (quarterly, day 1), MOVE (monthly, day 9), STRK (quarterly, day 16), WLD (quarterly, day 21)
2026-10-06 15:34 UTC
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teamfinance
1 of 47 coins hold Team Finance vesting; 4 contracts still being read for the first time
Effects are measured as described on the methodology page. Facts are compiled from public sources; nothing on this page is advice. Corrections: hello@pattern.plus.
ethplorer last fetched successfully on Oct 6, 2026 15:30 UTC;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-06T15:30:28+00:00 HTTP 429 https://api.ethplorer.io/getTokenInfo/0x66fd8), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
fred last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-06T15:34:09+00:00 no FRED_API_KEY: the jobs, PPI, PCE, GDP and retail sa), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
This page is generated from 9,459 database rows and rebuilt daily; first published Oct 5, 2026.
PatternPlus compiles facts from public sources and gives no financial advice; corrections by email. As of Oct 6, 2026.
How to read this
Band 1 is the prediction: the chance of a higher price, the typical move and the likely range, with the real past setups behind it drawn as they moved.
Band 2 is why: the drivers, the next events and how our past calls on this coin went.
Band 3 is the data: every table and chart, dated; green means the price was higher afterwards, red lower.
Band 4 is the write-up: the same record in words, with the questions and the sources.