PATTERN+ PREDICTIONS
Updated

THORChain (RUNE) price prediction

$0.7729 −1.2%24h mcap $261.84M · its own chain · rank #167

Next 7 days for RUNE Oct 7–13: nothing on the calendar this week; our 7-day call is a coin flip (51% chance lower).

Alert me about RUNE Pro

The prediction

as of Oct 6, 2026

RUNE price prediction for the next 30 days

63% chance RUNE is lower

▼ STRONG DOWN

Market cap $261.84M · small-cap: thinner trading, bigger swings

No pattern has a proven record on this coin yet — the prediction above is from similar past setups.

Lookalike Setups (main) · 37% chance higher in 30 days · drawn from its 6289 matched past setups

▲ 7 rose · ▼ 17 fell · ◆ 6 sideways (±9.2% over 30 days)

Bold: RUNE's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 6289 past setups like this, and what each did over the next 30 days — real daily closes, scaled to RUNE's volatility.
Bad case$0.533−30%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$0.702−8.3%half did better, half worse
Good case$1.08+41%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−8.3%
Likely range
−30% to +41%$0.533 – $1.08

6,289 similar setups · our 30-day calls hit 61.5% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →

Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.

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Plan a leveraged trade on RUNE

Pick a side, when you close and your leverage: we replay that exact trade on the past cases behind this RUNE prediction and count how it ended.

No trade window for RUNE was profitable in most similar past cases with a positive average result and liquidations at or under 10% (n=6289).

The planner and its replay chart run in your browser: turn on JavaScript to replay your own RUNE trade on these past cases.

Odds from similar past cases, not financial advice. Leverage multiplies losses too: a liquidated position loses its whole margin.

Setups firing on RUNE today

No setup is firing on RUNE today · every setup we track →

Why we think this

the reasoning, in short

Drivers

Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher 30 days later 39% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in RUNE's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (6,289 cases) into 37% higher.

Bitcoin above its 50-day average

Bitcoin is above its 50-day average. In that situation, coins were higher 30 days later 43% of the time (141,385 cases), vs 39% across all cases.

higher 43% of the time in this situation vs 39% across all cases here 43% · normal 39% higher 30 days later

Other coin type

Outside the meme, DeFi and L1/L2 groups. Coins outside those groups were higher 30 days later 39% of the time (255,282 cases), vs 39% across all cases.

higher 39% of the time in this situation vs 39% across all cases here 39% · normal 39% higher 30 days later

Small-cap

Small-cap coin ($264.2M market cap). Coins this size were higher 30 days later 39% of the time (107,175 cases), vs 39% across all cases.

higher 39% of the time in this situation vs 40% across all cases here 39% · normal 40% higher 30 days later

96% below its high

96% below its all-time high. Coins that far below their high were higher 30 days later 40% of the time (222,017 cases), vs 39% across all cases.

higher 40% of the time in this situation vs 40% across all cases here 40% · normal 40% higher 30 days later

What moves RUNE

  • LIKELY When it closed below its whole 90-day range, RUNE ended higher a week later 33% of the time, against 49% on any day 30 cases · on average -5.8% against +1.4% · last Jun 4, 2026
  • LIKELY When it rose three times its usual daily move, RUNE ended higher a week later 64% of the time, against 49% on any day 22 cases · on average +9.5% against +1.4% · last Sep 18, 2026
  • LIKELY When Bitcoin's options priced a big move, RUNE ended higher the next day 67% of the time, against 49% on any day 9 cases · on average +4.8% against +0.2% · last Mar 23, 2026
  • LIKELY When a TVL surge came, RUNE ended higher the next day 67% of the time, against 49% on any day 9 cases · on average +4.6% against +0.2% · last Jul 21, 2022
  • LIKELY When it closed lower seven days running, RUNE ended higher the next day 73% of the time, against 49% on any day 11 cases · on average +4.2% against +0.2% · last Jun 22, 2025

tested coin by coin every night, each cause against RUNE's own moves on any day (its biggest days capped) · proven: past the cut for testing thousands at once, both halves of its history agree, 12 cases or more · likely: weaker evidence, watch it · what moves every coin

Our record on RUNE

Our last 6 calls on RUNE over 30 days: right on 0 of 5, 1 more was a coin flip · 2 of 6 ended inside our range · all-time on RUNE: 47.5% hit rate, 72.9% inside the range (40 backtested calls)

2026-08-02: said 40% chance higher over 30 days, range −19% to +21%; it ended +5.6% — call wrong, inside the range
Aug 2 said 60% down · ended +5.6%✗ wrong
2026-08-09: said 40% chance higher over 30 days, range −17% to +19%; it ended +13.3% — call wrong, inside the range
Aug 9 said 60% down · ended +13.3%✗ wrong
2026-08-16: said 42% chance higher over 30 days, range −13% to +10%; it ended +17.5% — call wrong, outside the range
Aug 16 said 58% down · ended +17.5%✗ wrong
2026-08-23: said 40% chance higher over 30 days, range −14% to +17%; it ended +34.9% — call wrong, outside the range
Aug 23 said 60% down · ended +34.9%✗ wrong
2026-08-30: said 41% chance higher over 30 days, range −24% to +29%; it ended +64.6% — call wrong, outside the range
Aug 30 said 59% down · ended +64.6%✗ wrong
2026-09-06: said 49% chance higher over 30 days, range −23% to +29%; it ended +56.0% — call coin flip, outside the range
Sep 6 said 51% down · ended +56.0%coin flip

white: RUNE's real price after each call · bar: the range we gave (8 in 10 cases, the middle half thicker, a notch at the typical move) · end dot: green right · red wrong · orange the price went sideways (within ±5.5% over 30 days) or a coin flip · backtest: each call used only data available that day · live since Oct 3, 2026: 4 live 30-day predictions on record, first result due Nov 2, 2026 · the full scorecard →

The data

every table, chart and number on RUNE — dated
active — None Rank #167 on record since 2019-09-25 $24.05M lost to hacks
$0.7729
24H−1.2%
30D0.0%
1Y0.0%
FROM ATH−96.4%

The score 30-day view · scored 2026-10-06 · how this is computed →

RUNE score 69.3 of 100 — weighted sum of the five parts, scored 2026-10-0669OF 100
SETUP ×0.30SETUP 50 of 10050
RISK ×0.25RISK 100 of 100100
RECORD ×0.20RECORD 44 of 10044
DILUTION ×0.15DILUTION 100 of 100100
PULSE ×0.10PULSE 56 of 10056
#993 of 1594 scored ▲ 321 places since the previous score dateRUNE score, last 30 days 30d score

total = Σ weight × part · every part is a count or a checked fact, dated · all predictions · not financial advice

Event record price move measured from the event day · 71 on record

DateKindEventNext day30 days90 days
fee surge Fees up 2.0x: RUNE's protocol took $358k in a week2.0% of circ. −0.6% +62.4% in 58 days
funding extreme low Funding -16% a year: shorts paying longsfunding extreme low on record −5.7% +4.4% in 14 days
fee surge Fees up 9.5x: RUNE's protocol took $125k in a week9.5% of circ. +5.5% +13.7% +98.4%

71 measured events on record · typical move after 30 days −7.2%

Every event — full breakdown →

At a glance the key number of every block below · tap for the table

The score

69 / 100 #993 of 1594 scored · 30-day view

The score — full breakdown →

The record in short

71 events on record

The record in short — full breakdown →

Holders & control

— top-10 hold —

Holders & control — full breakdown →

Where RUNE is listed

2 venues on record

Where RUNE is listed — full breakdown →

Volume by venue

$6.37M traded 24h

Volume by venue — full breakdown →

Against the venue median

70 measured events compared

Against the venue median — full breakdown →

Life of RUNE

−96.4% from the all-time high

Life of RUNE — full breakdown →

Market

$261.84M market cap

Market — full breakdown →

Usage, fees, revenue

$3.37M fees 30d

Usage, fees, revenue — full breakdown →

Treasury

— no treasury recorded

Treasury — full breakdown →

Funding

0 rounds on record

Funding — full breakdown →

Hacks and audits

$24.05M lost to hacks

Hacks and audits — full breakdown →

Development

— commits / 90 d

Development — full breakdown →

People behind THORChain

0 no person on record yet

People behind THORChain — full breakdown →

Against peers

1594 tokens on record compared

Against peers — full breakdown →

Identity & contracts

1 address on record

Identity & contracts — full breakdown →

PatternPlus history

4 daily snapshots

PatternPlus history — full breakdown →

Change log

38 fields changed

Change log — full breakdown →

Questions

10 asked about RUNE

Questions — full breakdown →

Related records

19 linked pages

Related records — full breakdown →

Sources

134 feeds behind this page

Sources — full breakdown →

Native coin of None · no contract address

updated today Updated · 158 data points on this page

Changed 2026-10-06 event funding_low → 44.21K2026-10-06 event funding_low → 44.21K2026-10-06 event fees_drop → 41.2K2026-10-06 event funding_low → 44.21Kfull log →

The record in shortON RECORD

The record in short

as of · generated from this record's own rowsread it →

events on record
71
higher 30 days after
30 of 70
typical 30-day move
−7.2%
next up
—

Every eventMEASURED71 events

The record: every event and what followed

as of · CoinPaprika · DefiLlama · exchange announcements · PatternPlus effectsread it →

RUNE: 71 events, newest first; six signed numbers per row are the price change from the close before the event, in UTC; vs BTC is the difference of the two 30-day moves
DateEventVenue7d beforeNext day7 days30 daysvs BTC90 daysSource
2026
fee surge Fees up 2.0x: RUNE's protocol took $358k in a week NEW CASE RECORDED · 2026-10-06 2.0% of circ. — −3.4% −0.6% +4.9% +62.4% +56.0% in 58 days defillama_fees
Users paid RUNE's protocol $358k in fees in the week to 2026-09-02 (DefiLlama), 2.0 times its weekly average over the 4 weeks before. DefiLlama fills a day in after it ends, so the event is dated 2026-09-04: the move is the coin's from the close a full day after that week. On Sep 4, 2026 RUNE saw a fee surge; it fell 0.6% by day 1 and was 62.4% higher 30 days later, 56 points ahead of BTC; it had moved −3.4% in the 7 days before.
funding extreme low Funding -16% a year: shorts paying longs — +7.3% −5.7% −3.3% +4.4% −13.3% in 14 days binance_futures
Binance's RUNEUSDT perpetual: funding on 2026-07-21 added up to -0.0431% over the day (-16% a year), below 95% of its past year. The move is the coin's from that day's close, when the day's funding was known. On Jul 22, 2026 RUNE saw a funding extreme low; it fell 5.7% by day 1 and was 4.4% higher 30 days later, 13 points behind BTC; it had moved +7.3% in the 7 days before.
fee surge Fees up 9.5x: RUNE's protocol took $125k in a week 9.5% of circ. — −9.8% +5.5% +1.3% +13.7% +6.4% +98.4% defillama_fees
Users paid RUNE's protocol $125k in fees in the week to 2026-06-29 (DefiLlama), 9.5 times its weekly average over the 4 weeks before. DefiLlama fills a day in after it ends, so the event is dated 2026-07-01: the move is the coin's from the close a full day after that week. On Jul 1, 2026 RUNE saw a fee surge; it rose 5.5% by day 1 and was 13.7% higher 30 days later, 6 points ahead of BTC; it had moved −9.8% in the 7 days before.
funding extreme low Funding -22% a year: shorts paying longs — −27.5% +1.6% +1.4% −5.6% +11.1% −6.1% binance_futures
Binance's RUNEUSDT perpetual: funding on 2026-05-17 added up to -0.0598% over the day (-22% a year), below 95% of its past year. The move is the coin's from that day's close, when the day's funding was known. On May 18, 2026 RUNE saw a funding extreme low; it rose 1.6% by day 1 and was 5.6% lower 30 days later, 11 points ahead of BTC; it had moved −27.5% in the 7 days before.
hack THORChain DEX exploited for $10.70M — +4.4% −25.8% −28.2% −33.3% −14.4% −27.7% defillama
Bridge Logic Flaw On May 15, 2026 RUNE was hacked; it fell 25.8% by day 1 and was 33.3% lower 30 days later, 14 points behind BTC; it had moved +4.4% in the 7 days before.
fee slump Fees down 0.4x: RUNE's protocol took $272k in a week 0.4% of circ. — +18.6% −2.1% −25.9% −38.0% −12.8% −29.6% defillama_fees
Users paid RUNE's protocol $272k in fees in the week to 2026-05-09 (DefiLlama), 0.4 times its weekly average over the 4 weeks before. DefiLlama fills a day in after it ends, so the event is dated 2026-05-11: the move is the coin's from the close a full day after that week. On May 11, 2026 RUNE saw a fee slump; it fell 2.1% by day 1 and was 38.0% lower 30 days later, 13 points behind BTC; it had moved +18.6% in the 7 days before.
fee surge Fees up 3.8x: RUNE's protocol took $691k in a week 3.8% of circ. — +18.5% −2.5% +2.3% −8.8% −7.0% −9.9% defillama_fees
Users paid RUNE's protocol $691k in fees in the week to 2026-04-21 (DefiLlama), 3.8 times its weekly average over the 4 weeks before. DefiLlama fills a day in after it ends, so the event is dated 2026-04-23: the move is the coin's from the close a full day after that week. On Apr 23, 2026 RUNE saw a fee surge; it fell 2.5% by day 1 and was 8.8% lower 30 days later, 7 points behind BTC; it had moved +18.5% in the 7 days before.
funding extreme low Funding -20% a year: shorts paying longs — −4.3% +1.8% +1.3% +44.3% +24.1% +9.5% binance_futures
Binance's RUNEUSDT perpetual: funding on 2026-04-04 added up to -0.0541% over the day (-20% a year), below 95% of its past year. The move is the coin's from that day's close, when the day's funding was known. On Apr 5, 2026 RUNE saw a funding extreme low; it rose 1.8% by day 1 and was 44.3% higher 30 days later, 24 points ahead of BTC; it had moved −4.3% in the 7 days before.
fee slump Fees down 0.5x: RUNE's protocol took $186k in a week 0.5% of circ. — −6.6% −0.5% −4.1% +28.1% +11.6% +1.0% defillama_fees
Users paid RUNE's protocol $186k in fees in the week to 2026-03-26 (DefiLlama), 0.5 times its weekly average over the 4 weeks before. DefiLlama fills a day in after it ends, so the event is dated 2026-03-28: the move is the coin's from the close a full day after that week. On Mar 28, 2026 RUNE saw a fee slump; it fell 0.5% by day 1 and was 28.1% higher 30 days later, 12 points ahead of BTC; it had moved −6.6% in the 7 days before.
funding extreme low Funding -20% a year: shorts paying longs — −2.2% +1.7% +2.5% +3.5% +1.5% +7.0% binance_futures
Binance's RUNEUSDT perpetual: funding on 2026-02-28 added up to -0.0554% over the day (-20% a year), below 95% of its past year. The move is the coin's from that day's close, when the day's funding was known. On Mar 1, 2026 RUNE saw a funding extreme low; it rose 1.7% by day 1 and was 3.5% higher 30 days later, 2 points ahead of BTC; it had moved −2.2% in the 7 days before.
fee slump Fees down 0.5x: RUNE's protocol took $317k in a week 0.5% of circ. — −2.4% −0.7% −5.2% +4.4% +0.9% +8.8% defillama_fees
Users paid RUNE's protocol $317k in fees in the week to 2026-02-14 (DefiLlama), 0.5 times its weekly average over the 4 weeks before. DefiLlama fills a day in after it ends, so the event is dated 2026-02-16: the move is the coin's from the close a full day after that week. On Feb 16, 2026 RUNE saw a fee slump; it fell 0.7% by day 1 and was 4.4% higher 30 days later, 1 points ahead of BTC; it had moved −2.4% in the 7 days before.
funding extreme low Funding -34% a year: shorts paying longs — −11.9% −2.0% −0.3% +13.5% +10.5% +49.9% binance_futures
Binance's RUNEUSDT perpetual: funding on 2026-02-10 added up to -0.0933% over the day (-34% a year), below 95% of its past year. The move is the coin's from that day's close, when the day's funding was known. On Feb 11, 2026 RUNE saw a funding extreme low; it fell 2.0% by day 1 and was 13.5% higher 30 days later, 10 points ahead of BTC; it had moved −11.9% in the 7 days before.
funding extreme low Funding -20% a year: shorts paying longs — −17.9% −1.7% −12.4% −14.3% −1.1% +7.4% binance_futures
Binance's RUNEUSDT perpetual: funding on 2026-01-31 added up to -0.0544% over the day (-20% a year), below 95% of its past year. The move is the coin's from that day's close, when the day's funding was known. On Feb 1, 2026 RUNE saw a funding extreme low; it fell 1.7% by day 1 and was 14.3% lower 30 days later, 1 points behind BTC; it had moved −17.9% in the 7 days before.
fee surge Fees up 3.1x: RUNE's protocol took $1.0M in a week 3.1% of circ. — +16.3% −5.2% −14.5% −39.8% −11.9% −36.4% defillama_fees
Users paid RUNE's protocol $1.0M in fees in the week to 2026-01-15 (DefiLlama), 3.1 times its weekly average over the 4 weeks before. DefiLlama fills a day in after it ends, so the event is dated 2026-01-17: the move is the coin's from the close a full day after that week. On Jan 17, 2026 RUNE saw a fee surge; it fell 5.2% by day 1 and was 39.8% lower 30 days later, 12 points behind BTC; it had moved +16.3% in the 7 days before.
funding extreme low Funding -19% a year: shorts paying longs — +3.4% +4.8% −1.4% −21.8% −5.4% −34.5% binance_futures
Binance's RUNEUSDT perpetual: funding on 2026-01-03 added up to -0.0511% over the day (-19% a year), below 95% of its past year. The move is the coin's from that day's close, when the day's funding was known. On Jan 4, 2026 RUNE saw a funding extreme low; it rose 4.8% by day 1 and was 21.8% lower 30 days later, 5 points behind BTC; it had moved +3.4% in the 7 days before.
2025
fee slump Fees down 0.5x: RUNE's protocol took $296k in a week 0.5% of circ. — −3.5% −4.5% −3.6% +2.1% +1.0% −27.7% defillama_fees
Users paid RUNE's protocol $296k in fees in the week to 2025-12-21 (DefiLlama), 0.5 times its weekly average over the 4 weeks before. DefiLlama fills a day in after it ends, so the event is dated 2025-12-23: the move is the coin's from the close a full day after that week. On Dec 23, 2025 RUNE saw a fee slump; it fell 4.5% by day 1 and was 2.1% higher 30 days later, 1 points ahead of BTC; it had moved −3.5% in the 7 days before.
fee slump Fees down 0.5x: RUNE's protocol took $331k in a week 0.5% of circ. — +2.3% −2.5% −16.7% −16.1% −4.5% −48.1% defillama_fees
Users paid RUNE's protocol $331k in fees in the week to 2025-11-12 (DefiLlama), 0.5 times its weekly average over the 4 weeks before. DefiLlama fills a day in after it ends, so the event is dated 2025-11-14: the move is the coin's from the close a full day after that week. On Nov 14, 2025 RUNE saw a fee slump; it fell 2.5% by day 1 and was 16.1% lower 30 days later, 5 points behind BTC; it had moved +2.3% in the 7 days before.
perpetual delisting Binance Futures Will Delist COIN-M RUNEUSD Perpetual Contract (2025-11-19) Binance +2.3% −2.5% −16.7% −16.1% −4.5% −48.1% announcement
On Nov 14, 2025 Binance removed the perpetual for RUNE; it fell 2.5% by day 1 and was 16.1% lower 30 days later, 5 points behind BTC; it had moved +2.3% in the 7 days before.
fee surge Fees up 2.2x: RUNE's protocol took $1.1M in a week 2.2% of circ. — −14.8% +0.5% +1.2% −2.1% −7.6% −45.1% defillama_fees
Users paid RUNE's protocol $1.1M in fees in the week to 2025-08-28 (DefiLlama), 2.2 times its weekly average over the 4 weeks before. DefiLlama fills a day in after it ends, so the event is dated 2025-08-30: the move is the coin's from the close a full day after that week. On Aug 30, 2025 RUNE saw a fee surge; it rose 0.5% by day 1 and was 2.1% lower 30 days later, 8 points behind BTC; it had moved −14.8% in the 7 days before.
fee slump Fees down 0.5x: RUNE's protocol took $443k in a week 0.5% of circ. — −5.3% +1.0% +15.7% −2.7% −8.0% −11.7% defillama_fees
Users paid RUNE's protocol $443k in fees in the week to 2025-07-05 (DefiLlama), 0.5 times its weekly average over the 4 weeks before. DefiLlama fills a day in after it ends, so the event is dated 2025-07-07: the move is the coin's from the close a full day after that week. On Jul 7, 2025 RUNE saw a fee slump; it rose 1.0% by day 1 and was 2.7% lower 30 days later, 8 points behind BTC; it had moved −5.3% in the 7 days before.
fee slump Fees down 0.5x: RUNE's protocol took $1.2M in a week 0.5% of circ. — −5.8% −2.6% +12.4% −1.2% −1.7% +56.1% defillama_fees
Users paid RUNE's protocol $1.2M in fees in the week to 2025-03-10 (DefiLlama), 0.5 times its weekly average over the 4 weeks before. DefiLlama fills a day in after it ends, so the event is dated 2025-03-12: the move is the coin's from the close a full day after that week. On Mar 12, 2025 RUNE saw a fee slump; it fell 2.6% by day 1 and was 1.2% lower 30 days later, 2 points behind BTC; it had moved −5.8% in the 7 days before.
fee surge Fees up 2.1x: RUNE's protocol took $2.8M in a week 2.1% of circ. — +36.8% −19.1% −22.5% −29.4% −27.5% +20.8% defillama_fees
Users paid RUNE's protocol $2.8M in fees in the week to 2025-02-25 (DefiLlama), 2.1 times its weekly average over the 4 weeks before. DefiLlama fills a day in after it ends, so the event is dated 2025-02-27: the move is the coin's from the close a full day after that week. On Feb 27, 2025 RUNE saw a fee surge; it fell 19.1% by day 1 and was 29.4% lower 30 days later, 28 points behind BTC; it had moved +36.8% in the 7 days before.
fee slump Fees down 0.4x: RUNE's protocol took $760k in a week 0.4% of circ. — −7.0% +4.4% −14.3% −20.8% −4.1% +39.0% defillama_fees
Users paid RUNE's protocol $760k in fees in the week to 2025-02-09 (DefiLlama), 0.4 times its weekly average over the 4 weeks before. DefiLlama fills a day in after it ends, so the event is dated 2025-02-11: the move is the coin's from the close a full day after that week. On Feb 11, 2025 RUNE saw a fee slump; it rose 4.4% by day 1 and was 20.8% lower 30 days later, 4 points behind BTC; it had moved −7.0% in the 7 days before.
TVL crash TVL fell 31% in a day −0.3% of circ. — −47.0% +2.0% +4.1% −3.7% +3.5% −5.7% defillama_tvl
RUNE's protocol TVL (DefiLlama) fell 31% during 2025-02-01, from $176M, and held at the next reading. Dated 2025-02-03, when that was clear; the move is the coin's from the close before. On Feb 3, 2025 RUNE saw a TVL crash; it rose 2.0% by day 1 and was 3.7% lower 30 days later, 4 points ahead of BTC; it had moved −47.0% in the 7 days before.
fee surge Fees up 2.1x: RUNE's protocol took $2.4M in a week 2.1% of circ. — −48.1% +20.0% −44.4% −35.1% −22.4% −34.8% defillama_fees
Users paid RUNE's protocol $2.4M in fees in the week to 2025-01-23 (DefiLlama), 2.1 times its weekly average over the 4 weeks before. DefiLlama fills a day in after it ends, so the event is dated 2025-01-25: the move is the coin's from the close a full day after that week. On Jan 25, 2025 RUNE saw a fee surge; it rose 20.0% by day 1 and was 35.1% lower 30 days later, 22 points behind BTC; it had moved −48.1% in the 7 days before.
2024
fee slump Fees down 0.5x: RUNE's protocol took $928k in a week 0.5% of circ. — −4.3% −4.6% +3.6% −56.8% −63.2% −76.3% defillama_fees
Users paid RUNE's protocol $928k in fees in the week to 2024-12-27 (DefiLlama), 0.5 times its weekly average over the 4 weeks before. DefiLlama fills a day in after it ends, so the event is dated 2024-12-29: the move is the coin's from the close a full day after that week. On Dec 29, 2024 RUNE saw a fee slump; it fell 4.6% by day 1 and was 56.8% lower 30 days later, 63 points behind BTC; it had moved −4.3% in the 7 days before.
fee surge Fees up 2.3x: RUNE's protocol took $2.2M in a week 2.3% of circ. — +25.3% −7.3% −13.7% +12.4% −3.0% −77.0% defillama_fees
Users paid RUNE's protocol $2.2M in fees in the week to 2024-11-11 (DefiLlama), 2.3 times its weekly average over the 4 weeks before. DefiLlama fills a day in after it ends, so the event is dated 2024-11-13: the move is the coin's from the close a full day after that week. On Nov 13, 2024 RUNE saw a fee surge; it fell 7.3% by day 1 and was 12.4% higher 30 days later, 3 points behind BTC; it had moved +25.3% in the 7 days before.
fee slump Fees down 0.5x: RUNE's protocol took $461k in a week 0.5% of circ. — −1.9% +3.1% +5.2% +22.2% +16.5% +65.3% defillama_fees
Users paid RUNE's protocol $461k in fees in the week to 2024-09-08 (DefiLlama), 0.5 times its weekly average over the 4 weeks before. DefiLlama fills a day in after it ends, so the event is dated 2024-09-10: the move is the coin's from the close a full day after that week. On Sep 10, 2024 RUNE saw a fee slump; it rose 3.1% by day 1 and was 22.2% higher 30 days later, 16 points ahead of BTC; it had moved −1.9% in the 7 days before.
fee surge Fees up 2.1x: RUNE's protocol took $1.3M in a week 2.1% of circ. — −6.5% +0.3% +11.3% +56.4% +33.0% +26.2% defillama_fees
Users paid RUNE's protocol $1.3M in fees in the week to 2024-02-20 (DefiLlama), 2.1 times its weekly average over the 4 weeks before. DefiLlama fills a day in after it ends, so the event is dated 2024-02-22: the move is the coin's from the close a full day after that week. On Feb 22, 2024 RUNE saw a fee surge; it rose 0.3% by day 1 and was 56.4% higher 30 days later, 33 points ahead of BTC; it had moved −6.5% in the 7 days before.
fee slump Fees down 0.5x: RUNE's protocol took $457k in a week 0.5% of circ. — +13.9% −5.2% +3.2% +23.9% −21.6% +4.4% defillama_fees
Users paid RUNE's protocol $457k in fees in the week to 2024-01-30 (DefiLlama), 0.5 times its weekly average over the 4 weeks before. DefiLlama fills a day in after it ends, so the event is dated 2024-02-01: the move is the coin's from the close a full day after that week. On Feb 1, 2024 RUNE saw a fee slump; it fell 5.2% by day 1 and was 23.9% higher 30 days later, 22 points behind BTC; it had moved +13.9% in the 7 days before.
2023
fee surge Fees up 3.3x: RUNE's protocol took $1.4M in a week 3.3% of circ. — +53.3% −4.5% +2.6% +13.9% −1.7% +0.7% defillama_fees
Users paid RUNE's protocol $1.4M in fees in the week to 2023-11-11 (DefiLlama), 3.3 times its weekly average over the 4 weeks before. DefiLlama fills a day in after it ends, so the event is dated 2023-11-13: the move is the coin's from the close a full day after that week. On Nov 13, 2023 RUNE saw a fee surge; it fell 4.5% by day 1 and was 13.9% higher 30 days later, 2 points behind BTC; it had moved +53.3% in the 7 days before.
fee slump Fees down 0.4x: RUNE's protocol took $270k in a week 0.4% of circ. — −4.4% −7.1% +30.1% +266.9% +227.5% +168.1% defillama_fees
Users paid RUNE's protocol $270k in fees in the week to 2023-10-14 (DefiLlama), 0.4 times its weekly average over the 4 weeks before. DefiLlama fills a day in after it ends, so the event is dated 2023-10-16: the move is the coin's from the close a full day after that week. On Oct 16, 2023 RUNE saw a fee slump; it fell 7.1% by day 1 and was 266.9% higher 30 days later, 228 points ahead of BTC; it had moved −4.4% in the 7 days before.
fee surge Fees up 2.6x: RUNE's protocol took $700k in a week 2.6% of circ. — +18.3% +1.3% −16.8% +38.7% +11.6% +164.4% defillama_fees
Users paid RUNE's protocol $700k in fees in the week to 2023-10-01 (DefiLlama), 2.6 times its weekly average over the 4 weeks before. DefiLlama fills a day in after it ends, so the event is dated 2023-10-03: the move is the coin's from the close a full day after that week. On Oct 3, 2023 RUNE saw a fee surge; it rose 1.3% by day 1 and was 38.7% higher 30 days later, 12 points ahead of BTC; it had moved +18.3% in the 7 days before.
fee slump Fees down 0.5x: RUNE's protocol took $184k in a week 0.5% of circ. — +5.5% −3.7% +21.4% +6.0% +2.0% +328.0% defillama_fees
Users paid RUNE's protocol $184k in fees in the week to 2023-09-09 (DefiLlama), 0.5 times its weekly average over the 4 weeks before. DefiLlama fills a day in after it ends, so the event is dated 2023-09-11: the move is the coin's from the close a full day after that week. On Sep 11, 2023 RUNE saw a fee slump; it fell 3.7% by day 1 and was 6.0% higher 30 days later, 2 points ahead of BTC; it had moved +5.5% in the 7 days before.
fee surge Fees up 2.0x: RUNE's protocol took $603k in a week 2.0% of circ. — −5.4% −1.6% −5.3% +60.5% +73.0% +78.5% defillama_fees
Users paid RUNE's protocol $603k in fees in the week to 2023-07-21 (DefiLlama), 2.0 times its weekly average over the 4 weeks before. DefiLlama fills a day in after it ends, so the event is dated 2023-07-23: the move is the coin's from the close a full day after that week. On Jul 23, 2023 RUNE saw a fee surge; it fell 1.6% by day 1 and was 60.5% higher 30 days later, 73 points ahead of BTC; it had moved −5.4% in the 7 days before.
fee surge Fees up 2.2x: RUNE's protocol took $350k in a week 2.2% of circ. — −17.3% +16.4% +19.9% +34.5% −13.1% −21.8% defillama_fees
Users paid RUNE's protocol $350k in fees in the week to 2023-03-10 (DefiLlama), 2.2 times its weekly average over the 4 weeks before. DefiLlama fills a day in after it ends, so the event is dated 2023-03-12: the move is the coin's from the close a full day after that week. On Mar 12, 2023 RUNE saw a fee surge; it rose 16.4% by day 1 and was 34.5% higher 30 days later, 13 points behind BTC; it had moved −17.3% in the 7 days before.
fee surge Fees up 2.1x: RUNE's protocol took $235k in a week 2.1% of circ. — +23.2% −2.8% −1.1% +3.5% −13.0% −3.9% defillama_fees
Users paid RUNE's protocol $235k in fees in the week to 2023-01-14 (DefiLlama), 2.1 times its weekly average over the 4 weeks before. DefiLlama fills a day in after it ends, so the event is dated 2023-01-16: the move is the coin's from the close a full day after that week. On Jan 16, 2023 RUNE saw a fee surge; it fell 2.8% by day 1 and was 3.5% higher 30 days later, 13 points behind BTC; it had moved +23.2% in the 7 days before.
2022
fee slump Fees down 0.5x: RUNE's protocol took $89k in a week 0.5% of circ. — +8.5% +8.1% +11.9% +3.7% +2.7% +27.7% defillama_fees
Users paid RUNE's protocol $89k in fees in the week to 2022-11-28 (DefiLlama), 0.5 times its weekly average over the 4 weeks before. DefiLlama fills a day in after it ends, so the event is dated 2022-11-30: the move is the coin's from the close a full day after that week. On Nov 30, 2022 RUNE saw a fee slump; it rose 8.1% by day 1 and was 3.7% higher 30 days later, 3 points ahead of BTC; it had moved +8.5% in the 7 days before.
fee surge Fees up 2.1x: RUNE's protocol took $160k in a week 2.1% of circ. — +2.9% −36.4% −24.0% −12.0% +4.3% +8.7% defillama_fees
Users paid RUNE's protocol $160k in fees in the week to 2022-11-06 (DefiLlama), 2.1 times its weekly average over the 4 weeks before. DefiLlama fills a day in after it ends, so the event is dated 2022-11-08: the move is the coin's from the close a full day after that week. On Nov 8, 2022 RUNE saw a fee surge; it fell 36.4% by day 1 and was 12.0% lower 30 days later, 4 points ahead of BTC; it had moved +2.9% in the 7 days before.
fee slump Fees down 0.5x: RUNE's protocol took $52k in a week 0.5% of circ. — −5.0% +3.7% +4.0% +1.3% −4.8% −17.5% defillama_fees
Users paid RUNE's protocol $52k in fees in the week to 2022-09-30 (DefiLlama), 0.5 times its weekly average over the 4 weeks before. DefiLlama fills a day in after it ends, so the event is dated 2022-10-02: the move is the coin's from the close a full day after that week. On Oct 2, 2022 RUNE saw a fee slump; it rose 3.7% by day 1 and was 1.3% higher 30 days later, 5 points behind BTC; it had moved −5.0% in the 7 days before.
TVL surge TVL rose 20% in a day 0.2% of circ. — +25.3% +0.8% +8.0% −20.8% −11.8% −45.3% defillama_tvl
RUNE's protocol TVL (DefiLlama) rose 20% during 2022-07-19, from $134M, and held at the next reading. Dated 2022-07-21, when that was clear; the move is the coin's from the close before. On Jul 21, 2022 RUNE saw a TVL surge; it rose 0.8% by day 1 and was 20.8% lower 30 days later, 12 points behind BTC; it had moved +25.3% in the 7 days before.
fee slump Fees down 0.5x: RUNE's protocol took $330k in a week 0.5% of circ. — +12.0% −16.0% −12.7% −43.6% −6.5% −40.8% defillama_fees
Users paid RUNE's protocol $330k in fees in the week to 2022-05-29 (DefiLlama), 0.5 times its weekly average over the 4 weeks before. DefiLlama fills a day in after it ends, so the event is dated 2022-05-31: the move is the coin's from the close a full day after that week. On May 31, 2022 RUNE saw a fee slump; it fell 16.0% by day 1 and was 43.6% lower 30 days later, 6 points behind BTC; it had moved +12.0% in the 7 days before.
spot listing Binance Adds APE/AUD, AVAX/GBP, BIFI/USDT, GMT/EUR, IMX/BNB & RUNE/ETH Trading Pairs Binance +41.9% +3.5% −17.6% −49.3% −29.3% −83.7% announcement
On Mar 31, 2022 Binance listed RUNE; it rose 3.5% by day 1 and was 49.3% lower 30 days later, 29 points behind BTC; it had moved +41.9% in the 7 days before.
fee surge Fees up 2.0x: RUNE's protocol took $327k in a week 2.0% of circ. — +70.0% +5.8% +18.0% +14.9% +14.2% −74.9% defillama_fees
Users paid RUNE's protocol $327k in fees in the week to 2022-03-13 (DefiLlama), 2.0 times its weekly average over the 4 weeks before. DefiLlama fills a day in after it ends, so the event is dated 2022-03-15: the move is the coin's from the close a full day after that week. On Mar 15, 2022 RUNE saw a fee surge; it rose 5.8% by day 1 and was 14.9% higher 30 days later, 14 points ahead of BTC; it had moved +70.0% in the 7 days before.
fee slump Fees down 0.4x: RUNE's protocol took $166k in a week 0.4% of circ. — −6.1% +11.9% +18.3% +25.0% +18.3% +94.6% defillama_fees
Users paid RUNE's protocol $166k in fees in the week to 2022-02-01 (DefiLlama), 0.4 times its weekly average over the 4 weeks before. DefiLlama fills a day in after it ends, so the event is dated 2022-02-03: the move is the coin's from the close a full day after that week. On Feb 3, 2022 RUNE saw a fee slump; it rose 11.9% by day 1 and was 25.0% higher 30 days later, 18 points ahead of BTC; it had moved −6.1% in the 7 days before.
2021
fee slump Fees down 0.5x: RUNE's protocol took $223k in a week 0.5% of circ. — −7.7% −1.6% +20.2% −10.1% −0.5% +36.2% defillama_fees
Users paid RUNE's protocol $223k in fees in the week to 2021-12-17 (DefiLlama), 0.5 times its weekly average over the 4 weeks before. DefiLlama fills a day in after it ends, so the event is dated 2021-12-19: the move is the coin's from the close a full day after that week. On Dec 19, 2021 RUNE saw a fee slump; it fell 1.6% by day 1 and was 10.1% lower 30 days later, 1 points behind BTC; it had moved −7.7% in the 7 days before.
perpetual listing Bybit lists RUNE perpetual Bybit +3.0% +1.1% −31.7% −39.1% −20.2% −68.9% instruments
RUNEUSDT perpetual trading. On Nov 29, 2021 Bybit opened perpetual futures for RUNE; it rose 1.1% by day 1 and was 39.1% lower 30 days later, 20 points behind BTC; it had moved +3.0% in the 7 days before.
fee slump Fees down 0.4x: RUNE's protocol took $373k in a week 0.4% of circ. — −23.1% +17.6% +12.5% −37.0% −19.1% −57.6% defillama_fees
Users paid RUNE's protocol $373k in fees in the week to 2021-11-17 (DefiLlama), 0.4 times its weekly average over the 4 weeks before. DefiLlama fills a day in after it ends, so the event is dated 2021-11-19: the move is the coin's from the close a full day after that week. On Nov 19, 2021 RUNE saw a fee slump; it rose 17.6% by day 1 and was 37.0% lower 30 days later, 19 points behind BTC; it had moved −23.1% in the 7 days before.
TVL surge TVL rose 32% in a day 0.3% of circ. — +7.3% −3.1% −15.8% −44.8% −25.2% −72.8% defillama_tvl
RUNE's protocol TVL (DefiLlama) rose 32% during 2021-11-03, from $304M, and held at the next reading. Dated 2021-11-05, when that was clear; the move is the coin's from the close before. On Nov 5, 2021 RUNE saw a TVL surge; it fell 3.1% by day 1 and was 44.8% lower 30 days later, 25 points behind BTC; it had moved +7.3% in the 7 days before.
fee surge Fees up 2.1x: RUNE's protocol took $59k in a week 2.1% of circ. — −4.0% −2.9% +36.2% +51.6% +48.4% −20.0% defillama_fees
Users paid RUNE's protocol $59k in fees in the week to 2021-10-14 (DefiLlama), 2.1 times its weekly average over the 4 weeks before. DefiLlama fills a day in after it ends, so the event is dated 2021-10-16: the move is the coin's from the close a full day after that week. On Oct 16, 2021 RUNE saw a fee surge; it fell 2.9% by day 1 and was 51.6% higher 30 days later, 48 points ahead of BTC; it had moved −4.0% in the 7 days before.
TVL surge TVL rose 100% in a day 1.0% of circ. — +14.1% −6.0% −24.8% −20.8% −51.9% −35.5% defillama_tvl
RUNE's protocol TVL (DefiLlama) rose 100% during 2021-09-16, from $102M, and held at the next reading. Dated 2021-09-18, when that was clear; the move is the coin's from the close before. On Sep 18, 2021 RUNE saw a TVL surge; it fell 6.0% by day 1 and was 20.8% lower 30 days later, 52 points behind BTC; it had moved +14.1% in the 7 days before.
hallmark Protocol resumed — +12.6% −4.5% −10.1% −20.4% −46.9% −34.6% defillama
On Sep 16, 2021 RUNE saw a hallmark; it fell 4.5% by day 1 and was 20.4% lower 30 days later, 47 points behind BTC; it had moved +12.6% in the 7 days before.
hack THORChain DEX exploited for $8M — −25.0% −10.8% +27.1% +163.0% +111.2% +85.4% defillama
Withdrawal Logic Flaw On Jul 22, 2021 RUNE was hacked; it fell 10.8% by day 1 and was 163.0% higher 30 days later, 111 points ahead of BTC; it had moved −25.0% in the 7 days before.
fee surge Fees up 6.6x: RUNE's protocol took $1.9M in a week 6.6% of circ. — −26.1% −10.8% −21.7% +88.1% +41.9% +74.0% defillama_fees
Users paid RUNE's protocol $1.9M in fees in the week to 2021-07-15 (DefiLlama), 6.6 times its weekly average over the 4 weeks before. DefiLlama fills a day in after it ends, so the event is dated 2021-07-17: the move is the coin's from the close a full day after that week. On Jul 17, 2021 RUNE saw a fee surge; it fell 10.8% by day 1 and was 88.1% higher 30 days later, 42 points ahead of BTC; it had moved −26.1% in the 7 days before.
hack THORChain DEX exploited for $5M — −19.3% −19.9% −39.3% +34.7% −8.7% +27.8% defillama
Bridge Logic Flaw On Jul 15, 2021 RUNE was hacked; it fell 19.9% by day 1 and was 34.7% higher 30 days later, 9 points behind BTC; it had moved −19.3% in the 7 days before.
fee slump Fees down 0.4x: RUNE's protocol took $123k in a week 0.4% of circ. — 0.0% −6.2% −42.3% +11.0% −23.2% +21.6% defillama_fees
Users paid RUNE's protocol $123k in fees in the week to 2021-07-11 (DefiLlama), 0.4 times its weekly average over the 4 weeks before. DefiLlama fills a day in after it ends, so the event is dated 2021-07-13: the move is the coin's from the close a full day after that week. On Jul 13, 2021 RUNE saw a fee slump; it fell 6.2% by day 1 and was 11.0% higher 30 days later, 23 points behind BTC; it had moved 0.0% in the 7 days before.
TVL surge TVL rose 30% in a day 0.3% of circ. — +7.1% +7.9% +5.6% +25.9% +10.0% +37.3% defillama_tvl
RUNE's protocol TVL (DefiLlama) rose 30% during 2021-07-01, from $88M, and held at the next reading. Dated 2021-07-03, when that was clear; the move is the coin's from the close before. On Jul 3, 2021 RUNE saw a TVL surge; it rose 7.9% by day 1 and was 25.9% higher 30 days later, 10 points ahead of BTC; it had moved +7.1% in the 7 days before.
hack THORChain DEX exploited for $350k — +5.9% +7.1% +11.1% −13.6% −29.6% +9.8% defillama
Bridge Logic Flaw On Jun 29, 2021 RUNE was hacked; it rose 7.1% by day 1 and was 13.6% lower 30 days later, 30 points behind BTC; it had moved +5.9% in the 7 days before.
TVL crash TVL fell 21% in a day −0.2% of circ. — −32.7% −6.3% +11.2% −41.7% −43.8% +24.4% defillama_tvl
RUNE's protocol TVL (DefiLlama) fell 21% during 2021-06-20, from $94M, and held at the next reading. Dated 2021-06-22, when that was clear; the move is the coin's from the close before. On Jun 22, 2021 RUNE saw a TVL crash; it fell 6.3% by day 1 and was 41.7% lower 30 days later, 44 points behind BTC; it had moved −32.7% in the 7 days before.
TVL surge TVL rose 27% in a day 0.3% of circ. — −2.6% +5.3% −40.0% −44.8% −23.4% −5.5% defillama_tvl
RUNE's protocol TVL (DefiLlama) rose 27% during 2021-06-13, from $72M, and held at the next reading. Dated 2021-06-15, when that was clear; the move is the coin's from the close before. On Jun 15, 2021 RUNE saw a TVL surge; it rose 5.3% by day 1 and was 44.8% lower 30 days later, 23 points behind BTC; it had moved −2.6% in the 7 days before.
fee slump Fees down 0.4x: RUNE's protocol took $154k in a week 0.4% of circ. — +6.3% −14.1% −21.4% −33.8% −30.1% −2.7% defillama_fees
Users paid RUNE's protocol $154k in fees in the week to 2021-06-04 (DefiLlama), 0.4 times its weekly average over the 4 weeks before. DefiLlama fills a day in after it ends, so the event is dated 2021-06-06: the move is the coin's from the close a full day after that week. On Jun 6, 2021 RUNE saw a fee slump; it fell 14.1% by day 1 and was 33.8% lower 30 days later, 30 points behind BTC; it had moved +6.3% in the 7 days before.
TVL surge TVL rose 28% in a day 0.3% of circ. — −2.8% −6.9% −31.5% −51.6% −43.9% −13.5% defillama_tvl
RUNE's protocol TVL (DefiLlama) rose 28% during 2021-06-01, from $67M, and held at the next reading. Dated 2021-06-03, when that was clear; the move is the coin's from the close before. On Jun 3, 2021 RUNE saw a TVL surge; it fell 6.9% by day 1 and was 51.6% lower 30 days later, 44 points behind BTC; it had moved −2.8% in the 7 days before.
TVL surge TVL rose 23% in a day 0.2% of circ. — −44.4% +24.8% +13.2% −37.5% −26.8% +12.0% defillama_tvl
RUNE's protocol TVL (DefiLlama) rose 23% during 2021-05-23, from $37M, and held at the next reading. Dated 2021-05-25, when that was clear; the move is the coin's from the close before. On May 25, 2021 RUNE saw a TVL surge; it rose 24.8% by day 1 and was 37.5% lower 30 days later, 27 points behind BTC; it had moved −44.4% in the 7 days before.
fee surge Fees up 2.1x: RUNE's protocol took $438k in a week 2.1% of circ. — −46.4% +8.2% +17.1% −43.6% −30.4% +19.9% defillama_fees
Users paid RUNE's protocol $438k in fees in the week to 2021-05-21 (DefiLlama), 2.1 times its weekly average over the 4 weeks before. DefiLlama fills a day in after it ends, so the event is dated 2021-05-23: the move is the coin's from the close a full day after that week. On May 23, 2021 RUNE saw a fee surge; it rose 8.2% by day 1 and was 43.6% lower 30 days later, 30 points behind BTC; it had moved −46.4% in the 7 days before.
TVL crash TVL fell 26% in a day −0.3% of circ. — −33.7% −10.2% +21.6% −37.0% −33.7% −30.3% defillama_tvl
RUNE's protocol TVL (DefiLlama) fell 26% during 2021-05-18, from $73M, and held at the next reading. Dated 2021-05-20, when that was clear; the move is the coin's from the close before. On May 20, 2021 RUNE saw a TVL crash; it fell 10.2% by day 1 and was 37.0% lower 30 days later, 34 points behind BTC; it had moved −33.7% in the 7 days before.
all-time high RUNE all-time high: $21.29 — +13.0% −33.1% −37.4% −59.9% −43.5% −58.8% derived
Highest daily close in our price history. On May 19, 2021 RUNE set an all-time high; it fell 33.1% by day 1 and was 59.9% lower 30 days later, 44 points behind BTC; it had moved +13.0% in the 7 days before.
TVL surge TVL rose 107% in a day 1.1% of circ. — +29.6% −2.0% −5.3% −42.2% −4.0% −56.9% defillama_tvl
RUNE's protocol TVL (DefiLlama) rose 107% during 2021-05-04, from $26M, and held at the next reading. Dated 2021-05-06, when that was clear; the move is the coin's from the close before. On May 6, 2021 RUNE saw a TVL surge; it fell 2.0% by day 1 and was 42.2% lower 30 days later, 4 points behind BTC; it had moved +29.6% in the 7 days before.
TVL surge TVL rose 68% in a day 0.7% of circ. — −0.3% −3.8% +24.2% −26.8% +8.3% −72.9% defillama_tvl
RUNE's protocol TVL (DefiLlama) rose 68% during 2021-04-26, from $14M, and held at the next reading. Dated 2021-04-28, when that was clear; the move is the coin's from the close before. On Apr 28, 2021 RUNE saw a TVL surge; it fell 3.8% by day 1 and was 26.8% lower 30 days later, 8 points ahead of BTC; it had moved −0.3% in the 7 days before.
2020
perpetual listing Binance lists RUNE perpetual Binance — −22.1% −8.5% −44.5% −49.7% +24.5% instruments
RUNEUSDT perpetual trading. On Sep 4, 2020 Binance opened perpetual futures for RUNE; it fell 22.1% by day 1 and was 44.5% lower 30 days later, 50 points behind BTC.
spot listing Binance Adds FIO/USDT and RUNE/USDT Trading Pairs Binance — −22.1% −8.5% −44.5% −49.7% +24.5% announcement
On Sep 4, 2020 Binance listed RUNE; it fell 22.1% by day 1 and was 44.5% lower 30 days later, 50 points behind BTC.
spot listing Binance Lists THORChain (RUNE) Binance — — — — — — announcement
Binance listed RUNE on Jul 24, 2020; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.

Source: events from CoinPaprika, DefiLlama and exchange announcements; effects computed by PatternPlus (see methodology) · fetched

Against the venue medianMEASURED

How RUNE's events compare with the venue median

as of · event_stats computed by PatternPlusread it →

Venue · kindRUNE median day 30RUNE nVenue median day 30Venue nUp after 30 d (venue)Position
all venues · fee surge+13.7%19−1.0%56349.0%above the venue median above
all venues · funding extreme low+3.5%7−4.6%81142.2%above the venue median above
all venues · hack+10.6%4−10.7%11736.8%above the venue median above
all venues · fee slump+1.3%21−8.5%48036.5%above the venue median above
Binance · perpetual delisting−16.1%1−12.2%1625.0%below the venue median below
all venues · TVL crash−37.0%3−9.1%41132.6%below the venue median below
all venues · TVL surge−37.5%9−10.0%41437.0%below the venue median below
Binance · spot listing−46.9%2−19.8%27432.5%below the venue median below
Bybit · perpetual listing−39.1%1−16.9%44633.4%below the venue median below
all venues · hallmark−20.4%1−20.4%7925.3%below the venue median below
all venues · all-time high−59.9%1−38.6%6446.2%below the venue median below
Binance · perpetual listing−44.5%1−14.7%49739.2%below the venue median below
VenueKindnMedian next dayMedian 7 daysMedian 30 daysUp after 30 daysMean 30 days
all venuesall-time high644−3.7%−17.1%−38.6%6.2%−37.0%
all venuesfee slump480−0.7%−2.6%−8.5%36.5%−4.6%
all venuesfee surge563+0.2%−0.6%−1.0%49.0%+7.9%
all venuesfunding extreme low811−0.8%−2.0%−4.6%42.2%−0.6%
all venuesperpetual delisting105−2.4%−6.0%−11.2%30.5%−5.2%
all venuesperpetual listing1194−0.4%−7.0%−16.4%36.4%+2.6%
all venueshack117−4.9%−5.7%−10.7%36.8%−3.8%
all venueshallmark79−2.3%−8.4%−20.4%25.3%−10.3%
all venuesspot listing709−2.1%−7.9%−15.3%34.1%−1.1%
all venuesTVL crash4110.0%−1.3%−9.1%32.6%−0.6%
all venuesTVL surge414−0.9%−2.6%−10.0%37.0%+1.2%
Binanceperpetual delisting16−0.3%−10.0%−12.2%25.0%+0.8%
Binanceperpetual listing497−0.3%−5.2%−14.7%39.2%+9.3%
Binancespot listing274−2.3%−7.0%−19.8%32.5%−3.4%
Bybitperpetual delisting85−2.7%−6.0%−13.1%31.8%−6.3%
Bybitperpetual listing446−0.3%−7.4%−16.9%33.4%−2.3%
Bybitspot listing180−3.8%−13.3%−22.8%27.2%−11.6%
OKXperpetual delisting4+2.5%+5.5%−6.5%25.0%−6.8%
OKXperpetual listing251−0.6%−6.8%−16.9%36.3%−1.9%
OKXspot listing255−0.8%−5.9%−7.8%40.8%+8.8%

computed 2026-10-06 from every measured event on record

Source: event_stats, all measured events on record · fetched

Issuer powersON RECORD

What the issuer can do to RUNE holders (checked Oct 6, 2026)

as of · no checkread it →

NO DATA YET No on-chain power check is available for RUNE on None as of Oct 6, 2026.

Source: none · GoPlus / Jupiter token API / protocol documentation

Holders and controlON RECORD

Holders and control

as of · explorerread it →

MeasureValueBar / trendChecked
Holders—holders, 90 d 90 d2026-10-06
Top-10 share of supply—2026-10-06
Developer balance—2026-10-06
Liquidity-pool tokens locked—2026-10-06
Organic score (Jupiter)—2026-10-06
Creator address—created —

Source: explorer · holder series from PatternPlus snapshots

RUNE unlock scheduleMEASURED

RUNE unlock schedule and what past unlocks did

as of · On-chain vesting · PatternPlus effectsread it →

Source: on-chain vesting contracts (Sablier, Hedgey, UNCX, Team Finance, Streamflow and Jupiter Lock) · effects by PatternPlus · fetched

Life of RUNE since Sep 4, 2020MEASURED

Life of RUNE since Sep 4, 2020

as of · Binance daily closes · PatternPlus snapshotsread it →

Life of RUNE: price, rank and 71 events20212022202320242025202620.340.3210rank 167ATH 21.29 · 2021-05-19tracked since 2020-09-042020-07-24 · Binance Lists THORChain (RUNE)2020-09-04 · Binance lists RUNE perpetual · day 30 −44.5%2020-09-04 · Binance Adds FIO/USDT and RUNE/USDT Trading Pairs · day 30 −44.5%2021-04-28 · TVL rose 68% in a day · day 30 −26.8%2021-05-06 · TVL rose 107% in a day · day 30 −42.2%2021-05-19 · RUNE all-time high: $21.29 · day 30 −59.9%ATH −59.9%2021-05-20 · TVL fell 26% in a day · day 30 −37.0%2021-05-23 · Fees up 2.1x: RUNE's protocol took $438k in a week · day 30 −43.6%2021-05-25 · TVL rose 23% in a day · day 30 −37.5%2021-06-03 · TVL rose 28% in a day · day 30 −51.6%2021-06-06 · Fees down 0.4x: RUNE's protocol took $154k in a week · day 30 −33.8%2021-06-15 · TVL rose 27% in a day · day 30 −44.8%2021-06-22 · TVL fell 21% in a day · day 30 −41.7%2021-06-29 · THORChain DEX exploited for $350k · day 30 −13.6%2021-07-03 · TVL rose 30% in a day · day 30 +25.9%2021-07-13 · Fees down 0.4x: RUNE's protocol took $123k in a week · day 30 +11.0%2021-07-15 · THORChain DEX exploited for $5M · day 30 +34.7%2021-07-17 · Fees up 6.6x: RUNE's protocol took $1.9M in a week · day 30 +88.1%fees_jump +88.1%2021-07-22 · THORChain DEX exploited for $8M · day 30 +163.0%hack +163.0%2021-09-16 · Protocol resumed · day 30 −20.4%2021-09-18 · TVL rose 100% in a day · day 30 −20.8%2021-10-16 · Fees up 2.1x: RUNE's protocol took $59k in a week · day 30 +51.6%2021-11-05 · TVL rose 32% in a day · day 30 −44.8%2021-11-19 · Fees down 0.4x: RUNE's protocol took $373k in a week · day 30 −37.0%2021-11-29 · Bybit lists RUNE perpetual · day 30 −39.1%2021-12-19 · Fees down 0.5x: RUNE's protocol took $223k in a week · day 30 −10.1%2022-02-03 · Fees down 0.4x: RUNE's protocol took $166k in a week · day 30 +25.0%2022-03-15 · Fees up 2.0x: RUNE's protocol took $327k in a week · day 30 +14.9%2022-03-31 · Binance Adds APE/AUD, AVAX/GBP, BIFI/USDT, GMT/EUR, IMX/BNB & RUNE/ETH Trading Pairs · day 30 −49.3%2022-05-31 · Fees down 0.5x: RUNE's protocol took $330k in a week · day 30 −43.6%2022-07-21 · TVL rose 20% in a day · day 30 −20.8%2022-10-02 · Fees down 0.5x: RUNE's protocol took $52k in a week · day 30 +1.3%2022-11-08 · Fees up 2.1x: RUNE's protocol took $160k in a week · day 30 −12.0%2022-11-30 · Fees down 0.5x: RUNE's protocol took $89k in a week · day 30 +3.7%2023-01-16 · Fees up 2.1x: RUNE's protocol took $235k in a week · day 30 +3.5%2023-03-12 · Fees up 2.2x: RUNE's protocol took $350k in a week · day 30 +34.5%2023-07-23 · Fees up 2.0x: RUNE's protocol took $603k in a week · day 30 +60.5%fees_jump +60.5%2023-09-11 · Fees down 0.5x: RUNE's protocol took $184k in a week · day 30 +6.0%2023-10-03 · Fees up 2.6x: RUNE's protocol took $700k in a week · day 30 +38.7%2023-10-16 · Fees down 0.4x: RUNE's protocol took $270k in a week · day 30 +266.9%fees_drop +266.9%2023-11-13 · Fees up 3.3x: RUNE's protocol took $1.4M in a week · day 30 +13.9%2024-02-01 · Fees down 0.5x: RUNE's protocol took $457k in a week · day 30 +23.9%2024-02-22 · Fees up 2.1x: RUNE's protocol took $1.3M in a week · day 30 +56.4%fees_jump +56.4%2024-09-10 · Fees down 0.5x: RUNE's protocol took $461k in a week · day 30 +22.2%2024-11-13 · Fees up 2.3x: RUNE's protocol took $2.2M in a week · day 30 +12.4%2024-12-29 · Fees down 0.5x: RUNE's protocol took $928k in a week · day 30 −56.8%fees_drop −56.8%2025-01-25 · Fees up 2.1x: RUNE's protocol took $2.4M in a week · day 30 −35.1%2025-02-03 · TVL fell 31% in a day · day 30 −3.7%2025-02-11 · Fees down 0.4x: RUNE's protocol took $760k in a week · day 30 −20.8%2025-02-27 · Fees up 2.1x: RUNE's protocol took $2.8M in a week · day 30 −29.4%2025-03-12 · Fees down 0.5x: RUNE's protocol took $1.2M in a week · day 30 −1.2%2025-07-07 · Fees down 0.5x: RUNE's protocol took $443k in a week · day 30 −2.7%2025-08-30 · Fees up 2.2x: RUNE's protocol took $1.1M in a week · day 30 −2.1%2025-11-14 · Fees down 0.5x: RUNE's protocol took $331k in a week · day 30 −16.1%2025-11-14 · Binance Futures Will Delist COIN-M RUNEUSD Perpetual Contract (2025-11-19) · day 30 −16.1%2025-12-23 · Fees down 0.5x: RUNE's protocol took $296k in a week · day 30 +2.1%2026-01-04 · Funding -19% a year: shorts paying longs · day 30 −21.8%2026-01-17 · Fees up 3.1x: RUNE's protocol took $1.0M in a week · day 30 −39.8%2026-02-01 · Funding -20% a year: shorts paying longs · day 30 −14.3%2026-02-11 · Funding -34% a year: shorts paying longs · day 30 +13.5%2026-02-16 · Fees down 0.5x: RUNE's protocol took $317k in a week · day 30 +4.4%2026-03-01 · Funding -20% a year: shorts paying longs · day 30 +3.5%2026-03-28 · Fees down 0.5x: RUNE's protocol took $186k in a week · day 30 +28.1%2026-04-05 · Funding -20% a year: shorts paying longs · day 30 +44.3%2026-04-23 · Fees up 3.8x: RUNE's protocol took $691k in a week · day 30 −8.8%2026-05-11 · Fees down 0.4x: RUNE's protocol took $272k in a week · day 30 −38.0%2026-05-15 · THORChain DEX exploited for $10.70M · day 30 −33.3%2026-05-18 · Funding -22% a year: shorts paying longs · day 30 −5.6%2026-07-01 · Fees up 9.5x: RUNE's protocol took $125k in a week · day 30 +13.7%2026-07-22 · Funding -16% a year: shorts paying longs · day 30 +4.4%2026-09-04 · Fees up 2.0x: RUNE's protocol took $358k in a week · day 30 +62.4%fees_jump +62.4%spot listingperp / delistingunlockhackraiseauditATH / rebrandfill = day-30 move: green up, red down, orange within ±5.5%, hollow = not yet measured

Source: CoinPaprika prices; effects computed by PatternPlus · fetched

PatternPlus historyON RECORD4 daily rows

Rank, holders, TVL and price recorded by PatternPlus since Oct 3, 2026

as of · PatternPlus metrics_dailyread it →

rank, 4 d

rank167168

#167 2026-10-06

price, 4 d

price0.77990.7312

$0.7729 2026-10-06

market cap, 4 d

market cap264.22M247.72M

$261.84M 2026-10-06

FDV, 4 d

FDV323.64M303.43M

$320.74M 2026-10-06

24 h volume, 4 d · 7-d mean

24 h volume9.54M6.64M

$6.37M 2026-10-06

TVL, 4 d

TVL74.81M70.92M

$73.42M 2026-10-06

holders, 4 d

holders

— 2026-10-06

Last 90 daily rows of 4 on record
DateRankPriceMarket capFDV24 h volumeTVLHolders
October 2026
167$0.7729$261.84M$320.74M$6.37M$73.42M—
168$0.7799$264.22M$323.64M$15.35M$74.26M—
168$0.7312$247.72M$303.43M$6.64M$74.81M—
168$0.7312$247.72M$303.43M$6.64M$70.92M—

Source: PatternPlus daily snapshots (metrics_daily, tvl_history, prices) · fetched

Change logON RECORD

What changed on this page

as of · page_changesread it →

DateFieldOldNewNote
eventfunding_low44.21KNew record entry (funding low, Feb 1, 2026): Funding -20% a year: shorts paying longs.
eventfunding_low44.21KNew record entry (funding low, Feb 11, 2026): Funding -34% a year: shorts paying longs.
eventfees_drop41.2KNew record entry (fees drop, Feb 16, 2026): Fees down 0.5x: RUNE's protocol took $317k in a week.
eventfunding_low44.21KNew record entry (funding low, Mar 1, 2026): Funding -20% a year: shorts paying longs.
eventfees_drop41.2KNew record entry (fees drop, Mar 28, 2026): Fees down 0.5x: RUNE's protocol took $186k in a week.
eventfunding_low44.21KNew record entry (funding low, Apr 5, 2026): Funding -20% a year: shorts paying longs.
eventfees_jump41.2KNew record entry (fees jump, Apr 23, 2026): Fees up 3.8x: RUNE's protocol took $691k in a week.
eventfees_drop41.2KNew record entry (fees drop, May 11, 2026): Fees down 0.4x: RUNE's protocol took $272k in a week.
eventfunding_low44.21KNew record entry (funding low, May 18, 2026): Funding -22% a year: shorts paying longs.
eventfees_jump41.2KNew record entry (fees jump, Jul 1, 2026): Fees up 9.5x: RUNE's protocol took $125k in a week.
eventfunding_low44.21KNew record entry (funding low, Jul 22, 2026): Funding -16% a year: shorts paying longs.
eventfees_jump41.2KNew record entry (fees jump, Sep 4, 2026): Fees up 2.0x: RUNE's protocol took $358k in a week.
eventfunding_low36.26KNew record entry (funding low, Feb 1, 2026): Funding -20% a year: shorts paying longs.
eventfunding_low36.26KNew record entry (funding low, Feb 11, 2026): Funding -34% a year: shorts paying longs.
eventfees_drop33.47KNew record entry (fees drop, Feb 16, 2026): Fees down 0.5x: RUNE's protocol took $317k in a week.
eventfunding_low36.26KNew record entry (funding low, Mar 1, 2026): Funding -20% a year: shorts paying longs.
eventfees_drop33.47KNew record entry (fees drop, Mar 28, 2026): Fees down 0.5x: RUNE's protocol took $186k in a week.
eventfunding_low36.26KNew record entry (funding low, Apr 5, 2026): Funding -20% a year: shorts paying longs.
eventfees_jump33.47KNew record entry (fees jump, Apr 23, 2026): Fees up 3.8x: RUNE's protocol took $691k in a week.
eventfees_drop33.47KNew record entry (fees drop, May 11, 2026): Fees down 0.4x: RUNE's protocol took $272k in a week.
eventfunding_low36.26KNew record entry (funding low, May 18, 2026): Funding -22% a year: shorts paying longs.
eventfees_jump33.47KNew record entry (fees jump, Jul 1, 2026): Fees up 9.5x: RUNE's protocol took $125k in a week.
eventfunding_low36.27KNew record entry (funding low, Jul 22, 2026): Funding -16% a year: shorts paying longs.
eventfees_jump33.48KNew record entry (fees jump, Sep 4, 2026): Fees up 2.0x: RUNE's protocol took $358k in a week.
eventfutures_listing26.44KNew record entry (futures listing, Sep 4, 2020): Binance lists RUNE perpetual.
eventfutures_listing27.14KNew record entry (futures listing, Nov 29, 2021): Bybit lists RUNE perpetual.
eventtvl_jump9,035New record entry (tvl jump, Apr 28, 2021): TVL rose 68% in a day.
eventtvl_jump9,036New record entry (tvl jump, May 6, 2021): TVL rose 107% in a day.
eventtvl_drop9,037New record entry (tvl drop, May 20, 2021): TVL fell 26% in a day.
eventtvl_jump9,038New record entry (tvl jump, May 25, 2021): TVL rose 23% in a day.
eventtvl_jump9,039New record entry (tvl jump, Jun 3, 2021): TVL rose 28% in a day.
eventtvl_jump9,040New record entry (tvl jump, Jun 15, 2021): TVL rose 27% in a day.
eventtvl_drop9,041New record entry (tvl drop, Jun 22, 2021): TVL fell 21% in a day.
eventtvl_jump9,042New record entry (tvl jump, Jul 3, 2021): TVL rose 30% in a day.
eventtvl_jump9,043New record entry (tvl jump, Sep 18, 2021): TVL rose 100% in a day.
eventtvl_jump9,044New record entry (tvl jump, Nov 5, 2021): TVL rose 32% in a day.
eventtvl_jump9,045New record entry (tvl jump, Jul 21, 2022): TVL rose 20% in a day.
eventtvl_drop9,046New record entry (tvl drop, Feb 3, 2025): TVL fell 31% in a day.

Where RUNE is listedON RECORD2 venues

Where RUNE is listed: spot and perpetuals, with dates

as of · exchange instrument APIs · announcementsread it →

Exchange coverage matrix: 2 venues on record; cell text is the listing date
ExchangeSpotPerpetualDelisted24 h volumeShare of RUNE volume
Binance cex no spot pair on recordlisted (6 y) pair ↗ none — —
Bybit cex no spot pair on recordlisted (4 y) pair ↗ none — —

Source: Binance / Bybit / OKX instrument APIs, exchange announcements, CoinPaprika markets · fetched

Volume by venueON RECORD

Where RUNE trades: volume by exchange and pair (24 h as of Oct 6, 2026)

as of · CoinPaprika /coins/rune-thorchain/marketsread it →

ExchangePairKind24 h volumeShareFlagRead
No exchange markets reported by CoinPaprika as of Oct 6, 2026

Source: CoinPaprika markets · outlier flag from the source · fetched

MarketON RECORD

Market as of Oct 6, 2026

as of · CoinPaprika tickersread it →

Price
$0.7729
1 h
+0.5%
24 h
−1.2%
7 d
+4.0%
30 d
0.0%
1 y
0.0%
Market cap
$261,841,848
Fully diluted value
$320,735,821
Market cap / FDV
81.6%
24 h volume
$6,374,204
Volume / market cap
2.4%
Circulating supply
338,797,569 RUNE
Total supply
415,000,571 RUNE
Max supply
uncapped
Unlocked
—
All-time high
$21.29 on May 19, 2021 (−96.4%, 1,966 days ago)
All-time low (our history)
—
Beta vs BTC (365 d)
1.38

Source: CoinPaprika tickers · fetched

Identity, contracts, links and audienceON RECORD

Identity, contracts, links and audience

as of · CoinPaprika · explorersread it →

Every contract or mint address on record
ChainAddressTypeExplorer
thorchain0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 —
ticker collision
RUNE (RUNE Rune)
ticker collision
RUNE (Rune)
ticker collision
RUNE (Runebound)
ticker collision
RUNE (Runestone)
ticker collision
RUNE (Runeword)
Started
—
First market data
Sep 25, 2019
Status
active
Proof type
—
Organisation
—
Whitepaper
—
CoinPaprika id
rune-thorchain
DefiLlama slug
thorchain-dex
CoinGecko id
—
GitHub repository
—
Listed on DefiLlama
—
Links and audience counts (read Oct 6, 2026)
KindLinkCount

Source: CoinPaprika /coins/rune-thorchain · fetched

Usage, fees, revenueON RECORD

Usage, fees and revenue

as of · DefiLlama protocol/thorchain-dexread it →

TVL
$73,423,636
Fees, 30 d
$3,366,493
Revenue, 30 d
$970,386
Revenue / market cap
0.044
Price / annualised revenue
22.5x
DefiLlama category
Dexs
Forked from
none recorded
Oracles
none recorded
Listed on DefiLlama
—
TVL by chain
ChainTVLShare
Thorchain$37.36M 51.0%
Bitcoin$16.81M 22.9%
Ethereum$11.04M 15.1%
Binance$2.01M 2.7%
Bitcoincash$1.59M 2.2%
Avalanche$1.11M 1.5%
Doge$1.08M 1.5%
Ripple$889.03K 1.2%
Litecoin$718.13K 1.0%
Tron$375.29K 0.5%
Cosmos$152.37K 0.2%
Base$83.36K 0.1%
Solana$64.98K 0.1%

TVL, 361 d

TVL538.43M2.31M
MetricRUNEPercentile among 1594 tokens on recordPPeer median
Revenue / market cap0.044P70 of 1594P70 of 1594median 0.006
TVL$73.42MP72 of 1594P72 of 1594median $5.05M

Source: DefiLlama protocols, fees/revenue overview, tvl history · fetched

TreasuryNO DATA YET

Treasury

as of · DefiLlama treasuriesread it →

Source: DefiLlama treasuries · fetched

FundingNO DATA YET

Funding rounds and investors

as of · DefiLlama raisesread it →

Source: DefiLlama raises · token return from CoinPaprika closes · fetched

Hacks and auditsFLAGGED$24.05M lost

Hacks and audits

as of · DeFiHackLabs hacks · DefiLlama audit linksread it →

Hacks (4) · total losses $24.05M
DateProtocolAmountTechniqueClassChainsReturnedDay 1Day 30Source
THORChain DEX$10.7MBridge Logic FlawBridge & Cross-ChainBitcoin, Ethereum, Base, BSC—−25.8%−33.3%defillama
THORChain DEX$8MWithdrawal Logic FlawProtocol LogicEthereum—−10.8%+163.0%defillama
THORChain DEX$5MBridge Logic FlawBridge & Cross-ChainEthereum—−19.9%+34.7%defillama
THORChain DEX$350KBridge Logic FlawBridge & Cross-ChainEthereum—+7.1%−13.6%defillama
Audits (1)
DateAuditorReportHacked after?Source
Certikreportno hack recorded afterdefillama

Source: DeFiHackLabs hacks (Apache-2.0) and DefiLlama audit links · fetched

DevelopmentNO DATA YET

Development activity

as of · GitHub APIread it →

Source: GitHub API (repos, commits, contributors)

People behind THORChainON RECORD

Who is behind THORChain

as of · CoinPaprika team list · PatternPlus joinsread it →

Source: CoinPaprika /coins/rune-thorchain team · outcomes joined by PatternPlus · fetched

Against peersMEASURED

RUNE against 1594 tokens on record

as of · PatternPlusread it →

MetricRUNEPercentile among 1594PPeer median
Market cap$261.84MP90 of 1594P90 of 1594median $12.83M
Volume / market cap2.4%P50 of 1594P50 of 1594median 2.4%
30-day change0.0%P50 of 1594P50 of 1594median 0.0%
Distance from ATH−96.4%P44 of 1594P44 of 1594median −95.0%
Revenue / market cap0.044P70 of 1594P70 of 1594median 0.006
Holders—no comparison— of 1594median 16,936
Share unlocked—no comparison— of 1594median —
Commits, 90 d—no comparison— of 1594median 6
Exchanges—no comparison— of 1594median 36
Nearest peers by rank
RankTokenChainMarket cap30 dFrom ATHRank, 90 dEvents
166Ribbita by Virtuals (TIBBIR)None$262.8M0.0%−41.0%rank, 90 d—
168JasmyCoin (JASMY)None$261.63M0.0%−98.4%rank, 90 d—
165EURC (EURC)None$271.85M0.0%−6.6%rank, 90 d—
169Falcon Finance (FF)None$258.53M0.0%−86.1%rank, 90 d—
164Staked Frax Ether (SFRXETH)None$272.1M0.0%−48.4%rank, 90 d—
170Kite (KITE)None$257.87M0.0%−55.3%rank, 90 d—
170Kaia (KAIA)None$256.78M0.0%−90.3%rank, 90 d—
163Conflux Network (CFX)None$272.74M0.0%−94.3%rank, 90 d—
162The Graph (GRT)None$280.09M0.0%−98.9%rank, 90 d—
172IOTA (IOTA)None$254.2M0.0%−99.0%rank, 90 d—

Source: PatternPlus, computed from every token in the peer set · fetched

The full write-up

every sentence on RUNE · questions · sources

RUNE in short

THORChain (RUNE) is a crypto token on its own chain, with no start date recorded; rank #167 by market cap as of Oct 6, 2026, 96.4% below its May 19, 2021 high.

  • As of Oct 6, 2026 the price is $0.7729 (−1.2% over 24 hours), market cap $261.8M, fully diluted value $320.7M, holder count not reported, $73.4M TVL.
  • Status on CoinPaprika: active; RUNE is the native coin of its own chain, so there is no token contract.

CoinPaprika tickers and DefiLlama, read Oct 6, 2026.

see the numbers →

The record in short

This site has 71 past events for THORChain: 3 exchange listings, 2 futures listings, 0 unlocks, 4 hacks and 0 funding rounds; the median 30-day move after the 70 measured events was −7.2%.

From the latest data refresh

  • THORChain (RUNE), crypto on its own chain, holds rank #167 by market cap on Oct 6, 2026 and trades 96.4% under its May 19, 2021 high.
  • The record's largest loss is a $10.7M hack on May 15, 2026 (bridge & cross-chain).
  • Since PatternPlus began recording on Oct 3, 2026 (4 daily snapshots), rank moved from #168 to #167.
  • RUNE is on 2 spot and 2 perpetual venues on record; the earliest dated listing was Binance (perp) on Sep 4, 2020.
  • 4 of its listings have a measured day-30 outcome (median −44.5%); 0 finished above the venue's own listing median and 4 below.
  • No unlock schedule is on record for RUNE as of Oct 6, 2026.
  • No on-chain power check is on record for RUNE as of Oct 6, 2026.
  • No funding round is recorded by DefiLlama for THORChain as of Oct 6, 2026.
  • THORChain lists 1 audit link on DefiLlama (Certik); 4 hacks totalling $24.1M are recorded.
  • No team member is recorded on CoinPaprika for THORChain as of Oct 6, 2026.
  • DefiLlama reports $73.4M TVL and $970,386 revenue over 30 days as of Oct 6, 2026;
  • revenue to market cap of 0.044 sits at the 70th percentile of 1594 all tokens on record tokens.

Generated from this record's own rows at build time; as of Oct 6, 2026.

see the numbers →

Every event

71 events are on record for RUNE, 70 with a measured day-30 outcome, 0 still inside the 30-day window and 1 outside the price series.

  • Best day-30 outcome: Fees down 0.4x: RUNE's protocol took $270k in a week on Oct 16, 2023 (+266.9%);
  • worst: RUNE all-time high: $21.29 on May 19, 2021 (−59.9%).
  • Median day-30 move by kind: fee slump +1.3% (n=21);
  • fee surge +13.7% (n=19);
  • TVL surge −37.5% (n=9);
  • funding extreme low +3.5% (n=7);
  • hack +10.6% (n=4);
  • TVL crash −37.0% (n=3);
  • spot listing −46.9% (n=2);
  • perpetual listing −41.8% (n=2);
  • perpetual delisting −16.1% (n=1);
  • hallmark −20.4% (n=1);
  • all-time high −59.9% (n=1).
  • 30 of the 70 measured events were followed by a higher price after 30 days (42.9%).
  • Events by year: 2026: 15, 2025: 10, 2024: 5, 2023: 7, 2022: 8, 2021: 23, 2020: 3.

events joined to effects (close before the event to close N days after, UTC); as of Oct 6, 2026.

see the numbers →

Against the venue median

Across 563 fee surges across every token on record, the median move is +0.2% on day 1 and −1.0% by day 30; 49.0% were still up after 30 days; RUNE's 19 sit above that median at +13.7%.

  • Across 811 funding extreme lows across every token on record, the median move is −0.8% on day 1 and −4.6% by day 30;
  • 42.2% were still up after 30 days;
  • RUNE's 7 sit above that median at +3.5%.
  • Across 117 hacks across every token on record, the median move is −4.9% on day 1 and −10.7% by day 30;
  • 36.8% were still up after 30 days;
  • RUNE's 4 sit above that median at +10.6%.
  • Across 480 fee slumps across every token on record, the median move is −0.7% on day 1 and −8.5% by day 30;
  • 36.5% were still up after 30 days;
  • RUNE's 21 sit above that median at +1.3%.
  • Across 16 perpetual delistings on Binance, the median move is −0.3% on day 1 and −12.2% by day 30;
  • 25.0% were still up after 30 days;
  • RUNE's one sits below that median at −16.1%.
  • Across 411 TVL crashes across every token on record, the median move is 0.0% on day 1 and −9.1% by day 30;
  • 32.6% were still up after 30 days;
  • RUNE's 3 sit below that median at −37.0%.
  • Across 414 TVL surges across every token on record, the median move is −0.9% on day 1 and −10.0% by day 30;
  • 37.0% were still up after 30 days;
  • RUNE's 9 sit below that median at −37.5%.
  • Across 274 spot listings on Binance, the median move is −2.3% on day 1 and −19.8% by day 30;
  • 32.5% were still up after 30 days;
  • RUNE's 2 sit below that median at −46.9%.
  • Across 446 perpetual listings on Bybit, the median move is −0.3% on day 1 and −16.9% by day 30;
  • 33.4% were still up after 30 days;
  • RUNE's one sits below that median at −39.1%.
  • Across 79 hallmarks across every token on record, the median move is −2.3% on day 1 and −20.4% by day 30;
  • 25.3% were still up after 30 days;
  • RUNE's one sits below that median at −20.4%.
  • Across 644 all-time highs across every token on record, the median move is −3.7% on day 1 and −38.6% by day 30;
  • 6.2% were still up after 30 days;
  • RUNE's one sits below that median at −59.9%.
  • Across 497 perpetual listings on Binance, the median move is −0.3% on day 1 and −14.7% by day 30;
  • 39.2% were still up after 30 days;
  • RUNE's one sits below that median at −44.5%.
  • RUNE sits above the venue median in 4 of 12 venue-and-kind comparisons as of Oct 6, 2026.

event_stats recomputed nightly; as of Oct 6, 2026.

see the numbers →

Issuer powers

No on-chain power check is available for RUNE on its own chain as of Oct 6, 2026; every row of the panel is shown as unknown until GoPlus or the Jupiter token API answers.

  • Until then this site cannot say whether the issuer can mint, freeze or upgrade RUNE; the check is retried at every rebuild.

see the numbers →

Holders and control

No holder count is reported for RUNE as of Oct 6, 2026.

  • Top-holder concentration, developer balance and LP lock were not read for RUNE as of Oct 6, 2026.

security row (no source) and metrics_daily; as of Oct 6, 2026.

see the numbers →

RUNE unlock schedule

No unlock schedule is on record for RUNE as of Oct 6, 2026; circulating supply is 338.8M of 415M (81.6%).

  • Without a schedule this site cannot state a next cliff for RUNE; the vesting contracts are read again at every rebuild.
  • Maximum supply is 0 RUNE.

On-chain vesting contracts (Sablier, Hedgey, UNCX, Team Finance, Streamflow and Jupiter Lock), effects from our price series; as of Oct 6, 2026.

see the numbers →

Life of RUNE

71 events since Jul 24, 2020; 40 of the 70 measured were followed by a lower price 30 days later; best Fees down 0.4x: RUNE's protocol took $270k in a week on Oct 16, 2023 (+266.9%), worst RUNE all-time high: $21.29 on May 19, 2021 (−59.9%).

  • 2224 daily closes from Sep 4, 2020 to Oct 6, 2026 are plotted on a log scale, with the rank from 4 snapshots as a step line.
  • The all-time high marker sits at $21.29 on May 19, 2021, 1,966 days before Oct 6, 2026.

prices, metrics_daily, events and effects; as of Oct 6, 2026.

see the numbers →

PatternPlus history

Since Oct 3, 2026 (4 snapshots) rank moved from #168 to #167, market cap from $247.7M to $261.8M, TVL from $70.9M to $73.4M.

  • Best rank in our record: #167; worst: #168; the series grows by one row per rebuild.
  • Over the last 90 days the rank went from #168 on Oct 3, 2026 to #167 on Oct 6, 2026.
  • Average 24-hour volume over the last 4 snapshots was $8.8M, with a high of $15.4M.
  • The recorded price ranged from $0.7312 to $0.7799 between Oct 3, 2026 and Oct 6, 2026.
  • TVL history holds 361 daily points: $2.3M on Apr 11, 2021 to $147M on Oct 6, 2026 (+6248.3%).

metrics_daily and tvl_history, our own series; as of Oct 6, 2026.

see the numbers →

Change log

38 changes are logged for this page since Oct 5, 2026; the latest, on Oct 6, 2026, is: New record entry (funding low, Feb 1, 2026): Funding -20% a year: shorts paying longs.

  • Changed since Oct 6, 2026: event funding_low → 36,260 (Oct 6) · event funding_low → 36,261 (Oct 6) · event fees_drop → 33,470 (Oct 6) · event funding_low → 36,262 (Oct 6).
  • The fields that changed most often were event (38).

Changes logged for this record: 38 in the last 30 days as of Oct 6, 2026.

see the numbers →

Where RUNE is listed

RUNE is on 2 spot and 2 perpetual venues on record; the earliest was Binance (perp) on Sep 4, 2020 and the latest Bybit (perp) on Nov 29, 2021; the first perpetual opened on Binance on Sep 4, 2020.

  • 0 delistings are on record for RUNE as of Oct 6, 2026.
  • 1085 of the 1087 tracked exchanges have no RUNE listing on record as of Oct 6, 2026 (Bitget, Pionex, Azbit, Coinbase, OKX and WEEX, among others).

exchange_listings from instrument APIs and announcements; as of Oct 6, 2026.

see the numbers →

Volume by venue

No exchange markets are reported by CoinPaprika for RUNE as of Oct 6, 2026.

  • Volume by pair appears here once the tickers endpoint returns markets; the coverage block above still lists dated listings.

CoinPaprika /coins/{id}/markets; as of Oct 6, 2026.

see the numbers →

Market

THORChain trades 96.4% below its all-time high of $21.29, set on May 19, 2021, 1,966 days before Oct 6, 2026; over 30 days it moved 0.0% against 0.0% for BTC (beta 1.38).

  • Price change as of Oct 6, 2026: +0.5% over 1 hour, −1.2% over 24 hours, +4.0% over 7 days, 0.0% over 30 days, 0.0% over 1 year.
  • Market cap is 81.6% of fully diluted value ($261.8M of $320.7M), so 18.4% of the valuation sits in supply that does not circulate yet.
  • 24-hour volume of $6.4M is 2.4% of market cap as of Oct 6, 2026.
  • Circulating supply is 338.8M of 415M total (81.6%); no maximum supply is stated.
  • The all tokens on record median 30-day change is 0.0% across 1594 tokens, so RUNE sits below its peer set.

CoinPaprika tickers read Oct 6, 2026; BTC comparison from the BTC record.

see the numbers →

Identity, contracts, links

1 address identify THORChain on thorchain; as the native coin of its own chain it has no token contract.

  • No other token on record uses the symbol RUNE as of Oct 6, 2026.
  • THORChain shares its ticker with RUNE (RUNE Rune), RUNE (Rune), RUNE (Runebound), RUNE (Runestone) and RUNE (Runeword) (ticker collision on CoinPaprika, read Oct 6, 2026).
  • Identity fields from CoinPaprika as of Oct 6, 2026: start date not recorded, first market data Sep 25, 2019, proof type not stated, organisation structure not stated, no whitepaper link.
  • Cross-references as of Oct 6, 2026: CoinPaprika id rune-thorchain, DefiLlama slug thorchain-dex, no GitHub repository recorded.
  • No follower or star counts were read for THORChain as of Oct 6, 2026.

CoinPaprika /coins and DefiLlama /protocols (contract addresses), token_contracts, token_aliases; read Oct 6, 2026.

see the numbers →

Usage, fees, revenue

Over the 30 days to Oct 6, 2026 DefiLlama records $3.4M of fees and $970,386 of revenue for THORChain, against $73.4M of TVL; revenue to market cap is 0.044, the 70th percentile among 1594 all tokens on record tokens.

  • Annualised revenue of $11.6M gives a price-to-sales multiple of 22.5x at the $261.8M market cap of Oct 6, 2026.
  • TVL moved +6248.3% between Apr 11, 2021 and Oct 6, 2026 (361 daily points).
  • Thorchain carries 51.0% of TVL across 13 chains (Thorchain $37.4M, Bitcoin $16.8M, Ethereum $11M, Binance $2M and Bitcoincash $1.6M).
  • DefiLlama records no parent protocol for THORChain (not a fork).
  • No oracle is listed for THORChain on DefiLlama.
  • DefiLlama lists THORChain under 'Dexs' (slug thorchain-dex).

DefiLlama protocol, fees and TVL endpoints; as of Oct 6, 2026.

see the numbers →

Treasury

No treasury is reported to DefiLlama for THORChain as of Oct 6, 2026.

  • Treasury snapshots are quarterly; the block fills in when DefiLlama's treasuries endpoint lists THORChain.

DefiLlama treasuries; as of Oct 6, 2026.

see the numbers →

Funding

No funding round is recorded by DefiLlama for THORChain as of Oct 6, 2026.

  • tokens.raised_usd is not set; the raises endpoint is retried at every rebuild.

DefiLlama raises; returns from our price series; as of Oct 6, 2026.

see the numbers →

Hacks and audits

THORChain lists 1 audit link on DefiLlama (Certik); 4 hacks totalling $24.1M are recorded.

  • On Jun 29, 2021 THORChain DEX lost $350,000 (bridge & cross-chain: Bridge Logic Flaw); the price rose 7.1% by day 1 and was 13.6% lower 30 days later.
  • On Jul 15, 2021 THORChain DEX lost $5M (bridge & cross-chain: Bridge Logic Flaw); the price fell 19.9% by day 1 and was 34.7% higher 30 days later.
  • On Jul 22, 2021 THORChain DEX lost $8M (protocol logic: Withdrawal Logic Flaw); the price fell 10.8% by day 1 and was 163.0% higher 30 days later.
  • On May 15, 2026 THORChain DEX lost $10.7M (bridge & cross-chain: Bridge Logic Flaw); the price fell 25.8% by day 1 and was 33.3% lower 30 days later.
  • Certik published an audit on an unrecorded date; no hack is recorded after it as of Oct 6, 2026.

DeFiHackLabs hacks, DefiLlama audit links; days between are facts about dates, not causes; as of Oct 6, 2026.

see the numbers →

Development

No public repository is recorded for THORChain as of Oct 6, 2026.

  • Commit counts, stars and contributors appear here once the GitHub API returns the repository.

GitHub API; as of Oct 6, 2026.

see the numbers →

People behind THORChain

No team members are recorded on CoinPaprika for THORChain as of Oct 6, 2026.

  • The organisation is described as not stated; a person row appears here when CoinPaprika's people endpoint links one.

CoinPaprika team list joined to our token records; as of Oct 6, 2026.

see the numbers →

Against peers

Set against 1594 all tokens on record tokens on Oct 6, 2026, THORChain ranks at the 90th percentile for market cap, the 44th for distance from its high and the unranked for share of supply unlocked.

  • The peer median market cap is $12.8M, the median distance from ATH −95.0% and the median 30-day change 0.0%.
  • The nearest peers by rank are Ribbita by Virtuals (#166), JasmyCoin (#168), EURC (#165), Falcon Finance (#169) and Staked Frax Ether (#164).
  • Market cap: $261.8M (P90 of 1594; peer median $12.8M).
  • Volume / market cap (24h): 2.43% (P50 of 1594; peer median 2.42%).
  • 30-day change: 0.0% (P50 of 1594; peer median 0.0%).
  • Distance from ATH: −96.4% (P44 of 1594; peer median −95.0%).
  • Revenue / market cap (30d): 0.044 (P70 of 288; peer median 0.006).
  • TVL: $73.4M (P72 of 429; peer median $5M).

peer set: all tokens on record (1594 tokens); as of Oct 6, 2026.

see the numbers →

Questions

Questions people ask about RUNE

as of · answers generated from this record

Will RUNE go up tomorrow?
  • As of Oct 6, 2026: 50% chance RUNE is higher tomorrow — a coin flip, typical move +0.0%, likely range −5.3% to +6.0%, from 6,760 similar past setups.
  • Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
What is the THORChain price prediction for this week?
  • As of Oct 6, 2026: 51% chance RUNE is lower over the next 7 days — a coin flip, typical move −0.5%, likely range −15.5% to +19.6%, from 6,610 similar past setups.
  • Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
What is the RUNE price prediction for the next 30 days?
  • As of Oct 6, 2026: 63% chance RUNE is lower over the next 30 days, typical move −8.3%, likely range −30.4% to +41.1%, from 6,289 similar past setups.
  • Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
How accurate are these RUNE predictions?
  • Across 40 backtested 30-day calls on RUNE, the call was right 47.5% of the time and the price ended inside the likely range 72.9% of the time.
  • Of the last 6 30-day calls, 0 of 5 were right.
  • Each backtest call used only the data available on its own date.
Who is behind THORChain?
No team member is recorded on CoinPaprika for THORChain as of Oct 6, 2026; the organisation is described as not stated.
When is the next RUNE unlock?
No future unlock is on record for RUNE as of Oct 6, 2026.
Is RUNE listed on Binance?
Yes; Binance listed RUNE and perpetual futures on Sep 4, 2020; the price moved +3.5% on day 1 and −49.3% by day 30.
How far is RUNE from its all-time high?
96.4% below the $21.29 high of May 19, 2021, 1,966 days ago, at $0.7729 on Oct 6, 2026.
Has THORChain been hacked?
Yes; 4 hacks are recorded, the latest on May 15, 2026 for $10.7M (bridge & cross-chain).
What happened when Binance listed RUNE?
On Mar 31, 2022 RUNE rose 3.5% by day 1 and was 49.3% lower 30 days later, 29 points behind BTC.

Sources

Sources and freshness

as of · sources table

134 sources feed this page; 132 fetched successfully, the most recent at Oct 6, 2026 16:50 UTC; 2 reported an error on the latest fetch.

SourceWhat it gave this pageLast successful fetchLast errorLink
alternative_me3166 daily readings to 2026-10-06 (latest 73); 20 extreme fear and 6 extreme greed runs 2026-10-06 15:34 UTCnoneapi.alternative.me/fng/
binance_announcementslisting announcements 2026-10-06 16:05 UTCnonewww.binance.com/bapi/composite/v1/public/cms/article/list/query
binance_futures483 of our coins trade as Binance perpetuals; the 200 biggest read: 200 tonight (open interest, accounts long, top traders, takers), funding caught up on 200 (42982 readings); 83380 coin-days stored; 857 funding extremes as events 2026-10-06 15:52 UTCnonefapi.binance.com/fapi/v1/exchangeInfo
binance_instrumentsperpetual listing dates 2026-10-06 16:05 UTCnone—
binance_klines1651 closes; 404 symbols without Binance klines 2026-10-06 16:10 UTCnoneapi.binance.com/api/v3/klines
binance_klines_deep293,063 older closes on 652 coins, back to 2017-08-17; 404 reached their first Binance day, 8 stopped at a 10x day or a gap, 1 older tickers of another coin left out, 239 with nothing older; 0 for later nights 2026-10-06 16:15 UTCnoneapi.binance.com/api/v3/klines
binance_spot_instruments776 symbols 2026-10-06 16:05 UTCnone—
buildthe nightly rebuild 2026-10-06 16:50 UTCnone—
bybit_announcementslisting announcements 2026-10-06 16:05 UTCnoneapi.bybit.com/v5/announcements/index
bybit_futures482 of our coins trade as Bybit perpetuals: open interest, funding and volume as of tonight 2026-10-06 15:52 UTCnoneapi.bybit.com/v5/market/tickers
bybit_futures_history313,593 coin-days stored tonight (314,256 held, the oldest 2020-08-05); 300 of 300 coins finished (each back to its contract's first day), 0 left for later nights; 3 days left out by the price check (the contract was another coin then); 0 errors; 104,391 days stored with no close of ours to check against 2026-10-06 16:00 UTCnoneapi.bybit.com/v5/market
bybit_instrumentsperpetual listing dates 2026-10-06 16:05 UTCnone—
bybit_spot_instruments393 symbols 2026-10-06 16:05 UTCnone—
calcthe trade planner: real past-case price paths behind each prediction 2026-10-06 16:31 UTCnone—
coinbase_instruments405 symbols 2026-10-06 16:05 UTCnone—
coinbase_premium800 days of Bitcoin's Coinbase premium to 2026-10-05 (-0.008%); 13 premium and 16 discount runs 2026-10-06 15:34 UTCnoneapi.exchange.coinbase.com/products/BTC-USD/candles
coinpaprikaidentity, market, links, events, markets, people 2026-10-06 15:13 UTCnoneapi.coinpaprika.com/v1
collector_csvnot used on token pages 2026-10-06 16:05 UTCnone—
curated0 schedules applied (0 checked by hand, 0 matched to the supply history; 0 rows, 0 unlock events), 29 drafts waiting 2026-10-06 15:34 UTCnone—
defihacklabs544 incidents from 6 files (Apache-2.0) 2026-10-06 15:28 UTCnonegithub.com/SunWeb3Sec/DeFiHackLabs
defillamaTVL, fees, revenue, raises, hacks, audits, treasury, unlocks 2026-10-06 15:21 UTCnoneapi.llama.fi
defillama_fees144 coins whose protocols took $100k+ in fees over 30 days; 134 read tonight, 144,935 coin-days stored; 1446 fee jumps and slumps; the rest comes over the next nights 2026-10-06 15:28 UTCnoneapi.llama.fi/overview/fees?excludeTotalDataChart=true&excludeTotalDataChartBreakdown=true&dataType=dailyFees
defillama_stablecoins122 big print days since 2019-01-01 (+$500M and 3x a typical day); supply $313bn on 2026-10-06; latest 2026-10-02: +$0.81bn 2026-10-06 15:34 UTCnonestablecoins.llama.fi/stablecoincharts/all
deribit99 monthly expiries since 2019-01-01; next 2026-10-30: 125,562 BTC open ($10.8bn), max pain $78,000 2026-10-06 15:34 UTCnonewww.deribit.com/api/v2/public
deribit_dvol2022 daily closes of Bitcoin's DVOL to 2026-10-05 (36.1); 9 high and 22 low runs 2026-10-06 15:34 UTCnonewww.deribit.com/api/v2/public/get_volatility_index_data
dexscreenerpairs, liquidity, first pool date, paid boosts, socials 2026-10-06 15:30 UTCnoneapi.dexscreener.com
drivers55,006 coin-driver tests; 220 proven on 137 coins, 2874 likely; 47,817 more by the trimmed mean in the same cut, which found 68 proven and 167 likely more that earn with the tails in, and 565 more that did not on their newer half (dropped) 2026-10-06 16:27 UTCnone—
edge35 kinds of event against their coins' ordinary days, by day; a clear edge (95% range, both halves agree) up for fees_jump, funding_low, futures_listing, spx_drop, down for delisting, fear, futures_listing, hack, kr_discount, listing, tvl_jump 2026-10-06 16:26 UTCnone—
effects12005 effects, 51 stats rows 2026-10-06 16:26 UTCnone—
etherscanskipped: no ETHERSCAN_KEY in data/config_local.py or the environment —noneapi.etherscan.io/v2
ethplorerEthereum mainnet holder count, owner, transfers 2026-10-06 15:30 UTC2026-10-06T15:30:28+00:00 HTTP 429 https://api.ethplorer.io/getTokenInfo/0x66fd8de541c0594b4dccdfc13bf3a390e50d3afdapi.ethplorer.io
exitpaths7571 of 11796 7-day cases in 15-minute closes; 3817 added tonight 2026-10-06 16:46 UTCnone—
fred— —2026-10-06T15:34:09+00:00 no FRED_API_KEY: the jobs, PPI, PCE, GDP and retail sales dates wait for a free key (fredaccount.stlouisfed.org)fred.stlouisfed.org/releases/calendar
gate522 of our coins trade as Gate USDT perpetuals; 522 read tonight, 89878 coin-days stored; 4 liquidation spikes as events; the rest is read on the next nights 2026-10-06 16:05 UTCnoneapi.gateio.ws/api/v4/futures/usdt
gate_candles115 coins Binance does not list 2026-10-06 16:12 UTCnoneapi.gateio.ws/api/v4/spot/candlesticks
githubrepository activity 2026-10-06 15:28 UTCnoneapi.github.com
goplusEVM and Solana powers, holders 2026-10-06 15:30 UTCnoneapi.gopluslabs.io
hedgey4 of 47 coins hold Hedgey vesting; 43 contracts still being read for the first time 2026-10-06 15:33 UTCnonehedgey.finance
hyperliquid176 of our coins trade as Hyperliquid perps; 29 read up to now tonight (121 pages), 11234 coin-days stored; 179 funding extremes; the rest of the history comes over the next nights 2026-10-06 15:40 UTCnoneapi.hyperliquid.xyz/info
intraday— 2026-10-06 16:38 UTCnone—
jupiterSolana mint/freeze, organic score 2026-10-06 15:33 UTCnoneapi.mainnet-beta.solana.com
kucoin_candles10 coins Binance does not list 2026-10-06 16:12 UTCnoneapi.kucoin.com/api/v1/market/candles
logos827 of 1594 coins have a logo (coingecko 713, trustwallet 108, jupiter 5, website 1). Tonight 40 asked: 4 from coingecko, 3 from trustwallet, 1 from jupiter; 32 with none yet; coinpaprika refused us (HTTP 403) and was not asked again after 30. Without one, by rank: RAIN, CC, WETH, JITOSOL, RETH, KHYPE, RSETH, WBNB, SUSDE, SYRUPUSDC, METH, JLP (drop a file in data/curated/logos/<slug>.png) 2026-10-06 16:47 UTCnonestatic.coinpaprika.com
macro73 Fed decisions (to 2027-12-08), 71 CPI releases (to 2026-12-10); 99 Bitcoin options expiries, 122 big stablecoin prints, 206 Bitcoin difficulty adjustments, 20 extreme fear readings, 6 extreme greed readings, 55 big S&P 500 down days, 47 big S&P 500 up days, 24 VIX spikes, 9 Bitcoin implied volatility spikes, 22 Bitcoin implied volatility lows, 13 Coinbase premium spikes, 16 Coinbase discounts; 0 new, 0 removed; Bitcoin's next-day move measured for 299 2026-10-06 15:34 UTCnone—
mempool205 adjustments since 2019-01-01; the last -0.03% on 2026-10-03; next about 2026-10-16 (estimated +4.05%) 2026-10-06 15:34 UTCnonemempool.space/api/v1
mexc_klines292 coins Binance does not list 2026-10-06 16:12 UTCnoneapi.mexc.com/api/v3/klines
modelspattern lines: each named pattern's own 30-day path, its chance of a higher price and how often its calls were right 2026-10-06 16:29 UTCnone—
network16 upgrades, 5 halvings, 20 burns; 0 new, 0 removed 2026-10-06 15:34 UTCnone—
oddsodds from similar past cases 2026-10-06 16:26 UTCnone—
okx_announcementslisting announcements 2026-10-06 16:05 UTCnonewww.okx.com/api/v5/support/announcements
okx_instrumentsperpetual listing dates 2026-10-06 16:05 UTCnone—
okx_spot_instruments404 symbols 2026-10-06 16:05 UTCnone—
polymarket767 open events read; 310 price markets on 4 coins, 310 with history's chance; 15 Fed outcomes 2026-10-06 16:26 UTCnonegamma-api.polymarket.com
predictpredictions: chance of a higher price, typical move, likely range and our track record 2026-10-06 16:26 UTCnone—
sablier76 of 494 coins hold Sablier vesting 2026-10-06 15:33 UTCnoneindexer.hyperindex.xyz/53b7e25/v1/graphql
scorethe 0–100 score and its backtest 2026-10-06 16:47 UTCnone—
serieslab703 collected series, 343 with enough history; 5,857 tests; 1 proven, 273 likely; 1 series tested from a later day (their values hold that day's move) 2026-10-06 16:28 UTCnone—
setupssetups re-measured on our own prices 2026-10-06 16:28 UTCnone—
signals7 proven signals: ath after (30d), ath after (7d), cb_discount after (7d), pump after (30d), pump after (7d), vol_spike after (30d), vol_spike after (7d); 32 of tonight's predictions moved 2026-10-06 16:27 UTCnone—
snapshotdaily snapshots and the change log 2026-10-06 16:47 UTCnone—
snapshot_org1423 governance votes on 40 coins from 40 Snapshot spaces; tonight 0 proposals read (to 2026-09-10), 0 big closed ones kept, 3 open or pending; 1 events new, 1 removed 2026-10-06 15:34 UTCnonehub.snapshot.org/graphql
sosovaluepublic chart: BTC 301 days (2025-07-25 to 2026-10-05), ETH 301 days (2025-07-25 to 2026-10-05); 30 big flow days as events 2026-10-06 16:00 UTCnoneapi.sosovalue.xyz/openapi/v2/etf/historicalInflowChart
strategies3144 rules tested; 6 survived discovery and the holdout (5 new tonight): funding_7:high:3d:q10:all:clean, ret_1:low:1d:q20:bear, volume_trend:low:1d:q10:bear; 1788 distinct rules, each pool by each detector in one false-discovery cut; the trimmed-mean test found 32 more past discovery, 4 of them earning with the tails back in; 11 in the book 2026-10-06 16:27 UTCnone—
streamflow25 of 36 coins hold Streamflow vesting 2026-10-06 15:33 UTCnoneapi.streamflow.finance/v2/api/token-dashboards/SOLANA/
supply_history62 of 203 coins due fetched (2 from CoinGecko, 60 from CoinPaprika; 29 with schedule files, 350 of the top 400); CoinGecko stopped: HTTP 429 2026-10-06 15:34 UTCnoneapi.coingecko.com/api/v3
supply_pattern10 of 224 coins with 120+ days of supply history release on a monthly or quarterly pattern; 39 releases projected: APT (monthly, day 14), ARB (quarterly, day 18), ENA (monthly, day 6), ETHFI (quarterly, day 17), GRASS (monthly, day 29), IO (monthly, day 1), KCS (quarterly, day 1), MOVE (monthly, day 9), STRK (quarterly, day 16), WLD (quarterly, day 21) 2026-10-06 15:34 UTCnone—
teamfinance1 of 47 coins hold Team Finance vesting; 4 contracts still being read for the first time 2026-10-06 15:33 UTCnonewww.team.finance
tradfiS&P 500: 2515 sessions to 2026-10-05; VIX: 2989; 55 big down days, 47 big up days, 24 VIX spikes 2026-10-06 15:34 UTCnonefred.stlouisfed.org/graph/fredgraph.csv
uncx5 of 47 coins hold UNCX vesting 2026-10-06 15:33 UTCnoneuncx.network
upbit_instruments359 symbols 2026-10-06 16:05 UTCnone—
upbit_premium292 won markets on Upbit, 271 of them our coins; 272 read tonight, 91290 coin-days stored; 142 Korean premium and discount extremes 2026-10-06 16:17 UTCnoneapi.upbit.com/v1/candles/days
wikipedia66 coins' Wikipedia articles (4 looked up tonight); 66 read, 121,369 coin-days stored; 233 attention spikes 2026-10-06 16:17 UTCnoneen.wikipedia.org/w/api.php
x_amo2 of 2 feeds read, 2 series kept, 2 points written tonight 2026-10-06 16:17 UTCnoneaddons.mozilla.org
x_appstore2 of 2 feeds read, 10 series kept, 10 points written tonight 2026-10-06 16:17 UTCnoneapps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone
x_beaconchain0 of 0 feeds read, 0 series kept, 0 points written tonight 2026-10-06 16:17 UTCnonebeaconcha.in
x_bgeometrics9 of 9 feeds read, 9 series kept, 13,100 points written tonight 2026-10-06 16:18 UTCnonebitcoin-data.com
x_bitbank2 of 2 feeds read, 4 series kept, 11,052 points written tonight 2026-10-06 16:19 UTCnonebitbank.cc
x_bitfinex2 of 2 feeds read, 4 series kept, 168 points written tonight 2026-10-06 16:20 UTCnonewww.bitfinex.com
x_bitflyer1 of 1 feeds read, 2 series kept, 2 points written tonight 2026-10-06 16:17 UTCnonebitflyer.com
x_bitget2 of 2 feeds read, 4 series kept, 1,192 points written tonight 2026-10-06 16:19 UTCnonewww.bitget.com
x_bithumb1 of 1 feeds read, 3 series kept, 594 points written tonight 2026-10-06 16:18 UTCnonewww.bithumb.com
x_bitmex2 of 2 feeds read, 2 series kept, 334 points written tonight 2026-10-06 16:18 UTCnonewww.bitmex.com
x_bitnodes1 of 1 feeds read, 1 series kept, 1 points written tonight 2026-10-06 16:17 UTCnonebitnodes.io
x_bitso1 of 1 feeds read, 2 series kept, 2 points written tonight 2026-10-06 16:17 UTCnonebitso.com
x_bitstamp3 of 3 feeds read, 6 series kept, 23,648 points written tonight 2026-10-06 16:19 UTCnonewww.bitstamp.net
x_bitvavo2 of 2 feeds read, 4 series kept, 5,756 points written tonight 2026-10-06 16:19 UTCnonebitvavo.com
x_blockchain_com14 of 14 feeds read, 14 series kept, 838 points written tonight 2026-10-06 16:18 UTCnonewww.blockchain.com/explorer/charts
x_blockchair10 of 10 feeds read, 73 series kept, 73 points written tonight 2026-10-06 16:18 UTCnoneblockchair.com
x_btcmarkets1 of 1 feeds read, 2 series kept, 2 points written tonight 2026-10-06 16:17 UTCnonewww.btcmarkets.net
x_btcturk2 of 2 feeds read, 4 series kept, 11,340 points written tonight 2026-10-06 16:19 UTCnonewww.btcturk.com
x_bybit4 of 4 feeds read, 4 series kept, 1,396 points written tonight 2026-10-06 16:18 UTCnonewww.bybit.com/data/basic/linear/contract-detail
x_cexio1 of 1 feeds read, 2 series kept, 2 points written tonight 2026-10-06 16:17 UTCnonecex.io
x_cftc2 of 2 feeds read, 8 series kept, 2,920 points written tonight 2026-10-06 16:18 UTCnonewww.cftc.gov/MarketReports/CommitmentsofTraders/index.htm
x_cnn1 of 1 feeds read, 8 series kept, 11,552 points written tonight 2026-10-06 16:18 UTCnonewww.cnn.com/markets/fear-and-greed
x_coinbase_ex3 of 3 feeds read, 6 series kept, 19,318 points written tonight 2026-10-06 16:19 UTCnoneexchange.coinbase.com
x_coincheck1 of 1 feeds read, 2 series kept, 2 points written tonight 2026-10-06 16:17 UTCnonecoincheck.com
x_coingecko11 of 11 feeds read, 72 series kept, 2,970 points written tonight 2026-10-06 16:23 UTCnonewww.coingecko.com
x_coinlore3 of 3 feeds read, 7 series kept, 7 points written tonight 2026-10-06 16:17 UTCnonewww.coinlore.com
x_coinmetrics20 of 20 feeds read, 109 series kept, 405,514 points written tonight 2026-10-06 16:18 UTCnonecoinmetrics.io/community-network-data/
x_crates5 of 5 feeds read, 5 series kept, 445 points written tonight 2026-10-06 16:18 UTCnonecrates.io
x_deribit8 of 8 feeds read, 14 series kept, 4,092 points written tonight 2026-10-06 16:17 UTCnonewww.deribit.com
x_dockerhub5 of 5 feeds read, 5 series kept, 5 points written tonight 2026-10-06 16:17 UTCnonehub.docker.com
x_dydx4 of 4 feeds read, 9 series kept, 18 points written tonight 2026-10-06 16:17 UTCnonedydx.trade
x_fedreg1 of 1 feeds read, 1 series kept, 5 points written tonight 2026-10-06 16:18 UTCnonewww.federalregister.gov
x_fred48 of 48 feeds read, 48 series kept, 1,644 points written tonight 2026-10-06 16:18 UTCnonefred.stlouisfed.org
x_gate_stats2 of 2 feeds read, 12 series kept, 11,988 points written tonight 2026-10-06 16:19 UTCnonewww.gate.com/futures-data
x_gdelt5 of 5 feeds read, 5 series kept, 395 points written tonight 2026-10-06 16:26 UTCnonewww.gdeltproject.org
x_geckoterminal1 of 1 feeds read, 14 series kept, 10 points written tonight 2026-10-06 16:17 UTCnonewww.geckoterminal.com
x_gemini2 of 2 feeds read, 4 series kept, 1,456 points written tonight 2026-10-06 16:19 UTCnonewww.gemini.com
x_ghcommits8 of 30 feeds read, 8 series kept, 408 points written tonight; failed: ghcommits:bitcoin/bitcoin: HTTP 202: {}; ghcommits:ethereum/go-ethereum: HTTP 202: {}; ghcommits:ripple/rippled: HTTP 202: {} 2026-10-06 16:26 UTCnonegithub.com
x_hn3 of 3 feeds read, 3 series kept, 12 points written tonight 2026-10-06 16:18 UTCnonenews.ycombinator.com
x_htx2 of 2 feeds read, 4 series kept, 7,992 points written tonight 2026-10-06 16:19 UTCnonewww.htx.com
x_independentreserve1 of 1 feeds read, 2 series kept, 2 points written tonight 2026-10-06 16:17 UTCnonewww.independentreserve.com
x_indodax1 of 1 feeds read, 2 series kept, 2 points written tonight 2026-10-06 16:17 UTCnoneindodax.com
x_korbit2 of 2 feeds read, 4 series kept, 4 points written tonight 2026-10-06 16:17 UTCnonewww.korbit.co.kr
x_kraken3 of 3 feeds read, 6 series kept, 4,320 points written tonight 2026-10-06 16:19 UTCnonewww.kraken.com
x_kucoin_futures2 of 2 feeds read, 2 series kept, 8 points written tonight 2026-10-06 16:19 UTCnonewww.kucoin.com/futures
x_lend1 of 1 feeds read, 8 series kept, 10,178 points written tonight 2026-10-06 16:19 UTCnonedefillama.com/yields
x_lido1 of 1 feeds read, 1 series kept, 1,617 points written tonight 2026-10-06 16:18 UTCnonelido.fi
x_llama49 of 49 feeds read, 54 series kept, 104,181 points written tonight 2026-10-06 16:18 UTCnonedefillama.com
x_luno2 of 2 feeds read, 4 series kept, 4 points written tonight 2026-10-06 16:17 UTCnonewww.luno.com
x_mempool5 of 5 feeds read, 8 series kept, 8,103 points written tonight 2026-10-06 16:18 UTCnonemempool.space
x_mercado2 of 2 feeds read, 4 series kept, 11,340 points written tonight 2026-10-06 16:19 UTCnonewww.mercadobitcoin.com.br
x_npm15 of 15 feeds read, 15 series kept, 225 points written tonight 2026-10-06 16:19 UTCnonewww.npmjs.com
x_ofr1 of 1 feeds read, 9 series kept, 29,259 points written tonight 2026-10-06 16:18 UTCnonewww.financialresearch.gov/financial-stress-index/
x_okx10 of 10 feeds read, 16 series kept, 1,990 points written tonight 2026-10-06 16:18 UTCnonewww.okx.com/trading-data
x_poloniex2 of 2 feeds read, 4 series kept, 1,996 points written tonight 2026-10-06 16:19 UTCnonepoloniex.com
x_pypi5 of 5 feeds read, 5 series kept, 905 points written tonight 2026-10-06 16:19 UTCnonepypistats.org
x_tdirect2 of 2 feeds read, 8 series kept, 308 points written tonight 2026-10-06 16:18 UTCnonewww.treasurydirect.gov/auctions/
x_treasury2 of 2 feeds read, 2 series kept, 44 points written tonight 2026-10-06 16:18 UTCnonefiscaldata.treasury.gov
x_valr1 of 1 feeds read, 2 series kept, 2 points written tonight 2026-10-06 16:17 UTCnonewww.valr.com
x_whitebit2 of 2 feeds read, 4 series kept, 4 points written tonight 2026-10-06 16:17 UTCnonewhitebit.com
x_wiki_topics9 of 9 feeds read, 9 series kept, 63 points written tonight 2026-10-06 16:19 UTCnonepageviews.wmcloud.org
x_yahoo27 of 27 feeds read, 38 series kept, 761 points written tonight 2026-10-06 16:18 UTCnonefinance.yahoo.com

Effects are measured as described on the methodology page. Facts are compiled from public sources; nothing on this page is advice. Corrections: hello@pattern.plus.

  • ethplorer last fetched successfully on Oct 6, 2026 15:30 UTC;
  • the latest fetch failed (2026-10-06T15:30:28+00:00 HTTP 429 https://api.ethplorer.io/getTokenInfo/0x66fd8), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
  • fred last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
  • the latest fetch failed (2026-10-06T15:34:09+00:00 no FRED_API_KEY: the jobs, PPI, PCE, GDP and retail sa), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
  • This page is generated from 9,459 database rows and rebuilt daily; first published Oct 5, 2026.

PatternPlus compiles facts from public sources and gives no financial advice; corrections by email. As of Oct 6, 2026.