No pattern has a proven 1-day record on this coin yet — the call above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 48% chance higher tomorrow · this pattern's 1d calls hit 45.0% of 3,043 — no better than a coin flip so far · drawn from the 1490 setups matched for the 30-day prediction
?next day
−30%−20%−10%0%+10%+20%−10%0%+10%+20%+38% in 30 days↑ 97% below its all-time high
−30dnow+1d
▲ 10 rose · ▼ 12 fell · ◆ 8 sideways(±1.9% over 1 day)
Bold: XTZ's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 1490 setups matched for the 30-day prediction, and what each did over the next day — real hourly closes, scaled to XTZ's volatility. 30 with no hourly path on file yet are drawn through their daily lows, highs and closes.
Bad case$0.296−6%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$0.314−0.3%half did better, half worse
Good case$0.336+7%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−0.3%
Likely range
−6% to +7%$0.296 – $0.336
1,801 similar setups · our 1-day calls hit 49.7% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
XTZ price prediction for this week
56%chance XTZ is lower
▼ LEAN DOWN
No pattern has a proven 7-day record on this coin yet — the call above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 44% chance higher in 7 days · this pattern's 7d calls hit 57.7% of 11,360 — no better than always guessing the usual direction (59%) so far · drawn from the 1490 setups matched for the 30-day prediction
?next 7 days
−30%−20%−10%0%+10%+20%−40%−20%0%+20%+40%+38% in 30 days↑ 97% below its all-time high
−30dnow+7d
▲ 5 rose · ▼ 17 fell · ◆ 8 sideways(±4.7% over 7 days)
Bold: XTZ's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 1490 setups matched for the 30-day prediction, and what each did over the next 7 days — real 4-hour closes, scaled to XTZ's volatility. 30 with no 4-hour path on file yet are drawn through their daily lows, highs and closes.
Bad case$0.252−20%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$0.309−2.0%half did better, half worse
Good case$0.384+22%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−2.0%
Likely range
−20% to +22%$0.252 – $0.384
1,699 similar setups · our 7-day calls hit 58.1% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
XTZ price prediction for the next 30 days
69%chance XTZ is lower
▼ STRONG DOWN
No pattern has a proven record on this coin yet — the prediction above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 31% chance higher in 30 days · drawn from its 1490 matched past setups
?next 30 days
−30%−20%−10%0%+10%+20%−100%−50%0%+50%+38% in 30 days↑ 97% below its all-time high
−30dnow+30d
▲ 5 rose · ▼ 17 fell · ◆ 8 sideways(±12% over 30 days)
Bold: XTZ's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 1490 past setups like this, and what each did over the next 30 days — real daily closes, scaled to XTZ's volatility.
Bad case$0.189−40%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$0.277−12.2%half did better, half worse
Good case$0.424+35%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−12.2%
Likely range
−40% to +35%$0.189 – $0.424
1,490 similar setups · our 30-day calls hit 62.1% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
Plan a leveraged trade on XTZ
replays the cases behind the 30-day prediction
replays the cases behind the 30-day prediction
Pick a side, when you close and your leverage: we replay that exact trade on the past cases behind this XTZ prediction and count how it ended.
Best historical window for XTZ in setups like this: short, hold 30 days, 1× — profitable 68.3% of the time, typical +11.8% (n=1490).
Chance this ends in profit—
Typical result—half did better, half worse
Chance you get liquidated first—
Every past case, replayedhover or tap a line to see the case
price went your way —against you —sideways —(within ±5.5% over 30 days)✕liquidated —take profit hit —stop loss hit —typical8 in 10 cases
Replays 378 past cases weighted exactly like the 30-day prediction: the 1,490 similar cases behind it plus a sample of all history.
Where the odds were best· swipe for longer holds →
cell = chance of profit color = average result, −50% or worse to +50% or better striped = liquidated in more than 1 in 10★ best: highest typical result with at most 1 in 10 liquidated, most cases in profit and an average above zerono take profit or stop loss · tap a cell to load it
The planner and its replay chart run in your browser: turn on JavaScript to replay your own XTZ trade on these past cases.
Odds from similar past cases, not financial advice. Leverage multiplies losses too: a liquidated position loses its whole margin.
Where to trade XTZ · by share of the last day's volume
XTZ$0.316152% ▼ 1Dbest play▼ Short 1D 8× → +4.7%open calculator
XTZ$0.316156% ▼ 7Dbest play▼ Short 7D 2× → +5.0%open calculator
XTZ$0.316169% ▼ 30Dbest play▼ Short 30D 1× → +12%open calculator
2
Why we think this
the reasoning, in short
Drivers
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher a day later 47% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in XTZ's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (1,801 cases) into 48% higher.
Up 38% over 30 days
Up 38% over the last 30 days. After a month like that, coins were higher a day later 47% of the time (22,250 cases), vs 47% across all cases.
here 47% · normal 47% higher a day later
82% below its high
82% below its all-time high. Coins that far below their high were higher a day later 47% of the time (69,100 cases), vs 47% across all cases.
here 47% · normal 47% higher a day later
Normal volume
Trading volume is in its normal range. On normal-volume days, coins were higher a day later 47% of the time (90,212 cases), vs 47% across all cases.
here 47% · normal 47% higher a day later
Bitcoin above its 50-day average
Bitcoin is above its 50-day average. In that situation, coins were higher a day later 47% of the time (47,665 cases), vs 47% across all cases.
here 47% · normal 47% higher a day later
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher 7 days later 43% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in XTZ's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (1,699 cases) into 44% higher.
Bitcoin above its 50-day average
Bitcoin is above its 50-day average. In that situation, coins were higher a week later 42% of the time (46,968 cases), vs 43% across all cases.
here 42% · normal 43% higher 7 days later
Small-cap
Small-cap coin ($346M market cap). Coins this size were higher a week later 43% of the time (44,050 cases), vs 43% across all cases.
here 43% · normal 43% higher 7 days later
Up 38% over 30 days
Up 38% over the last 30 days. After a month like that, coins were higher a week later 44% of the time (21,757 cases), vs 43% across all cases.
here 44% · normal 43% higher 7 days later
Within 7% of a week ago
Within 7% of its price a week ago (−4%). After a week like that, coins were higher a week later 43% of the time (46,238 cases), vs 43% across all cases.
here 43% · normal 43% higher 7 days later
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher 30 days later 38% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in XTZ's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (1,490 cases) into 31% higher.
Up 38% over 30 days
Up 38% over the last 30 days. After a month like that, coins were higher 30 days later 34% of the time (20,031 cases), vs 38% across all cases.
here 34% · normal 38% higher 30 days later
Small-cap
Small-cap coin ($346M market cap). Coins this size were higher 30 days later 36% of the time (43,053 cases), vs 38% across all cases.
here 36% · normal 38% higher 30 days later
Bitcoin above its 50-day average
Bitcoin is above its 50-day average. In that situation, coins were higher 30 days later 39% of the time (44,236 cases), vs 38% across all cases.
here 39% · normal 38% higher 30 days later
Within 7% of a week ago
Within 7% of its price a week ago (−4%). After a week like that, coins were higher 30 days later 39% of the time (44,829 cases), vs 38% across all cases.
here 39% · normal 38% higher 30 days later
Our record on XTZ
Our last 6 calls on XTZ over 30 days: right on 0 of 6 · 2 of 6 ended inside our range · all-time on XTZ: 64.4% hit rate, 66.7% inside the range (45 backtested calls)
Jul 26 said 63% down · ended 0.0%✗ wrongAug 2 said 56% down · ended +7.0%✗ wrongAug 9 said 56% down · ended +23.5%✗ wrongAug 16 said 70% down · ended +28.1%✗ wrongAug 23 said 55% down · ended +47.7%✗ wrongAug 30 said 66% down · ended +47.8%✗ wrong
white: XTZ's real price after each call · bar: the range we gave (8 in 10 cases, the middle half thicker, a notch at the typical move) · end dot: green right · red wrong · orange the price went sideways (within ±5.5% over 30 days) or a coin flip · backtest: each call used only data available that day · live since Oct 3, 2026: 1 live 30-day prediction on record, first result due Nov 2, 2026 · the full scorecard →
last 6 months · daily close · candle = 2 sessions◆ recorded event · dotted blue line = last price · orange = the price went sideways (within ±1.4% over 2 days)
updated today Updated · 42 data points on this page
Changedno field on this page changed since the previous build
The record in shortON RECORD
The record in short
as of · generated from this record's own rowsread it →
events on record
6
higher 30 days after
—
typical 30-day move
—
next up
—
Every eventMEASURED6 events
The record: every event and what followed
as of · CoinPaprika · DefiLlama · exchange announcements · PatternPlus effectsread it →
XTZ: 6 events, newest first; six signed numbers per row are the price change from the close before the event, in UTC; vs BTC is the difference of the two 30-day moves
XTZ-USDT spot trading (quotes: EUR, USDT, USDC). OKX listed XTZ on Jan 29, 2021; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
XTZ-USDT-SWAP perpetual trading. OKX opened perpetual futures for XTZ on Apr 21, 2020; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
Binance opened perpetual futures for XTZ on Feb 5, 2020; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
2017
all-time high XTZ all-time high: $12.19
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
derived
Highest daily close in our price history. XTZ set an all-time high on Dec 17, 2017; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
Source: events from CoinPaprika, DefiLlama and exchange announcements; effects computed by PatternPlus (see methodology) · fetched
Against the venue medianMEASURED
How XTZ's events compare with the venue median
as of · event_stats computed by PatternPlusread it →
Venue · kind
XTZ median day 30
XTZ n
Venue median day 30
Venue n
Up after 30 d (venue)
Position
No measured event to compare as of Oct 3, 2026
Venue · kind
XTZ median day 7
XTZ n
Venue median day 7
Venue n
Up after 7 d (venue)
Position
No measured event to compare as of Oct 3, 2026
Day 7: the venue's event count and up-share are kept for day 30 only (—); its median uses every event measured to day 7.
Venue · kind
XTZ median day 1
XTZ n
Venue median day 1
Venue n
Up after 1 d (venue)
Position
No measured event to compare as of Oct 3, 2026
Day 1: the venue's event count and up-share are kept for day 30 only (—); its median uses every event measured to day 1.
Source: PatternPlus, computed from every token in the peer set · fetched
4
The full write-up
every sentence on XTZ · questions · sources
XTZ in short
Filed under crypto on its own chain, Tezos (XTZ) has been with no start date recorded; it holds rank #142 by market cap as of Oct 3, 2026 and trades 97.4% below its Dec 17, 2017 high.
As of Oct 3, 2026 the price is $0.3161 (+1.7% over 24 hours), market cap $347M, fully diluted value $353.3M, holder count not reported, no TVL reported to DefiLlama.
Status on CoinPaprika: active; XTZ is the native coin of its own chain, so there is no token contract.
CoinPaprika tickers and DefiLlama, read Oct 3, 2026.
This site has 6 past events for Tezos: 2 exchange listings, 3 futures listings, 0 unlocks, 0 hacks and 0 funding rounds; the median 30-day move after the 0 measured events was not yet measurable.
From the latest data refresh
Tezos (XTZ) is a crypto token on its own chain, rank #142 by market cap as of Oct 3, 2026, 97.4% below its Dec 17, 2017 high.
6 events are on record as of Oct 3, 2026.
PatternPlus holds 1 daily snapshot for XTZ as of Oct 3, 2026; the rank and holder series begin with the next rebuild.
4 spot pairs and 1 perpetual instruments are live for XTZ as of Oct 3, 2026, starting with OKX on Apr 21, 2020.
No listing of XTZ has a measurable day-30 outcome yet as of Oct 3, 2026.
No emission schedule is published on DefiLlama for XTZ as of Oct 3, 2026.
No on-chain power check is on record for XTZ as of Oct 3, 2026.
No funding round is recorded by DefiLlama for Tezos as of Oct 3, 2026.
Tezos lists 0 audit links on DefiLlama; no hack is recorded as of Oct 3, 2026.
No team member is recorded on CoinPaprika for Tezos as of Oct 3, 2026.
DefiLlama reports not reported TVL and $2,679 revenue over 30 days as of Oct 3, 2026;
revenue to market cap of 0.000 sits at the 26th percentile of 1500 all tokens on record tokens.
Generated from this record's own rows at build time; as of Oct 3, 2026.
No on-chain power check is available for XTZ on its own chain as of Oct 3, 2026; every row of the panel is shown as unknown until GoPlus or the Jupiter token API answers.
Until then this site cannot say whether the issuer can mint, freeze or upgrade XTZ; the check is retried at every rebuild.
XTZ is on 4 spot and 1 perpetual venues on record; the earliest was OKX (perp) on Apr 21, 2020 and the latest OKX (spot) on Jan 29, 2021; the first perpetual opened on OKX on Apr 21, 2020, 283 days before the first spot pair.
0 delistings are on record for XTZ as of Oct 3, 2026.
1083 of the 1087 tracked exchanges have no XTZ listing on record as of Oct 3, 2026 (Bitget, Azbit, Pionex, WEEX, Lbank and Gate, among others).
exchange_listings from instrument APIs and announcements; as of Oct 3, 2026.
Tezos trades 97.4% below its all-time high of $12.19, set on Dec 17, 2017, 3,212 days before Oct 3, 2026; over 30 days it moved 0.0% against 0.0% for BTC (beta 1.13).
Price change as of Oct 3, 2026: −0.3% over 1 hour, +1.7% over 24 hours, −4.3% over 7 days, 0.0% over 30 days, 0.0% over 1 year.
With $347M market cap against $353.3M fully diluted, 1.8% of XTZ's valuation is in non-circulating supply as of Oct 3, 2026.
24-hour volume of $4.8M is 1.4% of market cap as of Oct 3, 2026.
Circulating supply is 1.1B of 1.12B total (98.2%); no maximum supply is stated.
The all tokens on record median 30-day change is 0.0% across 1500 tokens, so XTZ sits below its peer set.
CoinPaprika tickers read Oct 3, 2026; BTC comparison from the BTC record.
No contract or mint address is recorded for Tezos as of Oct 3, 2026.
No other token on record uses the symbol XTZ as of Oct 3, 2026.
Tezos shares its ticker with XTZ (Tezos Token) (ticker collision on CoinPaprika, read Oct 3, 2026).
Identity fields from CoinPaprika as of Oct 3, 2026: start date not recorded, first market data Oct 2, 2017, proof type not stated, organisation structure not stated, no whitepaper link.
Cross-references as of Oct 3, 2026: CoinPaprika id xtz-tezos, DefiLlama slug tezos, no GitHub repository recorded.
No follower or star counts were read for Tezos as of Oct 3, 2026.
CoinPaprika /coins, token_contracts, token_aliases; read Oct 3, 2026.
Tezos reported $3,993 in fees and $2,679 in revenue over 30 days to DefiLlama on not reported TVL as of Oct 3, 2026; its revenue-to-market-cap ratio of 0.000 is at the 26th percentile of 1500 all tokens on record tokens.
Annualised revenue of $32,148 gives a price-to-sales multiple of 10794.1x at the $347M market cap of Oct 3, 2026.
DefiLlama records no parent protocol for Tezos (not a fork).
No oracle is listed for Tezos on DefiLlama.
DefiLlama lists Tezos under 'Chain' (slug tezos).
DefiLlama protocol, fees and TVL endpoints; as of Oct 3, 2026.
Among 1500 all tokens on record tokens, Tezos is at the 91st percentile by market cap, 37th by distance from ATH and unranked by share unlocked as of Oct 3, 2026.
The peer median market cap is $14M, the median distance from ATH −94.8% and the median 30-day change 0.0%.
The nearest peers by rank are Monad (#141), Frax Ether (#143), USDtb (#140), Unibase (#144) and Terra Classic (#139).
Market cap: $347M (P91 of 1500; peer median $14M).
Volume / market cap (24h): 1.40% (P39 of 1500; peer median 2.46%).
30-day change: 0.0% (P50 of 1500; peer median 0.0%).
Distance from ATH: −97.4% (P37 of 1500; peer median −94.8%).
Revenue / market cap (30d): 0.000 (P26 of 258; peer median 0.006).
peer set: all tokens on record (1500 tokens); as of Oct 3, 2026.
predictions: chance of a higher price, typical move, likely range and our track record
2026-10-03 19:24 UTC
none
—
score
the 0–100 score and its backtest
2026-10-03 19:48 UTC
none
—
setups
setups re-measured on our own prices
2026-10-03 19:24 UTC
none
—
snapshot
daily snapshots and the change log
2026-10-03 19:48 UTC
none
—
upbit_instruments
359 symbols
2026-10-03 19:06 UTC
none
—
Effects are measured as described on the methodology page. Facts are compiled from public sources; nothing on this page is advice. Corrections: hello@pattern.plus.
binance_instruments last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-03T19:06:51+00:00 451 Client Error: for url: https://fapi.binance.com/f), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
bybit_announcements last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-03T19:07:22+00:00 403 Client Error: Forbidden for url: https://api.bybit), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
bybit_instruments last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-03T19:06:53+00:00 403 Client Error: Forbidden for url: https://api.bybit), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
collector_csv last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-03T19:07:26+00:00 trench_births.csv missing), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
This page is generated from 6,166 database rows and rebuilt daily; first published Oct 3, 2026.
PatternPlus compiles facts from public sources and gives no financial advice; corrections by email. As of Oct 3, 2026.
How to read this
Band 1 is the prediction: the chance of a higher price, the typical move and the likely range, with the real past setups behind it drawn as they moved.
Band 2 is why: the drivers, the next catalysts and how our past calls on this coin went.
Band 3 is the data: every table and chart, dated; green means the price was higher afterwards, red lower.
Band 4 is the write-up: the same record in words, with the questions and the sources.
