Market cap $9.72M · micro-cap: thinner trading, bigger swings
No pattern has a proven 1-day record on this coin yet — the call above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 39% chance higher tomorrow · this pattern's 1d calls hit 52.0% of 7,699 — its chances have not beaten the simple all-coin up-rate so far · drawn from the 844 setups matched for the 30-day prediction
next day
−30%−20%−10%0%−10%0%+10%+20%+30%+13% in 7 days↑ 98% below its all-time high
−30dnow+1d
▲ 8 rose · ▼ 13 fell · ◆ 9 sideways(±1.6% over 1 day)
Bold: WELL's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 844 setups matched for the 30-day prediction, and what each did over the next day — real hourly closes, scaled to WELL's volatility. 27 with no hourly path on file yet are drawn through their daily lows, highs and closes.
Bad case$0.00237−7%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$0.00251−1.1%half did better, half worse
Good case$0.00271+6%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−1.1%
Likely range
−7% to +6%$0.00237 – $0.00271
1,049 similar setups · our 1-day calls hit 52.2% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
WELL price prediction for this week
60%chance WELL is lower
▼ STRONG DOWN
Market cap $9.72M · micro-cap: thinner trading, bigger swings
No pattern has a proven 7-day record on this coin yet — the call above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 40% chance higher in 7 days · this pattern's 7d calls hit 59.2% of 26,678 — no better than always guessing the usual direction (60%) so far · drawn from the 844 setups matched for the 30-day prediction
next 7 days
−30%−20%−10%0%−20%0%+20%+40%+13% in 7 days↑ 98% below its all-time high
−30dnow+7d
▲ 7 rose · ▼ 14 fell · ◆ 9 sideways(±2.8% over 7 days)
Bold: WELL's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 844 setups matched for the 30-day prediction, and what each did over the next 7 days — real 4-hour closes, scaled to WELL's volatility. 27 with no 4-hour path on file yet are drawn through their daily lows, highs and closes.
Bad case$0.00222−12%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$0.00249−2.2%half did better, half worse
Good case$0.00289+14%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−2.2%
Likely range
−12% to +14%$0.00222 – $0.00289
1,015 similar setups · our 7-day calls hit 59.6% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
WELL price prediction for the next 30 days
59%chance WELL is lower
▼ LEAN DOWN
Market cap $9.72M · micro-cap: thinner trading, bigger swings
No pattern has a proven record on this coin yet — the prediction above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 41% chance higher in 30 days · drawn from its 844 matched past setups
next 30 days
−30%−20%−10%0%−50%0%+50%+100%+150%+13% in 7 days↑ 98% below its all-time high
−30dnow+30d
▲ 6 rose · ▼ 17 fell · ◆ 7 sideways(±9.1% over 30 days)
Bold: WELL's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 844 past setups like this, and what each did over the next 30 days — real daily closes, scaled to WELL's volatility.
Bad case$0.00192−25%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$0.00243−4.4%half did better, half worse
Good case$0.00329+30%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−4.4%
Likely range
−25% to +30%$0.00192 – $0.00329
844 similar setups · our 30-day calls hit 61.5% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
Pick a side, when you close and your leverage: we replay that exact trade on the past cases behind this WELL prediction and count how it ended.
No trade window for WELL was profitable in most similar past cases with a positive average result and liquidations at or under 10% (n=844).
Chance this ends in profit—
Typical result—half did better, half worse
Chance you get liquidated first—
Every past case, replayedhover or tap a line to see the case
price went your way —against you —sideways —(within ±2.6% over 7 days)✕liquidated —take profit hit —stop loss hit —typical8 in 10 cases
Replays 410 past cases weighted exactly like the 30-day prediction: the 844 similar cases behind it plus a sample of all history.
Where the odds were best· swipe for longer holds →
cell = chance of profit color = average result, −50% or worse to +50% or better striped = liquidated in more than 1 in 10★ best: highest typical result with at most 1 in 10 liquidated, most cases in profit and an average above zerono take profit or stop loss · tap a cell to load it
The planner and its replay chart run in your browser: turn on JavaScript to replay your own WELL trade on these past cases.
Odds from similar past cases, not financial advice. Leverage multiplies losses too: a liquidated position loses its whole margin.
Where to trade WELL · by share of the last day's volume
WELL$0.0023761% ▼ 1Dbest playno play cleared the bar at 1Dopen calculator
WELL$0.0023760% ▼ 7Dbest playno play cleared the bar at 7Dopen calculator
WELL$0.0023759% ▼ 30Dbest playno play cleared the bar at 30Dopen calculator
2
Why we think this
the reasoning, in short
Drivers
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher a day later 47% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in WELL's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (1,049 cases) into 39% higher.
Volume spike
Trading volume jumped far above its 30-day normal (5.5 standard deviations). After volume spikes like this, coins were higher a day later 43% of the time (18,285 cases), vs 47% across all cases.
here 44% · normal 47% higher a day later
Up 13% over 7 days
Up 13% this week. After a week like that, coins were higher a day later 46% of the time (64,875 cases), vs 47% across all cases.
here 46% · normal 47% higher a day later
Bitcoin above its 50-day average
Bitcoin is above its 50-day average. In that situation, coins were higher a day later 48% of the time (150,860 cases), vs 47% across all cases.
here 48% · normal 47% higher a day later
Micro-cap
Micro-cap coin ($9.7M market cap). Coins this size were higher a day later 46% of the time (107,048 cases), vs 47% across all cases.
here 46% · normal 47% higher a day later
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher 7 days later 44% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in WELL's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (1,015 cases) into 40% higher.
Up 22% over 30 days
Up 22% over the last 30 days. After a month like that, coins were higher a week later 46% of the time (72,685 cases), vs 44% across all cases.
here 46% · normal 44% higher 7 days later
Bitcoin above its 50-day average
Bitcoin is above its 50-day average. In that situation, coins were higher a week later 46% of the time (148,942 cases), vs 44% across all cases.
here 46% · normal 44% higher 7 days later
Volume spike
Trading volume jumped far above its 30-day normal (5.5 standard deviations). After volume spikes like this, coins were higher a week later 43% of the time (18,170 cases), vs 44% across all cases.
here 43% · normal 44% higher 7 days later
Micro-cap
Micro-cap coin ($9.7M market cap). Coins this size were higher a week later 43% of the time (105,644 cases), vs 44% across all cases.
here 43% · normal 44% higher 7 days later
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher 30 days later 39% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in WELL's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (844 cases) into 41% higher.
Bitcoin above its 50-day average
Bitcoin is above its 50-day average. In that situation, coins were higher 30 days later 43% of the time (141,385 cases), vs 39% across all cases.
here 43% · normal 39% higher 30 days later
Up 13% over 7 days
Up 13% this week. After a week like that, coins were higher 30 days later 42% of the time (62,055 cases), vs 39% across all cases.
here 42% · normal 39% higher 30 days later
Volume spike
Trading volume jumped far above its 30-day normal (5.5 standard deviations). After volume spikes like this, coins were higher 30 days later 42% of the time (17,534 cases), vs 39% across all cases.
here 42% · normal 39% higher 30 days later
Other coin type
Outside the meme, DeFi and L1/L2 groups. Coins outside those groups were higher 30 days later 39% of the time (255,282 cases), vs 39% across all cases.
here 39% · normal 39% higher 30 days later
What moves WELL
LIKELYWhen a US CPI release came, WELL ended higher the next day 59% of the time, against 45% on any daynext Oct 14, 2026 · 32 cases · on average +2.3% against +0.0% · last Sep 11, 2026
LIKELYWhen Ether rose 4% or more in a day, WELL ended higher the next day 37% of the time, against 45% on any day97 cases · on average -1.6% against +0.0% · last Sep 21, 2026
tested coin by coin every night, each cause against WELL's own moves on any day (its biggest days capped) · proven: past the cut for testing thousands at once, both halves of its history agree, 12 cases or more · likely: weaker evidence, watch it · what moves every coin
Our record on WELL
Our last 6 calls on WELL over 30 days: right on 5 of 5, 1 more was a coin flip · 3 of 6 ended inside our range · all-time on WELL: 85.7% hit rate, 75.0% inside the range (42 backtested calls)
Aug 2 said 57% down · ended −23.6%✓ rightAug 9 said 57% down · ended −35.5%✓ rightAug 16 said 67% down · ended −33.5%✓ rightAug 23 said 59% down · ended −44.6%✓ rightAug 30 said 64% down · ended −16.2%✓ rightSep 6 said 54% down · ended +22.4%coin flip
white: WELL's real price after each call · bar: the range we gave (8 in 10 cases, the middle half thicker, a notch at the typical move) · end dot: green right · red wrong · orange the price went sideways (within ±5.5% over 30 days) or a coin flip · backtest: each call used only data available that day · live since Oct 4, 2026: 3 live 30-day predictions on record, first result due Nov 3, 2026 · the full scorecard →
active —
NoneRank #871on record since 2023-11-07$11.48M lost to hacks
$0.00237
24H+0.2%
30D0.0%
1Y0.0%
FROM ATH−97.9%
last 6 months · daily close · candle = 2 sessions◆ recorded event · dotted blue line = last price · orange = the price went sideways (within ±1.4% over 2 days)
as of · generated from this record's own rowsread it →
events on record
31
higher 30 days after
10 of 26
typical 30-day move
−19.8%
next up
—
Every eventMEASURED31 events
The record: every event and what followed
as of · CoinPaprika · DefiLlama · exchange announcements · PatternPlus effectsread it →
WELL: 31 events, newest first; six signed numbers per row are the price change from the close before the event, in UTC; vs BTC is the difference of the two 30-day moves
Users paid WELL's protocol $42k in fees in the week to 2026-09-12 (DefiLlama), 0.3 times its weekly average over the 4 weeks before. DefiLlama fills a day in after it ends, so the event is dated 2026-09-14: the move is the coin's from the close a full day after that week. WELL saw a fee slump on Sep 14, 2026; the day-30 effect will be recorded in 8 days (day 1: −3.6%).
Users paid WELL's protocol $144k in fees in the week to 2026-08-27 (DefiLlama), 4.0 times its weekly average over the 4 weeks before. DefiLlama fills a day in after it ends, so the event is dated 2026-08-29: the move is the coin's from the close a full day after that week. On Aug 29, 2026 WELL saw a fee surge; it fell 5.3% by day 1 and was 19.8% lower 30 days later, 27 points behind BTC; it had moved −27.6% in the 7 days before.
WELL's protocol TVL (DefiLlama) fell 37% during 2026-08-27, from $72M, and held at the next reading. Dated 2026-08-29, when that was clear; the move is the coin's from the close before. On Aug 29, 2026 WELL saw a TVL crash; it fell 5.3% by day 1 and was 19.8% lower 30 days later, 27 points behind BTC; it had moved −27.6% in the 7 days before.
hack Moonwell Lending exploited for $8.70M
—
+10.0%
−22.2%
−47.2%
−36.1%
−43.0%
in 50 days
defillama
Spot Price Manipulation On Aug 27, 2026 WELL was hacked; it fell 22.2% by day 1 and was 36.1% lower 30 days later, 43 points behind BTC; it had moved +10.0% in the 7 days before.
Users paid WELL's protocol $92k in fees in the week to 2026-06-05 (DefiLlama), 3.1 times its weekly average over the 4 weeks before. DefiLlama fills a day in after it ends, so the event is dated 2026-06-07: the move is the coin's from the close a full day after that week. On Jun 7, 2026 WELL saw a fee surge; it rose 8.8% by day 1 and was 9.9% higher 30 days later, 6 points ahead of BTC; it had moved −19.4% in the 7 days before.
Users paid WELL's protocol $36k in fees in the week to 2026-02-13 (DefiLlama), 0.2 times its weekly average over the 4 weeks before. DefiLlama fills a day in after it ends, so the event is dated 2026-02-15: the move is the coin's from the close a full day after that week. On Feb 15, 2026 WELL saw a fee slump; it fell 6.5% by day 1 and was 2.7% higher 30 days later, 3 points behind BTC; it had moved +5.7% in the 7 days before.
hack Moonwell Lending exploited for $1.78M
—
+5.7%
−6.5%
−7.6%
+2.7%
−3.2%
−17.7%
defillama
Oracle Misconfiguration On Feb 15, 2026 WELL was hacked; it fell 6.5% by day 1 and was 2.7% higher 30 days later, 3 points behind BTC; it had moved +5.7% in the 7 days before.
Users paid WELL's protocol $178k in fees in the week to 2026-01-31 (DefiLlama), 2.6 times its weekly average over the 4 weeks before. DefiLlama fills a day in after it ends, so the event is dated 2026-02-02: the move is the coin's from the close a full day after that week. On Feb 2, 2026 WELL saw a fee surge; it rose 1.7% by day 1 and was 0.9% higher 30 days later, 7 points ahead of BTC; it had moved −22.9% in the 7 days before.
WELL's protocol TVL (DefiLlama) fell 29% during 2025-11-04, from $254M, and held at the next reading. Dated 2025-11-06, when that was clear; the move is the coin's from the close before. On Nov 6, 2025 WELL saw a TVL crash; it rose 3.5% by day 1 and was 11.8% lower 30 days later, 2 points ahead of BTC; it had moved −34.1% in the 7 days before.
hack Moonwell Lending exploited for $1M
—
−27.8%
−14.5%
−15.8%
−28.2%
−14.5%
−62.5%
defillama
Spot Price Manipulation On Nov 4, 2025 WELL was hacked; it fell 14.5% by day 1 and was 28.2% lower 30 days later, 15 points behind BTC; it had moved −27.8% in the 7 days before.
Users paid WELL's protocol $149k in fees in the week to 2025-10-17 (DefiLlama), 0.3 times its weekly average over the 4 weeks before. DefiLlama fills a day in after it ends, so the event is dated 2025-10-19: the move is the coin's from the close a full day after that week. On Oct 19, 2025 WELL saw a fee slump; it rose 3.7% by day 1 and was 49.6% lower 30 days later, 36 points behind BTC; it had moved −2.3% in the 7 days before.
Users paid WELL's protocol $1.7M in fees in the week to 2025-10-10 (DefiLlama), 7.4 times its weekly average over the 4 weeks before. DefiLlama fills a day in after it ends, so the event is dated 2025-10-12: the move is the coin's from the close a full day after that week. On Oct 12, 2025 WELL saw a fee surge; it rose 16.8% by day 1 and was 39.6% lower 30 days later, 33 points behind BTC; it had moved −20.0% in the 7 days before.
Users paid WELL's protocol $448k in fees in the week to 2025-08-13 (DefiLlama), 2.2 times its weekly average over the 4 weeks before. DefiLlama fills a day in after it ends, so the event is dated 2025-08-15: the move is the coin's from the close a full day after that week. On Aug 15, 2025 WELL saw a fee surge; it fell 1.7% by day 1 and was 6.0% lower 30 days later, 3 points behind BTC; it had moved +0.7% in the 7 days before.
Users paid WELL's protocol $89k in fees in the week to 2025-04-16 (DefiLlama), 0.5 times its weekly average over the 4 weeks before. DefiLlama fills a day in after it ends, so the event is dated 2025-04-18: the move is the coin's from the close a full day after that week. On Apr 18, 2025 WELL saw a fee slump; it rose 5.0% by day 1 and was 46.7% higher 30 days later, 21 points ahead of BTC; it had moved +15.4% in the 7 days before.
WELL's protocol TVL (DefiLlama) rose 62% during 2025-04-14, from $107M, and held at the next reading. Dated 2025-04-16, when that was clear; the move is the coin's from the close before. On Apr 16, 2025 WELL saw a TVL surge; it fell 1.3% by day 1 and was 55.8% higher 30 days later, 32 points ahead of BTC; it had moved +29.5% in the 7 days before.
Users paid WELL's protocol $361k in fees in the week to 2025-04-07 (DefiLlama), 2.5 times its weekly average over the 4 weeks before. DefiLlama fills a day in after it ends, so the event is dated 2025-04-09: the move is the coin's from the close a full day after that week. On Apr 9, 2025 WELL saw a fee surge; it rose 10.8% by day 1 and was 92.0% higher 30 days later, 57 points ahead of BTC; it had moved −22.5% in the 7 days before.
Users paid WELL's protocol $134k in fees in the week to 2025-02-10 (DefiLlama), 0.2 times its weekly average over the 4 weeks before. DefiLlama fills a day in after it ends, so the event is dated 2025-02-12: the move is the coin's from the close a full day after that week. On Feb 12, 2025 WELL saw a fee slump; it fell 0.9% by day 1 and was 24.6% lower 30 days later, 12 points behind BTC; it had moved −10.4% in the 7 days before.
Users paid WELL's protocol $1.1M in fees in the week to 2025-02-03 (DefiLlama), 2.6 times its weekly average over the 4 weeks before. DefiLlama fills a day in after it ends, so the event is dated 2025-02-05: the move is the coin's from the close a full day after that week. On Feb 5, 2025 WELL saw a fee surge; it fell 7.0% by day 1 and was 32.9% lower 30 days later, 22 points behind BTC; it had moved −14.2% in the 7 days before.
Users paid WELL's protocol $230k in fees in the week to 2025-01-06 (DefiLlama), 0.5 times its weekly average over the 4 weeks before. DefiLlama fills a day in after it ends, so the event is dated 2025-01-08: the move is the coin's from the close a full day after that week. On Jan 8, 2025 WELL saw a fee slump; it fell 13.7% by day 1 and was 46.8% lower 30 days later, 46 points behind BTC; it had moved +11.2% in the 7 days before.
Moonwell Governance on Snapshot: 311 voters, closed 2025-01-04. On Jan 4, 2025 WELL saw a governance vote; it fell 5.5% by day 1 and was 43.7% lower 30 days later, 47 points behind BTC; it had moved +8.8% in the 7 days before.
Users paid WELL's protocol $827k in fees in the week to 2024-12-13 (DefiLlama), 2.4 times its weekly average over the 4 weeks before. DefiLlama fills a day in after it ends, so the event is dated 2024-12-15: the move is the coin's from the close a full day after that week. On Dec 15, 2024 WELL saw a fee surge; it rose 7.4% by day 1 and was 41.9% lower 30 days later, 37 points behind BTC; it had moved −8.1% in the 7 days before.
Moonwell Governance on Snapshot: 254 voters, closed 2024-11-16. On Nov 16, 2024 WELL saw a governance vote; it fell 4.9% by day 1 and was 40.5% higher 30 days later, 24 points ahead of BTC; it had moved −18.2% in the 7 days before.
all-time high WELL all-time high: $0.1129
—
+58.9%
+4.3%
−20.9%
−28.0%
−64.7%
−59.5%
derived
Highest daily close in our price history. On Oct 29, 2024 WELL set an all-time high; it rose 4.3% by day 1 and was 28.0% lower 30 days later, 65 points behind BTC; it had moved +58.9% in the 7 days before.
Users paid WELL's protocol $111k in fees in the week to 2024-08-12 (DefiLlama), 0.4 times its weekly average over the 4 weeks before. DefiLlama fills a day in after it ends, so the event is dated 2024-08-14: the move is the coin's from the close a full day after that week. On Aug 14, 2024 WELL saw a fee slump; it rose 0.4% by day 1 and was 117.4% higher 30 days later, 118 points ahead of BTC; it had moved −4.8% in the 7 days before.
Users paid WELL's protocol $556k in fees in the week to 2024-08-05 (DefiLlama), 2.3 times its weekly average over the 4 weeks before. DefiLlama fills a day in after it ends, so the event is dated 2024-08-07: the move is the coin's from the close a full day after that week. On Aug 7, 2024 WELL saw a fee surge; it rose 6.2% by day 1 and was 31.0% higher 30 days later, 35 points ahead of BTC; it had moved −32.0% in the 7 days before.
Users paid WELL's protocol $512k in fees in the week to 2024-07-05 (DefiLlama), 2.5 times its weekly average over the 4 weeks before. DefiLlama fills a day in after it ends, so the event is dated 2024-07-07: the move is the coin's from the close a full day after that week. On Jul 7, 2024 WELL saw a fee surge; it fell 5.3% by day 1 and was 42.9% lower 30 days later, 39 points behind BTC; it had moved −27.2% in the 7 days before.
On Jul 2, 2024Bybit listed WELL; it fell 9.3% by day 1 and was 41.5% lower 30 days later, 45 points behind BTC; it had moved −2.4% in the 7 days before.
WELL's protocol TVL (DefiLlama) fell 33% during 2023-03-11, from $43M, and held at the next reading. Dated 2023-03-13, when that was clear; the move is the coin's from the close before. WELL saw a TVL crash on Mar 13, 2023; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
WELL's protocol TVL (DefiLlama) fell 62% during 2022-08-02, from $86M, and held at the next reading. Dated 2022-08-04, when that was clear; the move is the coin's from the close before. WELL saw a TVL crash on Aug 4, 2022; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
hallmark Nomad Bridge Exploit
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
defillama
WELL saw a hallmark on Aug 1, 2022; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
WELL's protocol TVL (DefiLlama) fell 21% during 2022-07-25, from $112M, and held at the next reading. Dated 2022-07-27, when that was clear; the move is the coin's from the close before. WELL saw a TVL crash on Jul 27, 2022; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
Source: events from CoinPaprika, DefiLlama and exchange announcements; effects computed by PatternPlus (see methodology) · fetched
Against the venue medianMEASURED
How WELL's events compare with the venue median
as of · event_stats computed by PatternPlusread it →
Venue · kind
WELL median day 30
WELL n
Venue median day 30
Venue n
Up after 30 d (venue)
Position
all venues · fee surge
−12.9%
10
−1.0%
563
49.0%
below
all venues · TVL crash
−15.8%
2
−9.1%
411
32.6%
below
all venues · hack
−28.2%
3
−10.7%
117
36.8%
below
all venues · fee slump
−11.0%
6
−8.5%
480
36.5%
below
all venues · TVL surge
+55.8%
1
−10.0%
414
37.0%
above
all venues · governance vote
−1.6%
2
−4.3%
1349
42.5%
above
all venues · all-time high
−28.0%
1
−38.6%
644
6.2%
above
Bybit · spot listing
−41.5%
1
−22.8%
180
27.2%
below
Venue · kind
WELL median day 7
WELL n
Venue median day 7
Venue n
Up after 7 d (venue)
Position
all venues · fee slump
+3.5%
7
−2.6%
—
—
above
all venues · fee surge
−1.1%
10
−0.6%
—
—
below
all venues · TVL crash
−20.4%
2
−1.3%
—
—
below
all venues · hack
−15.8%
3
−5.7%
—
—
below
all venues · TVL surge
+21.0%
1
−2.6%
—
—
above
all venues · governance vote
−17.6%
2
−0.8%
—
—
below
all venues · all-time high
−20.9%
1
−17.1%
—
—
below
Bybit · spot listing
−29.4%
1
−13.3%
—
—
below
Day 7: the venue's event count and up-share are kept for day 30 only (—); its median uses every event measured to day 7.
Venue · kind
WELL median day 1
WELL n
Venue median day 1
Venue n
Up after 1 d (venue)
Position
all venues · fee slump
−0.9%
7
−0.7%
—
—
below
all venues · fee surge
+4.0%
10
+0.2%
—
—
above
all venues · TVL crash
−0.9%
2
0.0%
—
—
below
all venues · hack
−14.5%
3
−4.9%
—
—
below
all venues · TVL surge
−1.3%
1
−0.9%
—
—
below
all venues · governance vote
−5.2%
2
+0.2%
—
—
below
all venues · all-time high
+4.3%
1
−3.7%
—
—
above
Bybit · spot listing
−9.3%
1
−3.8%
—
—
below
Day 1: the venue's event count and up-share are kept for day 30 only (—); its median uses every event measured to day 1.
Issuer powers first recorded on Oct 4, 2026: mint authority unknown, freeze authority unknown, upgrade key unknown, admin keys unknown, honeypot unknown, pause unknown, blacklist unknown, transfer tax unknown.
TVL
13.38M
23.96M
TVL $13.38M to $23.96M (+79.1%) since Oct 3, 2026.
event
hallmark
3,509
New record entry (hallmark, Aug 1, 2022): Nomad Bridge Exploit.
TVL
13.38M
23.65M
TVL $13.38M to $23.65M (+76.8%) since Oct 3, 2026.
OUR NUMBERS ABOVE · PUBLIC FACTS BELOW
Where WELL is listedON RECORD1 venues
Where WELL is listed: spot and perpetuals, with dates
as of · exchange instrument APIs · announcementsread it →
Exchange coverage matrix: 1 venues on record; cell text is the listing date
Source: PatternPlus, computed from every token in the peer set · fetched
4
The full write-up
every sentence on WELL · questions · sources
WELL in short
Filed under crypto on its own chain, Moonwell (WELL) has been with no start date recorded; it holds rank #871 by market cap as of Oct 6, 2026 and trades 97.9% below its Oct 29, 2024 high.
As of Oct 6, 2026 the price is $0.00237 (+0.2% over 24 hours), market cap $9.7M, fully diluted value $11.9M, holder count not reported, $23.9M TVL.
Status on CoinPaprika: active; WELL is the native coin of its own chain, so there is no token contract.
CoinPaprika tickers and DefiLlama, read Oct 6, 2026.
31 events sit on Moonwell's record as of Oct 6, 2026 (1 spot listings, 0 perpetual listings, 0 unlocks, 3 hacks, 0 rounds); across the 26 with a measured day-30 outcome the median move was −19.8%.
From the latest data refresh
Moonwell (WELL) is a crypto token on its own chain, rank #871 by market cap as of Oct 6, 2026, 97.9% below its Oct 29, 2024 high.
The record's largest loss is a $8.7M hack on Aug 27, 2026 (oracle manipulation).
Since PatternPlus began recording on Oct 3, 2026 (4 daily snapshots), rank moved from #883 to #871.
No exchange listing with a date is on record for WELL as of Oct 6, 2026.
1 of its listings have a measured day-30 outcome (median −41.5%); 0 finished above the venue's own listing median and 1 below.
an unstated share of total supply is unlocked as of Oct 6, 2026;
the next scheduled unlock is Oct 13, 2026, 0.0% of circulating ($879.11 at today's price) under 'Sablier vesting'.
WELL is a native coin: its supply and rules follow protocol rules, and no issuer key was found to check as of Oct 6, 2026.
No funding round is recorded by DefiLlama for Moonwell as of Oct 6, 2026.
Moonwell lists 2 audit links on DefiLlama (Halborn); 3 hacks totalling $11.5M are recorded.
No team member is recorded on CoinPaprika for Moonwell as of Oct 6, 2026.
DefiLlama reports $23.9M TVL and $27,375 revenue over 30 days as of Oct 6, 2026;
revenue to market cap of 0.034 sits at the 68th percentile of 1594 all tokens on record tokens.
Generated from this record's own rows at build time; as of Oct 6, 2026.
Across 563 fee surges across every token on record, the median move is +0.2% on day 1 and −1.0% by day 30; 49.0% were still up after 30 days; WELL's 10 sit below that median at −12.9%.
Across 411 TVL crashes across every token on record, the median move is 0.0% on day 1 and −9.1% by day 30;
32.6% were still up after 30 days;
WELL's 2 sit below that median at −15.8%.
Across 117 hacks across every token on record, the median move is −4.9% on day 1 and −10.7% by day 30;
36.8% were still up after 30 days;
WELL's 3 sit below that median at −28.2%.
Across 480 fee slumps across every token on record, the median move is −0.7% on day 1 and −8.5% by day 30;
36.5% were still up after 30 days;
WELL's 6 sit below that median at −11.0%.
Across 414 TVL surges across every token on record, the median move is −0.9% on day 1 and −10.0% by day 30;
37.0% were still up after 30 days;
WELL's one sits above that median at +55.8%.
Across 1349 governance votes across every token on record, the median move is +0.2% on day 1 and −4.3% by day 30;
42.5% were still up after 30 days;
WELL's 2 sit above that median at −1.6%.
Across 644 all-time highs across every token on record, the median move is −3.7% on day 1 and −38.6% by day 30;
6.2% were still up after 30 days;
WELL's one sits above that median at −28.0%.
Across 180 spot listings on Bybit, the median move is −3.8% on day 1 and −22.8% by day 30;
27.2% were still up after 30 days;
WELL's one sits below that median at −41.5%.
WELL sits above the venue median in 3 of 8 venue-and-kind comparisons as of Oct 6, 2026.
event_stats recomputed nightly; as of Oct 6, 2026.
The issuer holds 0 of 0 checked powers as of Oct 4, 2026; 13 not checked, 0 not applicable.
Whether the issuer can mint new tokens, freeze accounts, upgrade the contract, change balances, act through a hidden owner, blacklist addresses, restrict transfers to a whitelist, pause transfers, take a tax on purchases, take a tax on sales, block resale, hide the contract source and act through admin keys was not checked: no dexscreener response for those fields on Base as of Oct 4, 2026.
security rows per chain and tokens.powers; vocabulary fixed: held, revoked, unknown; checked Oct 4, 2026.
As of Oct 6, 2026, an unstated share of WELL's total supply is unlocked; on Oct 13, 2026 a further 370,498 WELL (0.0% of circulating, $879.11 at today's price) is scheduled under 'Sablier vesting'.
18 unlocks fall in the 90 days to Jan 4, 2027, releasing 0.3% of circulating supply ($28,086 at today's price).
No past unlock has a measurable day-30 outcome yet as of Oct 6, 2026.
The unlock schedule from the on-chain vesting contracts we read holds 132 rows from May 21, 2025 to May 1, 2028: 110 cliff and 22 linear;
70 rows are in the past.
No allocation breakdown is on record for WELL as of Oct 6, 2026.
On-chain vesting contracts (Sablier, Hedgey, UNCX, Team Finance, Streamflow and Jupiter Lock), effects from our price series; as of Oct 6, 2026.
31 events since Jul 27, 2022; 16 of the 26 measured were followed by a lower price 30 days later; best Fees down 0.4x: WELL's protocol took $111k in a week on Aug 14, 2024 (+117.4%), worst Fees down 0.3x: WELL's protocol took $149k in a week on Oct 19, 2025 (−49.6%).
1002 daily closes from Jan 9, 2024 to Oct 6, 2026 are plotted on a log scale, with the rank from 4 snapshots as a step line.
The all-time high marker sits at $0.1129 on Oct 29, 2024, 707 days before Oct 6, 2026.
prices, metrics_daily, events and effects; as of Oct 6, 2026.
37 changes are logged for this page since Oct 4, 2026; the latest, on Oct 6, 2026, is: New record entry (fees jump, Feb 5, 2025): Fees up 2.6x: WELL's protocol took $1.1M in a week.
Moonwell trades 97.9% below its all-time high of $0.1129, set on Oct 29, 2024, 707 days before Oct 6, 2026; over 30 days it moved 0.0% against 0.0% for BTC (beta 1.54).
Price change as of Oct 6, 2026: +0.6% over 1 hour, +0.2% over 24 hours, +5.1% over 7 days, 0.0% over 30 days, 0.0% over 1 year.
Market cap is 81.9% of fully diluted value ($9.7M of $11.9M), so 18.1% of the valuation sits in supply that does not circulate yet.
24-hour volume of $1.4M is 14.4% of market cap as of Oct 6, 2026.
Circulating supply is 4.09B of 5B total (81.9%); no maximum supply is stated.
The all tokens on record median 30-day change is 0.0% across 1594 tokens, so WELL sits below its peer set.
CoinPaprika tickers read Oct 6, 2026; BTC comparison from the BTC record.
1 address identify Moonwell on base; as the native coin of its own chain it has no token contract.
No other token on record uses the symbol WELL as of Oct 6, 2026.
Moonwell shares its ticker with WELL (Bitwell Token), WELL (WELL3) and WELL (Wellness Token Economy) (ticker collision on CoinPaprika, read Oct 6, 2026).
Identity fields from CoinPaprika as of Oct 6, 2026: start date not recorded, first market data Nov 7, 2023, proof type not stated, organisation structure not stated, no whitepaper link.
Cross-references as of Oct 6, 2026: CoinPaprika id well-moonwell, DefiLlama slug moonwell, no GitHub repository recorded.
No follower or star counts were read for Moonwell as of Oct 6, 2026.
CoinPaprika /coins and DefiLlama /protocols (contract addresses), token_contracts, token_aliases; read Oct 6, 2026.
Moonwell reported $161,894 in fees and $27,375 in revenue over 30 days to DefiLlama on $23.9M TVL as of Oct 6, 2026; its revenue-to-market-cap ratio of 0.034 is at the 68th percentile of 1594 all tokens on record tokens.
Annualised revenue of $328,500 gives a price-to-sales multiple of 29.6x at the $9.7M market cap of Oct 6, 2026.
TVL moved +110933181.4% between Jun 22, 2022 and Oct 4, 2026 (303 daily points).
Base carries 92.2% of TVL across 3 chains (Base $22M, Optimism $1.2M and Ethereum $644,497).
DefiLlama records no parent protocol for Moonwell (not a fork).
No oracle is listed for Moonwell on DefiLlama.
DefiLlama lists Moonwell under 'Lending' since Jun 23, 2022 (slug moonwell).
DefiLlama protocol, fees and TVL endpoints; as of Oct 6, 2026.
Set against 1594 all tokens on record tokens on Oct 6, 2026, Moonwell ranks at the 45th percentile for market cap, the 32nd for distance from its high and the unranked for share of supply unlocked.
The peer median market cap is $12.8M, the median distance from ATH −95.0% and the median 30-day change 0.0%.
The nearest peers by rank are saffron.finance (#870), xSUSHI (#872), Infinity Ground (#869), Recall Network (#873) and Caldera (#868).
Market cap: $9.7M (P45 of 1594; peer median $12.8M).
Volume / market cap (24h): 14.36% (P83 of 1594; peer median 2.42%).
30-day change: 0.0% (P50 of 1594; peer median 0.0%).
Distance from ATH: −97.9% (P32 of 1594; peer median −95.0%).
Revenue / market cap (30d): 0.034 (P68 of 288; peer median 0.006).
TVL: $23.9M (P63 of 429; peer median $5M).
peer set: all tokens on record (1594 tokens); as of Oct 6, 2026.
293,063 older closes on 652 coins, back to 2017-08-17; 404 reached their first Binance day, 8 stopped at a 10x day or a gap, 1 older tickers of another coin left out, 239 with nothing older; 0 for later nights
313,593 coin-days stored tonight (314,256 held, the oldest 2020-08-05); 300 of 300 coins finished (each back to its contract's first day), 0 left for later nights; 3 days left out by the price check (the contract was another coin then); 0 errors; 104,391 days stored with no close of ours to check against
144 coins whose protocols took $100k+ in fees over 30 days; 134 read tonight, 144,935 coin-days stored; 1446 fee jumps and slumps; the rest comes over the next nights
55,006 coin-driver tests; 220 proven on 137 coins, 2874 likely; 47,817 more by the trimmed mean in the same cut, which found 68 proven and 167 likely more that earn with the tails in, and 565 more that did not on their newer half (dropped)
2026-10-06 16:27 UTC
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edge
35 kinds of event against their coins' ordinary days, by day; a clear edge (95% range, both halves agree) up for fees_jump, funding_low, futures_listing, spx_drop, down for delisting, fear, futures_listing, hack, kr_discount, listing, tvl_jump
2026-10-06 16:26 UTC
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effects
12005 effects, 51 stats rows
2026-10-06 16:26 UTC
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etherscan
skipped: no ETHERSCAN_KEY in data/config_local.py or the environment
522 of our coins trade as Gate USDT perpetuals; 522 read tonight, 89878 coin-days stored; 4 liquidation spikes as events; the rest is read on the next nights
176 of our coins trade as Hyperliquid perps; 29 read up to now tonight (121 pages), 11234 coin-days stored; 179 funding extremes; the rest of the history comes over the next nights
827 of 1594 coins have a logo (coingecko 713, trustwallet 108, jupiter 5, website 1). Tonight 40 asked: 4 from coingecko, 3 from trustwallet, 1 from jupiter; 32 with none yet; coinpaprika refused us (HTTP 403) and was not asked again after 30. Without one, by rank: RAIN, CC, WETH, JITOSOL, RETH, KHYPE, RSETH, WBNB, SUSDE, SYRUPUSDC, METH, JLP (drop a file in data/curated/logos/<slug>.png)
703 collected series, 343 with enough history; 5,857 tests; 1 proven, 273 likely; 1 series tested from a later day (their values hold that day's move)
2026-10-06 16:28 UTC
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setups
setups re-measured on our own prices
2026-10-06 16:28 UTC
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signals
7 proven signals: ath after (30d), ath after (7d), cb_discount after (7d), pump after (30d), pump after (7d), vol_spike after (30d), vol_spike after (7d); 32 of tonight's predictions moved
2026-10-06 16:27 UTC
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snapshot
daily snapshots and the change log
2026-10-06 16:47 UTC
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snapshot_org
1423 governance votes on 40 coins from 40 Snapshot spaces; tonight 0 proposals read (to 2026-09-10), 0 big closed ones kept, 3 open or pending; 1 events new, 1 removed
3144 rules tested; 6 survived discovery and the holdout (5 new tonight): funding_7:high:3d:q10:all:clean, ret_1:low:1d:q20:bear, volume_trend:low:1d:q10:bear; 1788 distinct rules, each pool by each detector in one false-discovery cut; the trimmed-mean test found 32 more past discovery, 4 of them earning with the tails back in; 11 in the book
10 of 224 coins with 120+ days of supply history release on a monthly or quarterly pattern; 39 releases projected: APT (monthly, day 14), ARB (quarterly, day 18), ENA (monthly, day 6), ETHFI (quarterly, day 17), GRASS (monthly, day 29), IO (monthly, day 1), KCS (quarterly, day 1), MOVE (monthly, day 9), STRK (quarterly, day 16), WLD (quarterly, day 21)
2026-10-06 15:34 UTC
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teamfinance
1 of 47 coins hold Team Finance vesting; 4 contracts still being read for the first time
Effects are measured as described on the methodology page. Facts are compiled from public sources; nothing on this page is advice. Corrections: hello@pattern.plus.
ethplorer last fetched successfully on Oct 6, 2026 15:30 UTC;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-06T15:30:28+00:00 HTTP 429 https://api.ethplorer.io/getTokenInfo/0x66fd8), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
fred last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-06T15:34:09+00:00 no FRED_API_KEY: the jobs, PPI, PCE, GDP and retail sa), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
This page is generated from 7,154 database rows and rebuilt daily; first published Oct 4, 2026.
PatternPlus compiles facts from public sources and gives no financial advice; corrections by email. As of Oct 6, 2026.
How to read this
Band 1 is the prediction: the chance of a higher price, the typical move and the likely range, with the real past setups behind it drawn as they moved.
Band 2 is why: the drivers, the next events and how our past calls on this coin went.
Band 3 is the data: every table and chart, dated; green means the price was higher afterwards, red lower.
Band 4 is the write-up: the same record in words, with the questions and the sources.
