No pattern has a proven 1-day record on this coin yet — the call above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 46% chance higher tomorrow · this pattern's 1d calls hit 45.0% of 3,043 — no better than a coin flip so far · drawn from the 288 setups matched for the 30-day prediction
?next day
−20%−10%0%+10%+20%−10%−5%0%+5%+10%+14% in 30 days↑ 98% below its all-time high
−30dnow+1d
▲ 8 rose · ▼ 12 fell · ◆ 10 sideways(±1.1% over 1 day)
Bold: USUAL's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 288 setups matched for the 30-day prediction, and what each did over the next day — real hourly closes, scaled to USUAL's volatility. 30 with no hourly path on file yet are drawn through their daily lows, highs and closes.
Bad case$0.0125−3%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$0.0128−0.2%half did better, half worse
Good case$0.0134+4%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−0.2%
Likely range
−3% to +4%$0.0125 – $0.0134
357 similar setups · our 1-day calls hit 49.7% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
USUAL price prediction for this week
50%chance USUAL is higher
↔ COIN FLIP
No pattern has a proven 7-day record on this coin yet — the call above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 50% chance higher in 7 days · this pattern's 7d calls hit 57.7% of 11,360 — no better than always guessing the usual direction (59%) so far · drawn from the 288 setups matched for the 30-day prediction
?next 7 days
−20%−10%0%+10%+20%−20%0%+20%+40%+14% in 30 days↑ 98% below its all-time high
−30dnow+7d
▲ 10 rose · ▼ 8 fell · ◆ 12 sideways(±2.6% over 7 days)
Bold: USUAL's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 288 setups matched for the 30-day prediction, and what each did over the next 7 days — real 4-hour closes, scaled to USUAL's volatility. 30 with no 4-hour path on file yet are drawn through their daily lows, highs and closes.
Bad case$0.0117−9%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$0.0129+0.3%half did better, half worse
Good case$0.0152+18%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
+0.3%
Likely range
−9% to +18%$0.0117 – $0.0152
341 similar setups · our 7-day calls hit 58.1% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
USUAL price prediction for the next 30 days
64%chance USUAL is lower
▼ STRONG DOWN
No pattern has a proven record on this coin yet — the prediction above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 36% chance higher in 30 days · drawn from its 288 matched past setups
?next 30 days
−20%−10%0%+10%+20%0%+50%+100%+14% in 30 days↑ 98% below its all-time high
−30dnow+30d
▲ 7 rose · ▼ 16 fell · ◆ 7 sideways(±5.5% over 30 days)
Bold: USUAL's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 288 past setups like this, and what each did over the next 30 days — real daily closes, scaled to USUAL's volatility.
Bad case$0.00958−26%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$0.0121−5.8%half did better, half worse
Good case$0.0157+22%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−5.8%
Likely range
−26% to +22%$0.00958 – $0.0157
288 similar setups · our 30-day calls hit 62.1% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
Plan a leveraged trade on USUAL
replays the cases behind the 30-day prediction
replays the cases behind the 30-day prediction
Pick a side, when you close and your leverage: we replay that exact trade on the past cases behind this USUAL prediction and count how it ended.
Best historical window for USUAL in setups like this: short, hold 1 day, 10× — profitable 54.8% of the time, typical +4.0%, liquidated 5.3% of the time (n=288).
Chance this ends in profit—
Typical result—half did better, half worse
Chance you get liquidated first—
Every past case, replayedhover or tap a line to see the case
price went your way —against you —sideways —(within ±1.0% over 1 day)✕liquidated —take profit hit —stop loss hit —typical8 in 10 cases
Replays 403 past cases weighted exactly like the 30-day prediction: the 288 similar cases behind it plus a sample of all history.
Where the odds were best· swipe for longer holds →
cell = chance of profit color = average result, −50% or worse to +50% or better striped = liquidated in more than 1 in 10★ best: highest typical result with at most 1 in 10 liquidated, most cases in profit and an average above zerono take profit or stop loss · tap a cell to load it
The planner and its replay chart run in your browser: turn on JavaScript to replay your own USUAL trade on these past cases.
Odds from similar past cases, not financial advice. Leverage multiplies losses too: a liquidated position loses its whole margin.
Where to trade USUAL · by share of the last day's volume
USUAL$0.013054% ▼ 1Dbest play▼ Short 1D 10× → +4.0%open calculator
USUAL$0.013050% ▲ 7Dbest playno play cleared the bar at 7Dopen calculator
USUAL$0.013064% ▼ 30Dbest playno play cleared the bar at 30Dopen calculator
2
Why we think this
the reasoning, in short
Drivers
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher a day later 47% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in USUAL's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (357 cases) into 46% higher.
Down 12% over 7 days
Down 12% this week. After a week like that, coins were higher a day later 49% of the time (28,041 cases), vs 47% across all cases.
here 49% · normal 47% higher a day later
Up 14% over 30 days
Up 14% over the last 30 days. After a month like that, coins were higher a day later 47% of the time (22,250 cases), vs 47% across all cases.
here 47% · normal 47% higher a day later
99% below its high
99% below its all-time high. Coins that far below their high were higher a day later 47% of the time (69,100 cases), vs 47% across all cases.
here 47% · normal 47% higher a day later
Normal volume
Trading volume is in its normal range. On normal-volume days, coins were higher a day later 47% of the time (90,212 cases), vs 47% across all cases.
here 47% · normal 47% higher a day later
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher 7 days later 43% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in USUAL's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (341 cases) into 50% higher.
Down 12% over 7 days
Down 12% this week. After a week like that, coins were higher a week later 46% of the time (27,878 cases), vs 43% across all cases.
here 46% · normal 43% higher 7 days later
Bitcoin above its 50-day average
Bitcoin is above its 50-day average. In that situation, coins were higher a week later 42% of the time (46,968 cases), vs 43% across all cases.
here 42% · normal 43% higher 7 days later
Micro-cap
Micro-cap coin ($6.6M market cap). Coins this size were higher a week later 44% of the time (27,648 cases), vs 43% across all cases.
here 44% · normal 43% higher 7 days later
Up 14% over 30 days
Up 14% over the last 30 days. After a month like that, coins were higher a week later 44% of the time (21,757 cases), vs 43% across all cases.
here 44% · normal 43% higher 7 days later
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher 30 days later 38% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in USUAL's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (288 cases) into 36% higher.
Up 14% over 30 days
Up 14% over the last 30 days. After a month like that, coins were higher 30 days later 34% of the time (20,031 cases), vs 38% across all cases.
here 34% · normal 38% higher 30 days later
Micro-cap
Micro-cap coin ($6.6M market cap). Coins this size were higher 30 days later 40% of the time (26,006 cases), vs 38% across all cases.
here 40% · normal 38% higher 30 days later
Down 12% over 7 days
Down 12% this week. After a week like that, coins were higher 30 days later 35% of the time (27,231 cases), vs 38% across all cases.
here 35% · normal 38% higher 30 days later
Bitcoin above its 50-day average
Bitcoin is above its 50-day average. In that situation, coins were higher 30 days later 39% of the time (44,236 cases), vs 38% across all cases.
here 39% · normal 38% higher 30 days later
Our record on USUAL
Our last 6 calls on USUAL over 30 days: right on 0 of 6 · 2 of 6 ended inside our range · all-time on USUAL: 59.1% hit rate, 70.8% inside the range (44 backtested calls)
Jul 26 said 65% down · ended +31.3%✗ wrongAug 2 said 57% down · ended +37.7%✗ wrongAug 9 said 63% down · ended +26.8%✗ wrongAug 16 said 64% down · ended +25.9%✗ wrongAug 23 said 68% down · ended +8.8%✗ wrongAug 30 said 67% down · ended +25.4%✗ wrong
white: USUAL's real price after each call · bar: the range we gave (8 in 10 cases, the middle half thicker, a notch at the typical move) · end dot: green right · red wrong · orange the price went sideways (within ±5.5% over 30 days) or a coin flip · backtest: each call used only data available that day · live since Oct 3, 2026: 1 live 30-day prediction on record, first result due Nov 2, 2026 · the full scorecard →
active —
NoneRank #981on record since 2025-01-09$43K lost to hacks
$0.0130
24H+4.3%
30D0.0%
1Y0.0%
FROM ATH−98.2%
last 6 months · daily close · candle = 2 sessions◆ recorded event · dotted blue line = last price · orange = the price went sideways (within ±1.4% over 2 days)
updated today Updated · 38 data points on this page
Changedno field on this page changed since the previous build
The record in shortON RECORD
The record in short
as of · generated from this record's own rowsread it →
events on record
2
higher 30 days after
0 of 2
typical 30-day move
−57.4%
next up
—
Every eventMEASURED2 events
The record: every event and what followed
as of · CoinPaprika · DefiLlama · exchange announcements · PatternPlus effectsread it →
USUAL: 2 events, newest first; six signed numbers per row are the price change from the close before the event, in UTC; vs BTC is the difference of the two 30-day moves
Date
Event
Venue
7d before
Next day
7 days
30 days
vs BTC
90 days
Source
2025
hack Usual USD0 exploited for $43k
—
−0.9%
+3.1%
−15.5%
−52.1%
−49.8%
−50.1%
defillama
Missing Input Validation On May 27, 2025 USUAL was hacked; it rose 3.1% by day 1 and was 52.1% lower 30 days later, 50 points behind BTC; it had moved −0.9% in the 7 days before.
all-time high USUAL all-time high: $0.7137
—
−30.5%
−7.9%
−21.1%
−62.7%
−67.0%
−78.3%
derived
Highest daily close in our price history. On Jan 10, 2025 USUAL set an all-time high; it fell 7.9% by day 1 and was 62.7% lower 30 days later, 67 points behind BTC; it had moved −30.5% in the 7 days before.
Source: events from CoinPaprika, DefiLlama and exchange announcements; effects computed by PatternPlus (see methodology) · fetched
Against the venue medianMEASURED
How USUAL's events compare with the venue median
as of · event_stats computed by PatternPlusread it →
Venue · kind
USUAL median day 30
USUAL n
Venue median day 30
Venue n
Up after 30 d (venue)
Position
all venues · hack
−52.1%
1
−5.4%
42
40.5%
below
all venues · all-time high
−62.7%
1
−39.9%
169
5.9%
below
Venue · kind
USUAL median day 7
USUAL n
Venue median day 7
Venue n
Up after 7 d (venue)
Position
all venues · hack
−15.5%
1
−7.1%
—
—
below
all venues · all-time high
−21.1%
1
−17.6%
—
—
below
Day 7: the venue's event count and up-share are kept for day 30 only (—); its median uses every event measured to day 7.
Venue · kind
USUAL median day 1
USUAL n
Venue median day 1
Venue n
Up after 1 d (venue)
Position
all venues · hack
+3.1%
1
−5.1%
—
—
above
all venues · all-time high
−7.9%
1
−5.7%
—
—
below
Day 1: the venue's event count and up-share are kept for day 30 only (—); its median uses every event measured to day 1.
Venue
Kind
n
Median next day
Median 7 days
Median 30 days
Up after 30 days
Mean 30 days
all venues
all-time high
169
−5.7%
−17.6%
−39.9%
5.9%
−38.8%
all venues
hack
42
−5.1%
−7.1%
−5.4%
40.5%
−3.9%
computed 2026-10-03 from every measured event on record
Source: event_stats, all measured events on record · fetched
Issuer powersON RECORD
What the issuer can do to USUAL holders (checked Oct 3, 2026)
Source: PatternPlus, computed from every token in the peer set · fetched
4
The full write-up
every sentence on USUAL · questions · sources
USUAL in short
Filed under crypto on its own chain, Usual (USUAL) has been with no start date recorded; it holds rank #981 by market cap as of Oct 3, 2026 and trades 98.2% below its Jan 10, 2025 high.
As of Oct 3, 2026 the price is $0.0130 (+4.3% over 24 hours), market cap $6.6M, fully diluted value $7M, holder count not reported, $87.8M TVL.
Status on CoinPaprika: active; USUAL is the native coin of its own chain, so there is no token contract.
CoinPaprika tickers and DefiLlama, read Oct 3, 2026.
As of Oct 3, 2026 the record for Usual runs to 2 events, of which 0 are spot listings, 0 perpetual listings, 0 unlocks, 1 hacks and 0 funding rounds; 2 carry a day-30 measurement with a median of −57.4%.
From the latest data refresh
Usual (USUAL), crypto on its own chain, holds rank #981 by market cap on Oct 3, 2026 and trades 98.2% under its Jan 10, 2025 high.
The record's largest loss is a $43,000 hack on May 27, 2025 (input validation).
PatternPlus holds 1 daily snapshot for USUAL as of Oct 3, 2026; the rank and holder series begin with the next rebuild.
No exchange listing with a date is on record for USUAL as of Oct 3, 2026.
No listing of USUAL has a measurable day-30 outcome yet as of Oct 3, 2026.
No emission schedule is published on DefiLlama for USUAL as of Oct 3, 2026.
No on-chain power check is on record for USUAL as of Oct 3, 2026.
No funding round is recorded by DefiLlama for Usual as of Oct 3, 2026.
Usual lists 0 audit links on DefiLlama; 1 hack totalling $43,000 is recorded.
No team member is recorded on CoinPaprika for Usual as of Oct 3, 2026.
DefiLlama reports $87.8M TVL and $322,862 revenue over 30 days as of Oct 3, 2026;
revenue to market cap of 0.586 sits at the 97th percentile of 1500 all tokens on record tokens.
Generated from this record's own rows at build time; as of Oct 3, 2026.
Across 42 hacks across every token on record, the median move is −5.1% on day 1 and −5.4% by day 30; 40.5% were still up after 30 days; USUAL's one sits below that median at −52.1%.
Across 169 all-time highs across every token on record, the median move is −5.7% on day 1 and −39.9% by day 30;
5.9% were still up after 30 days;
USUAL's one sits below that median at −62.7%.
USUAL sits above the venue median in 0 of 2 venue-and-kind comparisons as of Oct 3, 2026.
event_stats recomputed nightly; as of Oct 3, 2026.
No on-chain power check is available for USUAL on its own chain as of Oct 3, 2026; every row of the panel is shown as unknown until GoPlus or the Jupiter token API answers.
Until then this site cannot say whether the issuer can mint, freeze or upgrade USUAL; the check is retried at every rebuild.
2 events since Jan 10, 2025; 2 of the 2 measured were followed by a lower price 30 days later; best Usual USD0 exploited for $43k on May 27, 2025 (−52.1%), worst USUAL all-time high: $0.7137 on Jan 10, 2025 (−62.7%).
684 daily closes from Nov 19, 2024 to Oct 3, 2026 are plotted on a log scale, with the rank from 1 snapshots as a step line.
The all-time high marker sits at $0.7137 on Jan 10, 2025, 631 days before Oct 3, 2026.
prices, metrics_daily, events and effects; as of Oct 3, 2026.
The all-time high on record for Usual is $0.7137 on Jan 10, 2025, 631 days ago as of Oct 3, 2026; the price is 98.2% below it; over 30 days it moved 0.0% against 0.0% for BTC (beta 1.52).
Price change as of Oct 3, 2026: +0.6% over 1 hour, +4.3% over 24 hours, −11.3% over 7 days, 0.0% over 30 days, 0.0% over 1 year.
With $6.6M market cap against $7M fully diluted, 5.1% of USUAL's valuation is in non-circulating supply as of Oct 3, 2026.
24-hour volume of $783,687 is 11.9% of market cap as of Oct 3, 2026.
Circulating supply is 509.4M of 536.9M total (94.9%); no maximum supply is stated.
The all tokens on record median 30-day change is 0.0% across 1500 tokens, so USUAL sits below its peer set.
CoinPaprika tickers read Oct 3, 2026; BTC comparison from the BTC record.
No contract or mint address is recorded for Usual as of Oct 3, 2026.
No other token on record uses the symbol USUAL as of Oct 3, 2026.
No former name, former symbol or alias is recorded for Usual as of Oct 3, 2026.
Identity fields from CoinPaprika as of Oct 3, 2026: start date not recorded, first market data Jan 9, 2025, proof type not stated, organisation structure not stated, no whitepaper link.
Cross-references as of Oct 3, 2026: CoinPaprika id usual-usual, DefiLlama slug usual, no GitHub repository recorded.
No follower or star counts were read for Usual as of Oct 3, 2026.
CoinPaprika /coins, token_contracts, token_aliases; read Oct 3, 2026.
Usual reported $331,124 in fees and $322,862 in revenue over 30 days to DefiLlama on $87.8M TVL as of Oct 3, 2026; its revenue-to-market-cap ratio of 0.586 is at the 97th percentile of 1500 all tokens on record tokens.
Annualised revenue of $3.9M gives a price-to-sales multiple of 1.7x at the $6.6M market cap of Oct 3, 2026.
Ethereum carries 100.0% of TVL across 1 chain.
DefiLlama records no parent protocol for Usual (not a fork).
No oracle is listed for Usual on DefiLlama.
DefiLlama lists Usual under 'RWA' since Jul 15, 2024 (slug usual).
DefiLlama protocol, fees and TVL endpoints; as of Oct 3, 2026.
Set against 1500 all tokens on record tokens on Oct 3, 2026, Usual ranks at the 35th percentile for market cap, the 29th for distance from its high and the unranked for share of supply unlocked.
The peer median market cap is $14M, the median distance from ATH −94.8% and the median 30-day change 0.0%.
The nearest peers by rank are MyShell (#981), WolfSafePoorPeople (#982), SynFutures (#979), apM Coin (#983) and Frontier Token (#978).
Market cap: $6.6M (P35 of 1500; peer median $14M).
Volume / market cap (24h): 11.85% (P81 of 1500; peer median 2.46%).
30-day change: 0.0% (P50 of 1500; peer median 0.0%).
Distance from ATH: −98.2% (P29 of 1500; peer median −94.8%).
Revenue / market cap (30d): 0.586 (P97 of 258; peer median 0.006).
TVL: $87.8M (P74 of 417; peer median $4.4M).
peer set: all tokens on record (1500 tokens); as of Oct 3, 2026.
As of Oct 3, 2026: 54% chance USUAL is lower tomorrow — a coin flip, typical move −0.2%, likely range −3.2% to +4.1%, from 357 similar past setups.
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
What is the Usual price prediction for this week?
As of Oct 3, 2026: 50% chance USUAL is higher over the next 7 days — a coin flip, typical move +0.3%, likely range −9.3% to +18.1%, from 341 similar past setups.
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
What is the USUAL price prediction for the next 30 days?
As of Oct 3, 2026: 64% chance USUAL is lower over the next 30 days, typical move −5.8%, likely range −25.5% to +22.2%, from 288 similar past setups.
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
How accurate are these USUAL predictions?
Across 44 backtested 30-day calls on USUAL, the call was right 59.1% of the time and the price ended inside the likely range 70.8% of the time.
Of the last 6 30-day calls, 0 of 6 were right.
Each backtest call used only the data available on its own date.
Who is behind Usual?
No team member is recorded on CoinPaprika for Usual as of Oct 3, 2026; the organisation is described as not stated.
When is the next USUAL unlock?
No future unlock is scheduled on DefiLlama for USUAL as of Oct 3, 2026.
Is USUAL listed on Binance?
Yes; Binance listed USUAL.
How far is USUAL from its all-time high?
98.2% below the $0.7137 high of Jan 10, 2025, 631 days ago, at $0.0130 on Oct 3, 2026.
Has Usual been hacked?
Yes; 1 hack is recorded, the latest on May 27, 2025 for $43,000 (input validation).
Related records
Related records
as of · chosen deterministically from the joins on this page
10 related token records are linked below, plus 1 exchange (Binance) as of Oct 3, 2026.
predictions: chance of a higher price, typical move, likely range and our track record
2026-10-03 19:24 UTC
none
—
score
the 0–100 score and its backtest
2026-10-03 19:48 UTC
none
—
setups
setups re-measured on our own prices
2026-10-03 19:24 UTC
none
—
snapshot
daily snapshots and the change log
2026-10-03 19:48 UTC
none
—
upbit_instruments
359 symbols
2026-10-03 19:06 UTC
none
—
Effects are measured as described on the methodology page. Facts are compiled from public sources; nothing on this page is advice. Corrections: hello@pattern.plus.
binance_instruments last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-03T19:06:51+00:00 451 Client Error: for url: https://fapi.binance.com/f), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
bybit_announcements last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-03T19:07:22+00:00 403 Client Error: Forbidden for url: https://api.bybit), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
bybit_instruments last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-03T19:06:53+00:00 403 Client Error: Forbidden for url: https://api.bybit), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
collector_csv last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-03T19:07:26+00:00 trench_births.csv missing), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
This page is generated from 5,519 database rows and rebuilt daily; first published Oct 3, 2026.
PatternPlus compiles facts from public sources and gives no financial advice; corrections by email. As of Oct 3, 2026.
How to read this
Band 1 is the prediction: the chance of a higher price, the typical move and the likely range, with the real past setups behind it drawn as they moved.
Band 2 is why: the drivers, the next catalysts and how our past calls on this coin went.
Band 3 is the data: every table and chart, dated; green means the price was higher afterwards, red lower.
Band 4 is the write-up: the same record in words, with the questions and the sources.
