No pattern has a proven 1-day record on this coin yet — the call above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 46% chance higher tomorrow · this pattern's 1d calls hit 45.0% of 3,043 — no better than a coin flip so far · drawn from the 288 setups matched for the 30-day prediction
?next day
−20%−10%0%+10%−7.5%−5%−2.5%0%+2.5%+5%+16% in 30 days↑ 100% below its all-time high
−30dnow+1d
▲ 7 rose · ▼ 14 fell · ◆ 9 sideways(±1.0% over 1 day)
Bold: SPELL's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 288 setups matched for the 30-day prediction, and what each did over the next day — real hourly closes, scaled to SPELL's volatility. 30 with no hourly path on file yet are drawn through their daily lows, highs and closes.
Bad case$0.0000945−3%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$0.0000968−0.2%half did better, half worse
Good case$0.000100+3%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−0.2%
Likely range
−3% to +3%$0.0000945 – $0.000100
357 similar setups · our 1-day calls hit 49.7% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
SPELL price prediction for this week
50%chance SPELL is higher
↔ COIN FLIP
No pattern has a proven 7-day record on this coin yet — the call above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 50% chance higher in 7 days · this pattern's 7d calls hit 57.7% of 11,360 — no better than always guessing the usual direction (59%) so far · drawn from the 288 setups matched for the 30-day prediction
?next 7 days
−20%−10%0%+10%−20%−10%0%+10%+20%+30%+16% in 30 days↑ 100% below its all-time high
−30dnow+7d
▲ 10 rose · ▼ 10 fell · ◆ 10 sideways(±2.6% over 7 days)
Bold: SPELL's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 288 setups matched for the 30-day prediction, and what each did over the next 7 days — real 4-hour closes, scaled to SPELL's volatility. 30 with no 4-hour path on file yet are drawn through their daily lows, highs and closes.
Bad case$0.0000897−8%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$0.0000973+0.3%half did better, half worse
Good case$0.000111+14%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
+0.3%
Likely range
−8% to +14%$0.0000897 – $0.000111
341 similar setups · our 7-day calls hit 58.1% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
SPELL price prediction for the next 30 days
64%chance SPELL is lower
▼ STRONG DOWN
No pattern has a proven record on this coin yet — the prediction above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 36% chance higher in 30 days · drawn from its 288 matched past setups
?next 30 days
−20%−10%0%+10%−20%0%+20%+40%+60%+16% in 30 days↑ 100% below its all-time high
−30dnow+30d
▲ 4 rose · ▼ 17 fell · ◆ 9 sideways(±5.5% over 30 days)
Bold: SPELL's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 288 past setups like this, and what each did over the next 30 days — real daily closes, scaled to SPELL's volatility.
Bad case$0.0000766−21%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$0.0000925−4.7%half did better, half worse
Good case$0.000114+17%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−4.7%
Likely range
−21% to +17%$0.0000766 – $0.000114
288 similar setups · our 30-day calls hit 62.1% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
Plan a leveraged trade on SPELL
replays the cases behind the 30-day prediction
replays the cases behind the 30-day prediction
Pick a side, when you close and your leverage: we replay that exact trade on the past cases behind this SPELL prediction and count how it ended.
Best historical window for SPELL in setups like this: short, hold 30 days, 2× — profitable 63.8% of the time, typical +9.0%, liquidated 7.3% of the time (n=288).
Chance this ends in profit—
Typical result—half did better, half worse
Chance you get liquidated first—
Every past case, replayedhover or tap a line to see the case
price went your way —against you —sideways —(within ±5.5% over 30 days)✕liquidated —take profit hit —stop loss hit —typical8 in 10 cases
Replays 412 past cases weighted exactly like the 30-day prediction: the 288 similar cases behind it plus a sample of all history.
Where the odds were best· swipe for longer holds →
cell = chance of profit color = average result, −50% or worse to +50% or better striped = liquidated in more than 1 in 10★ best: highest typical result with at most 1 in 10 liquidated, most cases in profit and an average above zerono take profit or stop loss · tap a cell to load it
The planner and its replay chart run in your browser: turn on JavaScript to replay your own SPELL trade on these past cases.
Odds from similar past cases, not financial advice. Leverage multiplies losses too: a liquidated position loses its whole margin.
Where to trade SPELL · by share of the last day's volume
SPELL$0.000097354% ▼ 1Dbest play▼ Short 1D 12× → +2.4%open calculator
SPELL$0.000097350% ▲ 7Dbest playno play cleared the bar at 7Dopen calculator
SPELL$0.000097364% ▼ 30Dbest play▼ Short 30D 2× → +9.0%open calculator
2
Why we think this
the reasoning, in short
Drivers
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher a day later 47% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in SPELL's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (357 cases) into 46% higher.
Down 11% over 7 days
Down 11% this week. After a week like that, coins were higher a day later 49% of the time (28,041 cases), vs 47% across all cases.
here 49% · normal 47% higher a day later
Up 16% over 30 days
Up 16% over the last 30 days. After a month like that, coins were higher a day later 47% of the time (22,250 cases), vs 47% across all cases.
here 47% · normal 47% higher a day later
94% below its high
94% below its all-time high. Coins that far below their high were higher a day later 47% of the time (69,100 cases), vs 47% across all cases.
here 47% · normal 47% higher a day later
Normal volume
Trading volume is in its normal range. On normal-volume days, coins were higher a day later 47% of the time (90,212 cases), vs 47% across all cases.
here 47% · normal 47% higher a day later
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher 7 days later 43% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in SPELL's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (341 cases) into 50% higher.
Down 11% over 7 days
Down 11% this week. After a week like that, coins were higher a week later 46% of the time (27,878 cases), vs 43% across all cases.
here 46% · normal 43% higher 7 days later
Bitcoin above its 50-day average
Bitcoin is above its 50-day average. In that situation, coins were higher a week later 42% of the time (46,968 cases), vs 43% across all cases.
here 42% · normal 43% higher 7 days later
Micro-cap
Micro-cap coin ($14.7M market cap). Coins this size were higher a week later 44% of the time (27,648 cases), vs 43% across all cases.
here 44% · normal 43% higher 7 days later
Up 16% over 30 days
Up 16% over the last 30 days. After a month like that, coins were higher a week later 44% of the time (21,757 cases), vs 43% across all cases.
here 44% · normal 43% higher 7 days later
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher 30 days later 38% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in SPELL's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (288 cases) into 36% higher.
Up 16% over 30 days
Up 16% over the last 30 days. After a month like that, coins were higher 30 days later 34% of the time (20,031 cases), vs 38% across all cases.
here 34% · normal 38% higher 30 days later
Micro-cap
Micro-cap coin ($14.7M market cap). Coins this size were higher 30 days later 40% of the time (26,006 cases), vs 38% across all cases.
here 40% · normal 38% higher 30 days later
Down 11% over 7 days
Down 11% this week. After a week like that, coins were higher 30 days later 35% of the time (27,231 cases), vs 38% across all cases.
here 35% · normal 38% higher 30 days later
Bitcoin above its 50-day average
Bitcoin is above its 50-day average. In that situation, coins were higher 30 days later 39% of the time (44,236 cases), vs 38% across all cases.
here 39% · normal 38% higher 30 days later
Our record on SPELL
Our last 6 calls on SPELL over 30 days: right on 0 of 3, 3 more were coin flips · 5 of 6 ended inside our range · all-time on SPELL: 78.0% hit rate, 77.1% inside the range (41 backtested calls)
Jul 26 said 54% down · ended +3.1%coin flipAug 2 said 54% down · ended +5.8%coin flipAug 9 said 54% down · ended +7.5%coin flipAug 16 said 71% down · ended +4.8%✗ wrongAug 23 said 63% down · ended +8.8%✗ wrongAug 30 said 61% down · ended +19.9%✗ wrong
white: SPELL's real price after each call · bar: the range we gave (8 in 10 cases, the middle half thicker, a notch at the typical move) · end dot: green right · red wrong · orange the price went sideways (within ±5.5% over 30 days) or a coin flip · backtest: each call used only data available that day · live since Oct 3, 2026: 1 live 30-day prediction on record, first result due Nov 2, 2026 · the full scorecard →
active —
NoneRank #735on record since 2021-08-04$21.2M lost to hacks
$0.0000973
24H+1.4%
30D0.0%
1Y0.0%
FROM ATH−100.0%
last 6 months · daily close · candle = 2 sessions◆ recorded event · dotted blue line = last price · orange = the price went sideways (within ±1.4% over 2 days)
updated today Updated · 51 data points on this page
Changedno field on this page changed since the previous build
The record in shortON RECORD
The record in short
as of · generated from this record's own rowsread it →
events on record
8
higher 30 days after
1 of 3
typical 30-day move
−10.7%
next up
—
Every eventMEASURED8 events
The record: every event and what followed
as of · CoinPaprika · DefiLlama · exchange announcements · PatternPlus effectsread it →
SPELL: 8 events, newest first; six signed numbers per row are the price change from the close before the event, in UTC; vs BTC is the difference of the two 30-day moves
Date
Event
Venue
7d before
Next day
7 days
30 days
vs BTC
90 days
Source
2025
hack Abracadabra Spell exploited for $1.70M
—
+4.6%
−3.1%
−28.7%
−38.6%
−25.8%
−43.7%
defillama
Improper Access Control On Oct 4, 2025 SPELL was hacked; it fell 3.1% by day 1 and was 38.6% lower 30 days later, 26 points behind BTC; it had moved +4.6% in the 7 days before.
hack Abracadabra Spell exploited for $13M
—
−2.6%
−5.1%
−14.9%
−10.7%
−18.1%
−33.9%
defillama
Liquidation Logic Flaw On Mar 25, 2025 SPELL was hacked; it fell 5.1% by day 1 and was 10.7% lower 30 days later, 18 points behind BTC; it had moved −2.6% in the 7 days before.
2024
hack Abracadabra Spell exploited for $6.50M
—
+4.4%
−7.9%
−7.8%
+162.6%
+121.4%
+63.3%
defillama
Rounding Error On Jan 30, 2024 SPELL was hacked; it fell 7.9% by day 1 and was 162.6% higher 30 days later, 121 points ahead of BTC; it had moved +4.4% in the 7 days before.
2022
hallmark FTX collapse, Alameda repays FTT loans
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
defillama
SPELL saw a hallmark on Nov 7, 2022; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
hallmark UST depeg
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
defillama
SPELL saw a hallmark on May 7, 2022; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
hallmark 0xSifu revealed as QuadrigaCX founder
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
defillama
SPELL saw a hallmark on Jan 27, 2022; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
Binance listed SPELL on Dec 24, 2021; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
all-time high SPELL all-time high: $3.53k
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
derived
Highest daily close in our price history. SPELL set an all-time high on Sep 1, 2021; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
Source: events from CoinPaprika, DefiLlama and exchange announcements; effects computed by PatternPlus (see methodology) · fetched
Against the venue medianMEASURED
How SPELL's events compare with the venue median
as of · event_stats computed by PatternPlusread it →
Venue · kind
SPELL median day 30
SPELL n
Venue median day 30
Venue n
Up after 30 d (venue)
Position
all venues · hack
−10.7%
3
−5.4%
42
40.5%
below
Venue · kind
SPELL median day 7
SPELL n
Venue median day 7
Venue n
Up after 7 d (venue)
Position
all venues · hack
−14.9%
3
−7.1%
—
—
below
Day 7: the venue's event count and up-share are kept for day 30 only (—); its median uses every event measured to day 7.
Venue · kind
SPELL median day 1
SPELL n
Venue median day 1
Venue n
Up after 1 d (venue)
Position
all venues · hack
−5.1%
3
−5.1%
—
—
below
Day 1: the venue's event count and up-share are kept for day 30 only (—); its median uses every event measured to day 1.
Source: PatternPlus, computed from every token in the peer set · fetched
4
The full write-up
every sentence on SPELL · questions · sources
SPELL in short
Filed under crypto on its own chain, Spell Token (SPELL) has been with no start date recorded; it holds rank #735 by market cap as of Oct 3, 2026 and trades 100.0% below its Sep 1, 2021 high.
As of Oct 3, 2026 the price is $0.0000973 (+1.4% over 24 hours), market cap $14.7M, fully diluted value $19.1M, holder count not reported, $5M TVL.
Status on CoinPaprika: active; SPELL is the native coin of its own chain, so there is no token contract.
CoinPaprika tickers and DefiLlama, read Oct 3, 2026.
As of Oct 3, 2026 the record for Spell Token runs to 8 events, of which 1 are spot listings, 0 perpetual listings, 0 unlocks, 3 hacks and 0 funding rounds; 3 carry a day-30 measurement with a median of −10.7%.
From the latest data refresh
Spell Token (SPELL) is a crypto token on its own chain, rank #735 by market cap as of Oct 3, 2026, 100.0% below its Sep 1, 2021 high.
The record's largest loss is a $13M hack on Mar 25, 2025 (protocol logic).
PatternPlus holds 1 daily snapshot for SPELL as of Oct 3, 2026; the rank and holder series begin with the next rebuild.
No exchange listing with a date is on record for SPELL as of Oct 3, 2026.
No listing of SPELL has a measurable day-30 outcome yet as of Oct 3, 2026.
No emission schedule is published on DefiLlama for SPELL as of Oct 3, 2026.
No on-chain power check is on record for SPELL as of Oct 3, 2026.
No funding round is recorded by DefiLlama for Spell Token as of Oct 3, 2026.
Spell Token lists 1 audit link on DefiLlama; 3 hacks totalling $21.2M are recorded.
No team member is recorded on CoinPaprika for Spell Token as of Oct 3, 2026.
DefiLlama reports $5M TVL and $3,511 revenue over 30 days as of Oct 3, 2026;
revenue to market cap of 0.003 sits at the 43rd percentile of 1500 all tokens on record tokens.
Generated from this record's own rows at build time; as of Oct 3, 2026.
Across 42 hacks across every token on record, the median move is −5.1% on day 1 and −5.4% by day 30; 40.5% were still up after 30 days; SPELL's 3 sit below that median at −10.7%.
SPELL sits above the venue median in 0 of 1 venue-and-kind comparisons as of Oct 3, 2026.
event_stats recomputed nightly; as of Oct 3, 2026.
No on-chain power check is available for SPELL on its own chain as of Oct 3, 2026; every row of the panel is shown as unknown until GoPlus or the Jupiter token API answers.
Until then this site cannot say whether the issuer can mint, freeze or upgrade SPELL; the check is retried at every rebuild.
8 events since Sep 1, 2021; 2 of the 3 measured were followed by a lower price 30 days later; best Abracadabra Spell exploited for $6.50M on Jan 30, 2024 (+162.6%), worst Abracadabra Spell exploited for $1.70M on Oct 4, 2025 (−38.6%).
1000 daily closes from Jan 8, 2024 to Oct 3, 2026 are plotted on a log scale, with the rank from 1 snapshots as a step line.
The all-time high marker sits at $3,527 on Sep 1, 2021, 1,858 days before Oct 3, 2026.
prices, metrics_daily, events and effects; as of Oct 3, 2026.
The all-time high on record for Spell Token is $3,527 on Sep 1, 2021, 1,858 days ago as of Oct 3, 2026; the price is 100.0% below it; over 30 days it moved 0.0% against 0.0% for BTC (beta 1.00).
Price change as of Oct 3, 2026: +0.1% over 1 hour, +1.4% over 24 hours, −9.8% over 7 days, 0.0% over 30 days, 0.0% over 1 year.
With $14.7M market cap against $19.1M fully diluted, 22.9% of SPELL's valuation is in non-circulating supply as of Oct 3, 2026.
24-hour volume of $1M is 6.9% of market cap as of Oct 3, 2026.
Circulating supply is 151.16B of 196.01B total (77.1%) and a maximum of 210B.
The all tokens on record median 30-day change is 0.0% across 1500 tokens, so SPELL sits below its peer set.
CoinPaprika tickers read Oct 3, 2026; BTC comparison from the BTC record.
No contract or mint address is recorded for Spell Token as of Oct 3, 2026.
No other token on record uses the symbol SPELL as of Oct 3, 2026.
Spell Token shares its ticker with SPELL (Magic Spell), SPELL (S-PELL) and SPELL (The Spellcaster) (ticker collision on CoinPaprika, read Oct 3, 2026).
Identity fields from CoinPaprika as of Oct 3, 2026: start date not recorded, first market data Aug 4, 2021, proof type not stated, organisation structure not stated, no whitepaper link.
Cross-references as of Oct 3, 2026: CoinPaprika id spell-spell-token, DefiLlama slug abracadabra, no GitHub repository recorded.
No follower or star counts were read for Spell Token as of Oct 3, 2026.
CoinPaprika /coins, token_contracts, token_aliases; read Oct 3, 2026.
Over the 30 days to Oct 3, 2026 DefiLlama records $3,511 of fees and $3,511 of revenue for Spell Token, against $5M of TVL; revenue to market cap is 0.003, the 43rd percentile among 1500 all tokens on record tokens.
Annualised revenue of $42,131 gives a price-to-sales multiple of 349.1x at the $14.7M market cap of Oct 3, 2026.
TVL moved −78.5% between Jun 5, 2021 and Oct 3, 2026 (355 daily points).
Ethereum carries 51.0% of TVL across 8 chains (Ethereum $2.6M, Arbitrum $2.3M, Binance$158,042, Avalanche $37,478 and Blast $13,563).
DefiLlama records no parent protocol for Spell Token (not a fork).
No oracle is listed for Spell Token on DefiLlama.
DefiLlama lists Spell Token under 'CDP' (slug abracadabra).
DefiLlama protocol, fees and TVL endpoints; as of Oct 3, 2026.
Set against 1500 all tokens on record tokens on Oct 3, 2026, Spell Token ranks at the 51st percentile for market cap, the lowest (P0) for distance from its high and the unranked for share of supply unlocked.
The peer median market cap is $14M, the median distance from ATH −94.8% and the median 30-day change 0.0%.
The nearest peers by rank are RichQuack (#734), Unit 00 - Rei (#734), Crypto.com Wrapped BTC (#736), AVA (#733) and Orochi Network (#737).
Market cap: $14.7M (P51 of 1500; peer median $14M).
Volume / market cap (24h): 6.87% (P71 of 1500; peer median 2.46%).
30-day change: 0.0% (P50 of 1500; peer median 0.0%).
Distance from ATH: −100.0% (P0 of 1500; peer median −94.8%).
Revenue / market cap (30d): 0.003 (P43 of 258; peer median 0.006).
TVL: $5M (P50 of 417; peer median $4.4M).
peer set: all tokens on record (1500 tokens); as of Oct 3, 2026.
As of Oct 3, 2026: 54% chance SPELL is lower tomorrow — a coin flip, typical move −0.2%, likely range −2.5% to +3.3%, from 357 similar past setups.
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
What is the Spell Token price prediction for this week?
As of Oct 3, 2026: 50% chance SPELL is higher over the next 7 days — a coin flip, typical move +0.3%, likely range −7.5% to +14.3%, from 341 similar past setups.
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
What is the SPELL price prediction for the next 30 days?
As of Oct 3, 2026: 64% chance SPELL is lower over the next 30 days, typical move −4.7%, likely range −21.0% to +17.4%, from 288 similar past setups.
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
How accurate are these SPELL predictions?
Across 41 backtested 30-day calls on SPELL, the call was right 78.0% of the time and the price ended inside the likely range 77.1% of the time.
Of the last 6 30-day calls, 0 of 3 were right.
Each backtest call used only the data available on its own date.
Who is behind Spell Token?
No team member is recorded on CoinPaprika for Spell Token as of Oct 3, 2026; the organisation is described as not stated.
When is the next SPELL unlock?
No future unlock is scheduled on DefiLlama for SPELL as of Oct 3, 2026.
Is SPELL listed on Binance?
Yes; Binance listed SPELL.
How far is SPELL from its all-time high?
100.0% below the $3,527 high of Sep 1, 2021, 1,858 days ago, at $0.0000973 on Oct 3, 2026.
Has Spell Token been hacked?
Yes; 3 hacks are recorded, the latest on Oct 4, 2025 for $1.7M (access control).
Related records
Related records
as of · chosen deterministically from the joins on this page
10 related token records are linked below, plus 2 exchanges (Binance and Coinbase) as of Oct 3, 2026.
predictions: chance of a higher price, typical move, likely range and our track record
2026-10-03 19:24 UTC
none
—
score
the 0–100 score and its backtest
2026-10-03 19:48 UTC
none
—
setups
setups re-measured on our own prices
2026-10-03 19:24 UTC
none
—
snapshot
daily snapshots and the change log
2026-10-03 19:48 UTC
none
—
upbit_instruments
359 symbols
2026-10-03 19:06 UTC
none
—
Effects are measured as described on the methodology page. Facts are compiled from public sources; nothing on this page is advice. Corrections: hello@pattern.plus.
binance_instruments last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-03T19:06:51+00:00 451 Client Error: for url: https://fapi.binance.com/f), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
bybit_announcements last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-03T19:07:22+00:00 403 Client Error: Forbidden for url: https://api.bybit), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
bybit_instruments last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-03T19:06:53+00:00 403 Client Error: Forbidden for url: https://api.bybit), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
collector_csv last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-03T19:07:26+00:00 trench_births.csv missing), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
This page is generated from 6,526 database rows and rebuilt daily; first published Oct 3, 2026.
PatternPlus compiles facts from public sources and gives no financial advice; corrections by email. As of Oct 3, 2026.
How to read this
Band 1 is the prediction: the chance of a higher price, the typical move and the likely range, with the real past setups behind it drawn as they moved.
Band 2 is why: the drivers, the next catalysts and how our past calls on this coin went.
Band 3 is the data: every table and chart, dated; green means the price was higher afterwards, red lower.
Band 4 is the write-up: the same record in words, with the questions and the sources.
