No pattern has a proven 1-day record on this coin yet — the call above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 47% chance higher tomorrow · this pattern's 1d calls hit 45.0% of 3,043 — no better than a coin flip so far · drawn from the 1378 setups matched for the 30-day prediction
?next day
−40%−30%−20%−10%0%−10%−5%0%+5%+10%+42% in 30 days↑ 81% below its all-time high
−30dnow+1d
▲ 9 rose · ▼ 11 fell · ◆ 10 sideways(±1.5% over 1 day)
Bold: ORCA's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 1378 setups matched for the 30-day prediction, and what each did over the next day — real hourly closes, scaled to ORCA's volatility. 30 with no hourly path on file yet are drawn through their daily lows, highs and closes.
Bad case$1.68−6%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$1.78−0.3%half did better, half worse
Good case$1.90+6%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−0.3%
Likely range
−6% to +6%$1.68 – $1.90
1,637 similar setups · our 1-day calls hit 49.7% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
ORCA price prediction for this week
59%chance ORCA is lower
▼ LEAN DOWN
No pattern has a proven 7-day record on this coin yet — the call above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 41% chance higher in 7 days · this pattern's 7d calls hit 57.7% of 11,360 — no better than always guessing the usual direction (59%) so far · drawn from the 1378 setups matched for the 30-day prediction
?next 7 days
−40%−30%−20%−10%0%−20%0%+20%+42% in 30 days↑ 81% below its all-time high
−30dnow+7d
▲ 6 rose · ▼ 18 fell · ◆ 6 sideways(±3.6% over 7 days)
Bold: ORCA's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 1378 setups matched for the 30-day prediction, and what each did over the next 7 days — real 4-hour closes, scaled to ORCA's volatility. 30 with no 4-hour path on file yet are drawn through their daily lows, highs and closes.
Bad case$1.50−16%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$1.74−2.9%half did better, half worse
Good case$2.10+18%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−2.9%
Likely range
−16% to +18%$1.50 – $2.10
1,600 similar setups · our 7-day calls hit 58.1% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
ORCA price prediction for the next 30 days
65%chance ORCA is lower
▼ STRONG DOWN
No pattern has a proven record on this coin yet — the prediction above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 35% chance higher in 30 days · drawn from its 1378 matched past setups
?next 30 days
−40%−30%−20%−10%0%−50%−25%0%+25%+50%+75%+42% in 30 days↑ 81% below its all-time high
−30dnow+30d
▲ 6 rose · ▼ 20 fell · ◆ 4 sideways(±7.7% over 30 days)
Bold: ORCA's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 1378 past setups like this, and what each did over the next 30 days — real daily closes, scaled to ORCA's volatility.
Bad case$1.22−32%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$1.62−9.4%half did better, half worse
Good case$2.29+28%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−9.4%
Likely range
−32% to +28%$1.22 – $2.29
1,378 similar setups · our 30-day calls hit 62.1% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
Plan a leveraged trade on ORCA
replays the cases behind the 30-day prediction
replays the cases behind the 30-day prediction
Pick a side, when you close and your leverage: we replay that exact trade on the past cases behind this ORCA prediction and count how it ended.
Best historical window for ORCA in setups like this: short, hold 30 days, 1× — profitable 64.3% of the time, typical +9.1% (n=1378).
Chance this ends in profit—
Typical result—half did better, half worse
Chance you get liquidated first—
Every past case, replayedhover or tap a line to see the case
price went your way —against you —sideways —(within ±5.5% over 30 days)✕liquidated —take profit hit —stop loss hit —typical8 in 10 cases
Replays 387 past cases weighted exactly like the 30-day prediction: the 1,378 similar cases behind it plus a sample of all history.
Where the odds were best· swipe for longer holds →
cell = chance of profit color = average result, −50% or worse to +50% or better striped = liquidated in more than 1 in 10★ best: highest typical result with at most 1 in 10 liquidated, most cases in profit and an average above zerono take profit or stop loss · tap a cell to load it
The planner and its replay chart run in your browser: turn on JavaScript to replay your own ORCA trade on these past cases.
Odds from similar past cases, not financial advice. Leverage multiplies losses too: a liquidated position loses its whole margin.
Where to trade ORCA · by share of the last day's volume
ORCA$1.7953% ▼ 1Dbest playno play cleared the bar at 1Dopen calculator
ORCA$1.7959% ▼ 7Dbest play▼ Short 7D 3× → +9.0%open calculator
ORCA$1.7965% ▼ 30Dbest play▼ Short 30D 1× → +9.1%open calculator
2
Why we think this
the reasoning, in short
Drivers
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher a day later 47% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in ORCA's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (1,637 cases) into 47% higher.
Up 9% over 7 days
Up 9% this week. After a week like that, coins were higher a day later 45% of the time (21,552 cases), vs 47% across all cases.
here 45% · normal 47% higher a day later
Up 42% over 30 days
Up 42% over the last 30 days. After a month like that, coins were higher a day later 47% of the time (22,250 cases), vs 47% across all cases.
here 47% · normal 47% higher a day later
74% below its high
74% below its all-time high. Coins that far below their high were higher a day later 47% of the time (69,100 cases), vs 47% across all cases.
here 47% · normal 47% higher a day later
Normal volume
Trading volume is in its normal range. On normal-volume days, coins were higher a day later 47% of the time (90,212 cases), vs 47% across all cases.
here 47% · normal 47% higher a day later
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher 7 days later 43% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in ORCA's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (1,600 cases) into 41% higher.
Up 9% over 7 days
Up 9% this week. After a week like that, coins were higher a week later 41% of the time (21,381 cases), vs 43% across all cases.
here 41% · normal 43% higher 7 days later
Bitcoin above its 50-day average
Bitcoin is above its 50-day average. In that situation, coins were higher a week later 42% of the time (46,968 cases), vs 43% across all cases.
here 42% · normal 43% higher 7 days later
Small-cap
Small-cap coin ($107.7M market cap). Coins this size were higher a week later 43% of the time (44,050 cases), vs 43% across all cases.
here 43% · normal 43% higher 7 days later
Up 42% over 30 days
Up 42% over the last 30 days. After a month like that, coins were higher a week later 44% of the time (21,757 cases), vs 43% across all cases.
here 44% · normal 43% higher 7 days later
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher 30 days later 38% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in ORCA's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (1,378 cases) into 35% higher.
Up 42% over 30 days
Up 42% over the last 30 days. After a month like that, coins were higher 30 days later 34% of the time (20,031 cases), vs 38% across all cases.
here 34% · normal 38% higher 30 days later
Small-cap
Small-cap coin ($107.7M market cap). Coins this size were higher 30 days later 36% of the time (43,053 cases), vs 38% across all cases.
here 36% · normal 38% higher 30 days later
Bitcoin above its 50-day average
Bitcoin is above its 50-day average. In that situation, coins were higher 30 days later 39% of the time (44,236 cases), vs 38% across all cases.
here 39% · normal 38% higher 30 days later
74% below its high
74% below its all-time high. Coins that far below their high were higher 30 days later 39% of the time (65,583 cases), vs 38% across all cases.
here 39% · normal 38% higher 30 days later
Our record on ORCA
Our last 6 calls on ORCA over 30 days: right on 0 of 6 · 2 of 6 ended inside our range · all-time on ORCA: 47.7% hit rate, 75.0% inside the range (44 backtested calls)
Jul 26 said 63% down · ended +4.5%✗ wrongAug 2 said 56% down · ended +11.7%✗ wrongAug 9 said 56% down · ended +34.6%✗ wrongAug 16 said 70% down · ended +28.8%✗ wrongAug 23 said 55% down · ended +18.7%✗ wrongAug 30 said 65% down · ended +24.7%✗ wrong
white: ORCA's real price after each call · bar: the range we gave (8 in 10 cases, the middle half thicker, a notch at the typical move) · end dot: green right · red wrong · orange the price went sideways (within ±5.5% over 30 days) or a coin flip · backtest: each call used only data available that day · live since Oct 3, 2026: 1 live 30-day prediction on record, first result due Nov 2, 2026 · the full scorecard →
last 6 months · daily close · candle = 2 sessions◆ recorded event · dotted blue line = last price · orange = the price went sideways (within ±1.4% over 2 days)
updated today Updated · 42 data points on this page
Changedno field on this page changed since the previous build
The record in shortON RECORD
The record in short
as of · generated from this record's own rowsread it →
events on record
4
higher 30 days after
0 of 2
typical 30-day move
−41.0%
next up
—
Every eventMEASURED4 events
The record: every event and what followed
as of · CoinPaprika · DefiLlama · exchange announcements · PatternPlus effectsread it →
ORCA: 4 events, newest first; six signed numbers per row are the price change from the close before the event, in UTC; vs BTC is the difference of the two 30-day moves
Date
Event
Venue
7d before
Next day
7 days
30 days
vs BTC
90 days
Source
2024
all-time high ORCA all-time high: $9.19
—
—
−10.3%
−26.8%
−41.0%
−42.5%
−75.8%
derived
Highest daily close in our price history. On Dec 6, 2024 ORCA set an all-time high; it fell 10.3% by day 1 and was 41.0% lower 30 days later, 42 points behind BTC.
Source: PatternPlus, computed from every token in the peer set · fetched
4
The full write-up
every sentence on ORCA · questions · sources
ORCA in short
Orca (ORCA) is a crypto token on its own chain, with no start date recorded; rank #261 by market cap as of Oct 3, 2026, 80.5% below its Dec 6, 2024 high.
As of Oct 3, 2026 the price is $1.79 (+6.3% over 24 hours), market cap $107.7M, fully diluted value $179.1M, holder count not reported, $319M TVL.
Status on CoinPaprika: active; ORCA is the native coin of its own chain, so there is no token contract.
CoinPaprika tickers and DefiLlama, read Oct 3, 2026.
As of Oct 3, 2026 the record for Orca runs to 4 events, of which 1 are spot listings, 0 perpetual listings, 0 unlocks, 0 hacks and 0 funding rounds; 2 carry a day-30 measurement with a median of −41.0%.
From the latest data refresh
Orca (ORCA) is a crypto token on its own chain, rank #261 by market cap as of Oct 3, 2026, 80.5% below its Dec 6, 2024 high.
Its 1 measured listing shows a median day-30 move of −41.0%, 0 of it above the venue median.
PatternPlus holds 1 daily snapshot for ORCA as of Oct 3, 2026; the rank and holder series begin with the next rebuild.
No exchange listing with a date is on record for ORCA as of Oct 3, 2026.
1 of its listings have a measured day-30 outcome (median −41.0%); 0 finished above the venue's own listing median and 1 below.
No emission schedule is published on DefiLlama for ORCA as of Oct 3, 2026.
No on-chain power check is on record for ORCA as of Oct 3, 2026.
No funding round is recorded by DefiLlama for Orca as of Oct 3, 2026.
Orca lists 0 audit links on DefiLlama; no hack is recorded as of Oct 3, 2026.
No team member is recorded on CoinPaprika for Orca as of Oct 3, 2026.
DefiLlama reports $319M TVL and $1.4M revenue over 30 days as of Oct 3, 2026;
revenue to market cap of 0.159 sits at the 86th percentile of 1500 all tokens on record tokens.
Generated from this record's own rows at build time; as of Oct 3, 2026.
Across 169 all-time highs across every token on record, the median move is −5.7% on day 1 and −39.9% by day 30; 5.9% were still up after 30 days; ORCA's one sits below that median at −41.0%.
Across 71 spot listings on Binance, the median move is −1.9% on day 1 and −19.0% by day 30;
31.0% were still up after 30 days;
ORCA's one sits below that median at −41.0%.
ORCA sits above the venue median in 0 of 2 venue-and-kind comparisons as of Oct 3, 2026.
event_stats recomputed nightly; as of Oct 3, 2026.
No on-chain power check is available for ORCA on its own chain as of Oct 3, 2026; every row of the panel is shown as unknown until GoPlus or the Jupiter token API answers.
Until then this site cannot say whether the issuer can mint, freeze or upgrade ORCA; the check is retried at every rebuild.
4 events since Aug 10, 2021; 2 of the 2 measured were followed by a lower price 30 days later; best ORCA all-time high: $9.19 on Dec 6, 2024 (−41.0%), worst ORCA all-time high: $9.19 on Dec 6, 2024 (−41.0%).
667 daily closes from Dec 6, 2024 to Oct 3, 2026 are plotted on a log scale, with the rank from 1 snapshots as a step line.
The all-time high marker sits at $9.19 on Dec 6, 2024, 666 days before Oct 3, 2026.
prices, metrics_daily, events and effects; as of Oct 3, 2026.
Orca trades 80.5% below its all-time high of $9.19, set on Dec 6, 2024, 666 days before Oct 3, 2026; over 30 days it moved 0.0% against 0.0% for BTC (beta 1.27).
Price change as of Oct 3, 2026: +1.0% over 1 hour, +6.3% over 24 hours, +8.3% over 7 days, 0.0% over 30 days, 0.0% over 1 year.
With $107.7M market cap against $179.1M fully diluted, 39.8% of ORCA's valuation is in non-circulating supply as of Oct 3, 2026.
24-hour volume of $10.3M is 9.6% of market cap as of Oct 3, 2026.
Circulating supply is 60.2M of 100M total (60.2%) and a maximum of 100M.
The all tokens on record median 30-day change is 0.0% across 1500 tokens, so ORCA sits below its peer set.
CoinPaprika tickers read Oct 3, 2026; BTC comparison from the BTC record.
No contract or mint address is recorded for Orca as of Oct 3, 2026.
No other token on record uses the symbol ORCA as of Oct 3, 2026.
Orca shares its ticker with ORCA (Orca DAO) and ORCA (The Whale killer) (ticker collision on CoinPaprika, read Oct 3, 2026).
Identity fields from CoinPaprika as of Oct 3, 2026: start date not recorded, first market data Sep 5, 2021, proof type not stated, organisation structure not stated, no whitepaper link.
Cross-references as of Oct 3, 2026: CoinPaprika id orca-orca, DefiLlama slug orca, no GitHub repository recorded.
No follower or star counts were read for Orca as of Oct 3, 2026.
CoinPaprika /coins, token_contracts, token_aliases; read Oct 3, 2026.
Orca reported $11M in fees and $1.4M in revenue over 30 days to DefiLlama on $319M TVL as of Oct 3, 2026; its revenue-to-market-cap ratio of 0.159 is at the 86th percentile of 1500 all tokens on record tokens.
Annualised revenue of $17.2M gives a price-to-sales multiple of 6.3x at the $107.7M market cap of Oct 3, 2026.
TVL moved +2444.8% between Apr 14, 2021 and Oct 3, 2026 (362 daily points).
Solana carries 100.0% of TVL across 2 chains (Solana $319M and Eclipse $8,523).
DefiLlama records no parent protocol for Orca (not a fork).
No oracle is listed for Orca on DefiLlama.
DefiLlama lists Orca under 'Dexs' (slug orca).
DefiLlama protocol, fees and TVL endpoints; as of Oct 3, 2026.
Among 1500 all tokens on record tokens, Orca is at the 83rd percentile by market cap, 74th by distance from ATH and unranked by share unlocked as of Oct 3, 2026.
The peer median market cap is $14M, the median distance from ATH −94.8% and the median 30-day change 0.0%.
The nearest peers by rank are Beam Token (#260), ViciCoin (#262), Collector Crypt (#259), pufETH (#263) and Bedrock DAO (#258).
Market cap: $107.7M (P83 of 1500; peer median $14M).
Volume / market cap (24h): 9.58% (P78 of 1500; peer median 2.46%).
30-day change: 0.0% (P50 of 1500; peer median 0.0%).
Distance from ATH: −80.5% (P74 of 1500; peer median −94.8%).
Revenue / market cap (30d): 0.159 (P86 of 258; peer median 0.006).
TVL: $319M (P84 of 417; peer median $4.4M).
peer set: all tokens on record (1500 tokens); as of Oct 3, 2026.
predictions: chance of a higher price, typical move, likely range and our track record
2026-10-03 19:24 UTC
none
—
score
the 0–100 score and its backtest
2026-10-03 19:48 UTC
none
—
setups
setups re-measured on our own prices
2026-10-03 19:24 UTC
none
—
snapshot
daily snapshots and the change log
2026-10-03 19:48 UTC
none
—
upbit_instruments
359 symbols
2026-10-03 19:06 UTC
none
—
Effects are measured as described on the methodology page. Facts are compiled from public sources; nothing on this page is advice. Corrections: hello@pattern.plus.
binance_instruments last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-03T19:06:51+00:00 451 Client Error: for url: https://fapi.binance.com/f), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
bybit_announcements last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-03T19:07:22+00:00 403 Client Error: Forbidden for url: https://api.bybit), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
bybit_instruments last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-03T19:06:53+00:00 403 Client Error: Forbidden for url: https://api.bybit), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
collector_csv last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-03T19:07:26+00:00 trench_births.csv missing), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
This page is generated from 5,855 database rows and rebuilt daily; first published Oct 3, 2026.
PatternPlus compiles facts from public sources and gives no financial advice; corrections by email. As of Oct 3, 2026.
How to read this
Band 1 is the prediction: the chance of a higher price, the typical move and the likely range, with the real past setups behind it drawn as they moved.
Band 2 is why: the drivers, the next catalysts and how our past calls on this coin went.
Band 3 is the data: every table and chart, dated; green means the price was higher afterwards, red lower.
Band 4 is the write-up: the same record in words, with the questions and the sources.