No pattern has a proven 1-day record on this coin yet — the call above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 50% chance higher tomorrow · this pattern's 1d calls hit 45.0% of 3,043 — no better than a coin flip so far · drawn from the 1070 setups matched for the 30-day prediction
?next day
−40%−20%0%0%+20%+40%+42% in 30 days↑ 86% below its all-time high
−30dnow+1d
▲ 13 rose · ▼ 8 fell · ◆ 9 sideways(±2.2% over 1 day)
Bold: KERNEL's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 1070 setups matched for the 30-day prediction, and what each did over the next day — real hourly closes, scaled to KERNEL's volatility. 30 with no hourly path on file yet are drawn through their daily lows, highs and closes.
Bad case$0.0512−5%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$0.0541+0.1%half did better, half worse
Good case$0.0577+7%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
+0.1%
Likely range
−5% to +7%$0.0512 – $0.0577
1,531 similar setups · our 1-day calls hit 49.7% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
KERNEL price prediction for this week
53%chance KERNEL is higher
↔ COIN FLIP
No pattern has a proven 7-day record on this coin yet — the call above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 53% chance higher in 7 days · this pattern's 7d calls hit 57.7% of 11,360 — no better than always guessing the usual direction (59%) so far · drawn from the 1070 setups matched for the 30-day prediction
?next 7 days
−40%−20%0%0%+50%+100%+150%+42% in 30 days↑ 86% below its all-time high
−30dnow+7d
▲ 11 rose · ▼ 9 fell · ◆ 10 sideways(±4.8% over 7 days)
Bold: KERNEL's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 1070 setups matched for the 30-day prediction, and what each did over the next 7 days — real 4-hour closes, scaled to KERNEL's volatility. 30 with no 4-hour path on file yet are drawn through their daily lows, highs and closes.
Bad case$0.0448−17%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$0.0547+1.1%half did better, half worse
Good case$0.0670+24%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
+1.1%
Likely range
−17% to +24%$0.0448 – $0.0670
1,391 similar setups · our 7-day calls hit 58.1% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
KERNEL price prediction for the next 30 days
62%chance KERNEL is lower
▼ STRONG DOWN
No pattern has a proven record on this coin yet — the prediction above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 38% chance higher in 30 days · drawn from its 1070 matched past setups
?next 30 days
−40%−20%0%0%+100%+200%+42% in 30 days↑ 86% below its all-time high
−30dnow+30d
▲ 8 rose · ▼ 14 fell · ◆ 8 sideways(±13% over 30 days)
Bold: KERNEL's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 1070 past setups like this, and what each did over the next 30 days — real daily closes, scaled to KERNEL's volatility.
Bad case$0.0317−41%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$0.0496−8.4%half did better, half worse
Good case$0.0830+53%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−8.4%
Likely range
−41% to +53%$0.0317 – $0.0830
1,070 similar setups · our 30-day calls hit 62.1% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
Plan a leveraged trade on KERNEL
replays the cases behind the 30-day prediction
replays the cases behind the 30-day prediction
Pick a side, when you close and your leverage: we replay that exact trade on the past cases behind this KERNEL prediction and count how it ended.
Best historical window for KERNEL in setups like this: short, hold 2 days, 3× — profitable 56.1% of the time, typical +3.4%, liquidated 2.0% of the time (n=1070).
Chance this ends in profit—
Typical result—half did better, half worse
Chance you get liquidated first—
Every past case, replayedhover or tap a line to see the case
price went your way —against you —sideways —(within ±1.4% over 2 days)✕liquidated —take profit hit —stop loss hit —typical8 in 10 cases
Replays 378 past cases weighted exactly like the 30-day prediction: the 1,070 similar cases behind it plus a sample of all history.
Where the odds were best· swipe for longer holds →
cell = chance of profit color = average result, −50% or worse to +50% or better striped = liquidated in more than 1 in 10★ best: highest typical result with at most 1 in 10 liquidated, most cases in profit and an average above zerono take profit or stop loss · tap a cell to load it
The planner and its replay chart run in your browser: turn on JavaScript to replay your own KERNEL trade on these past cases.
Odds from similar past cases, not financial advice. Leverage multiplies losses too: a liquidated position loses its whole margin.
Where to trade KERNEL · by share of the last day's volume
KERNEL$0.054050% ▲ 1Dbest playno play cleared the bar at 1Dopen calculator
KERNEL$0.054053% ▲ 7Dbest playno play cleared the bar at 7Dopen calculator
KERNEL$0.054062% ▼ 30Dbest playno play cleared the bar at 30Dopen calculator
2
Why we think this
the reasoning, in short
Drivers
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher a day later 47% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in KERNEL's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (1,531 cases) into 50% higher.
Up 42% over 30 days
Up 42% over the last 30 days. After a month like that, coins were higher a day later 47% of the time (22,250 cases), vs 47% across all cases.
here 47% · normal 47% higher a day later
83% below its high
83% below its all-time high. Coins that far below their high were higher a day later 47% of the time (69,100 cases), vs 47% across all cases.
here 47% · normal 47% higher a day later
Normal volume
Trading volume is in its normal range. On normal-volume days, coins were higher a day later 47% of the time (90,212 cases), vs 47% across all cases.
here 47% · normal 47% higher a day later
Bitcoin above its 50-day average
Bitcoin is above its 50-day average. In that situation, coins were higher a day later 47% of the time (47,665 cases), vs 47% across all cases.
here 47% · normal 47% higher a day later
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher 7 days later 43% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in KERNEL's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (1,391 cases) into 53% higher.
Bitcoin above its 50-day average
Bitcoin is above its 50-day average. In that situation, coins were higher a week later 42% of the time (46,968 cases), vs 43% across all cases.
here 42% · normal 43% higher 7 days later
Micro-cap
Micro-cap coin ($8.8M market cap). Coins this size were higher a week later 44% of the time (27,648 cases), vs 43% across all cases.
here 44% · normal 43% higher 7 days later
Up 42% over 30 days
Up 42% over the last 30 days. After a month like that, coins were higher a week later 44% of the time (21,757 cases), vs 43% across all cases.
here 44% · normal 43% higher 7 days later
Within 7% of a week ago
Within 7% of its price a week ago (−1%). After a week like that, coins were higher a week later 43% of the time (46,238 cases), vs 43% across all cases.
here 43% · normal 43% higher 7 days later
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher 30 days later 38% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in KERNEL's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (1,070 cases) into 38% higher.
Up 42% over 30 days
Up 42% over the last 30 days. After a month like that, coins were higher 30 days later 34% of the time (20,031 cases), vs 38% across all cases.
here 34% · normal 38% higher 30 days later
Micro-cap
Micro-cap coin ($8.8M market cap). Coins this size were higher 30 days later 40% of the time (26,006 cases), vs 38% across all cases.
here 40% · normal 38% higher 30 days later
Bitcoin above its 50-day average
Bitcoin is above its 50-day average. In that situation, coins were higher 30 days later 39% of the time (44,236 cases), vs 38% across all cases.
here 39% · normal 38% higher 30 days later
Within 7% of a week ago
Within 7% of its price a week ago (−1%). After a week like that, coins were higher 30 days later 39% of the time (44,829 cases), vs 38% across all cases.
here 39% · normal 38% higher 30 days later
Our record on KERNEL
Our last 6 calls on KERNEL over 30 days: right on 0 of 5, 1 more was a coin flip · 3 of 6 ended inside our range · all-time on KERNEL: 65.2% hit rate, 72.9% inside the range (46 backtested calls)
Jul 26 said 54% down · ended +4.1%coin flipAug 2 said 57% down · ended +18.2%✗ wrongAug 9 said 60% down · ended +13.3%✗ wrongAug 16 said 65% down · ended +18.1%✗ wrongAug 23 said 63% down · ended +56.6%✗ wrongAug 30 said 71% down · ended +39.4%✗ wrong
white: KERNEL's real price after each call · bar: the range we gave (8 in 10 cases, the middle half thicker, a notch at the typical move) · end dot: green right · red wrong · orange the price went sideways (within ±5.5% over 30 days) or a coin flip · backtest: each call used only data available that day · live since Oct 3, 2026: 1 live 30-day prediction on record, first result due Nov 2, 2026 · the full scorecard →
active —
NoneRank #904on record since 2025-04-14$293M lost to hacks
$0.0540
24H+3.8%
30D0.0%
1Y0.0%
FROM ATH−86.2%
last 6 months · daily close · candle = 2 sessions◆ recorded event · dotted blue line = last price · orange = the price went sideways (within ±1.4% over 2 days)
updated today Updated · 40 data points on this page
Changedno field on this page changed since the previous build
The record in shortON RECORD
The record in short
as of · generated from this record's own rowsread it →
events on record
2
higher 30 days after
0 of 2
typical 30-day move
−36.1%
next up
—
Every eventMEASURED2 events
The record: every event and what followed
as of · CoinPaprika · DefiLlama · exchange announcements · PatternPlus effectsread it →
KERNEL: 2 events, newest first; six signed numbers per row are the price change from the close before the event, in UTC; vs BTC is the difference of the two 30-day moves
Date
Event
Venue
7d before
Next day
7 days
30 days
vs BTC
90 days
Source
2026
hack Kelp exploited for $293M
—
−1.9%
−18.3%
−19.8%
−24.8%
−24.7%
−56.7%
defillama
Cross-Chain Message Spoofing On Apr 18, 2026 KERNEL was hacked; it fell 18.3% by day 1 and was 24.8% lower 30 days later, 25 points behind BTC; it had moved −1.9% in the 7 days before.
2025
all-time high KERNEL all-time high: $0.3925
—
—
−27.8%
−41.4%
−47.4%
−71.0%
−53.9%
derived
Highest daily close in our price history. On Apr 14, 2025 KERNEL set an all-time high; it fell 27.8% by day 1 and was 47.4% lower 30 days later, 71 points behind BTC.
Source: events from CoinPaprika, DefiLlama and exchange announcements; effects computed by PatternPlus (see methodology) · fetched
Against the venue medianMEASURED
How KERNEL's events compare with the venue median
as of · event_stats computed by PatternPlusread it →
Venue · kind
KERNEL median day 30
KERNEL n
Venue median day 30
Venue n
Up after 30 d (venue)
Position
all venues · hack
−24.8%
1
−5.4%
42
40.5%
below
all venues · all-time high
−47.4%
1
−39.9%
169
5.9%
below
Venue · kind
KERNEL median day 7
KERNEL n
Venue median day 7
Venue n
Up after 7 d (venue)
Position
all venues · hack
−19.8%
1
−7.1%
—
—
below
all venues · all-time high
−41.4%
1
−17.6%
—
—
below
Day 7: the venue's event count and up-share are kept for day 30 only (—); its median uses every event measured to day 7.
Venue · kind
KERNEL median day 1
KERNEL n
Venue median day 1
Venue n
Up after 1 d (venue)
Position
all venues · hack
−18.3%
1
−5.1%
—
—
below
all venues · all-time high
−27.8%
1
−5.7%
—
—
below
Day 1: the venue's event count and up-share are kept for day 30 only (—); its median uses every event measured to day 1.
Venue
Kind
n
Median next day
Median 7 days
Median 30 days
Up after 30 days
Mean 30 days
all venues
all-time high
169
−5.7%
−17.6%
−39.9%
5.9%
−38.8%
all venues
hack
42
−5.1%
−7.1%
−5.4%
40.5%
−3.9%
computed 2026-10-03 from every measured event on record
Source: event_stats, all measured events on record · fetched
Issuer powersON RECORD
What the issuer can do to KERNEL holders (checked Oct 3, 2026)
Source: PatternPlus, computed from every token in the peer set · fetched
4
The full write-up
every sentence on KERNEL · questions · sources
KERNEL in short
KernelDAO (KERNEL), a crypto token on its own chain with no start date recorded, stands at rank #904 by market cap as of Oct 3, 2026, 86.2% below its Apr 14, 2025 high.
As of Oct 3, 2026 the price is $0.0540 (+3.8% over 24 hours), market cap $8.8M, fully diluted value $54M, holder count not reported, $1.12B TVL.
Status on CoinPaprika: active; KERNEL is the native coin of its own chain, so there is no token contract.
CoinPaprika tickers and DefiLlama, read Oct 3, 2026.
As of Oct 3, 2026 the record for KernelDAO runs to 2 events, of which 0 are spot listings, 0 perpetual listings, 0 unlocks, 1 hacks and 0 funding rounds; 2 carry a day-30 measurement with a median of −36.1%.
From the latest data refresh
KernelDAO (KERNEL) is a crypto token on its own chain, rank #904 by market cap as of Oct 3, 2026, 86.2% below its Apr 14, 2025 high.
The record's largest loss is a $293M hack on Apr 18, 2026 (bridge & cross-chain).
PatternPlus holds 1 daily snapshot for KERNEL as of Oct 3, 2026; the rank and holder series begin with the next rebuild.
No exchange listing with a date is on record for KERNEL as of Oct 3, 2026.
No listing of KERNEL has a measurable day-30 outcome yet as of Oct 3, 2026.
No emission schedule is published on DefiLlama for KERNEL as of Oct 3, 2026.
No on-chain power check is on record for KERNEL as of Oct 3, 2026.
No funding round is recorded by DefiLlama for KernelDAO as of Oct 3, 2026.
KernelDAO lists 0 audit links on DefiLlama; 1 hack totalling $293M is recorded.
No team member is recorded on CoinPaprika for KernelDAO as of Oct 3, 2026.
DefiLlama reports $1.12B TVL and $112,023 revenue over 30 days as of Oct 3, 2026;
revenue to market cap of 0.153 sits at the 86th percentile of 1500 all tokens on record tokens.
Generated from this record's own rows at build time; as of Oct 3, 2026.
Across 42 hacks across every token on record, the median move is −5.1% on day 1 and −5.4% by day 30; 40.5% were still up after 30 days; KERNEL's one sits below that median at −24.8%.
Across 169 all-time highs across every token on record, the median move is −5.7% on day 1 and −39.9% by day 30;
5.9% were still up after 30 days;
KERNEL's one sits below that median at −47.4%.
KERNEL sits above the venue median in 0 of 2 venue-and-kind comparisons as of Oct 3, 2026.
event_stats recomputed nightly; as of Oct 3, 2026.
No on-chain power check is available for KERNEL on its own chain as of Oct 3, 2026; every row of the panel is shown as unknown until GoPlus or the Jupiter token API answers.
Until then this site cannot say whether the issuer can mint, freeze or upgrade KERNEL; the check is retried at every rebuild.
2 events since Apr 14, 2025; 2 of the 2 measured were followed by a lower price 30 days later; best Kelp exploited for $293M on Apr 18, 2026 (−24.8%), worst KERNEL all-time high: $0.3925 on Apr 14, 2025 (−47.4%).
538 daily closes from Apr 14, 2025 to Oct 3, 2026 are plotted on a log scale, with the rank from 1 snapshots as a step line.
The all-time high marker sits at $0.3925 on Apr 14, 2025, 537 days before Oct 3, 2026.
prices, metrics_daily, events and effects; as of Oct 3, 2026.
KernelDAO trades 86.2% below its all-time high of $0.3925, set on Apr 14, 2025, 537 days before Oct 3, 2026; over 30 days it moved 0.0% against 0.0% for BTC (beta 1.37).
Price change as of Oct 3, 2026: −0.1% over 1 hour, +3.8% over 24 hours, −0.4% over 7 days, 0.0% over 30 days, 0.0% over 1 year.
Market cap is 16.2% of fully diluted value ($8.8M of $54M), so 83.8% of the valuation sits in supply that does not circulate yet.
24-hour volume of $2.5M is 28.3% of market cap as of Oct 3, 2026.
Circulating supply is 162.3M of 1B total (16.2%) and a maximum of 1B.
The all tokens on record median 30-day change is 0.0% across 1500 tokens, so KERNEL sits below its peer set.
CoinPaprika tickers read Oct 3, 2026; BTC comparison from the BTC record.
No contract or mint address is recorded for KernelDAO as of Oct 3, 2026.
No other token on record uses the symbol KERNEL as of Oct 3, 2026.
No former name, former symbol or alias is recorded for KernelDAO as of Oct 3, 2026.
Identity fields from CoinPaprika as of Oct 3, 2026: start date not recorded, first market data Apr 14, 2025, proof type not stated, organisation structure not stated, no whitepaper link.
Cross-references as of Oct 3, 2026: CoinPaprika id kernel-kerneldao, DefiLlama slug kelp-dao, no GitHub repository recorded.
No follower or star counts were read for KernelDAO as of Oct 3, 2026.
CoinPaprika /coins, token_contracts, token_aliases; read Oct 3, 2026.
Over the 30 days to Oct 3, 2026 DefiLlama records $2.4M of fees and $112,023 of revenue for KernelDAO, against $1.12B of TVL; revenue to market cap is 0.153, the 86th percentile among 1500 all tokens on record tokens.
Annualised revenue of $1.3M gives a price-to-sales multiple of 6.5x at the $8.8M market cap of Oct 3, 2026.
Ethereum carries 100.0% of TVL across 1 chain.
DefiLlama records no parent protocol for KernelDAO (not a fork).
No oracle is listed for KernelDAO on DefiLlama.
DefiLlama lists KernelDAO under 'Liquid Restaking' since Dec 21, 2023 (slug kelp-dao).
DefiLlama protocol, fees and TVL endpoints; as of Oct 3, 2026.
Among 1500 all tokens on record tokens, KernelDAO is at the 40th percentile by market cap, 69th by distance from ATH and unranked by share unlocked as of Oct 3, 2026.
The peer median market cap is $14M, the median distance from ATH −94.8% and the median 30-day change 0.0%.
The nearest peers by rank are Bitcoin Vault (#903), IdleMine (#902), LOFI (#902), AUKI (#906) and Landwolf (#906).
Market cap: $8.8M (P40 of 1500; peer median $14M).
Volume / market cap (24h): 28.31% (P92 of 1500; peer median 2.46%).
30-day change: 0.0% (P50 of 1500; peer median 0.0%).
Distance from ATH: −86.2% (P69 of 1500; peer median −94.8%).
Revenue / market cap (30d): 0.153 (P86 of 258; peer median 0.006).
TVL: $1.12B (P91 of 417; peer median $4.4M).
peer set: all tokens on record (1500 tokens); as of Oct 3, 2026.
As of Oct 3, 2026: 50% chance KERNEL is higher tomorrow — a coin flip, typical move +0.1%, likely range −5.4% to +6.6%, from 1,531 similar past setups.
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
What is the KernelDAO price prediction for this week?
As of Oct 3, 2026: 53% chance KERNEL is higher over the next 7 days — a coin flip, typical move +1.1%, likely range −17.1% to +23.9%, from 1,391 similar past setups.
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
What is the KERNEL price prediction for the next 30 days?
As of Oct 3, 2026: 62% chance KERNEL is lower over the next 30 days, typical move −8.4%, likely range −41.4% to +53.3%, from 1,070 similar past setups.
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
How accurate are these KERNEL predictions?
Across 46 backtested 30-day calls on KERNEL, the call was right 65.2% of the time and the price ended inside the likely range 72.9% of the time.
Of the last 6 30-day calls, 0 of 5 were right.
Each backtest call used only the data available on its own date.
Who is behind KernelDAO?
No team member is recorded on CoinPaprika for KernelDAO as of Oct 3, 2026; the organisation is described as not stated.
When is the next KERNEL unlock?
No future unlock is scheduled on DefiLlama for KERNEL as of Oct 3, 2026.
Is KERNEL listed on Binance?
Yes; Binance listed KERNEL.
How far is KERNEL from its all-time high?
86.2% below the $0.3925 high of Apr 14, 2025, 537 days ago, at $0.0540 on Oct 3, 2026.
Has KernelDAO been hacked?
Yes; 1 hack is recorded, the latest on Apr 18, 2026 for $293M (bridge & cross-chain).
Related records
Related records
as of · chosen deterministically from the joins on this page
10 related token records are linked below, plus 3 exchanges (Binance, Coinbase and Upbit) as of Oct 3, 2026.
predictions: chance of a higher price, typical move, likely range and our track record
2026-10-03 19:24 UTC
none
—
score
the 0–100 score and its backtest
2026-10-03 19:48 UTC
none
—
setups
setups re-measured on our own prices
2026-10-03 19:24 UTC
none
—
snapshot
daily snapshots and the change log
2026-10-03 19:48 UTC
none
—
upbit_instruments
359 symbols
2026-10-03 19:06 UTC
none
—
Effects are measured as described on the methodology page. Facts are compiled from public sources; nothing on this page is advice. Corrections: hello@pattern.plus.
binance_instruments last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-03T19:06:51+00:00 451 Client Error: for url: https://fapi.binance.com/f), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
bybit_announcements last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-03T19:07:22+00:00 403 Client Error: Forbidden for url: https://api.bybit), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
bybit_instruments last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-03T19:06:53+00:00 403 Client Error: Forbidden for url: https://api.bybit), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
collector_csv last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-03T19:07:26+00:00 trench_births.csv missing), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
This page is generated from 5,231 database rows and rebuilt daily; first published Oct 3, 2026.
PatternPlus compiles facts from public sources and gives no financial advice; corrections by email. As of Oct 3, 2026.
How to read this
Band 1 is the prediction: the chance of a higher price, the typical move and the likely range, with the real past setups behind it drawn as they moved.
Band 2 is why: the drivers, the next catalysts and how our past calls on this coin went.
Band 3 is the data: every table and chart, dated; green means the price was higher afterwards, red lower.
Band 4 is the write-up: the same record in words, with the questions and the sources.