§ 01 · Our calls
Our calls against what happened
as of · live predictions, stored the night they were made
A call is a prediction that leaned one way (not a coin flip), stored the night it was made and never edited. It is right when the coin went the way it leaned. The lazy guess calls every coin the way most of them went that week: a call record has to beat it to mean anything.
Next-day calls that closed this week
NO DATA YET No live next-day call closed this week (the live record starts Oct 3, 2026).
7-day calls that closed this week
NO DATA YET No live 7-day call closed this week (the live record starts Oct 3, 2026).
§ 02 · The events31 events
The week's events and what prices did
as of · events on record, measured on our daily closes
UNLOCK 8 LISTING 6 PERPS 4 ATH 3 TVL JUMP 3 VOTE 2 DIFFICULTY 1 ETF OUT 1 FED 1 HACK 1 TVL DROP 1
| Day | Event | Next day | A week later | Odds before |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FED Fed rate decision and projections | +1.0% | +11.6% | — | |
| DIFFICULTY Bitcoin mining difficulty +4.16% | +0.4% | +4.4% | — | |
ATH  CNPY CNPY all-time high: $0.6450 |
+46.8% | +2.5% | — | |
TVL JUMP  G TVL rose 69% in a day |
−39.1% | −47.7% | — | |
VOTE  ARB Banning projects identified in the high-severity Watchdog Program cases - APX Finance |
+31.5% | +28.8% | — | |
LISTING  STX Binance Will Support the Broadcom (AVGO), Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ), Meta (META), and Seagate (STX) Cash Dividend Distribution via bStocks |
+25.5% | +29.9% | — | |
PERPS  AKE OKX lists AKE perpetual |
−21.0% | +61.0% | — | |
| ATH NEARKAT NEARKAT all-time high: $0.0166 | +18.5% | −8.0% | — | |
| UNLOCK ARB ARB unlock: 107.50M tokens (1.61% of circulating), seen in the supply |
+16.2% | +27.9% | — | |
UNLOCK  KAITO KAITO unlock: 1.59M tokens (0.66% of circulating) |
+14.4% | +19.3% | — | |
| UNLOCK LMTS LMTS unlock: 2.92M tokens (2.22% of circulating) | −11.2% | −14.7% | — | |
| ATH AKE AKE all-time high: $0.1415 |
−10.9% | −52.0% | — | |
UNLOCK  STRK STRK unlock: 166.95M tokens (2.32% of circulating), seen in the supply |
+8.8% | +43.8% | — | |
ETF OUT  ETH Ethereum ETFs: $224M out in a day |
+8.0% | +11.2% | — | |
UNLOCK  APT APT unlock: 11.36M tokens (1.32% of circulating), seen in the supply |
−7.0% | +35.2% | — | |
LISTING  VVV OKX lists VVV |
+3.0% | +38.5% | — | |
| HACK NIM Nimiq exploited for $50.40k | −2.9% | −22.3% | — | |
VOTE  GTC [Proposal]: Upgrade the Gitcoin Governor |
+2.6% | +10.5% | — | |
| UNLOCK KAITO KAITO unlock: 5.00M tokens (2.07% of circulating) |
−2.4% | +22.5% | — | |
| TVL JUMP STRK TVL rose 34% in a day |
−2.1% | −5.9% | — | |
| TVL DROP GROVE TVL fell 27% in a day | +1.8% | +3.2% | — | |
UNLOCK  PUMP PUMP unlock: 4,807.49M tokens (1.03% of circulating) |
−1.6% | +21.8% | — | |
| UNLOCK ELSA ELSA unlock: 6.67M tokens (2.91% of circulating) | +0.1% | +7.5% | — | |
| LISTING PONS OKX lists PONS | — | — | — | |
| PERPS HANMI OKX lists HANMI perpetual | — | — | — | |
| PERPS LGELECTRONICS OKX lists LGELECTRONICS perpetual | — | — | — | |
| PERPS NAVER OKX lists NAVER perpetual | — | — | — | |
| LISTING AVGO Binance Will Support the Broadcom (AVGO), Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ), Meta (META), and Seagate (STX) Cash Dividend Distribution via bStocks | — | — | — | |
| LISTING QQQ Binance Will Support the Broadcom (AVGO), Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ), Meta (META), and Seagate (STX) Cash Dividend Distribution via bStocks | — | — | — | |
LISTING  META Binance Will Support the Broadcom (AVGO), Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ), Meta (META), and Seagate (STX) Cash Dividend Distribution via bStocks |
— | — | — | |
| TVL JUMP PLSX TVL rose 62% in a day | — | — | — |
§ 03 · Biggest movers
Biggest movers among the top coins
as of · our daily closes
182 of the 214 top coins with both closes ended the week higher. Bitcoin rose 5.6%, Ethereum rose 6.8%.
§ 05 · Every week
Every week
as of
§ 06 · How it is put together
How it is put together
as of · methodology
A week runs Monday to Sunday, UTC, and is recapped once its Sunday close is in. Moves run from the close before an event to the close one day and seven days later; a week's move runs from the Sunday before to its own Sunday. Movers are the top 300 coins by market cap with both closes on file.
The calls are the predictions stored the night they were made (the live record), never rebuilt afterwards. The odds beside an event are the ones the site showed the last night before its day; the odds shown for an event today already count its own outcome, so only that earlier copy says what was expected.