No pattern has a proven 1-day record on this coin yet — the call above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 47% chance higher tomorrow · this pattern's 1d calls hit 45.0% of 3,043 — no better than a coin flip so far · drawn from the 401 setups matched for the 30-day prediction
?next day
−40%−30%−20%−10%0%−10%0%+10%+20%+36% in 30 days↑ 98% below its all-time high
−30dnow+1d
▲ 13 rose · ▼ 10 fell · ◆ 7 sideways(±1.4% over 1 day)
Bold: MANA's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 401 setups matched for the 30-day prediction, and what each did over the next day — real hourly closes, scaled to MANA's volatility. 30 with no hourly path on file yet are drawn through their daily lows, highs and closes.
Bad case$0.0976−6%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$0.104−0.4%half did better, half worse
Good case$0.112+8%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−0.4%
Likely range
−6% to +8%$0.0976 – $0.112
458 similar setups · our 1-day calls hit 49.7% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
MANA price prediction for this week
66%chance MANA is lower
▼ STRONG DOWN
No pattern has a proven 7-day record on this coin yet — the call above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 34% chance higher in 7 days · this pattern's 7d calls hit 57.7% of 11,360 — no better than always guessing the usual direction (59%) so far · drawn from the 401 setups matched for the 30-day prediction
?next 7 days
−40%−30%−20%−10%0%−20%0%+20%+36% in 30 days↑ 98% below its all-time high
−30dnow+7d
▲ 9 rose · ▼ 17 fell · ◆ 4 sideways(±4.1% over 7 days)
Bold: MANA's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 401 setups matched for the 30-day prediction, and what each did over the next 7 days — real 4-hour closes, scaled to MANA's volatility. 30 with no 4-hour path on file yet are drawn through their daily lows, highs and closes.
Bad case$0.0892−14%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$0.0996−4.4%half did better, half worse
Good case$0.118+13%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−4.4%
Likely range
−14% to +13%$0.0892 – $0.118
449 similar setups · our 7-day calls hit 58.1% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
MANA price prediction for the next 30 days
65%chance MANA is lower
▼ STRONG DOWN
No pattern has a proven record on this coin yet — the prediction above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 35% chance higher in 30 days · drawn from its 401 matched past setups
?next 30 days
−40%−30%−20%−10%0%−50%−25%0%+25%+50%+75%+36% in 30 days↑ 98% below its all-time high
−30dnow+30d
▲ 5 rose · ▼ 16 fell · ◆ 9 sideways(±8.6% over 30 days)
Bold: MANA's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 401 past setups like this, and what each did over the next 30 days — real daily closes, scaled to MANA's volatility.
Bad case$0.0752−28%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$0.0962−7.7%half did better, half worse
Good case$0.131+26%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−7.7%
Likely range
−28% to +26%$0.0752 – $0.131
401 similar setups · our 30-day calls hit 62.1% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
Plan a leveraged trade on MANA
replays the cases behind the 30-day prediction
replays the cases behind the 30-day prediction
Pick a side, when you close and your leverage: we replay that exact trade on the past cases behind this MANA prediction and count how it ended.
Best historical window for MANA in setups like this: short, hold 7 days, 3× — profitable 62.7% of the time, typical +10.8%, liquidated 5.8% of the time (n=401).
Chance this ends in profit—
Typical result—half did better, half worse
Chance you get liquidated first—
Every past case, replayedhover or tap a line to see the case
price went your way —against you —sideways —(within ±2.6% over 7 days)✕liquidated —take profit hit —stop loss hit —typical8 in 10 cases
Replays 396 past cases weighted exactly like the 30-day prediction: the 401 similar cases behind it plus a sample of all history.
Where the odds were best· swipe for longer holds →
cell = chance of profit color = average result, −50% or worse to +50% or better striped = liquidated in more than 1 in 10★ best: highest typical result with at most 1 in 10 liquidated, most cases in profit and an average above zerono take profit or stop loss · tap a cell to load it
The planner and its replay chart run in your browser: turn on JavaScript to replay your own MANA trade on these past cases.
Odds from similar past cases, not financial advice. Leverage multiplies losses too: a liquidated position loses its whole margin.
Where to trade MANA · by share of the last day's volume
MANA$0.105253% ▼ 1Dbest playno play cleared the bar at 1Dopen calculator
MANA$0.105266% ▼ 7Dbest play▼ Short 7D 3× → +11%open calculator
MANA$0.105265% ▼ 30Dbest play▼ Short 30D 1× → +7.6%open calculator
2
Why we think this
the reasoning, in short
Drivers
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher a day later 47% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in MANA's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (458 cases) into 47% higher.
Volume spike
Trading volume jumped far above its 30-day normal (3.0 standard deviations). After volume spikes like this, coins were higher a day later 44% of the time (6,079 cases), vs 47% across all cases.
here 44% · normal 47% higher a day later
Up 14% over 7 days
Up 14% this week. After a week like that, coins were higher a day later 45% of the time (21,552 cases), vs 47% across all cases.
here 45% · normal 47% higher a day later
Up 36% over 30 days
Up 36% over the last 30 days. After a month like that, coins were higher a day later 47% of the time (22,250 cases), vs 47% across all cases.
here 47% · normal 47% higher a day later
87% below its high
87% below its all-time high. Coins that far below their high were higher a day later 47% of the time (69,100 cases), vs 47% across all cases.
here 47% · normal 47% higher a day later
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher 7 days later 43% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in MANA's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (449 cases) into 34% higher.
Volume spike
Trading volume jumped far above its 30-day normal (3.0 standard deviations). After volume spikes like this, coins were higher a week later 40% of the time (6,022 cases), vs 43% across all cases.
here 40% · normal 43% higher 7 days later
Up 14% over 7 days
Up 14% this week. After a week like that, coins were higher a week later 41% of the time (21,381 cases), vs 43% across all cases.
here 41% · normal 43% higher 7 days later
Bitcoin above its 50-day average
Bitcoin is above its 50-day average. In that situation, coins were higher a week later 42% of the time (46,968 cases), vs 43% across all cases.
here 42% · normal 43% higher 7 days later
Small-cap
Small-cap coin ($202.4M market cap). Coins this size were higher a week later 43% of the time (44,050 cases), vs 43% across all cases.
here 43% · normal 43% higher 7 days later
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher 30 days later 38% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in MANA's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (401 cases) into 35% higher.
Up 36% over 30 days
Up 36% over the last 30 days. After a month like that, coins were higher 30 days later 34% of the time (20,031 cases), vs 38% across all cases.
here 34% · normal 38% higher 30 days later
Volume spike
Trading volume jumped far above its 30-day normal (3.0 standard deviations). After volume spikes like this, coins were higher 30 days later 40% of the time (5,730 cases), vs 38% across all cases.
here 40% · normal 38% higher 30 days later
Small-cap
Small-cap coin ($202.4M market cap). Coins this size were higher 30 days later 36% of the time (43,053 cases), vs 38% across all cases.
here 36% · normal 38% higher 30 days later
Bitcoin above its 50-day average
Bitcoin is above its 50-day average. In that situation, coins were higher 30 days later 39% of the time (44,236 cases), vs 38% across all cases.
here 39% · normal 38% higher 30 days later
Our record on MANA
Our last 6 calls on MANA over 30 days: right on 0 of 6 · 2 of 6 ended inside our range · all-time on MANA: 62.2% hit rate, 64.6% inside the range (45 backtested calls)
Jul 26 said 63% down · ended +6.8%✗ wrongAug 2 said 63% down · ended +8.9%✗ wrongAug 9 said 63% down · ended +14.4%✗ wrongAug 16 said 70% down · ended +14.0%✗ wrongAug 23 said 70% down · ended +15.4%✗ wrongAug 30 said 64% down · ended +22.6%✗ wrong
white: MANA's real price after each call · bar: the range we gave (8 in 10 cases, the middle half thicker, a notch at the typical move) · end dot: green right · red wrong · orange the price went sideways (within ±5.5% over 30 days) or a coin flip · backtest: each call used only data available that day · live since Oct 3, 2026: 1 live 30-day prediction on record, first result due Nov 2, 2026 · the full scorecard →
last 6 months · daily close · candle = 2 sessions◆ recorded event · dotted blue line = last price · orange = the price went sideways (within ±1.4% over 2 days)
updated today Updated · 35 data points on this page
Changedno field on this page changed since the previous build
The record in shortON RECORD
The record in short
as of · generated from this record's own rowsread it →
events on record
4
higher 30 days after
0 of 1
typical 30-day move
−29.8%
next up
—
Every eventMEASURED4 events
The record: every event and what followed
as of · CoinPaprika · DefiLlama · exchange announcements · PatternPlus effectsread it →
MANA: 4 events, newest first; six signed numbers per row are the price change from the close before the event, in UTC; vs BTC is the difference of the two 30-day moves
On Nov 7, 2025Binance removed the perpetual for MANA; it rose 11.2% by day 1 and was 29.8% lower 30 days later, 19 points behind BTC; it had moved −4.5% in the 7 days before.
2021
all-time high MANA all-time high: $5.85
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
derived
Highest daily close in our price history. MANA set an all-time high on Nov 25, 2021; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
MANA-USDT-SWAP perpetual trading. OKX opened perpetual futures for MANA on Mar 12, 2021; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
MANA-USDT spot trading (quotes: EUR, USDT, USDC). OKX listed MANA on Jan 29, 2021; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
Source: events from CoinPaprika, DefiLlama and exchange announcements; effects computed by PatternPlus (see methodology) · fetched
Against the venue medianMEASURED
How MANA's events compare with the venue median
as of · event_stats computed by PatternPlusread it →
Venue · kind
MANA median day 30
MANA n
Venue median day 30
Venue n
Up after 30 d (venue)
Position
Binance · perpetual delisting
−29.8%
1
−12.2%
8
0.0%
below
Venue · kind
MANA median day 7
MANA n
Venue median day 7
Venue n
Up after 7 d (venue)
Position
Binance · perpetual delisting
−4.0%
1
−5.7%
—
—
above
Day 7: the venue's event count and up-share are kept for day 30 only (—); its median uses every event measured to day 7.
Venue · kind
MANA median day 1
MANA n
Venue median day 1
Venue n
Up after 1 d (venue)
Position
Binance · perpetual delisting
+11.2%
1
+1.6%
—
—
above
Day 1: the venue's event count and up-share are kept for day 30 only (—); its median uses every event measured to day 1.
Source: PatternPlus, computed from every token in the peer set · fetched
4
The full write-up
every sentence on MANA · questions · sources
MANA in short
Filed under crypto on its own chain, Decentraland (MANA) has been with no start date recorded; it holds rank #188 by market cap as of Oct 3, 2026 and trades 98.2% below its Nov 25, 2021 high.
As of Oct 3, 2026 the price is $0.1052 (+8.8% over 24 hours), market cap $204.4M, fully diluted value $230.8M, holder count not reported, no TVL reported to DefiLlama.
Status on CoinPaprika: active; MANA is the native coin of its own chain, so there is no token contract.
CoinPaprika tickers and DefiLlama, read Oct 3, 2026.
4 events sit on Decentraland's record as of Oct 3, 2026 (1 spot listings, 1 perpetual listings, 0 unlocks, 0 hacks, 0 rounds); across the 1 with a measured day-30 outcome the median move was −29.8%.
From the latest data refresh
Decentraland (MANA) is a crypto token on its own chain, rank #188 by market cap as of Oct 3, 2026, 98.2% below its Nov 25, 2021 high.
Across 1 measured events the median day-30 move was −29.8%.
PatternPlus holds 1 daily snapshot for MANA as of Oct 3, 2026; the rank and holder series begin with the next rebuild.
MANA is on 4 spot and 1 perpetual venues on record; the earliest dated listing was OKX (spot) on Jan 29, 2021.
No listing of MANA has a measurable day-30 outcome yet as of Oct 3, 2026.
No emission schedule is published on DefiLlama for MANA as of Oct 3, 2026.
No on-chain power check is on record for MANA as of Oct 3, 2026.
No funding round is recorded by DefiLlama for Decentraland as of Oct 3, 2026.
Decentraland lists 0 audit links on DefiLlama; no hack is recorded as of Oct 3, 2026.
No team member is recorded on CoinPaprika for Decentraland as of Oct 3, 2026.
No TVL, fees or revenue are reported to DefiLlama for Decentraland as of Oct 3, 2026.
Generated from this record's own rows at build time; as of Oct 3, 2026.
Across 8 perpetual delistings on Binance, the median move is +1.6% on day 1 and −12.2% by day 30; 0.0% were still up after 30 days; MANA's one sits below that median at −29.8%.
MANA sits above the venue median in 0 of 1 venue-and-kind comparisons as of Oct 3, 2026.
event_stats recomputed nightly; as of Oct 3, 2026.
No on-chain power check is available for MANA on its own chain as of Oct 3, 2026; every row of the panel is shown as unknown until GoPlus or the Jupiter token API answers.
Until then this site cannot say whether the issuer can mint, freeze or upgrade MANA; the check is retried at every rebuild.
4 events since Jan 29, 2021; 1 of the 1 measured were followed by a lower price 30 days later; best Binance Futures Will Delist COIN-M MANAUSD and EGLDUSD Perpetual Contracts (2025-11-13) on Nov 7, 2025 (−29.8%), worst Binance Futures Will Delist COIN-M MANAUSD and EGLDUSD Perpetual Contracts (2025-11-13) on Nov 7, 2025 (−29.8%).
1000 daily closes from Jan 8, 2024 to Oct 3, 2026 are plotted on a log scale, with the rank from 1 snapshots as a step line.
The all-time high marker sits at $5.85 on Nov 25, 2021, 1,773 days before Oct 3, 2026.
prices, metrics_daily, events and effects; as of Oct 3, 2026.
MANA is on 4 spot and 1 perpetual venues on record; the earliest was OKX (spot) on Jan 29, 2021 and the latest OKX (perp) on Mar 12, 2021; the first perpetual opened on OKX on Mar 12, 2021, 42 days after the first spot pair.
0 delistings are on record for MANA as of Oct 3, 2026.
1083 of the 1087 tracked exchanges have no MANA listing on record as of Oct 3, 2026 (Bitget, Azbit, Pionex, WEEX, Lbank and Gate, among others).
exchange_listings from instrument APIs and announcements; as of Oct 3, 2026.
Decentraland trades 98.2% below its all-time high of $5.85, set on Nov 25, 2021, 1,773 days before Oct 3, 2026; over 30 days it moved 0.0% against 0.0% for BTC (beta 1.31).
Price change as of Oct 3, 2026: −0.4% over 1 hour, +8.8% over 24 hours, +15.0% over 7 days, 0.0% over 30 days, 0.0% over 1 year.
With $204.4M market cap against $230.8M fully diluted, 11.4% of MANA's valuation is in non-circulating supply as of Oct 3, 2026.
24-hour volume of $67M is 32.8% of market cap as of Oct 3, 2026.
Circulating supply is 1.94B of 2.19B total (88.6%) and a maximum of 2.19B.
The all tokens on record median 30-day change is 0.0% across 1500 tokens, so MANA sits below its peer set.
CoinPaprika tickers read Oct 3, 2026; BTC comparison from the BTC record.
No contract or mint address is recorded for Decentraland as of Oct 3, 2026.
No other token on record uses the symbol MANA as of Oct 3, 2026.
Decentraland shares its ticker with MANA (Genesis Mana) and MANA (Meme Anarchic Numismatic Asset) (ticker collision on CoinPaprika, read Oct 3, 2026).
Identity fields from CoinPaprika as of Oct 3, 2026: start date not recorded, first market data Sep 17, 2017, proof type not stated, organisation structure not stated, no whitepaper link.
Cross-references as of Oct 3, 2026: CoinPaprika id mana-decentraland, no DefiLlama slug, no GitHub repository recorded.
No follower or star counts were read for Decentraland as of Oct 3, 2026.
CoinPaprika /coins, token_contracts, token_aliases; read Oct 3, 2026.
Set against 1500 all tokens on record tokens on Oct 3, 2026, Decentraland ranks at the 87th percentile for market cap, the 28th for distance from its high and the unranked for share of supply unlocked.
The peer median market cap is $14M, the median distance from ATH −94.8% and the median 30-day change 0.0%.
The nearest peers by rank are OriginTrail (#187), Akash Network (#189), The Vault Staked SOL (#186), Mina Protocol (#190) and Polygon (#185).
Market cap: $204.4M (P87 of 1500; peer median $14M).
Volume / market cap (24h): 32.76% (P93 of 1500; peer median 2.46%).
30-day change: 0.0% (P50 of 1500; peer median 0.0%).
Distance from ATH: −98.2% (P28 of 1500; peer median −94.8%).
peer set: all tokens on record (1500 tokens); as of Oct 3, 2026.
predictions: chance of a higher price, typical move, likely range and our track record
2026-10-03 19:24 UTC
none
—
score
the 0–100 score and its backtest
2026-10-03 19:48 UTC
none
—
setups
setups re-measured on our own prices
2026-10-03 19:24 UTC
none
—
snapshot
daily snapshots and the change log
2026-10-03 19:48 UTC
none
—
upbit_instruments
359 symbols
2026-10-03 19:06 UTC
none
—
Effects are measured as described on the methodology page. Facts are compiled from public sources; nothing on this page is advice. Corrections: hello@pattern.plus.
binance_instruments last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-03T19:06:51+00:00 451 Client Error: for url: https://fapi.binance.com/f), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
bybit_announcements last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-03T19:07:22+00:00 403 Client Error: Forbidden for url: https://api.bybit), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
bybit_instruments last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-03T19:06:53+00:00 403 Client Error: Forbidden for url: https://api.bybit), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
collector_csv last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-03T19:07:26+00:00 trench_births.csv missing), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
This page is generated from 6,163 database rows and rebuilt daily; first published Oct 3, 2026.
PatternPlus compiles facts from public sources and gives no financial advice; corrections by email. As of Oct 3, 2026.
How to read this
Band 1 is the prediction: the chance of a higher price, the typical move and the likely range, with the real past setups behind it drawn as they moved.
Band 2 is why: the drivers, the next catalysts and how our past calls on this coin went.
Band 3 is the data: every table and chart, dated; green means the price was higher afterwards, red lower.
Band 4 is the write-up: the same record in words, with the questions and the sources.
