likely range: 8 in 10 similar past setups ended inside it
middle half −1% to +1% · typical move 0%
Liquidated within 1 day in similar past setups
side
2×
3×
5×
10×
20×
Long
0%
0%
0%
1%
5%
Short
<1%
<1%
1%
2%
12%
the planner's replay of the setups behind the 30-day prediction, before fees · red: more than 1 in 10
No clear edge today
Coins ended higher over a day in 47% of every past case · our 1-day direction calls: right 50% of 39,186 calls since 2019, against 51% for that side on any day
Market cap $4.92M · micro-cap: thinner trading, bigger swings
Lookalike Setups (main) · no clear edge on direction tomorrow · this pattern's 1d calls hit 52.6% of 7,929 — its chances have not beaten the simple all-coin up-rate so far · drawn from the 11103 setups matched for the 30-day prediction
next day
−20%−15%−10%−5%0%−5%−2.5%0%+2.5%+5%+7.5%+6.3% in 30 days↑ 99% below its all-time high
−30dnow+1d
▲ 13 rose · ▼ 10 fell · ◆ 7 sideways(±1.0% over 1 day)
Bold: DAO's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 11103 setups matched for the 30-day prediction, and what each did over the next day — real hourly closes, scaled to DAO's volatility. 29 with no hourly path on file yet are drawn through their daily lows, highs and closes.
Bad case$0.0242−2%1 in 10 did worse
Typical$0.02480%half did better, half worse
Good case$0.0255+2%1 in 10 did better
Likely range, in price
$0.0242 – $0.0255−2% to +2%
Middle half, in price
$0.0246 – $0.0251−1% to +1%
12,485 similar setups · our 1-day ranges held 79.4% of outcomes in backtests (aim: 80%) · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
DAO price prediction for this week
Expected swing over the next 7 days
−8%to+8%
likely range: 8 in 10 similar past setups ended inside it
middle half −4% to +3% · typical move −0.4%
Liquidated within 7 days in similar past setups
side
2×
3×
5×
10×
20×
Long
<1%
<1%
1%
12%
45%
Short
2%
3%
9%
29%
53%
the planner's replay of the setups behind the 30-day prediction, before fees · red: more than 1 in 10
No clear edge today
Coins ended higher over 7 days in 44% of every past case · our 7-day direction calls: right 55% of 63,478 calls since 2019, against 56% for that side on any day
Market cap $4.92M · micro-cap: thinner trading, bigger swings
Lookalike Setups (main) · no clear edge on direction in 7 days · this pattern's 7d calls hit 59.3% of 26,564 — no better than always guessing the usual direction (60%) so far · drawn from the 11103 setups matched for the 30-day prediction
next 7 days
−20%−15%−10%−5%0%0%+25%+50%+75%+100%+6.3% in 30 days↑ 99% below its all-time high
−30dnow+7d
▲ 10 rose · ▼ 8 fell · ◆ 12 sideways(±2.6% over 7 days)
Bold: DAO's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 11103 setups matched for the 30-day prediction, and what each did over the next 7 days — real 4-hour closes, scaled to DAO's volatility. 29 with no 4-hour path on file yet are drawn through their daily lows, highs and closes.
Bad case$0.0229−8%1 in 10 did worse
Typical$0.0247−0.4%half did better, half worse
Good case$0.0269+8%1 in 10 did better
Likely range, in price
$0.0229 – $0.0269−8% to +8%
Middle half, in price
$0.0239 – $0.0257−4% to +3%
12,196 similar setups · our 7-day ranges held 79.5% of outcomes in backtests (aim: 80%) · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
DAO price prediction for the next 30 days
Expected swing over the next 30 days
−21%to+23%
likely range: 8 in 10 similar past setups ended inside it
middle half −10% to +9% · typical move −1.3%
Liquidated within 30 days in similar past setups
side
2×
3×
5×
10×
20×
Long
3%
8%
22%
45%
73%
Short
10%
17%
38%
64%
81%
the planner's replay of the setups behind the 30-day prediction, before fees · red: more than 1 in 10
No clear edge today
Coins ended higher over 30 days in 39% of every past case · our 30-day direction calls: right 57% of 81,975 calls since 2019, against 60% for that side on any day
Market cap $4.92M · micro-cap: thinner trading, bigger swings
Lookalike Setups (main) · no clear edge on direction in 30 days · drawn from its 11103 matched past setups
next 30 days
−20%−15%−10%−5%0%−50%0%+50%+100%+150%+6.3% in 30 days↑ 99% below its all-time high
−30dnow+30d
▲ 12 rose · ▼ 10 fell · ◆ 8 sideways(±7.0% over 30 days)
Bold: DAO's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 11103 past setups like this, and what each did over the next 30 days — real daily closes, scaled to DAO's volatility.
Bad case$0.0196−21%1 in 10 did worse
Typical$0.0245−1.3%half did better, half worse
Good case$0.0306+23%1 in 10 did better
Likely range, in price
$0.0196 – $0.0306−21% to +23%
Middle half, in price
$0.0223 – $0.0271−10% to +9%
11,103 similar setups · our 30-day ranges held 78.8% of outcomes in backtests (aim: 80%) · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
Pick a side, when you close and your leverage: we replay that exact trade on the past cases behind this DAO prediction and count how it ended.
Best historical window for DAO in setups like this: short, hold 2 days, 10× — profitable 60.1% of the time, typical +6.0%, liquidated 6.8% of the time (n=11103).
Chance this ends in profit—
Typical result—half did better, half worse
Chance you get liquidated first—
Every past case, replayedhover or tap a line to see the case
price went your way —against you —sideways —(within ±1.4% over 2 days)✕liquidated —take profit hit —stop loss hit —typical8 in 10 cases
Replays 421 past cases weighted exactly like the 30-day prediction: the 11,103 similar cases behind it plus a sample of all history.
Where the odds were best· swipe for longer holds →
cell = chance of profit color = average result, −50% or worse to +50% or better striped = liquidated in more than 1 in 10★ best: highest typical result with at most 1 in 10 liquidated, most cases in profit and an average above zerono take profit or stop loss · tap a cell to load it
The planner and its replay chart run in your browser: turn on JavaScript to replay your own DAO trade on these past cases.
Odds from similar past cases, not financial advice. Leverage multiplies losses too: a liquidated position loses its whole margin.
DAO$0.0249−2% to +2% 1Dno call cleared the bar at 1D· liquidated at 10×: 2%open calculator
DAO$0.0249−8% to +8% 7Dno call cleared the bar at 7D· liquidated at 10×: 29%open calculator
DAO$0.0249−21% to +23% 30Dno call cleared the bar at 30D· liquidated at 10×: 64%open calculator
2
Why we think this
the reasoning, in short
Drivers
The facts this prediction matches on. Every past moment with the same facts, across every coin we track, is one of the 12,485 similar setups its range is drawn from; no chance is shown, as no call earned it out of sample at this horizon.
Bitcoin above its 50-day average
Bitcoin is above its 50-day average.
151,429 past cases with this fact
Micro-cap
Micro-cap coin ($4.9M market cap).
108,001 past cases with this fact
Within 10% of a month ago
Within 10% of its price 30 days ago (+6%).
90,451 past cases with this fact
Within 7% of a week ago
Within 7% of its price a week ago (+1%).
138,991 past cases with this fact
The facts this prediction matches on. Every past moment with the same facts, across every coin we track, is one of the 12,196 similar setups its range is drawn from; no chance is shown, as no call earned it out of sample at this horizon.
Bitcoin above its 50-day average
Bitcoin is above its 50-day average.
149,501 past cases with this fact
Within 7% of a week ago
Within 7% of its price a week ago (+1%).
137,787 past cases with this fact
Micro-cap
Micro-cap coin ($4.9M market cap).
106,587 past cases with this fact
Within 10% of a month ago
Within 10% of its price 30 days ago (+6%).
89,886 past cases with this fact
The facts this prediction matches on. Every past moment with the same facts, across every coin we track, is one of the 11,103 similar setups its range is drawn from; no chance is shown, as no call earned it out of sample at this horizon.
Bitcoin above its 50-day average
Bitcoin is above its 50-day average.
141,904 past cases with this fact
Within 10% of a month ago
Within 10% of its price 30 days ago (+6%).
87,327 past cases with this fact
Other coin type
Outside the meme, DeFi and L1/L2 groups.
254,860 past cases with this fact
85% below its high
85% below its all-time high.
222,883 past cases with this fact
What moves DAO
LIKELYWhen a big spot ETF inflow day came, DAO ended higher a week later more often than on any day (12 cases in the history it was found on)no clear edge out of sample · last Sep 22, 2026
LIKELYWhen Bitcoin sold at a discount on Coinbase, DAO ended higher the next day more often than on any day (13 cases in the history it was found on)no clear edge out of sample · last Jul 26, 2026
LIKELYWhen the 100 biggest altcoins rose 4% on average in a day, DAO ended higher the next day more often than on any day (44 cases in the history it was found on)no clear edge out of sample · last Sep 24, 2026
tested coin by coin every night, each cause against DAO's own moves on any day (its biggest days capped) · proven: past the cut for testing thousands at once, both halves of its history agree, 12 cases or more · likely: weaker evidence, walked apart · out of sample: each quarter called with only the drivers found before it, and a kind of driver earns a call only when its side was right more often than that side won on any day, on 100+ scored calls over 60+ separate days · what moves every coin
Our record on DAO
Our last 6 calls on DAO over 30 days: right on 0 of 5, 1 more was a coin flip · 6 of 6 ended inside our range · all-time on DAO: 70.5% hit rate, 72.9% inside the range (44 backtested calls)
across every coin, out of sample: our 30-day calls were right 57% of 81,975 calls since 2019, against 60% for that side on any day: no clear edge, so no 30-day direction is shown today (a few dozen calls on one coin say little)
Aug 2 said 59% down · ended +4.6%✗ wrongAug 9 said 57% down · ended +6.2%✗ wrongAug 16 said 64% down · ended +10.5%✗ wrongAug 23 said 56% down · ended +10.6%✗ wrongAug 30 said 58% down · ended +1.7%✗ wrongSep 6 said 54% down · ended +6.3%coin flip
white: DAO's real price after each call · bar: the range we gave (8 in 10 cases, the middle half thicker, a notch at the typical move) · end dot: green right · red wrong · orange the price went sideways (within ±5.5% over 30 days) or a coin flip · backtest: each call used only data available that day · live since Oct 4, 2026: 3 live 30-day predictions on record, first result due Nov 3, 2026 · the full scorecard →
active —
NoneRank #1,101on record since 2023-02-21$11.58M lost to hacks
$0.0249
24H+0.4%
30D0.0%
1Y0.0%
FROM ATH−99.0%
last 6 months · daily close · candle = 2 sessions◆ recorded event · dotted blue line = last price · orange = the price went sideways (within ±1.4% over 2 days)
as of · generated from this record's own rowsread it →
events on record
10
higher 30 days after
0 of 1
typical 30-day move
−41.5%
next up
—
Every eventMEASURED10 events
The record: every event and what followed
as of · CoinPaprika · DefiLlama · exchange announcements · PatternPlus effectsread it →
DAO: 10 events, newest first; six signed numbers per row are the price change from the close before the event, in UTC; vs BTC is the difference of the two 30-day moves
On Jan 20, 2026OKX delisted DAO; it fell 16.0% by day 1 and was 41.5% lower 30 days later, 14 points behind BTC; it had moved −1.9% in the 7 days before.
Bybit opened perpetual futures for DAO on Mar 27, 2024; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
all-time high DAO all-time high: $2.60
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
derived
Highest daily close in our price history. DAO set an all-time high on Mar 22, 2024; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
DAO's protocol TVL (DefiLlama) fell 88% during 2022-10-07, from $11M, and held at the next reading. Dated 2022-10-09, when that was clear; the move is the coin's from the close before. DAO saw a TVL crash on Oct 9, 2022; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
hack DAO Swap exploited for $580k
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
defillama
Improper Access Control DAO was hacked on Sep 5, 2022; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
DAO's protocol TVL (DefiLlama) fell 29% during 2022-05-10, from $12M, and held at the next reading. Dated 2022-05-12, when that was clear; the move is the coin's from the close before. DAO saw a TVL crash on May 12, 2022; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
DAO's protocol TVL (DefiLlama) rose 40% during 2022-04-12, from $10M, and held at the next reading. Dated 2022-04-14, when that was clear; the move is the coin's from the close before. DAO saw a TVL surge on Apr 14, 2022; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
2021
hack DAO Maker Vesting exploited for $4M
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
defillama
Improper Access Control DAO was hacked on Sep 4, 2021; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
hack DAO Maker Vesting exploited for $7M
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
defillama
Improper Access Control DAO was hacked on Aug 12, 2021; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
Source: events from CoinPaprika, DefiLlama and exchange announcements; effects computed by PatternPlus (see methodology) · fetched
Against the venue medianMEASURED
How DAO's events compare with the venue median
as of · event_stats computed by PatternPlusread it →
Venue · kind
DAO median day 30
DAO n
Venue median day 30
Venue n
Up after 30 d (venue)
Position
OKX · delisting
−41.5%
1
−19.0%
33
21.2%
below
Venue · kind
DAO median day 7
DAO n
Venue median day 7
Venue n
Up after 7 d (venue)
Position
OKX · delisting
−15.7%
1
−9.3%
—
—
below
Day 7: the venue's event count and up-share are kept for day 30 only (—); its median uses every event measured to day 7.
Venue · kind
DAO median day 1
DAO n
Venue median day 1
Venue n
Up after 1 d (venue)
Position
OKX · delisting
−16.0%
1
−6.8%
—
—
below
Day 1: the venue's event count and up-share are kept for day 30 only (—); its median uses every event measured to day 1.
Issuer powers first recorded on Oct 4, 2026: mint authority revoked, freeze authority revoked, upgrade key revoked, admin keys held, honeypot revoked, pause revoked, blacklist revoked, transfer tax revoked.
event
hack
3,677
New record entry (hack, Aug 12, 2021): DAO Maker Vesting exploited for $7M.
event
hack
3,548
New record entry (hack, Sep 4, 2021): DAO Maker Vesting exploited for $4M.
OUR NUMBERS ABOVE · PUBLIC FACTS BELOW
Where DAO is listedON RECORD0 venues
Where DAO is listed: spot and perpetuals, with dates
as of · exchange instrument APIs · announcementsread it →
Exchange coverage matrix: 0 venues on record; cell text is the listing date
Exchange
Spot
Perpetual
Delisted
24 h volume
Share of DAO volume
No exchange markets reported by CoinPaprika as of Oct 6, 2026
Source: PatternPlus, computed from every token in the peer set · fetched
4
The full write-up
every sentence on DAO · questions · sources
DAO in short
Filed under crypto on its own chain, DAO Maker Token (DAO) has been with no start date recorded; it holds rank #1,101 by market cap as of Oct 6, 2026 and trades 99.0% below its Mar 22, 2024 high.
As of Oct 6, 2026 the price is $0.0249 (+0.4% over 24 hours), market cap $4.9M, fully diluted value $6.9M, 17,356 holders, $50,008 TVL.
Status on CoinPaprika: active; DAO is the native coin of its own chain, so there is no token contract.
CoinPaprika tickers and DefiLlama, read Oct 6, 2026.
As of Oct 6, 2026 the record for DAO Maker Token runs to 10 events, of which 0 are spot listings, 1 perpetual listings, 0 unlocks, 3 hacks and 0 funding rounds; 1 carry a day-30 measurement with a median of −41.5%.
From the latest data refresh
DAO Maker Token (DAO), crypto on its own chain, holds rank #1,101 by market cap on Oct 6, 2026 and trades 99.0% under its Mar 22, 2024 high.
The record's largest loss is a $7M hack on Aug 12, 2021 (access control).
Since PatternPlus began recording on Oct 3, 2026 (4 daily snapshots), rank moved from #1,104 to #1,101.
No exchange listing with a date is on record for DAO as of Oct 6, 2026.
No listing of DAO has a measurable day-30 outcome yet as of Oct 6, 2026.
No unlock schedule is on record for DAO as of Oct 6, 2026.
The issuer holds 1 of 13 checked powers (admin keys); 0 were not checked.
No funding round is recorded by DefiLlama for DAO Maker Token as of Oct 6, 2026.
DAO Maker Token lists 8 audit links on DefiLlama; 3 hacks totalling $11.6M are recorded.
No team member is recorded on CoinPaprika for DAO Maker Token as of Oct 6, 2026.
DefiLlama reports $50,008 TVL and not reported revenue over 30 days as of Oct 6, 2026.
Generated from this record's own rows at build time; as of Oct 6, 2026.
Across 33 spot delistings on OKX, the median move is −6.8% on day 1 and −19.0% by day 30; 21.2% were still up after 30 days; DAO's one sits below that median at −41.5%.
DAO sits above the venue median in 0 of 1 venue-and-kind comparisons as of Oct 6, 2026.
event_stats recomputed nightly; as of Oct 6, 2026.
The issuer holds 1 of 13 checked powers as of Oct 4, 2026; 0 not checked, 0 not applicable.
Admin keys are held (goplus+dexscreener, checked Oct 4, 2026): admin keys exist that can change protocol parameters without a holder vote.
12 of the checked powers are revoked or absent on Ethereum (mint more tokens, freeze accounts, upgrade the contract, change balances, hidden owner, blacklist addresses, whitelist addresses, pause transfers, buy tax, sell tax, honeypot and source code unverified);
the panel row for each states what that means for a holder.
The owner address on Ethereum is 0x29dcee0513f729f0a8c3e591aeed224695ed5c1f (goplus+dexscreener, checked Oct 4, 2026).
security rows per chain and tokens.powers; vocabulary fixed: held, revoked, unknown; checked Oct 4, 2026.
10 events since Aug 12, 2021; 1 of the 1 measured were followed by a lower price 30 days later; best OKX to delist ULTI, GEAR, VRA, DAO, CXT and ELON in EEA on Jan 20, 2026 (−41.5%), worst OKX to delist ULTI, GEAR, VRA, DAO, CXT and ELON in EEA on Jan 20, 2026 (−41.5%).
502 daily closes from May 23, 2025 to Oct 6, 2026 are plotted on a log scale, with the rank from 4 snapshots as a step line.
The all-time high marker sits at $2.6 on Mar 22, 2024, 928 days before Oct 6, 2026.
prices, metrics_daily, events and effects; as of Oct 6, 2026.
9 changes are logged for this page since Oct 4, 2026; the latest, on Oct 5, 2026, is: New record entry (futures listing, Mar 27, 2024): New Listing: DAOUSDT Perpetual Contract.
The all-time high on record for DAO Maker Token is $2.6 on Mar 22, 2024, 928 days ago as of Oct 6, 2026; the price is 99.0% below it; over 30 days it moved 0.0% against 0.0% for BTC (beta 1.05).
Price change as of Oct 6, 2026: +0.3% over 1 hour, +0.4% over 24 hours, +1.5% over 7 days, 0.0% over 30 days, 0.0% over 1 year.
Market cap is 71.0% of fully diluted value ($4.9M of $6.9M), so 29.0% of the valuation sits in supply that does not circulate yet.
24-hour volume of $643,792 is 13.1% of market cap as of Oct 6, 2026.
Circulating supply is 197.4M of 278.2M total (71.0%) and a maximum of 312M.
The all tokens on record median 30-day change is 0.0% across 1594 tokens, so DAO sits below its peer set.
CoinPaprika tickers read Oct 6, 2026; BTC comparison from the BTC record.
1 address identify DAO Maker Token on ethereum; as the native coin of its own chain it has no token contract.
No other token on record uses the symbol DAO as of Oct 6, 2026.
DAO Maker Token shares its ticker with DAO (DAOMATIAN), DAO (Dao), DAO (DaoFloki), DAO (Distributed Autonomous Organization) and DAO (DogeDAO) (ticker collision on CoinPaprika, read Oct 6, 2026).
Identity fields from CoinPaprika as of Oct 6, 2026: start date not recorded, first market data Feb 21, 2023, proof type not stated, organisation structure not stated, no whitepaper link.
Cross-references as of Oct 6, 2026: CoinPaprika id dao-dao-maker-token, DefiLlama slug dao-maker, no GitHub repository recorded.
No follower or star counts were read for DAO Maker Token as of Oct 6, 2026.
CoinPaprika /coins and DefiLlama /protocols (contract addresses), token_contracts, token_aliases; read Oct 6, 2026.
Among 1594 all tokens on record tokens, DAO Maker Token is at the 30th percentile by market cap, 19th by distance from ATH and unranked by share unlocked as of Oct 6, 2026.
The peer median market cap is $12.8M, the median distance from ATH −95.0% and the median 30-day change 0.0%.
By holders DAO sits at P52 (17,356 against a median of 16,312); by exchanges at PNone.
The nearest peers by rank are Marina Protocol (#1,100), EVAA Protocol (#1,102), Dock (#1,102), Wen (#1,099) and ALLINU (#1,098).
Market cap: $4.9M (P30 of 1594; peer median $12.8M).
Volume / market cap (24h): 13.08% (P82 of 1594; peer median 2.42%).
30-day change: 0.0% (P50 of 1594; peer median 0.0%).
Distance from ATH: −99.0% (P19 of 1594; peer median −95.0%).
Holders: 17,356 (P52 of 304; peer median 16,312).
TVL: $50,008 (P21 of 429; peer median $5M).
peer set: all tokens on record (1594 tokens); as of Oct 6, 2026.
As of Oct 6, 2026: DAO's likely range tomorrow is −2.5% to +2.4% (8 in 10 similar past setups ended inside it), typical move −0.0%, from 12,485 similar past setups;
no clear edge on its direction: no call on it earned one out of sample.
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
What is the DAO Maker Token price prediction for this week?
As of Oct 6, 2026: DAO's likely range over the next 7 days is −7.7% to +8.4% (8 in 10 similar past setups ended inside it), typical move −0.4%, from 12,196 similar past setups;
no clear edge on its direction: no call on it earned one out of sample.
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
What is the DAO price prediction for the next 30 days?
As of Oct 6, 2026: DAO's likely range over the next 30 days is −21.0% to +23.0% (8 in 10 similar past setups ended inside it), typical move −1.3%, from 11,103 similar past setups;
no clear edge on its direction: no call on it earned one out of sample.
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
How accurate are these DAO predictions?
Across 44 backtested 30-day calls on DAO, the call was right 70.5% of the time and the price ended inside the likely range 72.9% of the time.
Of the last 6 30-day calls, 0 of 5 were right.
Each backtest call used only the data available on its own date.
Who is behind DAO Maker Token?
No team member is recorded on CoinPaprika for DAO Maker Token as of Oct 6, 2026; the organisation is described as not stated.
When is the next DAO unlock?
No future unlock is on record for DAO as of Oct 6, 2026.
Is DAO listed on Binance?
No; as of Oct 6, 2026 this site holds no Binance listing for DAO; it is listed on 0 other exchanges.
Can the issuer mint more DAO?
No; mint authority was revoked as of Oct 4, 2026 (goplus+dexscreener), so no new supply can be created by the issuer.
How far is DAO from its all-time high?
99.0% below the $2.6 high of Mar 22, 2024, 928 days ago, at $0.0249 on Oct 6, 2026.
Has DAO Maker Token been hacked?
Yes; 3 hacks are recorded, the latest on Sep 5, 2022 for $580,000 (access control).
Related records
Related records
as of · chosen deterministically from the joins on this page
10 related token records are linked below as of Oct 6, 2026.
0 older closes on 0 coins; 0 reached their first Binance day, 0 stopped at a 10x day or a gap, 0 older tickers of another coin left out, 0 with nothing older; 0 for later nights
0 coin-days stored tonight (314,256 held, the oldest 2020-08-05); 300 of 300 coins finished (each back to its contract's first day), 0 left for later nights; 0 days left out by the price check (the contract was another coin then); 0 errors
55,210 coin-driver tests; 221 proven on 139 coins, 2879 likely; 47,995 more by the trimmed mean in the same cut, which found 69 proven and 164 likely more that earn with the tails in, and 568 more that did not on their newer half (dropped)
2026-10-06 19:50 UTC
none
—
earned
33 of 33 quarterly cutoffs walked (2018-10-01 .. 2026-10-01) in 62 s: 25 kinds of proven driver called, 5 earned (btc_up 1d, alts_down 1d, eth_down 1d, sector_down 1d, btc_down 1d); 46 kinds of likely driver, 11 earned (eth_up 1d, alts_down 1d, eth_down 1d, sector_down 1d, pump 1d, breakout_90 1d, btc_down 1d, vol_spike 1d, pump 7d, btc_down 7d, vol_spike 7d); the engine on 356 of 356 weekly dates
2026-10-06 23:10 UTC
none
—
edge
35 kinds of event against their coins' ordinary days, by day; a clear edge (95% range, both halves agree) up for fees_jump, funding_low, futures_listing, spx_drop, down for delisting, fear, futures_listing, hack, kr_discount, listing, tvl_jump
2026-10-06 23:09 UTC
none
—
effects
12080 effects, 51 stats rows
2026-10-06 19:49 UTC
none
—
etherscan
skipped: no ETHERSCAN_KEY in data/config_local.py or the environment
176 of our coins trade as Hyperliquid perps; 35 read up to now tonight (123 pages), 13114 coin-days stored; 207 funding extremes; the rest of the history comes over the next nights
827 of 1594 coins have a logo (coingecko 713, trustwallet 108, jupiter 5, website 1). Tonight 0 asked. Without one, by rank: RAIN, CC, WETH, JITOSOL, RETH, KHYPE, RSETH, WBNB, SUSDE, SYRUPUSDC, METH, JLP (drop a file in data/curated/logos/<slug>.png)
712 collected series, 343 with enough history; 5,857 tests; 1 proven, 274 likely; 1 series tested from a later day (their values hold that day's move)
2026-10-06 19:51 UTC
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setups
setups re-measured on our own prices
2026-10-06 19:52 UTC
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signals
6 proven signals: ath after (30d), ath after (7d), cb_discount after (7d), pump after (30d), pump after (7d), vol_spike after (30d); 33 of tonight's predictions moved
2026-10-06 19:50 UTC
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snapshot
daily snapshots and the change log
2026-10-06 20:10 UTC
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snapshot_org
1422 governance votes on 40 coins from 40 Snapshot spaces; tonight 0 proposals read (to 2026-09-10), 0 big closed ones kept, 1 open or pending; 0 events new, 1 removed
3144 rules tested; 8 survived discovery and the holdout (2 new tonight): funding_7:high:3d:q10:all:clean, idio_vol_60:low:1d:q10:all, ret_1:low:1d:q20:bear; 1783 distinct rules, each pool by each detector in one false-discovery cut; the trimmed-mean test found 33 more past discovery, 5 of them earning with the tails back in; 13 in the book
12 of 279 coins with 120+ days of supply history release on a monthly or quarterly pattern; 47 releases projected: APT (monthly, day 14), ARB (quarterly, day 18), ENA (monthly, day 6), ETHFI (quarterly, day 17), GRASS (monthly, day 29), IO (monthly, day 1), KCS (quarterly, day 1), MOVE (monthly, day 9), SAFE (monthly, day 31), STRK (quarterly, day 16), UXLINK (quarterly, day 18), WLD (quarterly, day 21)
2026-10-06 19:06 UTC
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teamfinance
1 of 56 coins hold Team Finance vesting; 4 contracts still being read for the first time
1 of 5 feeds read, 5 series kept, 79 points written tonight; failed: gdelt:bitcoin: HTTP 429: Please limit requests to one every 5 seconds or contact kalev.leetaru5@gmail.com for larger queries. All high-traff; gdelt:ethereum: HTTP 429: Please limit requests to one every 5 seconds or contact kalev.leetaru5@gmail.com for larger queries. All high-traf; gdelt:stablecoin: HTTP 429: Please limit requests to one every 5 seconds or contact kalev.leetaru5@gmail.com for larger queries. All high-tr
Effects are measured as described on the methodology page. Facts are compiled from public sources; nothing on this page is advice. Corrections: hello@pattern.plus.
ethplorer last fetched successfully on Oct 6, 2026 19:03 UTC;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-06T19:03:27+00:00 HTTP 429 https://api.ethplorer.io/getTokenInfo/0x88909), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
fred last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-06T19:06:59+00:00 no FRED_API_KEY: the jobs, PPI, PCE, GDP and retail sa), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
This page is generated from 5,891 database rows and rebuilt daily; first published Oct 4, 2026.
PatternPlus compiles facts from public sources and gives no financial advice; corrections by email. As of Oct 6, 2026.
How to read this
Band 1 is the prediction: how far the price is likely to swing and how often a leveraged trade was liquidated, then a direction only where a call earned it out of sample, with the real past setups behind it drawn as they moved.
Band 2 is why: the drivers, the next events and how our past calls on this coin went.
Band 3 is the data: every table and chart, dated; green means the price was higher afterwards, red lower.
Band 4 is the write-up: the same record in words, with the questions and the sources.
