What moves SWAP · PROVEN · measured Oct 6, 2026
When it rose three times its usual daily move, SWAP ended lower the next day 86% of the time
Against 54% on any day, from 14 cases (it ended higher in 14% of them); the latest was Aug 5, 2026. On average SWAP moved −6.6% the next day, against −0.2% on any day. Past patterns, not financial advice.
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After it
86%
ended lower the next day
On any day
54%
the same coin, from any day
Cases
14
the latest Aug 5, 2026
Average move
−6.6%
against −0.2% on any day
How it is proven
SWAP is tested on its own history every night: each cause against SWAP's own moves from any day, its biggest days capped, so one giant pump cannot make a driver. Proven means past the cut for testing thousands of causes at once, both halves of its history leaning the same way, SWAP ending lower more often than on any day by a clear margin, and 12 cases or more.
Source: SWAP's own daily closes, its events and the market-wide releases on record · measured · the method in full