What moves MBL · PROVEN · measured Oct 6, 2026
When Bitcoin fell 3% or more in a day, MBL ended higher the next day 62% of the time
Against 51% on any day, from 249 cases; the latest was Sep 15, 2026. On average MBL moved +1.1% the next day, against +0.0% on any day. Past patterns, not financial advice.
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After it
62%
ended higher the next day
On any day
51%
the same coin, from any day
Cases
249
the latest Sep 15, 2026
Average move
+1.1%
against +0.0% on any day
How it is proven
MBL is tested on its own history every night: each cause against MBL's own moves from any day, its biggest days capped, so one giant pump cannot make a driver. Proven means past the cut for testing thousands of causes at once, both halves of its history leaning the same way, MBL ending higher more often than on any day by a clear margin, and 12 cases or more.
Source: MBL's own daily closes, its events and the market-wide releases on record · measured · the method in full