What moves HOT · PROVEN · measured Oct 6, 2026
When Ether fell 4% or more in a day, HOT ended higher the next day 59% of the time
Against 49% on any day, from 292 cases; the latest was Sep 15, 2026. On average HOT moved +0.9% the next day, against +0.0% on any day. Past patterns, not financial advice.
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After it
59%
ended higher the next day
On any day
49%
the same coin, from any day
Cases
292
the latest Sep 15, 2026
Average move
+0.9%
against +0.0% on any day
How it is proven
HOT is tested on its own history every night: each cause against HOT's own moves from any day, its biggest days capped, so one giant pump cannot make a driver. Proven means past the cut for testing thousands of causes at once, both halves of its history leaning the same way, HOT ending higher more often than on any day by a clear margin, and 12 cases or more.
Source: HOT's own daily closes, its events and the market-wide releases on record · measured · the method in full