What moves BFC · PROVEN · measured Oct 6, 2026
When a big spot ETF outflow day came, BFC ended lower the next day 92% of the time
Against 55% on any day, from 12 cases (it ended higher in 8% of them); the latest was Sep 17, 2026. On average BFC moved −2.9% the next day, against −0.2% on any day. Past patterns, not financial advice.
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After it
92%
ended lower the next day
On any day
55%
the same coin, from any day
Cases
12
the latest Sep 17, 2026
Average move
−2.9%
against −0.2% on any day
How it is proven
BFC is tested on its own history every night: each cause against BFC's own moves from any day, its biggest days capped, so one giant pump cannot make a driver. Proven means past the cut for testing thousands of causes at once, both halves of its history leaning the same way, BFC ending lower more often than on any day by a clear margin, and 12 cases or more.
Source: BFC's own daily closes, its events and the market-wide releases on record · measured · the method in full