likely range: 8 in 10 similar past setups ended inside it
middle half −3% to +4% · typical move +0.8%
Liquidated within 1 day in similar past setups
side
2×
3×
5×
10×
20×
Long
0%
1%
2%
10%
36%
Short
0%
<1%
2%
13%
44%
the planner's replay of the setups behind the 30-day prediction, before fees · red: more than 1 in 10
No clear edge today
Coins ended higher over a day in 47% of every past case · our 1-day direction calls: right 50% of 38,908 calls since 2019, against 51% for that side on any day
Market cap $50.27M · small-cap: thinner trading, bigger swings
Lookalike Setups (main) · no clear edge on direction tomorrow · this pattern's 1d calls hit 52.8% of 7,920 — its chances have not beaten the simple all-coin up-rate so far · drawn from the 752 setups matched for the 30-day prediction
next day
−20%−10%0%+10%+20%−10%0%+10%+20%−8.2% in 7 days↑ 57% below its all-time high
−30dnow+1d
▲ 17 rose · ▼ 6 fell · ◆ 7 sideways(±1.8% over 1 day)
Bold: AZTEC's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 752 setups matched for the 30-day prediction, and what each did over the next day — real hourly closes, scaled to AZTEC's volatility. 27 with no hourly path on file yet are drawn through their daily lows, highs and closes.
Bad case$0.0150−6%1 in 10 did worse
Typical$0.0161+0.8%half did better, half worse
Good case$0.0172+8%1 in 10 did better
Against the altcoin average · a call that earned it
▼ Weaker than the altcoin average over the next day
All our data combined: calls this sure were right 61% of 212,588 calls since 2018, against 58% for that side on any day.
Average move against the altcoin average on those calls +0.10% for the call (typical +1.0%), before fees
Why: volume 5× its 30-day median at its last close · volume 6.4× its 30-day median · back above its 200-day average within the last 7 days
not a price direction: how AZTEC does against the average of the 100 most traded altcoins, whichever way the market goes · out of sample · Oct 1, 2018 – Oct 6, 2026
Likely range, in price
$0.0150 – $0.0172−6% to +8%
Middle half, in price
$0.0156 – $0.0167−3% to +4%
781 similar setups · our 1-day ranges held 80.4% of outcomes in backtests (aim: 80%) · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
AZTEC price prediction for this week
Expected swing over the next 7 days
−15%to+20%
likely range: 8 in 10 similar past setups ended inside it
middle half −7% to +9% · typical move +0.3%
Liquidated within 7 days in similar past setups
side
2×
3×
5×
10×
20×
Long
<1%
3%
15%
43%
74%
Short
4%
9%
24%
54%
79%
the planner's replay of the setups behind the 30-day prediction, before fees · red: more than 1 in 10
No clear edge today
Coins ended higher over 7 days in 44% of every past case · our 7-day direction calls: right 55% of 63,419 calls since 2019, against 56% for that side on any day
Market cap $50.27M · small-cap: thinner trading, bigger swings
Lookalike Setups (main) · no clear edge on direction in 7 days · this pattern's 7d calls hit 59.3% of 26,819 — no better than always guessing the usual direction (60%) so far · drawn from the 752 setups matched for the 30-day prediction
next 7 days
−20%−10%0%+10%+20%0%+50%+100%−8.2% in 7 days↑ 57% below its all-time high
−30dnow+7d
▲ 15 rose · ▼ 7 fell · ◆ 8 sideways(±4.6% over 7 days)
Bold: AZTEC's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 752 setups matched for the 30-day prediction, and what each did over the next 7 days — real 4-hour closes, scaled to AZTEC's volatility. 23 with no 4-hour path on file yet are drawn through their daily lows, highs and closes.
Bad case$0.0136−15%1 in 10 did worse
Typical$0.0160+0.3%half did better, half worse
Good case$0.0192+20%1 in 10 did better
Likely range, in price
$0.0136 – $0.0192−15% to +20%
Middle half, in price
$0.0149 – $0.0174−7% to +9%
773 similar setups · our 7-day ranges held 79.6% of outcomes in backtests (aim: 80%) · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
AZTEC price prediction for the next 30 days
Expected swing over the next 30 days
−30%to+57%
likely range: 8 in 10 similar past setups ended inside it
middle half −18% to +17% · typical move −4.2%
Liquidated within 30 days in similar past setups
side
2×
3×
5×
10×
20×
Long
5%
21%
48%
74%
91%
Short
28%
36%
54%
76%
90%
the planner's replay of the setups behind the 30-day prediction, before fees · red: more than 1 in 10
No clear edge today
Coins ended higher over 30 days in 40% of every past case · our 30-day direction calls: right 57% of 81,797 calls since 2019, against 60% for that side on any day
Market cap $50.27M · small-cap: thinner trading, bigger swings
Lookalike Setups (main) · no clear edge on direction in 30 days · drawn from its 752 matched past setups
next 30 days
−20%−10%0%+10%+20%0%+100%+200%−8.2% in 7 days↑ 57% below its all-time high
−30dnow+30d
▲ 10 rose · ▼ 9 fell · ◆ 11 sideways(±7.7% over 30 days)
Bold: AZTEC's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 752 past setups like this, and what each did over the next 30 days — real daily closes, scaled to AZTEC's volatility.
Bad case$0.0112−30%1 in 10 did worse
Typical$0.0153−4.2%half did better, half worse
Good case$0.0251+57%1 in 10 did better
Likely range, in price
$0.0112 – $0.0251−30% to +57%
Middle half, in price
$0.0131 – $0.0187−18% to +17%
752 similar setups · our 30-day ranges held 78.3% of outcomes in backtests (aim: 80%) · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
Pick a side, when you close and your leverage: we replay that exact trade on the past cases behind this AZTEC prediction and count how it ended.
Best historical window for AZTEC in setups like this: long, hold 3 days, 6× — profitable 53.1% of the time, typical +5.2%, liquidated 7.6% of the time (n=752).
Chance this ends in profit—
Typical result—half did better, half worse
Chance you get liquidated first—
Every past case, replayedhover or tap a line to see the case
price went your way —against you —sideways —(within ±1.7% over 3 days)✕liquidated —take profit hit —stop loss hit —typical8 in 10 cases
Replays 394 past cases weighted exactly like the 30-day prediction: the 752 similar cases behind it plus a sample of all history.
Where the odds were best· swipe for longer holds →
cell = chance of profit color = average result, −50% or worse to +50% or better striped = liquidated in more than 1 in 10★ best: highest typical result with at most 1 in 10 liquidated, most cases in profit and an average above zerono take profit or stop loss · tap a cell to load it
The planner and its replay chart run in your browser: turn on JavaScript to replay your own AZTEC trade on these past cases.
Odds from similar past cases, not financial advice. Leverage multiplies losses too: a liquidated position loses its whole margin.
Where to trade AZTEC · by share of the last day's volume
AZTEC$0.0170−6% to +8% 1Dno call cleared the bar at 1D· liquidated at 10×: 13%open calculator
AZTEC$0.0170−15% to +20% 7Dno call cleared the bar at 7D· liquidated at 10×: 54%open calculator
AZTEC$0.0170−30% to +57% 30Dno call cleared the bar at 30D· liquidated at 10×: 76%open calculator
2
Why we think this
the reasoning, in short
Drivers
The facts this prediction matches on. Every past moment with the same facts, across every coin we track, is one of the 781 similar setups its range is drawn from; no chance is shown, as no call earned it out of sample at this horizon.
Down 8% over 7 days
Down 8% this week.
80,754 past cases with this fact
53% below its high
53% below its all-time high.
42,716 past cases with this fact
Bitcoin above its 50-day average
Bitcoin is above its 50-day average.
151,429 past cases with this fact
Small-cap
Small-cap coin ($50.3M market cap).
109,239 past cases with this fact
The facts this prediction matches on. Every past moment with the same facts, across every coin we track, is one of the 773 similar setups its range is drawn from; no chance is shown, as no call earned it out of sample at this horizon.
Up 11% over 30 days
Up 11% over the last 30 days.
72,924 past cases with this fact
Down 8% over 7 days
Down 8% this week.
80,296 past cases with this fact
Bitcoin above its 50-day average
Bitcoin is above its 50-day average.
149,501 past cases with this fact
53% below its high
53% below its all-time high.
42,517 past cases with this fact
The facts this prediction matches on. Every past moment with the same facts, across every coin we track, is one of the 752 similar setups its range is drawn from; no chance is shown, as no call earned it out of sample at this horizon.
Bitcoin above its 50-day average
Bitcoin is above its 50-day average.
142,809 past cases with this fact
53% below its high
53% below its all-time high.
41,932 past cases with this fact
Down 8% over 7 days
Down 8% this week.
78,681 past cases with this fact
Other coin type
Outside the meme, DeFi and L1/L2 groups.
250,692 past cases with this fact
Our record on AZTEC
Our last 6 calls on AZTEC over 30 days: right on 1 of 6 · 6 of 6 ended inside our range
across every coin, out of sample: our 30-day calls were right 57% of 81,797 calls since 2019, against 60% for that side on any day: no clear edge, so no 30-day direction is shown today (a few dozen calls on one coin say little)
Aug 2 said 66% down · ended −9.8%✓ rightAug 9 said 60% down · ended +10.5%✗ wrongAug 16 said 64% down · ended +9.6%✗ wrongAug 23 said 60% down · ended +17.1%✗ wrongAug 30 said 58% down · ended +28.5%✗ wrongSep 6 said 60% down · ended +12.6%✗ wrong
white: AZTEC's real price after each call · bar: the range we gave (8 in 10 cases, the middle half thicker, a notch at the typical move) · end dot: green right · red wrong · orange the price went sideways (within ±5.5% over 30 days) or a coin flip · backtest: each call used only data available that day · live since Oct 4, 2026: 4 live 30-day predictions on record, first result due Nov 3, 2026 · the full scorecard →
active —
NoneRank #415on record since 2026-02-12$2.2M lost to hacks
$0.0170
24H−0.8%
30D0.0%
1Y0.0%
FROM ATH−56.9%
last 6 months · daily close · candle = 2 sessions◆ recorded event · dotted blue line = last price · orange = the price went sideways (within ±1.4% over 2 days)
updated today Updated · 45 data points on this page
Changed 2026-10-07 search index index,follow → noindex,follow2026-10-07 search index index,follow → noindex,follow2026-10-07 search index index,follow → noindex,follow2026-10-06 search index index,follow → noindex,followfull log →
The record in shortON RECORD
The record in short
as of · generated from this record's own rowsread it →
events on record
5
higher 30 days after
3 of 5
typical 30-day move
+35.2%
next up
—
Every eventMEASURED5 events
The record: every event and what followed
as of · CoinPaprika · DefiLlama · exchange announcements · PatternPlus effectsread it →
AZTEC: 5 events, newest first; six signed numbers per row are the price change from the close before the event, in UTC; vs BTC is the difference of the two 30-day moves
escapeHatch Proof-Forgery (permissionless RollupProcessor exit) On Jun 17, 2026AZTEC was hacked; it fell 8.9% by day 1 and was 20.8% lower 30 days later, 18 points behind BTC; it had moved +9.1% in the 7 days before.
all-time high AZTEC all-time high: $0.0395
—
+18.8%
−6.3%
−36.1%
−36.7%
−40.9%
−35.8%
derived
Highest daily close in our price history. On Feb 21, 2026AZTEC set an all-time high; it fell 6.3% by day 1 and was 36.7% lower 30 days later, 41 points behind BTC; it had moved +18.8% in the 7 days before.
AZTECUSDT perpetual trading. On Feb 12, 2026Bybit opened perpetual futures for AZTEC; it rose 66.8% by day 1 and was 40.6% higher 30 days later, 34 points ahead of BTC.
AZTECUSDT perpetual trading. On Feb 11, 2026Binance opened perpetual futures for AZTEC; it rose 23.2% by day 1 and was 35.2% higher 30 days later, 32 points ahead of BTC.
AZTEC-USDT-SWAP perpetual trading. On Feb 11, 2026OKX opened perpetual futures for AZTEC; it rose 23.2% by day 1 and was 35.2% higher 30 days later, 32 points ahead of BTC.
Source: events from CoinPaprika, DefiLlama and exchange announcements; effects computed by PatternPlus (see methodology) · fetched
Against the venue medianMEASURED
How AZTEC's events compare with the venue median
as of · event_stats computed by PatternPlusread it →
Venue · kind
AZTEC median day 30
AZTEC n
Venue median day 30
Venue n
Up after 30 d (venue)
Position
all venues · hack
−20.8%
1
−10.7%
117
36.8%
below
all venues · all-time high
−36.7%
1
−38.6%
648
6.3%
above
Bybit · perpetual listing
+40.6%
1
−16.9%
446
33.4%
above
Binance · perpetual listing
+35.2%
1
−14.7%
497
39.2%
above
OKX · perpetual listing
+35.2%
1
−16.8%
252
36.5%
above
Venue · kind
AZTEC median day 7
AZTEC n
Venue median day 7
Venue n
Up after 7 d (venue)
Position
all venues · hack
−17.3%
1
−5.7%
—
—
below
all venues · all-time high
−36.1%
1
−17.0%
—
—
below
Bybit · perpetual listing
+14.9%
1
−7.4%
—
—
above
Binance · perpetual listing
+9.5%
1
−5.2%
—
—
above
OKX · perpetual listing
+9.5%
1
−6.8%
—
—
above
Day 7: the venue's event count and up-share are kept for day 30 only (—); its median uses every event measured to day 7.
Venue · kind
AZTEC median day 1
AZTEC n
Venue median day 1
Venue n
Up after 1 d (venue)
Position
all venues · hack
−8.9%
1
−4.9%
—
—
below
all venues · all-time high
−6.3%
1
−3.6%
—
—
below
Bybit · perpetual listing
+66.8%
1
−0.3%
—
—
above
Binance · perpetual listing
+23.2%
1
−0.3%
—
—
above
OKX · perpetual listing
+23.2%
1
−0.6%
—
—
above
Day 1: the venue's event count and up-share are kept for day 30 only (—); its median uses every event measured to day 1.
Source: PatternPlus, computed from every token in the peer set · fetched
4
The full write-up
every sentence on AZTEC · questions · sources
AZTEC in short
Filed under crypto on its own chain, AZTEC (AZTEC) has been with no start date recorded; it holds rank #415 by market cap as of Oct 7, 2026 and trades 56.9% below its Feb 21, 2026 high.
As of Oct 7, 2026 the price is $0.0170 (−0.8% over 24 hours), market cap $50.3M, fully diluted value $176.4M, holder count not reported, no TVL reported to DefiLlama.
Status on CoinPaprika: active; AZTEC is the native coin of its own chain, so there is no token contract.
CoinPaprika tickers and DefiLlama, read Oct 7, 2026.
This site has 5 past events for AZTEC: 0 exchange listings, 3 futures listings, 0 unlocks, 1 hacks and 0 funding rounds; the median 30-day move after the 5 measured events was +35.2%.
From the latest data refresh
AZTEC (AZTEC) is a crypto token on its own chain, rank #415 by market cap as of Oct 7, 2026, 56.9% below its Feb 21, 2026 high.
The record's largest loss is a $2.2M hack on Jun 17, 2026 (protocol logic).
Since PatternPlus began recording on Oct 3, 2026 (5 daily snapshots), rank moved from #411 to #415.
AZTEC is on 3 spot and 3 perpetual venues on record; the earliest dated listing was Binance (perp) on Feb 11, 2026.
3 of its listings have a measured day-30 outcome (median +35.2%); 3 finished above the venue's own listing median and 0 below.
No unlock schedule is on record for AZTEC as of Oct 7, 2026.
No on-chain power check is on record for AZTEC as of Oct 7, 2026.
No funding round is recorded by DefiLlama for AZTEC as of Oct 7, 2026.
AZTEC lists 0 audit links on DefiLlama; 1 hack totalling $2.2M is recorded.
No team member is recorded on CoinPaprika for AZTEC as of Oct 7, 2026.
No TVL, fees or revenue are reported to DefiLlama for AZTEC as of Oct 7, 2026.
Generated from this record's own rows at build time; as of Oct 7, 2026.
Across 117 hacks across every token on record, the median move is −4.9% on day 1 and −10.7% by day 30; 36.8% were still up after 30 days; AZTEC's one sits below that median at −20.8%.
Across 648 all-time highs across every token on record, the median move is −3.6% on day 1 and −38.6% by day 30;
6.3% were still up after 30 days;
AZTEC's one sits above that median at −36.7%.
Across 446 perpetual listings on Bybit, the median move is −0.3% on day 1 and −16.9% by day 30;
33.4% were still up after 30 days;
AZTEC's one sits above that median at +40.6%.
Across 497 perpetual listings on Binance, the median move is −0.3% on day 1 and −14.7% by day 30;
39.2% were still up after 30 days;
AZTEC's one sits above that median at +35.2%.
Across 252 perpetual listings on OKX, the median move is −0.6% on day 1 and −16.8% by day 30;
36.5% were still up after 30 days;
AZTEC's one sits above that median at +35.2%.
AZTEC sits above the venue median in 4 of 5 venue-and-kind comparisons as of Oct 7, 2026.
event_stats recomputed nightly; as of Oct 7, 2026.
No on-chain power check is available for AZTEC on its own chain as of Oct 7, 2026; every row of the panel is shown as unknown until GoPlus or the Jupiter token API answers.
Until then this site cannot say whether the issuer can mint, freeze or upgrade AZTEC; the check is retried at every rebuild.
5 events since Feb 11, 2026; 2 of the 5 measured were followed by a lower price 30 days later; best Bybit lists AZTEC perpetual on Feb 12, 2026 (+40.6%), worst AZTEC all-time high: $0.0395 on Feb 21, 2026 (−36.7%).
239 daily closes from Feb 11, 2026 to Oct 7, 2026 are plotted on a log scale, with the rank from 5 snapshots as a step line.
The all-time high marker sits at $0.0395 on Feb 21, 2026, 228 days before Oct 7, 2026.
prices, metrics_daily, events and effects; as of Oct 7, 2026.
The change log holds 7 entries between Oct 4, 2026 and Oct 7, 2026; the newest reads: noindexed at export: unique_text_ratio 0.593 below 0.6 (LAW 2 index rule).
Changed since Oct 6, 2026: index index,follow → noindex,follow (Oct 7) · index index,follow → noindex,follow (Oct 7) · index index,follow → noindex,follow (Oct 7) · index index,follow → noindex,follow (Oct 6).
The fields that changed most often were index (4) and event (3).
Changes logged for this record: 7 in the last 30 days as of Oct 7, 2026.
As of Oct 7, 2026AZTEC trades on 3 spot venues and 3 perpetual venues with dated listings, from Binance on Feb 11, 2026 to Bybit on Feb 12, 2026; the first perpetual opened on Binance on Feb 11, 2026.
0 delistings are on record for AZTEC as of Oct 7, 2026.
1082 of the 1087 tracked exchanges have no AZTEC listing on record as of Oct 7, 2026 (Bitget, Pionex, Azbit, WEEX, Lbank and Biconomy, among others).
exchange_listings from instrument APIs and announcements; as of Oct 7, 2026.
AZTEC trades 56.9% below its all-time high of $0.0395, set on Feb 21, 2026, 228 days before Oct 7, 2026; over 30 days it moved 0.0% against 0.0% for BTC (beta 1.79).
Price change as of Oct 7, 2026: +0.5% over 1 hour, −0.8% over 24 hours, −6.9% over 7 days, 0.0% over 30 days, 0.0% over 1 year.
Market cap is 28.5% of fully diluted value ($50.3M of $176.4M), so 71.5% of the valuation sits in supply that does not circulate yet.
24-hour volume of $1.5M is 2.9% of market cap as of Oct 7, 2026.
Circulating supply is 2.95B of 10.35B total (28.5%); no maximum supply is stated.
The all tokens on record median 30-day change is 0.0% across 1594 tokens, so AZTEC sits below its peer set.
CoinPaprika tickers read Oct 7, 2026; BTC comparison from the BTC record.
No contract or mint address is recorded for AZTEC as of Oct 7, 2026.
No other token on record uses the symbol AZTEC as of Oct 7, 2026.
AZTEC shares its ticker with AZTEC (Aztec Network) (ticker collision on CoinPaprika, read Oct 7, 2026).
Identity fields from CoinPaprika as of Oct 7, 2026: start date not recorded, first market data Feb 12, 2026, proof type not stated, organisation structure not stated, no whitepaper link.
Cross-references as of Oct 7, 2026: CoinPaprika id aztec-aztec, no DefiLlama slug, no GitHub repository recorded.
No follower or star counts were read for AZTEC as of Oct 7, 2026.
CoinPaprika /coins and DefiLlama /protocols (contract addresses), token_contracts, token_aliases; read Oct 7, 2026.
Among 1594 all tokens on record tokens, AZTEC is at the 74th percentile by market cap, 84th by distance from ATH and unranked by share unlocked as of Oct 7, 2026.
The peer median market cap is $12.8M, the median distance from ATH −95.0% and the median 30-day change 0.0%.
The nearest peers by rank are Notcoin (#414), Ankr (#416), Lisk (#413), Sushi (#417) and Nillion (#412).
Market cap: $50.3M (P74 of 1594; peer median $12.8M).
Volume / market cap (24h): 2.94% (P54 of 1594; peer median 2.42%).
30-day change: 0.0% (P50 of 1594; peer median 0.0%).
Distance from ATH: −56.9% (P84 of 1594; peer median −95.0%).
peer set: all tokens on record (1594 tokens); as of Oct 7, 2026.
As of Oct 7, 2026: AZTEC's likely range tomorrow is −6.2% to +7.6% (8 in 10 similar past setups ended inside it), typical move +0.8%, from 781 similar past setups;
no clear edge on its direction: no call on it earned one out of sample.
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
What is the AZTEC price prediction for this week?
As of Oct 7, 2026: AZTEC's likely range over the next 7 days is −14.8% to +20.2% (8 in 10 similar past setups ended inside it), typical move +0.3%, from 773 similar past setups;
no clear edge on its direction: no call on it earned one out of sample.
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
What is the AZTEC price prediction for the next 30 days?
As of Oct 7, 2026: AZTEC's likely range over the next 30 days is −30.1% to +56.7% (8 in 10 similar past setups ended inside it), typical move −4.2%, from 752 similar past setups;
no clear edge on its direction: no call on it earned one out of sample.
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
How accurate are these AZTEC predictions?
Of the last 6 30-day calls, 1 of 6 were right.
Each backtest call used only the data available on its own date.
Who is behind AZTEC?
No team member is recorded on CoinPaprika for AZTEC as of Oct 7, 2026; the organisation is described as not stated.
When is the next AZTEC unlock?
No future unlock is on record for AZTEC as of Oct 7, 2026.
Is AZTEC listed on Binance?
Yes; Binance listed AZTEC and perpetual futures on Feb 11, 2026.
How far is AZTEC from its all-time high?
56.9% below the $0.0395 high of Feb 21, 2026, 228 days ago, at $0.0170 on Oct 7, 2026.
Has AZTEC been hacked?
Yes; 1 hack is recorded, the latest on Jun 17, 2026 for $2.2M (protocol logic).
Related records
Related records
as of · chosen deterministically from the joins on this page
10 related token records are linked below, plus 5 exchanges (Binance, Bybit, Coinbase, OKX and Upbit) as of Oct 7, 2026.
0 older closes on 0 coins; 0 reached their first Binance day, 0 stopped at a 10x day or a gap, 0 older tickers of another coin left out, 0 with nothing older; 0 for later nights
963 market-days stored tonight (269,549 futures and 443,982 spot held, the oldest 2019-09-08 on futures and 2017-08-17 on spot); 541 of 541 markets finished (241 futures, 300 spot; each back to its first day), 0 left for later nights; 0 days left out by the price check (the market was another coin then); 0 errors; 7 walks ended at a gap of over 45 days or a 10x day; 256 mapped markets not on Binance's lists of trading USDT markets; the busiest minute used 10 of the 2,400 request weight Binance allows on futures, 20 of the 6,000 request weight Binance allows on spot
0 coin-days stored tonight (314,737 held, the oldest 2020-08-05); 300 of 300 coins finished (each back to its contract's first day), 0 left for later nights; 0 days left out by the price check (the contract was another coin then); 0 errors
59,517 coin-driver tests; 223 proven on 138 coins, 3078 likely; 51,731 more by the trimmed mean in the same cut, which found 70 proven and 172 likely more that earn with the tails in, and 600 more that did not on their newer half (dropped)
2026-10-07 07:13 UTC
none
—
earned
33 of 33 quarterly cutoffs walked (2018-10-01 .. 2026-10-01) in 71 s: 27 kinds of proven driver called, 1 earned (eth_down 1d); 57 kinds of likely driver, 5 earned (eth_down 1d, sector_down 1d, btc_down 1d, pump 7d, btc_down 7d); the engine on 356 of 356 weekly dates in 10 s: 0 of 9 bands earned
2026-10-07 13:11 UTC
none
—
edge
35 kinds of event against their coins' ordinary days, by day; a clear edge (95% range, both halves agree) up for fees_jump, funding_low, futures_listing, spx_drop, down for delisting, fear, futures_listing, hack, kr_discount, listing, tvl_jump
2026-10-07 13:09 UTC
none
—
effects
12205 effects, 51 stats rows
2026-10-07 07:12 UTC
none
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etherscan
skipped: no ETHERSCAN_KEY in data/config_local.py or the environment
176 of our coins trade as Hyperliquid perps; 44 read up to now tonight (123 pages), 16589 coin-days stored; 263 funding extremes; the rest of the history comes over the next nights
827 of 1594 coins have a logo (coingecko 713, trustwallet 108, jupiter 5, website 1). Tonight 0 asked. Without one, by rank: RAIN, CC, WETH, JITOSOL, RETH, KHYPE, RSETH, WBNB, SUSDE, SYRUPUSDC, METH, JLP (drop a file in data/curated/logos/<slug>.png)
5,628 chances (938 coins x 6 targets) as of 2026-10-07, 3,519 in a band; 33 of 33 quarterly cutoffs walked (2018-10-01 .. 2026-10-01): 4 of 18 bands earned (abs1_lean, abs1_strong, abs1_calls, rel1_strong); 197 s
2026-10-07 13:14 UTC
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models
pattern lines: each named pattern's own 30-day path, its chance of a higher price and how often its calls were right
722 collected series, 343 with enough history; 5,857 tests; 1 proven, 274 likely; 1 series tested from a later day (their values hold that day's move)
2026-10-07 07:19 UTC
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setups
setups re-measured on our own prices
2026-10-07 07:20 UTC
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signals
7 proven signals: ath after (30d), ath after (7d), cb_discount after (7d), pump after (30d), pump after (7d), up_on_btc_down after (7d), vol_spike after (30d); 16 of tonight's predictions moved
2026-10-07 07:13 UTC
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snapshot
daily snapshots and the change log
2026-10-07 07:37 UTC
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snapshot_org
1422 governance votes on 40 coins from 40 Snapshot spaces; tonight 0 proposals read (to 2026-09-10), 0 big closed ones kept, 1 open or pending; 0 events new, 0 removed
3336 rules tested; 7 survived discovery and the holdout (0 new tonight): funding_7:high:3d:q10:all:clean, ret_1:low:1d:q20:bear, volume_trend:low:1d:q10:bear; 1898 distinct rules, each pool by each detector in one false-discovery cut; the trimmed-mean test found 32 more past discovery, 4 of them earning with the tails back in; 14 in the book
12 of 354 coins with 120+ days of supply history release on a monthly or quarterly pattern; 47 releases projected: APT (monthly, day 14), ARB (quarterly, day 18), ENA (monthly, day 6), ETHFI (quarterly, day 17), GRASS (monthly, day 29), IO (monthly, day 1), KCS (quarterly, day 1), MOVE (monthly, day 9), SAFE (monthly, day 31), STRK (quarterly, day 16), UXLINK (quarterly, day 18), WLD (quarterly, day 21)
2026-10-07 06:26 UTC
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teamfinance
2 of 76 coins hold Team Finance vesting; 4 contracts still being read for the first time
3 of 5 feeds read, 5 series kept, 237 points written tonight; failed: gdelt:bitcoin: HTTP 429: Please limit requests to one every 5 seconds or contact kalev.leetaru5@gmail.com for larger queries. All high-traff; gdelt:ethereum: HTTP 429: Please limit requests to one every 5 seconds or contact kalev.leetaru5@gmail.com for larger queries. All high-traf
Effects are measured as described on the methodology page. Facts are compiled from public sources; nothing on this page is advice. Corrections: hello@pattern.plus.
ethplorer last fetched successfully on Oct 7, 2026 06:23 UTC;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-07T06:23:11+00:00 HTTP 429 https://api.ethplorer.io/getTokenInfo/0x3472a), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
fred last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-07T06:26:12+00:00 no FRED_API_KEY: the jobs, PPI, PCE, GDP and retail sa), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
This page is generated from 5,007 database rows and rebuilt daily; first published Oct 4, 2026.
PatternPlus compiles facts from public sources and gives no financial advice; corrections by email. As of Oct 7, 2026.
How to read this
Band 1 is the prediction: how far the price is likely to swing and how often a leveraged trade was liquidated, then a direction only where a call earned it out of sample, with the real past setups behind it drawn as they moved.
Band 2 is why: the drivers, the next events and how our past calls on this coin went.
Band 3 is the data: every table and chart, dated; green means the price was higher afterwards, red lower.
Band 4 is the write-up: the same record in words, with the questions and the sources.